2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.[1]
 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
November 6, 2018
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since 1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida.
Results summary
Statewide
| Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Republican | 22 | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 14 |  2 | 51.85% | |
| Democratic | 27 | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 13 |  2 | 48.15% | |
| Independent | 6 | 38,550 | 0.55% | 0 |  | 0.00% | |
| Write-in | 8 | 281 | 0.00% | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Total | 63 | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | 27 | | 100.00% | |
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:[2]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 216,189 | 67.06% | 106,199 | 32.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 322,388 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 199,335 | 67.44% | 96,233 | 32.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,568 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 176,616 | 57.62% | 129,880 | 42.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 306,496 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 248,420 | 65.16% | 123,351 | 32.35% | 9,478 | 2.49% | 381,249 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 89,799 | 33.22% | 180,527 | 66.78% | 0 | 0.00 | 270,326 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 187,891 | 56.31% | 145,758 | 43.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,649 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 134,285 | 42.31% | 183,113 | 57.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,398 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 218,112 | 60.50% | 142,415 | 39.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 360,527 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 9 | 124,565 | 41.98% | 172,172 | 58.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,737 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 239,395 | 65.14% | 128,053 | 34.84% | 58 | 0.02% | 367,506 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 194,564 | 58.09% | 132,844 | 39.66% | 7,510 | 2.24% | 334,918 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 13 | 134,254 | 42.36% | 182,717 | 57.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 316,971 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 15 | 151,380 | 53.02% | 134,132 | 46.98% | 20 | 0.01% | 285,532 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 16 | 197,483 | 54.56% | 164,463 | 45.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 361,946 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 17 | 193,326 | 62.26% | 117,194 | 37.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 310,520 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 18 | 185,905 | 54.30% | 156,454 | 45.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 342,359 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 19 | 211,465 | 62.27% | 128,106 | 37.72% | 36 | 0.01% | 339,607 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 20 | 0 | 0.00% | 202,659 | 99.92% | 165 | 0.08% | 202,824 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 22 | 113,049 | 37.98% | 184,634 | 62.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,683 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 23 | 99,446 | 35.98% | 161,611 | 58.48% | 15,309 | 5.54% | 276,366 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 25 | 128,672 | 60.45% | 84,173 | 39.55% | 0 | 0.00% | 212,845 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 26 | 115,678 | 49.13% | 119,797 | 50.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 235,475 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
| District 27 | 115,588 | 45.76% | 130,743 | 51.76% | 6,255 | 2.48% | 252,586 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
| Total | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 38,831 | 0.55% | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | |
District 1
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg)  Gaetz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% <90% Zimmerman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% <90% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 1st district stretches along the Emerald Coast and is located in the western Panhandle anchored by Pensacola, it also includes Fort Walton Beach, Navarre, and Wright. Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+22.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Cris Dosev, businessman and candidate for this district in 2016
- John Mills, retired U.S. Navy pilot
Endorsements
U.S. executive branch officials
Statewide officials
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas (1996–2007) and candidate for President of the United States in 2008 and 2016[4]
Organizations
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[5]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[6]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 65,203 | 64.8 | |
| Republican | Cris Dosev | 30,433 | 30.2 | |
| Republican | John Mills | 4,992 | 5.0 | |
| Total votes | 100,628 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jennifer M. Zimmerman, pediatrician
Eliminated in primary
- Phil Ehr, U.S. Navy commander
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 22,422 | 60.5 | |
| Democratic | Phil Ehr | 14,650 | 39.5 | |
| Total votes | 37,072 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 216,189 | 67.1 | |
| Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 106,199 | 32.9 | |
| Total votes | 322,388 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
  Dunn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rackleff: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Rackleff, former Leon County Commissioner[17]
Eliminated in primary
- Brandon Peters, lawyer
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brandon Peters |
Bob Rackleff |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters)[18] | August 21–23, 2018 | 407 | – | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 29,395 | 50.8 | |
| Democratic | Brandon Peters | 28,483 | 49.2 | |
| Total votes | 57,878 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 199,335 | 67.4 | |
| Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 96,233 | 32.6 | |
| Total votes | 295,568 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Yoho: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hinson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Incumbent Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Judson Sapp, businessman[19]
Endorsements
State legislators
Local officials
- Rick Beseler, former Clay County sheriff[20]
- Van Royal, Green Cove Springs city council member[20]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 54,848 | 76.3 | |
| Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,068 | 23.7 | |
| Total votes | 71,916 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Yvonne Hayes Hinson, former Gainesville City Commissioner
Eliminated in primary
- Dushyant Gosai, educator
- Tom Wells, businessman
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 31,655 | 59.5 | |
| Democratic | Tom Wells | 17,663 | 33.2 | |
| Democratic | Dushyant Gosai | 3,883 | 7.3 | |
| Total votes | 53,201 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 176,616 | 57.6 | |
| Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 129,880 | 42.4 | |
| Total votes | 306,496 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Rutherford: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 4th district is located in the First Coast region and is made up of the Jacksonville metropolitan area including Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine. Incumbent Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Rob Ficker[22]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ges Selmont, attorney
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 248,420 | 65.2 | |
| Democratic | Ges Selmont | 123,351 | 32.4 | |
| Independent | Joceline Berrios | 7,155 | 1.9 | |
| Independent | Jason Bulger | 2,321 | 0.6 | |
| Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 381,249 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fuller 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. Incumbent Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Alvin Brown, former mayor of Jacksonville
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alvin Brown |
Al Lawson |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida[24] | August 17–19, 2018 | 402 | – | 29% | 48% | 23% |
| St. Pete Polls[25] | August 11–12, 2018 | 445 | ± 4.6% | 27% | 50% | 23% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 53,990 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Alvin Brown | 35,584 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 89,574 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Virginia Fuller, nurse and perennial candidate
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 180,527 | 66.8 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 89,799 | 33.2 | |
| Total votes | 270,326 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run for governor of Florida.[27] The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Waltz, former Green Beret[28]
Eliminated in primary
- Fred Costello, former state representative[29]
- John Ward, businessman[30]
Withdrawn
- Jimmy Johns, St. Johns County commissioner[31][32]
Endorsements
Statewide officials
State legislators
- Richard Corcoran, speaker of the house of representatives[34]
- José R. Oliva, state representative[34]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district[36]
Local officials
- Craig Capri, Daytona Beach police chief[37]
- Lenny Curry, Jacksonville mayor[38]
- Deborah Denys, Volusia County commission vice chair[39]
- David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff[40]
- Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff[37]
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Waltz | 32,916 | 42.4 | |
| Republican | John Ward | 23,593 | 30.4 | |
| Republican | Fred Costello | 21,074 | 27.2 | |
| Total votes | 77,583 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[43]
Candidates
Nominee
- Nancy Soderberg, former representative at the United Nations and former deputy national security advisor[44]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Robert Coffman, commercial pilot[47]
Endorsements
Labor unions
U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017)[49]
U.S. representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district[50]
- Val Demings, U.S. Representative from Florida's 10th congressional district[50]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[50]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[50]
- Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from Florida's 9th congressional district[50]
Labor unions
Organizations
- Indivisible United Florida 6th district[52]
Polling
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 2, 2018 | The Daytona Beach News-Journal | [55] | P | P | P | |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 32,174 | 55.6 | |
| Democratic | John Upchurch | 13,088 | 22.6 | |
| Democratic | Stephen Sevigny | 12,633 | 21.8 | |
| Total votes | 57,895 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
- John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district
Organizations
Local officials
- Craig Capri, Daytona Beach police chief[37]
- Lenny Curry, Mayor of Jacksonville
- Deborah Denys, Volusia County commission vice chair
- David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff
- Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff[37]
U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017)
U.S. representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district[50]
- Val Demings, U.S. Representative from Florida's 10th congressional district[50]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[50]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[50]
- Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from Florida's 9th congressional district[50]
Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[21]
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[58]
- EMILY's List[59]
- End Citizens United[26]
- Indivisible United Florida 6th district
- MoveOn[60]
Polling
Debate
A debate was scheduled for September 25, but it was cancelled.[64][65]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Mike Waltz | Nancy Soderberg | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 2, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | [66] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Waltz | 187,891 | 56.3 | |
| Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 145,758 | 43.7 | |
| Total votes | 333,649 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
 County results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 7th district is centered around downtown Orlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such as Sanford and Winter Park. Incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Chardo Richardson, former president of the ACLU
Endorsements
U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States 2009–2017; U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; candidate for President in 1988 and in 2008[67]
Labor unions
Organizations
Organizations
Individuals
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, educator, community organizer, political activist and nominee for NY-14 in 2018[72]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 49,060 | 86.2 | |
| Democratic | Chardo Richardson | 7,846 | 13.2 | |
| Total votes | 56,906 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Miller, state representative[73]
Eliminated in primary
- Vennia Francois, policy advisor[74]
- Scott Sturgill, former Seminole County Soil & Water Conservation District Supervisor and state house candidate in 2014[75]
Declined
- Bob Cortes, state representative[76]
- Joel Greenberg, Seminole County Tax Collector[77]
- David Simmons, state senator[78]
Endorsements
U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (FL)[79]
State legislators
- Jason Brodeur, state representative[80]
- Joe Gruters, state representative[81]
- Rene Plasencia, state representative[80]
Local officials
- Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner[80]
- Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner[80]
- John Horan, Seminole County commission chairman[82]
U.S. representatives
- Sandy Adams, former U.S. Representative from Florida's 24th congressional district[83]
- John Boehner, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2011–2015), former U.S. representative from Ohio's 8th congressional district (1991–2015)[84]
Statewide officials
Local officials
- All five members of the Longwood city commission[86]
- Kevin Beary, former Orange County Sheriff[87]
- Dennis Lemma, Seminole County Sheriff[87]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vennia Francois |
Mike Miller |
Scott Sturgill |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[88] | August 20, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 8% | 42% | 26% | 24% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Miller | 30,629 | 53.9 | |
| Republican | Scott Sturgill | 17,253 | 30.4 | |
| Republican | Vennia Francois | 8,950 | 15.8 | |
| Total votes | 56,832 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States 2009–2017; U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; candidate for President in 1988 and in 2008[67]
Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[68]
- Central Florida AFL–CIO[68]
- Florida Education Association[68]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[21]
Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition[89]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[90]
- EMILY's List[59]
- End Citizens United[26]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
Individuals
- Mark Kelly, retired astronaut, engineer, and U.S. Navy Captain[67]
U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (FL)
State legislators
- Jason Brodeur, state representative[80]
- Joe Gruters, state representative
- Rene Plasencia, state representative[80]
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[91]
Local officials
- Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner[80]
- Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner[80]
- John Horan, Seminole County commission chair
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Stephanie Murphy (D) |
Mike Miller (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[92] | August 30, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 183,113 | 57.7 | |
| Republican | Mike Miller | 134,285 | 42.3 | |
| Total votes | 317,398 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Incumbent Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sanjay Patel, management consultant
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 218,112 | 60.5 | |
| Democratic | Sanjay Patel | 142,415 | 39.5 | |
| Total votes | 360,527 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Soto: 60–70% Liebnitzky: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 9th district is located in inland Central Florida including Kissimmee, St. Cloud, and Winter Haven. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[94]
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 36,586 | 66.4 | |
| Democratic | Alan Grayson | 18,528 | 33.6 | |
| Total votes | 55,114 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Wayne Liebnitzky, engineer and nominee for this seat in 2016
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Darren Soto | Wayne Liebnitzky | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 172,172 | 58.0 | |
| Republican | Wayne Liebnitzky | 124,565 | 42.0 | |
| Total votes | 296,737 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 10
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. Incumbent Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic primary
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Candidates
Nominee
- Val Demings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Wade Darius, businessman
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 73,601 | 75.0 | |
| Democratic | Wade Darius | 24,534 | 25.0 | |
| Total votes | 98,135 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
No Republicans filed.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 11
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Webster: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+15.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dana Cottrell, teacher
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 239,395 | 65.2 | |
| Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 128,053 | 34.8 | |
| Independent | Luis Saldana (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 367,506 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Hunter, former federal prosecutor
Eliminated in primary
- Stephen Perenich, tax preparer
- Robert Tager, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2016
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Hunter | 31,761 | 65.3 | |
| Democratic | Stephen Perenich | 9,303 | 19.1 | |
| Democratic | Robert Tager | 7,597 | 15.6 | |
| Total votes | 48,661 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gus Bilirakis (R) |
Christopher Hunter (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[99] | July 28, 2018 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 194,564 | 58.1 | |
| Democratic | Chris Hunter | 132,844 | 39.7 | |
| Independent | Angelika Purkis | 7,510 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 334,918 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) Precinct results Crist: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Buck: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and Saint Petersburg. Incumbent Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- George Buck, educator
Eliminated in primary
- Brad Sostack, navy veteran
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | George Buck | 30,560 | 56.0 | |
| Republican | Brad Sostack | 24,013 | 44.0 | |
| Total votes | 54,573 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 182,717 | 57.6 | |
| Republican | George Buck | 134,254 | 42.4 | |
| Total votes | 316,971 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 14
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.png)
The 14th district is centred around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
No Republicans filed.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements
Labor unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 15
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Spano: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 15th district is located in inland Central Florida and is anchored by Lakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such as Brandon and Riverview. Incumbent Republican Dennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring.[100]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ross Spano, state representative for the 59th District
Eliminated in primary
- Neil Combee, former state representative for the 39th District
- Sean Harper, contractor
- Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive
- Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist
Withdrew
- Loretta "Leah Lax" Miller, former IDF officer[101]
- Curt Rogers
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative[102]
Declined
- Ben Albritton, state representative for the 56th district[102]
- Scott Franklin, Lakeland City Commissioner[103]
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County[102]
- Tom Lee, state senator for the 20th district, former president of the State Senate and nominee for chief financial officer in 2006[102]
- Seth McKeel, former state representative for the 40th district[102][104]
- Kelli Stargel, state senator for the 22nd district[102][103]
Endorsements
State legislators
- Ben Albritton, State Representative from Florida (District 56) 2010–present[105]
- J. D. Alexander, State Senator from Florida (District 17) 2002–2012[106]
- Mike La Rosa, State Representative from Florida (District 42) 2012–present[105]
- John Wood, State Representative from Florida (District 41) 2008–present[105]
Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times[107] (primary only)
U.S. representatives
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative from FL-15 2011–present[102] (endorsed Spano in general election)
Sheriffs
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County 2005–present[108] (endorsed Spano in general election)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Neil Combee |
Sean Harper |
Danny Kushmer |
Ed Shoemaker |
Ross Spano |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[109] | August 24, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 32% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 30% | – | 20% |
| St. Pete Polls[110] | August 11–12, 2018 | 360 | ± 5.2% | 36% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 30% | – | 22% |
| Strategic Government Consulting[111] | August 7–8, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.3% | 31% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 17% | – | 40% |
| SurveyUSA[112] | July 25–30, 2018 | 524 | ± 6.0% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 26% | – | 34% |
| St. Pete Polls[113] | July 8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 32% | 2%[114] | 37% |
| St. Pete Polls[115] | May 25–27, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 29% | 2%[114] | 34% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ross Spano | 26,868 | 44.1 | |
| Republican | Neil Combee | 20,577 | 33.8 | |
| Republican | Sean Harper | 6,013 | 9.9 | |
| Republican | Danny Kushmer | 4,061 | 6.7 | |
| Republican | Ed Shoemaker | 3,377 | 5.5 | |
| Total votes | 60,896 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kristen Carlson, attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Andrew Learned, naval reserve officer
- Ray Pena, retired police officer
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kristen Carlson | 24,470 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic | Andrew P. Learned | 14,488 | 31.6 | |
| Democratic | Raymond "Ray" Peña | 6,895 | 15.0 | |
| Total votes | 45,853 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida 2011–present; candidate for president in 2016[117]
U.S. representatives
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative from FL-15 2011–present[118]
Statewide officials
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida 2011–present[117]
State legislators
- Jake Raburn, State Representative from Florida (District 57) 2012–present[105]
Sheriffs
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County 2005–present[118]
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[58]
- EMILY's List[59]
- End Citizens United[26]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of Oct 17, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Kristen Carlson (D) | $1,306,227 | $1,065,973 | $240,254 |
| Ross Spano (R) | $587,719 | $519,283 | $68,435 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[119] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ross Spano (R) |
Kristen Carlson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[120] | November 5, 2018 | 1,194 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 44% | – | 9% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[121] | October 16–19, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Remington (R)[122] | October 17–18, 2018 | 1,369 | ± 2.64% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| GQR Research (D-Carlson)[123] | October 16–18, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| SurveyUSA[124] | October 9–14, 2018 | 591 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 45% | 3%[a] | 7% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[125] | October 3–4, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Bold Blue Campaigns (D)[126] | September 22–27, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| GQR Research (D-Carlson)[127] | September 4–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tilt R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ross Spano | 151,380 | 53.0 | |
| Democratic | Kristen Carlson | 134,132 | 47.0 | |
| Independent | Dave Johnson (write-in) | 15 | 0.0 | |
| Independent | Jeffrey G. Rabinowitz (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Independent | Alek Bynzar (write-in) | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 285,532 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 16
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Buchanan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 16th district is located in the Suncoast region and includes Bradenton, Sarasota, and some Tampa suburbs such as FishHawk. Incumbent Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 13th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a sixth term with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Florida's 16th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[43]
Candidates
Nominee
- David Shapiro, attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Jan Schneider, attorney
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Shapiro | 34,787 | 54.7 | |
| Democratic | Jan Schneider | 28,811 | 45.3 | |
| Total votes | 63,598 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Vern Buchanan | David Shapiro | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 23, 2018 | WWSB-TV | Alan Cohn | [128] | P | P |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[58]
- End Citizens United[26]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
David Shapiro (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[129] | October 4–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 42% | 5% |
| University of North Florida[130] | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 499 | – | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| St. Pete Polls[131] | October 1, 2018 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
| ALG Research (D-Shapiro)[132] | August 22–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[25] | July 28, 2018 | 681 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 35% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[133] | April 16–17, 2018 | 655 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 197,483 | 54.6 | |
| Democratic | David Shapiro | 164,463 | 45.4 | |
| Total votes | 361,946 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 17
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Steube: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
The 17th district comprises most of the Florida Heartland, including the cities of Sebring and Okeechobee, as well as parts of the Suncoast, such as North Port and Port Charlotte. Incumbent Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 2009 to 2013, retired. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Rooney announced on February 19, 2018, that he will retire from Congress and not seek re-election in 2018.[134][135]
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Steube, state senator for the 23rd district[136]
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Akins, veteran
- Julio Gonzalez, state representative
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Akins |
Julio Gonzalez |
Greg Steube |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R-CFG)[137] | August 8–9, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 5% | 16% | 39% | 40% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Steube | 48,963 | 62.4 | |
| Republican | Bill Akins | 15,133 | 19.3 | |
| Republican | Julio Gonzalez | 14,402 | 18.3 | |
| Total votes | 78,498 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Pollard, respiratory therapist[139]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | April Freeman | 33,376 | 77.0 | |
| Democratic | Bill Pollard | 9,976 | 23.0 | |
| Total votes | 43,352 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Campaign
The Democratic nominee April Freeman died on September 24, 2018, six weeks before the election. Allen Ellison was chosen to be the Democratic nominee.[140]
Endorsements
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Steube | 193,326 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | Allen Ellison | 117,194 | 37.7 | |
| Total votes | 310,520 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 18
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Mast: 50–60% 60–70% Baer: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 18th district is located in the Treasure Coast region and includes Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and the northern Palm Beach suburbs such as Jupiter and Palm Beach Gardens. Incumbent Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dave Cummings, educator
- Mark Freeman, businessman
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Dave Cummings | Mark Freeman | Brian Mast | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 3, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | YouTube (Part 1)[142] YouTube (Part 2) |
P | P | P |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 55,427 | 77.7 | |
| Republican | Mark Freeman | 8,081 | 11.3 | |
| Republican | Dave Cummings | 7,871 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 71,379 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Florida's 18th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
Candidates
Nominee
- Lauren Baer, attorney and former U.S. State Department official[144]
Eliminated in primary
- Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[145]
Declined
- Dave Aronberg, Palm Beach County State Attorney and former state senator[146][144] (endorsed Baer)[147]
- Jonathan Chane, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2016[148] (endorsed Baer)[149]
- Corinna Robinson, retired Army major and nominee for South Dakota's at-large congressional district in 2014[150]
Endorsements
U.S. representatives
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[151][b]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017)[152]
State legislators
- Kevin Rader, state senator[149]
- Matt Willhite, state representative[149]
Local officials
- Jeri Muoio, mayor of West Palm Beach[149]
Individuals
- Rosie O'Donnell, actress[153]
Organizations
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO Florida chapter[156]
- American Federation of Government Employees[157]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees[157]
- American Postal Workers Union[157]
- Amalgamated Transit Union[157]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees[157]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers[157]
- Service Employees International Union[157]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Lauren Baer | Pam Keith | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 3, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | YouTube (Part 1)[160] YouTube (Part 2) |
P | P |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lauren Baer | 34,922 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Pam Keith | 23,007 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 57,929 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[161]
- With Honor Fund[57]
Federal executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States[162]
- John Kerry, former Secretary of State of the United States[163]
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[58]
- EMILY's List[59]
- End Citizens United[26]
- MoveOn[60]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Brian Mast | Lauren Baer | |||||
| 1 | October 15, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | [164] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Mast (R) |
Lauren Baer (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[165] | October 27–29, 2018 | 475 | – | 53% | 44% | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[166] | September 26–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[167] | September 17–19, 2018 | 533 | – | 46% | 43% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Mast (R) |
Democratic challenger (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMGE Insights (R)[168] | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 185,905 | 54.3 | |
| Democratic | Lauren Baer | 156,454 | 45.7 | |
| Total votes | 342,359 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 19
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
 County results Rooney: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
_(cropped).jpg)
The 19th district is located in Southwestern Florida and includes Bonita Springs, Cape Coral, and Naples. Incumbent Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Holden, financial adviser
Eliminated in primary
- Todd James Truax, healthcare administrator
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Holden | 24,390 | 67.9 | |
| Democratic | Todd James Truax | 11,513 | 32.1 | |
| Total votes | 35,903 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Francis Rooney (R) |
David Holden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D-Holden)[170] | September 10–12, 2018 | 468 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Francis Rooney (incumbent) | 211,465 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | David Holden | 128,106 | 37.7 | |
| Independent | Pete Pollard (write-in) | 36 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 339,607 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 20
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 20th district stretches from inland South Florida with many protected areas of the Everglades and Belle Glade to the Miami metro area and includes parts of West Palm Beach & Fort Lauderdale, and Miramar. Incumbent Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 23rd district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 80% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+31.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, healthcare executive
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 50,315 | 73.6 | |
| Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 18,031 | 26.4 | |
| Total votes | 68,346 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 202,659 | 99.9 | |
| Independent | Jay Bonner (write-in) | 165 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 202,824 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 21
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 21st district is located in the Miami metro area and includes the West Palm Beach suburbs, such as Greenacres and Wellington, as well as Boynton Beach and Delray Beach. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a third term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
Incumbent Lois Frankel ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Frankel was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 22
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 22nd district is located in the Miami metro area and includes Boca Raton and Parkland, the site of the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting. Also, this district includes significant portions of Fort Lauderdale and Pompano Beach. Incumbent Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 19th district from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Jeff Fandl, businessman
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 52,628 | 86.5 | |
| Democratic | Jeff Fandl | 8,207 | 13.5 | |
| Total votes | 60,835 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nicolas Kimaz, businessman
Eliminated in primary
- Javier Manjarres, blogger
- Eddison Walters, real estate investor
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nicolas Kimaz | 13,939 | 41.0 | |
| Republican | Javier Manjarres | 11,552 | 33.9 | |
| Republican | Eddison Walters | 8,545 | 25.1 | |
| Total votes | 34,036 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 184,634 | 62.0 | |
| Republican | Nicolas Kimaz | 113,049 | 38.0 | |
| Total votes | 297,683 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 23
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Schultz: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
The 23rd district is located in the Miami metro area, including Plantation, Sunrise, and Weston. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a seventh term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Carlos Reyes, lawyer
- Carla Spalding, navy veteran, nurse and Independent candidate for the 18th district in 2016
Endorsements
Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 11,304 | 44.7 | |
| Republican | Carlos Reyes | 8,508 | 33.7 | |
| Republican | Carla Spalding | 5,453 | 21.6 | |
| Total votes | 25,265 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Tim Canova, who lost in the 2016 primary to Wasserman Schultz by a 57% to 43% margin, ran as an independent in the 2018 general election.[172][173] Don Endriss also ran as an independent candidate.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Labor unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 161,611 | 58.5 | |
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 99,446 | 36.0 | |
| Independent | Tim Canova | 13,697 | 5.0 | |
| Independent | Don Endriss | 1,612 | 0.6 | |
| Total votes | 276,366 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 24
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 24th district includes parts of Miami and its northern suburbs such as North Miami Beach and Miami Gardens. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+34.
Democratic primary
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Candidates
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ricardo de la Fuente, entrepreneur
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 65,894 | 83.7 | |
| Democratic | Ricardo de la Fuente | 12,833 | 16.3 | |
| Total votes | 78,727 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Louis E. Sola, U.S. Army veteran[174]
General election
Both candidates were removed from the ballot which was cited for the recount in the Florida gubernatorial and United States Senate elections.[175][176]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
Incumbent Frederica Wilson won unopposed in the general election
Endorsements
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 25
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Diaz-Balart: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such as Hialeah and Miami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs of Golden Gate and Immokalee. The district also extends upward into the Florida Heartland including Clewiston and LaBelle. Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to an eighth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Florida's 25th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
Candidates
Nominee
- Mary Barzee Flores, attorney and former Eleventh Judicial Circuit Court of Florida Judge[178]
Withdrawn
- Annisa Karim, Lee County Department of Parks & Recreation manager (endorsed Flores)[179]
- Alina Valdes, doctor and nominee for this seat in 2016 (endorsed Flores)[180]
Endorsements
Organizations
- EMILY's List[181][182]
- League of Conservation Voters[183]
- Progressive Democrats of America[184]
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[58]
- EMILY's List[59]
- End Citizens United[26]
- MoveOn[60]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) |
Mary Barzee-Flores (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[185] | September 17–19, 2018 | 541 | – | 41% | 36% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[186] | May 21–23, 2018 | 670 | – | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | 128,672 | 60.4 | |
| Democratic | Mary Barzee Flores | 84,173 | 39.6 | |
| Total votes | 212,845 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 26
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.svg) Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% Curbelo: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
The 26th district is centered on the Miami suburb of Homestead, includes most of the Everglades National Park, and extends downward into the Florida Keys, including Key West and Marathon. Incumbent Republican Carlos Curbelo, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carlos Curbelo, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Souraya Faas, television personality
Endorsements
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Carlos Curbelo (incumbent) | 29,506 | 84.0 | |
| Republican | Souraya Faas | 5,629 | 16.0 | |
| Total votes | 35,135 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Florida's 26th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, businesswoman and nominee for the 23rd Senate district in 2016[188]
Eliminated in primary
- Demetries Grimes, U.S. Navy veteran
Declined
- Steve Smith, businessman[189]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 20,997 | 63.5 | |
| Democratic | Demetries Grimes | 12,095 | 36.5 | |
| Total votes | 33,092 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Carlos Curbelo | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WPLG-TV | [190] | P | P | |
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[161]
Labor unions
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carlos Curbelo (R) |
Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[191] | October 19–24, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[192] | October 3–9, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| GBA Strategies (D)[193] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 50% | – |
| GQR Research (D-Mucarsel-Powell)[194] | September 23–27, 2018 | 511 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 49% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[195] | September 17–19, 2018 | 511 | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[196] | September 13–17, 2018 | 509 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| GBA Strategies (D)[197] | July 16–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | – |
| DCCC (D)[198] | March 17–22, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carlos Curbelo (R) |
Democratic opponent (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[199] | November 8–9, 2017 | 522 | ± 4.3% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Results
Mucarsel-Powell defeated Curbelo, becoming the first Ecuadorian American and first South American-born immigrant to serve as a member of the U.S. Congress.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 119,797 | 50.9 | |
| Republican | Carlos Curbelo (incumbent) | 115,678 | 49.1 | |
| Total votes | 235,475 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 27
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Shalala: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 27th district is located in the Miami metro area, including Coral Gables, Kendall, Miami Beach, and portions of Miami. Incumbent Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1989 to 2013, retired from office in 2018.[200] She was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist[201]
Eliminated in primary
- Elizabeth Adadi, U.S. Army veteran
- Bruno Barreiro, Miami-Dade County Commissioner[202]
- Angie Chirino, songwriter (daughter of Cuban-American musician Willy Chirino)[203]
- Mike Ohevzion, businessman
- Maria Peiro, educator and candidate for this district in 2016[202]
- Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera, former Doral City Councilwoman[204]
- Gina Sosa, filmmaker
Withdrawn
- Stephen Marks, political consultant (endorsed Donna Shalala, remained on ballot)[205]
- Raquel Regalado, former Miami-Dade School Board member and candidate for Mayor of Miami-Dade County in 2016[206][207]
Declined
- Jeb Bush Jr., son of former governor Jeb Bush[208]
- Carlos Curbelo, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 26th district[209]
- Miguel Díaz de la Portilla, former state senator[206]
- José Félix Díaz, state representative[206]
- Art Estopinan, former chief of staff to U.S. Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen[208]
- Anitere Flores, state senator[206][207][210]
- René García, state senator[206][211]
- Carlos López-Cantera, Lieutenant Governor of Florida and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[206][207][208][212]
- Ed MacDougall, former mayor of Cutler Bay and candidate for this seat in 2014[213]
- Jeanette Núñez, state representative[207]
- Juan C. Zapata, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner[206]
Endorsements
Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bruno Barreiro |
Maria Elvira Salazar |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)[214] | August 14–16, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 16% | 40% | 17%[215] | 27% |
| Magellan Strategies (R-Barreiro)[216] | June 11–12, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 10% | 24% | 0%[217] | 67% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 15,812 | 40.5 | |
| Republican | Bruno Barreiro | 10,026 | 25.7 | |
| Republican | Maria Peiro | 3,120 | 8.0 | |
| Republican | Stephen Marks | 2,733 | 7.0 | |
| Republican | Angie Chirino | 2,677 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera | 1,684 | 4.3 | |
| Republican | Mike Ohevzion | 1,467 | 3.8 | |
| Republican | Elizabeth Adadi | 775 | 2.0 | |
| Republican | Gina Sosa | 760 | 1.9 | |
| Total votes | 39,054 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Florida's 27th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
Candidates
Nominee
- Donna Shalala, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services and former president of the University of Miami[218]
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Haggman, Miami program director of the Knight Foundation and former Miami Herald reporter[219]
- Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser and candidate for state house in 2010 and 2014[220]
- David Richardson, state representative[221]
- Kristen Rosen Gonzalez, Miami Beach city commissioner[222][223]
Withdrawn
- Mary Barzee Flores, attorney and former Eleventh Judicial Circuit Court of Florida judge (running for FL-25)[224]
- Scott Fuhrman, businessman and candidate for Congress in 2016[225]
- José Javier Rodríguez, state senator[226]
- Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner[227]
Declined
- Alberto Carvalho, Miami-Dade County Public Schools Superintendent[228][229]
- Francisco Cerezo, attorney[230]
- Manny Diaz, former mayor of Miami[206]
- Cindy Lerner, former mayor of Pinecrest and former state representative[206]
- Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach[206]
- Daniella Levine Cava, Miami-Dade County Commissioner[206]
- Jimmy Morales, Miami Beach City Manager[206]
- Mark Person[206]
- Marc Sarnoff, former Miami City Commissioner[206]
Endorsements
Organizations
Individuals
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, educator, community organizer, and political activist of Puerto Rican ancestry; nominee for NY-14 in 2018[233]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Haggman |
Michael Hepburn |
David Richardson |
Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez |
Donna Shalala |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)[234] | August 10–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 2% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 25% |
| Frederick Polls (D-Richardson)[235] | August 6–7, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 7% | 32% | 28% |
| RABA Research (D-Haggman)[236] | August 2–5, 2018 | 433 | ± 4.7% | 16% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 26% | 27% |
| Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)[237] | June 2–8, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 43% | 26% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donna Shalala | 14,153 | 31.9 | |
| Democratic | David Richardson | 12,191 | 27.5 | |
| Democratic | Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez | 7,783 | 17.5 | |
| Democratic | Matt Haggman | 7,510 | 16.9 | |
| Democratic | Michael Hepburn | 2,723 | 6.1 | |
| Total votes | 44,360 | 100.0 | ||
Independent campaign of Mayra Joli
Mayra Joli, a Dominican-American immigration attorney and former beauty pageant contestant,[238][239] ran as a pro-Donald Trump independent candidate.[240]
Joli later, in 2020, would attract brief national attention in 2020 after sitting in the crowd behind Trump and showing animated enthusiasm during a 2020 presidential election town hall event on NBC which attendees were advertised to be undecided voters.[238][240] She attempted to run for mayor of Miami in 2021, but was disqualified due to her primary residence being located outside of the city.[241]
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- BIPAC[242]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[91]
Labor unions
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maria Elvira Salazar (R) |
Donna Shalala (D) |
Mayra Joli (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D)[243] | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | – | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[244] | October 15–19, 2018 | 542 | ± 5.0% | 37% | 44% | 4% | 15% |
| ALG Research (D-Shalala)[245] | October 11–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 44% | – | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)[246] | October 11–14, 2018 | 400 | – | 50% | 41% | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[247] | October 1–6, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 1% | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)[248] | September 10–13, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)[249] | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 8% | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[250] | February 12–14, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 39% | 54% | – | 7% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donna Shalala | 130,743 | 51.8 | |
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 115,588 | 45.8 | |
| Independent | Mayra Joli | 6,255 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 252,586 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||