2006 Catalan regional election

A regional election was held in Catalonia on 1 November 2006 to elect the 8th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 135 seats in the Parliament were up for election. Unlike other occasions, the election was held on a public holiday during the workweek, All Saints' Day.^[1]^[2]

Registered5,321,274

0.3%

Turnout2,982,108 (56.0%)

6.5 pp

Quick facts All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia 68 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

2006 Catalan regional election

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1 November 2006

2010 →

All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia
68 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls

Registered

5,321,274

0.3%

Turnout

2,982,108 (56.0%)

6.5 pp

	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Artur Mas	José Montilla	Josep-Lluís Carod-Rovira
Party	CiU	PSC–CpC	ERC
Leader since	7 January 2002	15 July 2006	25 November 1996
Leader's seat	Barcelona	Barcelona	Barcelona
Last election	46 seats, 30.9%	42 seats, 31.2%	23 seats, 16.4%
Seats won	48	37	21
Seat change	2	5	2
Popular vote	935,756	796,173	416,355
Percentage	31.5%	26.8%	14.0%
Swing	0.6 pp	4.4 pp	2.4 pp

	Fourth party	Fifth party	Sixth party

Leader	Josep Piqué	Joan Saura	Albert Rivera
Party	PP	ICV–EUiA	C's
Leader since	4 September 2003	26 November 2000	9 July 2006
Leader's seat	Barcelona	Barcelona	Barcelona
Last election	15 seats, 11.9%	9 seats, 7.3%	Did not contest
Seats won	14	12	3
Seat change	1	3	3
Popular vote	316,222	282,693	89,840
Percentage	10.7%	9.5%	3.0%
Swing	1.2 pp	2.2 pp	New party

President before election

Pasqual Maragall
PSC

President after election

José Montilla
PSC

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The Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC), Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left (ICV–EUiA) had formed a coalition government in 2003 under Pasqual Maragall as Catalan president, in the first left-from-centre cabinet in Catalonia since the Spanish transition to democracy, colloquially dubbed as the "three-party" or "tripartite" alliance (Catalan: tripartit). Maragall oversaw the drafting of a new statute of autonomy for Catalonia, which aimed at further expanding the authority of the regional institutions, but negotiations between the national government of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)—the PSC's sister party—and the Catalan nationalist Convergence and Union (CiU) and ERC were uneasy. ERC left the coalition in May 2006 over disagreements on the final statutory draft approved by the Spanish parliament, thus leaving Maragall in minority. Following the statute being ratified in a referendum on 18 June 2006,^[3]^[4] Maragall announced a snap election for 1 November and his decision not to run for a second term in office.^[5]^[6]^[7]

The election saw the first undisputed win for Artur Mas's CiU since 1995, which in 1999 and 2003 had narrowly lost the popular vote to the PSC. However, the left-wing bloc formed by the latter—running under the former industry minister of Spain, José Montilla—together with ERC and ICV–EUiA, was able to secure a reduced but still working majority. The People's Party (PP) under Josep Piqué held its ground with a similar result as previous, but remained irrelevant in the government formation process. Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's), a new party formed under young lawyer Albert Rivera in opposition to Catalan nationalism and statutory reform, gained parliamentary representation by being able to clear the electoral threshold in the constituency of Barcelona.

Overview

Under the 2006 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of Catalonia was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.^[8] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.^[9]

Date

The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election was required to be called no later than 15 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament, with election day taking place between 40 and 60 days from the call.^[10] The previous election was held on 16 November 2003, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 16 November 2007. The election was required to be called no later than 1 November 2007, setting the latest possible date for election day on 31 December 2007.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one under this procedure.^[11] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[12]

The Parliament of Catalonia was officially dissolved on 8 September 2006 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia (DOGC), setting election day for 1 November.^[13]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Catalonia and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.^[14]

The Parliament of Catalonia had a minimum of 100 and a maximum of 150 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 135. All were elected in four multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, each of which was assigned a fixed number of seats—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.^[15] The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.^[16]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:^[17]

More information Seats, Constituencies ...

Seats	Constituencies
85	Barcelona
18	Tarragona
17	Girona
15	Lleida

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The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.^[18]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.^[19]^[20]^[21]^[22]

More information Groups, Parties ...

Parliamentary composition in September 2006
Groups		Parties		Legislators
Groups		Parties		Seats	Total
	Convergence and Union's Parliamentary Group		CDC	33	46
	Convergence and Union's Parliamentary Group		UDC	13	46
	Socialists–Citizens for Change Parliamentary Group		PSC	32	42
	Socialists–Citizens for Change Parliamentary Group		CpC	10	42
	Republican Left of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group		ERC	23	23
	People's Party of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group		PP	15	15
	Initiative for Catalonia Greens–Alternative Left's Parliamentary Group		ICV	8	9
			EUiA	1	9

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Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.^[23]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Vote %	Seats	Gov.	Ref.
	CiU	List Convergence and Union (CiU) – Democratic Convergence of Catalonia (CDC) – Democratic Union of Catalonia (UDC)		Artur Mas	Catalan nationalism Centrism	30.9%	46		^[24] ^[25] ^[26]
	PSC–CpC	List Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) Citizens for Change (CpC)		José Montilla	Social democracy	31.2%	42		^[27] ^[28] ^[29]
	ERC	List Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC)		Josep-Lluís Carod-Rovira	Catalan independence Left-wing nationalism Social democracy	16.4%	23		^[30] ^[31] ^[32]
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Josep Piqué	Conservatism Christian democracy	11.9%	15		^[33] ^[34]
	ICV–EUiA	List Initiative for Catalonia Greens (ICV) United and Alternative Left (EUiA) – Party of the Communists of Catalonia (PCC) – Living Unified Socialist Party of Catalonia (PSUC viu) – Revolutionary Workers' Party (POR)		Joan Saura	Regionalism Eco-socialism Green politics	7.3%	9		^[35] ^[36]
	C's	List Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)		Albert Rivera	Social liberalism	Did not contest			^[37]

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Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 16 November 2003 to 1 November 2006, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.

Color key:

Exit poll

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead

2006 regional election	1 Nov 2006	N/a	56.0	26.8 37	31.5 48	14.0 21	10.7 14	9.5 12	3.0 3	4.7

Ipsos–Eco/CCRTV^{[p 1]}^{[p 2]}	1 Nov 2006	30,000	57.7	26.7 37/40	31.5 45/48	15.2 21/24	10.0 13/15	9.0 10/12	2.7 0/2	4.8
CiU^{[p 3]}	1 Nov 2006	?	?	? 37/39	? 46/48	? 23/24	? 11/12	? 12/13	? 0/3	?
TNS Demoscopia/ADN^{[p 4]}	25 Oct 2006	?	?	? 39/40	? 48/49	? 20/21	? 14/15	? 12	–	?
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 5]}^{[p 6]}	23–24 Oct 2006	1,200	?	30.0 42/43	30.5 43/47	13.0 19/22	10.0 13/14	10.0 13/14	–	0.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 7]}	19–23 Oct 2006	1,000	?	28.4 38/40	34.0 50/52	12.5 17/19	10.2 13	10.9 13/15	–	5.6
Infortécnica^{[p 8]}	22 Oct 2006	2,000	?	? 39/40	? 56/58	? 16/17	? 13/14	? 8/10	–	?
Opina/El País^{[p 8]}^{[p 9]}	22 Oct 2006	1,500	?	30.0 42/43	30.0 45	13.0 20	10.5 14	10.5 13/14	–	Tie
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 10]}	19–21 Oct 2006	1,000	?	29.0 39/41	32.0 47/49	13.2 19/20	11.3 14/15	10.5 12/13	–	3.0
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 11]}	18–20 Oct 2006	1,000	52.7	25.9 35/37	35.5 52/54	14.9 20/21	11.9 14/15	9.8 10/13	–	9.6
Iberconsulta/La Razón^{[p 8]}^{[p 12]}	17–19 Oct 2006	1,200	61.6	29.9 40/41	33.5 47/49	14.8 20/22	12.1 14/15	8.4 10/11	–	5.6
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 8]}^{[p 13]}^{[p 14]}	16 Oct 2006	1,000	?	31.5 43	29.3 43	15.5 23/24	10.7 13/14	9.0 12	–	2.2
DEP/Actual^{[p 8]}^{[p 15]}	5–16 Oct 2006	1,237	?	29.3 38/39	31.8 49/50	14.6 20/21	12.1 15	8.7 10/11	–	2.5
CIS^{[p 16]}^{[p 17]}^{[p 18]}	2–15 Oct 2006	1,986	?	27.8 39	33.7 50/52	14.8 21	10.2 13/14	8.9 10/11	–	5.9
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 19]}	10–13 Oct 2006	1,000	54.4	27.4 37	35.9 53/54	15.0 20	10.1 13/14	9.1 11	–	8.5
Celeste-Tel/Terra^{[p 20]}	10 Oct 2006	?	61.9	30.5 41/42	34.0 47/49	13.8 19/20	11.6 15	8.1 11	–	3.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 21]}^{[p 22]}	6–9 Oct 2006	800	?	30.5 42/43	32.8 49/52	13.7 19/21	11.0 14/15	6.9 8	2.3 0	2.3
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 23]}	5–9 Oct 2006	1,000	?	29.0 38/40	35.5 52/54	12.1 16/18	10.5 13	10.4 12/13	–	6.5
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 24]}	5–7 Oct 2006	1,000	?	29.9 40/41	34.9 52/53	12.4 18/19	10.1 12/13	9.1 10/11	–	5.0
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 25]}^{[p 26]}	3–6 Oct 2006	1,000	55.7	27.0 37	35.4 52	15.0 20/21	10.4 13/14	9.5 12/13	–	8.4
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3^{[p 27]}	2–3 Oct 2006	1,200	59.2	29.1 40/41	32.1 47/48	14.9 20/22	11.6 14/15	8.8 10/12	–	3.0
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 28]}^{[p 29]}	2 Oct 2006	?	?	27.8 38	35.9 52	14.7 20	9.6 12	9.6 13	–	8.1
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 30]}	20–22 Sep 2006	1,000	53.9	27.7 37	36.4 53	14.6 20	9.5 12	9.6 13	–	8.7
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 31]}	18–21 Sep 2006	1,000	?	29.3 40	33.4 50/51	13.8 19/20	10.4 13	9.5 12	–	4.1
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 32]}	14–16 Sep 2006	800	?	29.5 40/41	34.5 51/52	13.3 19/20	10.5 13/14	9.0 10/11	–	5.0
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 33]}	12–15 Sep 2006	1,000	54.1	27.6 37	36.6 53	14.8 21	9.3 12	9.5 12	–	9.0
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 34]}	13 Sep 2006	?	?	27.7 37	36.4 52	14.8 21	9.2 12	9.6 13	–	8.7
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 35]}	17–19 Jul 2006	800	?	32.4 44	34.2 51	12.3 17	10.2 13	8.3 10	–	1.8
Opina/El País^{[p 36]}^{[p 37]}	7–8 Jun 2006	1,000	?	33.5 46	30.5 45	15.0 22	10.5 12	7.5 10	–	3.0
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 38]}	6–7 Jun 2006	600	?	31.0	35.0	13.0	10.5	7.0	–	4.0
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 39]}^{[p 40]}	30 May 2006	1,000	?	33.8 48	31.2 46	13.1 20	9.8 12	8.9 9	–	2.6
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 41]}	15–16 May 2006	600	?	32.0	32.0	15.0	10.0	8.0	–	Tie
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 42]}	17–19 Apr 2006	800	?	31.0 42	32.0 48/49	16.0 22/23	10.3 13	7.4 8/9	–	1.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 43]}	27–30 Mar 2006	850	?	35.0 47/48	31.1 45/46	16.5 22/23	8.4 10/11	6.6 8/9	–	3.9
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 44]}	2–4 Feb 2006	800	?	30.7	31.5	14.8	12.9	7.5	–	0.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 45]}	12–15 Dec 2005	850	?	31.7 42/44	32.8 47/48	16.3 23/24	9.6 11/13	8.9 10	–	1.1
CiU^{[p 46]}	3 Dec 2005	?	?	? 40	? 48	? 22	? 15	? 10	–	?
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 47]}	7–11 Nov 2005	400	?	33.2 46	27.3 39/40	16.7 23/24	13.7 17/18	7.1 8/9	–	5.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 48]}	3–6 Oct 2005	1,000	?	32.5 44	29.2 43	16.0 23	12.7 15	8.9 10	–	3.3
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 49]}	3–5 Oct 2005	800	?	32.0	32.0	15.3	10.8	7.5	–	Tie
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 50]}	18–21 Jul 2005	1,000	?	33.5 46	28.9 41	16.3 22	12.9 18	7.2 8	–	4.6
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 51]}	30 Jun–3 Jul 2005	800	?	31.5	31.5	15.5	11.3	7.5	–	Tie
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 52]}	20–22 Apr 2005	805	?	30.3	30.3	16.2	12.6	7.8	–	Tie
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 53]}	7–10 Mar 2005	850	?	34.2 45/47	29.2 43/44	15.0 21/22	10.8 14	9.3 10/11	–	5.0
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 54]}	16–18 Jan 2005	800	?	34.7	31.6	13.9	10.4	7.0	–	3.1
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 55]}	10–12 Nov 2004	850	?	32.4 44	28.9 43	16.8 23	10.8 14	9.6 11	–	3.5
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 56]}	28–29 Sep 2004	802	?	33.5	30.7	15.2	11.5	6.7	–	2.8
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 57]}	30 Jun–1 Jul 2004	800	?	34.0	30.5	15.7	9.8	7.5	–	3.5
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	N/a	39.8	42.9 (60)	17.4 (25)	11.8 (17)	17.8 (24)	7.2 (9)	–	25.1
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 58]}	14–15 Apr 2004	801	?	33.0	32.0	16.4	9.9	6.1	–	1.0
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	N/a	76.0	39.5 (55)	20.8 (31)	15.9 (23)	15.6 (21)	5.8 (5)	–	18.7

2003 regional election	16 Nov 2003	N/a	62.5	31.2 42	30.9 46	16.4 23	11.9 15	7.3 9	–	0.3

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Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						?	N	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						?	N	Lead

2006 regional election^[a]	1 Nov 2006	N/a	15.2	17.8	7.9	6.0	5.4	N/a	43.2	2.6

GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 10]}	19–21 Oct 2006	1,000	24.7	23.6	11.4	4.1	8.2	17.7	4.4	1.1
CIS^{[p 16]}	2–15 Oct 2006	1,986	21.9	21.6	11.4	4.6	5.0	18.0	12.6	0.3
DYM/CEO^{[p 59]}	26 Sep–9 Oct 2006	2,100	19.6	21.4	11.4	4.3	7.6	23.0	7.6	1.8
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 24]}	5–7 Oct 2006	1,000	25.0	26.5	11.9	4.1	7.2	15.3	4.7	1.5
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 32]}	14–16 Sep 2006	800	27.8	25.3	12.4	4.6	7.3	22.7		2.5
DYM/CEO^{[p 60]}	26 Jun–10 Jul 2006	2,100	21.8	20.2	12.9	4.3	6.9	23.4	6.7	1.6
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 38]}	6–7 Jun 2006	600	27.2	21.0	11.8	4.5	5.8	28.6		6.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 41]}	15–16 May 2006	600	31.0	21.8	12.2	5.5	7.2	21.9		9.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 42]}	17–19 Apr 2006	800	28.6	25.5	15.5	4.9	6.1	18.6		3.1
DYM/CEO^{[p 61]}	6–20 Mar 2006	2,100	18.6	22.5	14.1	4.4	6.1	21.1	9.0	3.9
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 44]}	2–4 Feb 2006	800	28.8	23.9	13.5	7.4	6.0	20.3		4.9
Opina/CEO^{[p 62]}	14–18 Nov 2005	1,900	20.6	20.8	12.3	4.9	6.0	22.8	9.2	0.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 49]}	3–5 Oct 2005	800	31.5	22.3	15.0	6.1	5.7	19.2		9.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 51]}	30 Jun–3 Jul 2005	800	29.3	21.8	15.8	6.4	5.9	20.4		7.5
Opina/CEO^{[p 63]}^{[p 64]}	6–11 Jun 2005	1,900	21.2	16.8	13.3	4.2	8.4	21.2	10.7	4.4
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 52]}	20–22 Apr 2005	805	29.2	22.0	15.5	7.2	6.8	13.9	7.0	7.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 54]}	16–18 Jan 2005	800	34.4	20.3	11.9	6.1	6.8	13.3	6.1	14.1
Idescat/CEO^{[p 65]}	19 Oct–2 Nov 2004	1,824	25.5	16.1	13.4	4.2	7.0	25.4	6.2	9.4
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 56]}	28–29 Sep 2004	802	34.7	18.6	14.1	7.5	6.1	10.8	6.1	16.1
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 57]}	30 Jun–1 Jul 2004	800	35.5	17.0	14.0	4.8	6.0	11.2	4.9	18.5
2004 EP election^[a]	13 Jun 2004	N/a	17.2	7.0	4.7	7.2	2.9	N/a	59.7	10.0
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 58]}	14–15 Apr 2004	801	32.1	24.5	15.5	4.7	6.0	11.2	4.9	7.6
2004 general election^[a]	14 Mar 2004	N/a	30.3	15.9	12.2	11.9	4.5	N/a	23.0	14.4

2003 regional election^[a]	16 Nov 2003	N/a	19.7	19.6	10.4	7.5	4.6	N/a	36.6	0.1

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Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	23–24 Oct 2006	1,200	28.3	26.6	11.2	6.0	6.2	6.7	15.0	1.7
Opina/El País^{[p 66]}	22 Oct 2006	1,500	29.6	30.1	–	–	–	40.3		0.5
CIS^{[p 16]}	2–15 Oct 2006	1,986	27.6	27.1	13.2	4.5	6.2	1.3	20.1	0.5
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	11 Oct 2006	?	28.4	30.7	11.5	4.8	6.3	7.2	11.3	2.3
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 67]}	5–9 Oct 2006	1,000	29.0	33.0	11.0	6.0	8.0	13.0		4.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 68]}	18–21 Sep 2006	1,000	34.0	27.0	13.0	6.0	7.0	13.0		7.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 68]}	17–19 Jul 2006	800	41.0	27.0	12.0	6.0	6.0	8.0		14.0
Opina/El País^{[p 37]}	7–8 Jun 2006	1,000	32.8	25.2	10.8	5.2	4.7	1.9	19.5	7.6
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 40]}	30 May 2006	1,000	29.3	26.2	9.6	7.1	4.9	1.2	21.7	3.1

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Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	23–24 Oct 2006	1,200	23.5	51.4	1.8	0.7	0.1	–	22.6	11.5
CIS^{[p 16]}	2–15 Oct 2006	1,986	30.1	41.6	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.1	25.5	11.5
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	11 Oct 2006	?	26.6	48.8	2.7	1.5	0.4	–	20.1	22.2
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 67]}	5–9 Oct 2006	1,000	32.0	46.0	2.0	2.0	–	18.0		14.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 68]}	18–21 Sep 2006	1,000	35.0	38.0	1.0	3.0	–	23.0		3.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 68]}	17–19 Jul 2006	800	41.0	37.0	1.0	2.0	1.0	18.0		4.0
Opina/El País^{[p 37]}	7–8 Jun 2006	1,000	36.6	33.2	2.0	1.5	1.5	0.4	24.7	3.4
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 40]}	30 May 2006	1,000	30.6	35.9	2.1	3.3	0.3	0.3	27.7	5.3

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Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Catalonia.

All candidates

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Maragall PSC	Montilla PSC	Mas CiU	Carod ERC	Piqué PP	Saura ICV–EUiA
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	23–24 Oct 2006	1,200	–	27.2	27.4	10.8	5.9	5.2	8.5	15.0	0.2
Opina/El País^{[p 66]}	22 Oct 2006	1,500	–	28.6	30.8	–	–	–	40.6		2.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 69]}	19–21 Oct 2006	1,000	–	23.8	25.1	9.1	0.9	5.6	10.1	25.4	1.3
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 13]}^{[p 14]}	16 Oct 2006	1,000	–	26.9	31.2	–	–	–	41.9		4.3
CIS^{[p 16]}	2–15 Oct 2006	1,986	–	20.2	28.3	12.5	4.9	6.8	5.5	21.7	8.1
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	11 Oct 2006	?	–	26.9	31.2	9.0	5.3	4.6	9.0	14.0	4.3
Celeste-Tel/Terra^{[p 20]}	10 Oct 2006	?	–	26.7	27.5	8.2	7.2	3.4	27.0		0.8
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 70]}^{[p 71]}	5–7 Oct 2006	1,000	–	22.6	29.7	8.4	0.4	5.6	12.8	20.5	7.1
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 70]}	14–16 Sep 2006	800	–	19.9	29.6	8.9	1.3	6.3	10.4	23.6	9.7
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 72]}^{[p 73]}	15–16 May 2006	600	31.7	–	24.8	10.5	6.2	6.2	20.6		6.9
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 72]}	17–19 Apr 2006	800	29.8	–	25.6	12.8	7.8	7.5	16.5		4.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 74]}	2–4 Feb 2006	800	32.4	–	27.1	10.1	7.3	6.0	17.1		5.3
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 74]}	3–5 Oct 2005	800	35.0	–	24.2	12.4	7.0	6.6	14.8		10.8
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 75]}	30 Jun–3 Jul 2005	800	32.3	–	22.5	10.9	7.8	8.5	18.0		9.8
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 76]}	20–22 Apr 2005	805	32.8	–	20.4	14.5	7.6	6.7	18.0		12.4
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 77]}	16–18 Jan 2005	800	41.5	–	19.6	10.8	7.4	6.6	8.5	5.8	21.9
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 78]}	28–29 Sep 2004	802	39.0	–	19.8	14.0	7.5	6.2	12.4	1.0	19.2
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 79]}	30 Jun–1 Jul 2004	800	39.8	–	15.9	13.0	6.3	5.5	17.2	2.5	23.9
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 79]}	14–15 Apr 2004	801	40.2	–	20.7	13.6	6.2	4.2	15.1		19.5

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Montilla vs. Mas

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Montilla PSC	Mas CiU
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 69]}	19–21 Oct 2006	1,000	37.6	44.1	18.3		6.5
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 11]}	18–20 Oct 2006	1,000	33.5	46.3	13.4	6.8	12.8
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 19]}	10–13 Oct 2006	1,000	36.0	45.6	11.6	6.8	9.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 67]}	5–9 Oct 2006	1,000	34.0	50.0	10.0	6.0	16.0
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 69]}	5–7 Oct 2006	1,000	36.1	45.6	18.3		9.5
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 25]}	3–6 Oct 2006	1,000	38.8	44.7	9.9	6.5	5.9
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 30]}	20–22 Sep 2006	1,000	35.7	44.9	10.5	8.8	9.2
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 80]}	14–16 Sep 2006	800	33.6	48.3	18.1		14.7
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 68]}	18–21 Sep 2006	1,000	36.0	43.0	12.0	9.0	7.0
Feedback/RAC 1^{[p 33]}	12–15 Sep 2006	1,000	33.6	47.7	10.9	7.8	14.1
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 81]}	17–19 Jul 2006	800	36.0	39.0	16.0	9.0	3.0

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Maragall vs. Mas

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	Lead

			Maragall PSC	Mas CiU
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 74]}	2–4 Feb 2006	800	49.9	39.1	11.0	10.8
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 74]}	3–5 Oct 2005	800	53.8	34.5	11.7	19.3
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 75]}	30 Jun–3 Jul 2005	800	52.9	35.4	11.7	17.5
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 76]}	20–22 Apr 2005	805	53.5	33.0	13.5	20.5
GESOP/El Periódico^{[p 77]}	16–18 Jan 2005	800	59.4	31.1	9.5	28.3
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 78]}	28–29 Sep 2004	802	59.6	28.7	11.7	30.9
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 79]}	30 Jun–1 Jul 2004	800	59.9	26.4	13.7	33.5
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 79]}	14–15 Apr 2004	801	58.3	32.0	9.7	26.3
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 79]}	Jan 2004	?	52.7	34.2	13.1	18.5

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Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Montilla PSC	Mas CiU	Carod ERC	Piqué PP	Saura ICV–EUiA
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	23–24 Oct 2006	1,200	21.6	49.4	0.7	1.0	0.0	2.1	25.0	27.8
Opina/El País^{[p 66]}	22 Oct 2006	1,500	23.7	48.9	–	–	–	27.4		25.2
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 13]}^{[p 14]}	16 Oct 2006	1,000	23.3	48.8	–	–	–	27.9		25.5
Opina/Cadena SER^{[p 6]}	11 Oct 2006	?	23.3	48.5	1.6	1.0	0.4	3.2	22.1	25.2
Noxa/La Vanguardia^{[p 81]}	17–19 Jul 2006	800	35.0	53.0	–	–	–	1.0	11.0	18.0

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Voter turnout

The table below shows registered voter turnout during the election. Figures for election day do not include non-resident citizens, while final figures do.

More information Province, Time (Election day) ...

Province	Time (Election day)									Final
	13:00			18:00			20:00			Final
	2003	2006	+/–	2003	2006	+/–	2003	2006	+/–	2003	2006	+/–
Barcelona	26.00%	25.58%	−0.42	50.79%	45.25%	−5.54	62.94%	56.69%	−6.25	62.10%	55.94%	−6.16
Girona	29.23%	27.32%	−1.91	54.76%	47.69%	−7.07	65.95%	57.67%	−8.28	65.27%	57.13%	−8.14
Lleida	25.45%	24.26%	−1.19	52.78%	47.08%	−5.70	66.97%	60.30%	−6.67	65.47%	59.00%	−6.47
Tarragona	26.21%	23.87%	−2.34	49.92%	42.53%	−7.39	62.33%	54.64%	−7.69	61.67%	54.13%	−7.54
Total	26.27%	25.49%	−0.78	51.17%	45.30%	−5.87	63.38%	56.78%	−6.60	62.54%	56.04%	−6.50

Sources^[38]^[39]

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Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...

← Summary of the 1 November 2006 Parliament of Catalonia election results →
Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats

Parties and alliances		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Convergence and Union (CiU)	935,756	31.52	+0.58	48	+2
	Socialists' Party of Catalonia–Citizens for Change (PSC–CpC)	796,173	26.82	−4.34	37	−5
	Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC)	416,355	14.03	−2.41	21	−2
	People's Party (PP)	316,222	10.65	−1.24	14	−1
	Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left (ICV–EUiA)	282,693	9.52	+2.24	12	+3
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)	89,840	3.03	New	3	+3
	The Greens–Ecologists and Greens of Catalonia (EV–EVC)	17,900	0.60	+0.04	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	13,730	0.46	New	0	±0
	Unsubmissive Seats–Alternative of Discontented Democrats (Ei–ADD)	6,922	0.23	+0.16	0	±0
	Catalan Republican Party (RC)	6,024	0.20	New	0	±0
	Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI)	5,632	0.19	+0.06	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Catalan People (PCPC)	4,798	0.16	+0.08	0	±0
	The Greens–Green Alternative (EV–AV)	3,228	0.11	+0.05	0	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFiV)	2,776	0.09	New	0	±0
	Forward Catalonia Platform (AES–DN)	2,735	0.09	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party of Catalonia (PHC)	2,608	0.09	+0.04	0	±0
	Republican Social Movement (MSR)	1,096	0.04	+0.02	0	±0
	Carmel/Blue Party (PAzul)	1,039	0.04	New	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	945	0.03	New	0	±0
	Catalonia Decides (Decideix.cat)	668	0.02	New	0	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	626	0.02	+0.01	0	±0
	Republican Left–Left Republican Party (IR–PRE)	524	0.02	−0.03	0	±0
Blank ballots		60,244	2.03	+1.12

Total		2,968,534			135	±0

Valid votes		2,968,534	99.54	−0.20
Invalid votes		13,574	0.46	+0.20
Votes cast / turnout		2,982,108	56.04	−6.50
Abstentions		2,339,166	43.96	+6.50
Registered voters		5,321,274

Sources^[19]^[38]^[40]

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Popular vote

CiU			31.52%
PSC–CpC			26.82%
ERC			14.03%
PP			10.65%
ICV–EUiA			9.52%
C's			3.03%
Others			2.40%
Blank ballots			2.03%

Seats

CiU			35.56%
PSC–CpC			27.41%
ERC			15.56%
PP			10.37%
ICV–EUiA			8.89%
C's			2.22%

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, CiU ...

Constituency	CiU		PSC–CpC		ERC		PP		ICV–EUiA		C's

	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S
Barcelona	29.9	27	27.9	25	12.6	11	11.2	10	10.4	9	3.5	3
Girona	38.2	7	22.1	4	19.2	4	7.2	1	7.6	1	0.9	−
Lleida	40.0	7	22.0	3	17.7	3	9.1	1	6.6	1	1.0	−
Tarragona	32.4	7	26.0	5	17.6	3	11.0	2	6.5	1	2.4	−
Total	31.5	48	26.8	37	14.0	21	10.7	14	9.5	12	3.0	3

Sources^[19]^[38]^[40]

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Aftermath

Government formation

More information Ballot →, 24 November 2006 ...

Ballot →		24 November 2006
Investiture Nomination of José Montilla (PSC)
Required majority →		68 out of 135 Y
	Yes • PSC–CpC (37) • ERC (21) • ICV–EUiA (12)	70 / 135
	No • CiU (48) • PP (14) • C's (3)	65 / 135
	Abstentions	0 / 135
	Absentees	0 / 135
Sources^[19]^[41]

2006 Catalan regional election

Overview

Date

Electoral system

Outgoing parliament

Parties and candidates

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Voting intention estimates

Voting preferences

Victory preferences

Victory likelihood

Preferred President

Predicted President

Voter turnout

Results

Overall

Distribution by constituency

Aftermath

Government formation

Notes

References

Bibliography

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