2008 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary
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The 2008 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary took place February 5, 2008, also known as Super Tuesday. With 107 pledged delegates at stake, New Jersey was a significant battleground in the Democratic nomination race between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
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February 5, 2008
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 Primary results by county Clinton: 50–60% 60–70% Obama: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
Hillary Clinton won the primary amid record-breaking turnout. Her margin of victory was narrower than early polling had projected but contradicted Barack Obama’s late surge in polling and strong performance in urban areas.[1]
Campaign
Hillary Clinton was considered the frontrunner to win New Jersey's primary given her strong name recognition and institutional support in the state. She had significant endorsements from key state figures, including Governor Jon Corzine, Assembly Speaker Joseph Roberts and several county Democratic chairpersons. The vast majority of Democratic state legislators also endorsed Clinton.[2]
Barack Obama secured endorsements from prominent local leaders, such as Newark Mayor Cory Booker and Jersey City Mayor Jerramiah Healy.[3][4] These endorsements were viewed as bolstering Obama's appeal among urban and younger voters.[5]
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Hillary Clinton |
Barack Obama |
Other/ |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[6] | January 30–February 4, 2008 | 48.3% | 40.6% | 11.1% | Clinton +7.7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Hillary Clinton |
John Edwards |
Barack Obama |
Bill Richardson |
Others |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic Vision[7] | September 29–October 1, 2006 | <800 LV | ±3.0% | 1% | 35% | 12% | – | 1% | 43%[b] | 8% |
| Strategic Vision[8] | October 27–29, 2006 | <800 LV | ±3.0% | 1% | 31% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 37%[c] | 8% |
| Strategic Vision[9] | November 2–4, 2006 | <800 LV | ±3.0% | – | 33% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 26%[d] | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[10] | January 16–22, 2007 | 461 RV | ±4.6% | 6% | 30% | 8% | 16% | 1% | 22%[e] | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University[11] | February 20–25, 2007 | 454 RV | ±4.6% | 3% | 41% | 5% | 19% | 1% | 16%[f] | 15% |
| Monmouth University/Gannett[12] | April 11–16, 2007 | 451 LV | ±4.6% | 3% | 41% | 13% | 22% | 2% | 1%[g] | 18% |
| Strategic Vision[13] | April 25–27, 2007 | <800 LV | 5% | 40% | 12% | 23% | 2% | 3%[h] | 15% | |
| Quinnipiac University[14] | June 26–July 2, 2007 | 575 RV | ±4.1% | 3% | 46% | 8% | 19% | 4% | 3%[i] | 15% |
| 2% | 37% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 21%[j] | 13% | ||||
| Strategic Vision[15] | July 13–15, 2007 | <800 LV | 3% | 46% | 10% | 20% | 7% | 3%[k] | 11% | |
| Strategic Vision[16] | August 24–26, 2007 | <800 LV | 3% | 49% | 8% | 22% | 5% | 2%[l] | 11% | |
| Quinnipiac University[17] | September 18–23, 2007 | 406 RV | ±4.9% | 3% | 46% | 7% | 15% | 1% | 13%[m] | 12% |
| Strategic Vision[18] | September 28–30, 2007 | <800 LV | 2% | 52% | 7% | 21% | 5% | 2%[n] | 11% | |
| Monmouth University/Gannett[19] | September 27–30, 2007 | 478 LV | ±4.5% | 2% | 42% | 7% | 23% | 1% | 3%[o] | 21% |
| Quinnipiac University[20] | October 9–15, 2007 | 343 RV | ±5.3% | 2% | 46% | 9% | 20% | 3% | 4%[p] | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[21] | December 5–9, 2007 | 387 RV | ±5.0% | 3% | 51% | 7% | 17% | 1% | 5%[q] | 12% |
| Monmouth/Gannett[22] | January 9–13, 2008 | 475 LV | ±4.5% | – | 42% | 9% | 30% | – | 3%[r] | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University[23] | January 15–22, 2008 | 464 | ±4.6% | – | 49% | 10% | 32% | – | 2%[s] | 7% |
| Survey USA[24] | January 30–31, 2008 | 642 | ±3.9% | – | 51% | – | 39% | – | 10% | |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[25] | January 30–31, 2008 | 600 | ±4.0% | 1% | 44% | 3% | 38% | 1% | 3%[t] | 11% |
| Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[26] | January 31–February 2, 2008 | 868 | ±3.4% | – | 43% | – | 42% | – | 2%[u] | 14% |
| Survey USA[27] | February 2–3, 2008 | 706 | ±3.8% | – | 52% | – | 41% | – | 4%[v] | 3% |
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Al Gore with 24%, John Kerry and Russ Feingold each with 5%, Christopher Dodd with 4%, and Wesley Clark, Ed Rendell, Tom Vilsack, Mark Warner, and Evan Bayh each with 1%
- Al Gore with 20%, John Kerry with 5%, Russ Feingold with 4%, Christopher Dodd with 4%, and Wesley Clark, Ed Rendell, Tom Vilsack, and Evan Bayh each with 1%
- Al Gore with 17%, Russ Feingold with 5%, and John Kerry, Ed Rendell, Tom Vilsack, and Evan Bayh each with 1%
- Al Gore with 11%, John Kerry with 6%, Wesley Clark with 2%, "someone else" with 2% and "wouldn't vote" with 1%.
- Gore with 10%, "someone else" and "wouldn't vote" each with 2%, Clark and Dennis Kucinich each with 1%, and Chris Dodd and Tom Vilsack each with 0%.
- Gore (voluntary response) with 1% and Dodd and Kucinich each with 0%.
- Dodd with 2% and Kucinich with 1%.
- "Other" with 2%, Dodd with 1%, and Gravel and Kucinich each with 0%.
- Gore with 18%, "other" with 2%, Dodd with 1%, and Gravel and Kucinich each with 0%.
- Dodd with 2%, Kucinich with 1%, and Gravel with 0%.
- Kucinich and Dodd each with 1%
- Gore with 11%, Kucinich and "other" each with 1%, and Dodd with 0%.
- Dodd and Kucinich each with 1%.
- Kucinich with 2%, Gore with 1%, and Dodd and Gravel each with 0%.
- Kucinich with 2%, Dodd and "other" each with 1%, and Gravel with 0%.
- Kucinich and "other" each with 2%, Gravel with 1%, and Dodd with 0%.
- Kucinich with 2% and "other" with 1%.
- Kucinich and "other" each with 1%.
- "Other" with 2% and Kucinich with 1%.
- Gravel with 2%.
- "Other" with 4%.
Results
| Key: | Withdrew prior to contest |
| 2008 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary[28][self-published source] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates[29] |
| Hillary Clinton | 613,500 | 53.76% | 59 |
| Barack Obama | 501,372 | 43.93% | 48 |
| John Edwards | 15,728 | 1.38% | 0 |
| Joe Biden | 4,081 | 0.36% | 0 |
| Bill Richardson | 3,366 | 0.29% | 0 |
| Dennis Kucinich | 3,152 | 0.28% | 0 |
| Totals | 1,141,199 | 100.00% | 107 |
Analysis
| 2008 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary[30] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Obama | Clinton | % of
total vote | ||||
| Total vote | 44 | 54 | 100 | ||||
| Sex by race | |||||||
| White men | 39 | 58 | 25 | ||||
| White women | 27 | 72 | 34 | ||||
| Black men | 85 | 15 | 10 | ||||
| Black women | 81 | 14 | 14 | ||||
| Latino men | 36 | 62 | 5 | ||||
| Latino women | 26 | 74 | 7 | ||||
| All other races | 38 | 58 | 5 | ||||
| Age | |||||||
| 17–29 years old | 59 | 39 | 13 | ||||
| 30–44 years old | 50 | 47 | 29 | ||||
| 45–59 years old | 38 | 60 | 35 | ||||
| 60 and older | 35 | 63 | 23 | ||||
| Religion | |||||||
| Protestant/Other Christian | 56 | 40 | 35 | ||||
| Catholic | 28 | 69 | 38 | ||||
| Jewish | 37 | 63 | 9 | ||||
| Something else | 61 | 35 | 8 | ||||
| None | 51 | 49 | 11 | ||||
| Family income | |||||||
| Less than $50,000 | 40 | 58 | 29 | ||||
| $50,000 or more | 45 | 52 | 71 | ||||
| Which issue is the most important facing the country? | |||||||
| The economy | 44 | 54 | 47 | ||||
| The war in Iraq | 45 | 51 | 31 | ||||
| Health care | 42 | 56 | 18 | ||||
| Candidate quality that matters most | |||||||
| Can bring about needed change | 64 | 35 | 52 | ||||
| Cares about people like me | 43 | 46 | 13 | ||||
| Has the right experience | 3 | 94 | 26 | ||||
| Has the best chance to win in November | 40 | 60 | 8 | ||||
