2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election

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The 2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election was a special election held on October 4, 2011, to fill the office of the West Virginia Governor, which became vacant when Joe Manchin resigned after he won a U.S. Senate special election. Lieutenant Governor and Senate President Earl Ray Tomblin, first in the line of succession to the governorship, subsequently became acting governor. On January 18, 2011, the West Virginia Supreme Court of Appeals ruled that a special election for the governorship must be held so a new governor can be in place by November 15, 2011, exactly one year after Manchin resigned.[1] The primary election was held on May 14. Tomblin and Republican Bill Maloney won their respective primaries.[2]

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election

 2008
October 4, 2011 (2011-10-04)
2012 
 
Nominee Earl Ray Tomblin Bill Maloney
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 149,202 141,656
Percentage 49.55% 47.05%

County results
Tomblin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Maloney:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Earl Ray Tomblin (acting)
Democratic

Elected Governor

Earl Ray Tomblin
Democratic

Close

Tomblin defeated William Maloney by a slim margin, notably winning over 90% of the vote in his home county of Logan County. Tomblin was declared the winner of the election by the Associated Press on October 4, 2011, and was inaugurated on November 13, 2011.[3][4] With a margin of 2.5%, the special election was the closest race of the 2011 gubernatorial election cycle. Tomblin was re-elected Governor in 2012 in a rematch with Maloney.

This was one of the two Democratic-held governorships up for election in a state that John McCain won in the 2008 presidential election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Kessler
Arne
Moltis
John
Perdue
Natalie
Tennant
Rick
Thompson
Earl Ray
Tomblin
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[13] May 11–12, 2011 742 ± 3.6% 4% 1% 11% 17% 20% 33% 12%
Public Policy Polling[14] April 21–24, 2011 590 ± 4.0% 5% 1% 17% 16% 15% 32% 14%
Close

Primary results

Democratic primary results by county:
  Tomblin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   80–90%
  Thompson
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Tennant
  •   30–40%
  Perdue
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Kessler
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Earl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) 51,348 40.4%
Democratic Rick Thompson 30,631 24.1%
Democratic Natalie Tennant 22,106 17.4%
Democratic John Perdue 15,995 12.6%
Democratic Jeff Kessler 6,665 5.2%
Democratic Arne Moltis 481 0.4%
Total votes 127,111 100.0%
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Clark
Barnes
Mitch
Carmichael
Ralph
Clark
Cliff
Ellis
Larry
Faircloth
Betty
Ireland
Bill
Maloney
Mark
Sorsaia
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[23] May 11–12, 2011 314 ± 5.5% 8% 4% 1% 0% 6% 31% 32% 4% 14%
Public Policy Polling[14] April 21–24, 2011 274 ± 5.9% 8% 8% 2% 1% 2% 31% 17% 4% 28%
Close

Primary results

  Maloney
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Ireland
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Barnes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Faircloth
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Maloney 27,871 45.0%
Republican Betty Ireland 19,027 30.7%
Republican Clark Barnes 5,891 9.5%
Republican Mark Sorsaia 3,177 5.1%
Republican Larry Faircloth 2,400 3.9%
Republican Mitch Carmichael 2,073 3.3%
Republican Ralph Clark 1,164 1.9%
Republican Cliff Ellis 283 0.5%
Total votes 61,886 100.0%
Close

General election

Candidates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
Rothenberg Political Report[28] Lean D November 4, 2011
Governing[29] Lean D November 4, 2011
Cook[30] Lean D November 4, 2011
Sabato[31] Likely D November 4, 2011
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Earl Ray
Tomblin (D)
Bill
Maloney (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32] September 30 – October 2, 2011 932 ± 3.2% 47% 46% 7%
Public Policy Polling[33] September 1–4, 2011 708 ± 3.7% 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling[34] May 11–12, 2011 723 ± 3.6% 45% 30% 25%
Public Policy Polling[35] April 21–24, 2011 850 ± 3.4% 56% 23% 21%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
West Virginia gubernatorial special election official results, 2011[36]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Earl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) 149,202 49.55% −20.26
Republican Bill Maloney 141,656 47.05% +21.32
Mountain Bob Henry Baber 6,083 2.02% −2.44
Independent Marla Ingels 2,875 0.95%
American Third Position Harry Bertram 1,111 0.37% +0.37
write-in candidate Phil Hudok 76 0.03%
write-in candidate Donald Lee Underwood 54 0.02%
write-in candidate John R. "Rick" Bartlett 27 0.01%
Margin of victory 7,546 2.51% −41.57%
Total votes 301,084 100.00%
Democratic hold Swing
Close

By county

More information County, Earl Ray Tomblin Democratic ...
County Earl Ray Tomblin
Democratic
Bill Maloney
Republican
Bob Henry Baber
Mountain
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # % # %
Barbour 1,922 49.52% 1,762 45.40% 77 1.98% 120 3.09% +160 +4.12% 3,881
Berkeley 4,501 38.67% 6,678 57.38% 170 1.46% 290 2.49% −2,177 −18.70% 11,639
Boone 3,391 73.53% 1,085 23.53% 50 1.08% 86 1.86% +2,306 +50.00% 4,612
Braxton 1,476 56.53% 1,007 38.57% 82 3.14% 46 1.76% +469 +17.96% 2,611
Brooke 2,102 52.30% 1,700 42.30% 71 1.77% 146 3.63% +402 +10.00% 4,019
Cabell 7,482 52.03% 6,414 44.61% 217 1.51% 266 1.85% +1,068 +7.43% 14,379
Calhoun 515 45.49% 536 47.35% 51 4.51% 30 2.65% −21 −1.86% 1,132
Clay 813 53.38% 632 41.50% 38 2.50% 40 2.63% +181 +11.88% 1,523
Doddridge 476 28.00% 1,116 65.65% 56 3.29% 52 3.06% −640 −37.65% 1,700
Fayette 3,568 58.46% 2,149 35.21% 194 3.18% 192 3.15% +1,419 +23.25% 6,103
Gilmer 539 39.69% 698 51.40% 107 7.88% 14 1.03% −159 −11.71% 1,358
Grant 408 22.17% 1,374 74.67% 14 0.76% 44 2.39% −966 −52.50% 1,840
Greenbrier 2,633 48.92% 2,350 43.66% 241 4.48% 158 2.94% +283 +5.26% 5,382
Hampshire 959 30.70% 1,997 63.92% 50 1.60% 118 3.78% −1,038 −33.23% 3,124
Hancock 2,753 49.88% 2,422 43.88% 94 1.70% 250 4.53% +331 +6.00% 5,519
Hardy 812 37.52% 1,146 52.96% 34 1.57% 172 7.95% −334 −15.43% 2,164
Harrison 6,165 48.31% 6,038 47.32% 206 1.61% 352 2.76% +127 +1.00% 12,761
Jackson 2,717 44.38% 3,114 50.87% 83 1.36% 208 3.40% −397 −6.48% 6,122
Jefferson 3,237 46.64% 3,363 48.45% 153 2.20% 188 2.71% −126 −1.82% 6,941
Kanawha 18,376 49.14% 17,780 47.54% 705 1.89% 536 1.43% +596 +1.59% 37,397
Lewis 1,545 45.66% 1,650 48.76% 103 3.04% 86 2.54% −105 −3.10% 3,384
Lincoln 2,270 66.28% 1,065 31.09% 42 1.23% 48 1.40% +1,205 +35.18% 3,425
Logan 6,734 91.27% 567 7.69% 23 0.31% 54 0.73% +6,167 +83.59% 7,378
Marion 5,624 54.18% 4,240 40.84% 171 1.65% 346 3.33% +1,384 +13.33% 10,381
Marshall 3,246 48.22% 3,123 46.40% 122 1.81% 240 3.57% +123 +1.83% 6,731
Mason 2,221 47.30% 2,057 43.80% 38 0.81% 380 8.09% +164 +3.49% 4,696
McDowell 1,747 75.63% 504 21.82% 19 0.82% 40 1.73% +1,243 +53.81% 2,310
Mercer 3,930 48.80% 3,817 47.40% 116 1.44% 190 2.36% +113 +1.40% 8,053
Mineral 1,306 35.02% 2,245 60.20% 42 1.13% 136 3.65% −939 −25.18% 3,729
Mingo 3,912 84.75% 629 13.63% 29 0.63% 46 1.00% +3,283 +71.12% 4,616
Monongalia 5,580 37.85% 8,011 54.35% 586 3.98% 564 3.83% −2,431 −16.49% 14,741
Monroe 954 45.54% 988 47.16% 63 3.01% 90 4.30% −34 −1.62% 2,095
Morgan 886 32.69% 1,644 60.66% 72 2.66% 108 3.99% −758 −27.97% 2,710
Nicholas 2,137 50.01% 1,896 44.37% 144 3.37% 96 2.25% +241 +5.64% 4,273
Ohio 3,775 43.79% 4,491 52.09% 153 1.77% 202 2.34% −716 −8.31% 8,621
Pendleton 490 37.26% 735 55.89% 32 2.43% 58 4.41% −245 −18.63% 1,315
Pleasants 669 50.80% 590 44.80% 26 1.97% 32 2.43% +79 +6.00% 1,317
Pocahontas 568 40.66% 649 46.46% 104 7.44% 76 5.44% −81 −5.80% 1,397
Preston 1,656 33.25% 3,003 60.29% 90 1.81% 232 4.66% −1,347 −27.04% 4,981
Putnam 4,376 38.05% 6,790 59.04% 155 1.35% 180 1.57% −2,414 −20.99% 11,501
Raleigh 5,192 48.77% 5,024 47.19% 218 2.05% 212 1.99% +168 +1.58% 10,646
Randolph 2,604 53.30% 1,991 40.75% 155 3.17% 136 2.78% +613 +12.55% 4,886
Ritchie 556 31.74% 1,108 63.24% 32 1.83% 56 3.20% −552 −31.51% 1,752
Roane 1,228 45.98% 1,289 48.26% 82 3.07% 72 2.70% −61 −2.28% 2,671
Summers 1,170 55.93% 808 38.62% 62 2.96% 52 2.49% +362 +17.30% 2,092
Taylor 1,300 45.26% 1,436 50.00% 52 1.81% 84 2.92% −136 −4.74% 2,872
Tucker 763 49.55% 682 44.29% 33 2.14% 62 4.03% +81 +5.26% 1,540
Tyler 652 38.47% 922 54.40% 37 2.18% 84 4.96% −270 −15.93% 1,695
Upshur 1,673 37.11% 2,566 56.92% 111 2.46% 158 3.50% −893 −19.81% 4,508
Wayne 3,960 57.00% 2,767 39.83% 70 1.01% 150 2.16% +1,193 +17.17% 6,947
Webster 879 62.65% 437 31.15% 45 3.21% 42 2.99% +442 +31.50% 1,403
Wetzel 1,816 52.65% 1,385 40.16% 74 2.15% 174 5.04% +431 +12.50% 3,449
Wirt 488 45.56% 541 50.51% 16 1.49% 26 2.43% −53 −4.95% 1,071
Wood 6,396 42.85% 7,888 52.84% 230 1.54% 414 2.77% −1,492 −9.99% 14,928
Wyoming 2,054 70.68% 757 26.05% 43 1.48% 52 1.79% +1,297 +44.63% 2,906
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

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