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2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election

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The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election was held on June 14, 2022.[2] The seat, which went to Democratic president Joe Biden by only four points in the 2020 United States presidential election after being solidly blue in the past, became vacant after Democratic incumbent representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[3]

Quick facts Texas's 34th congressional district, Turnout ...
2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election

← 2020
June 14, 2022

Texas's 34th congressional district
Turnout7.36%[1]
 
Candidate Mayra Flores Dan Sanchez
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 14,799 12,606
Percentage 50.9% 43.4%

County results
Flores:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Sanchez:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Filemon Vela Jr.
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mayra Flores
Republican

Close

Republican candidate Mayra Flores won outright with 51% of the vote.[4] Although Democrat Dan Sanchez was able to hold on to the Hidalgo County portion of the district by nine points, as well as flip Kenedy County after it went to Donald Trump in 2020, this was not enough to overcome Flores's gains in Cameron and Willacy Counties, resulting in them narrowly flipping red in this race after going to Biden by double digits in the 2020 contest. Flores was also able to shore up support in the district's northern rural counties, which typically voted Republican in the past. Flores became the first Republican to represent parts of the Rio Grande Valley since Blake Farenthold flipped the 27th district in 2010.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Endorsements

Mayra Flores (R)

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Organizations

Others

Dan Sanchez (D)

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Special election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Tossup April 8, 2022
Inside Elections[14] Tossup June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean R (flip) March 30, 2022
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Juana
Cantu-Cabrera
(R)
Rene
Coronado
(D)
Mayra
Flores
(R)
Dan
Sanchez
(D)
Undecided
RRH Elections (R)[16] June 8–11, 2022 484 (LV) ± 5.0% 3% 7% 43% 34% 13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[17][A] April 19–21, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 9% 24% 19% 41%
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports
Candidate Amount raised Amount spent Cash on hand
Mayra Flores (R) $1,722,406 $1,608,423 $113,983
Daniel Sanchez (D) $173,668 $173,668 $0
Source: OpenSecrets[18]
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mayra Flores 14,799 50.91
Democratic Dan Sanchez 12,606 43.37
Democratic Rene Coronado 1,210 4.16
Republican Juana Cantu-Cabrera 454 1.56
Total votes 29,069 100.00
Registered electors 395,025
Republican gain from Democratic
Close
More information By county, County ...
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Flores's campaign committee

References

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Timelines

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