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2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election

Election following the death of Raúl Grijalva From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election was held on September 23, 2025, to fill Arizona's 7th congressional district for the remainder of the 119th United States Congress. The result was certified by the Arizona Secretary of State, Adrian Fontes, on October 14.[1]

Quick facts Arizona's 7th congressional district, Turnout ...
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election

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September 23, 2025
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Arizona's 7th congressional district
Turnout23.18%
 
Nominee Adelita Grijalva Daniel Butierez
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 70,148 29,944
Percentage 68.92% 29.42%

Grijalva:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Butierez:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%

U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Adelita Grijalva
Democratic

Close

This followed the July 15, 2025, primary election which results were certified by Fontes 16 days later on July 31.

The seat became vacant following the death of incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva on March 13, 2025.[2] It is considered a safe Democratic district.[3]

The election was won by former Pima County supervisor Adelita Grijalva, Raúl Grijalva's daughter.[4] The younger Grijalva won by 40%, a significant overperformance from Kamala Harris's 22% victory in the district in the 2024 presidential election.[5]

Background

Incumbent Congressman Raúl Grijalva was diagnosed with lung cancer on April 2, 2024, and died in office on March 13, 2025, from complications from cancer treatments at age 77.[2]

Writing for The Arizona Republic in May, Laura Gersony noted that the "leading candidates" were Daniel Hernández Jr., Adelita Grijalva, and Deja Foxx; further noting that Hernández held an initial lead in fundraising stemming from supporters of Israel and that Grijalva would likely benefit from some of the campaign infrastructure built by her father.[6] Grijalva received the endorsement of both of Arizona's U.S. Senators, Mark Kelly and Ruben Gallego, and a number of Democratic political organizations, including EMILY's List and Giffords.[7][8][9]

Grijalva won the Democratic primary on July 15, and faced Republican painting contractor Daniel Butierez.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Deja Foxx
U.S. representatives
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations
Adelita Grijalva
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Tribal nations
Daniel Hernández Jr.
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Deja
Foxx
Adelita
Grijalva
Daniel
Hernández
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] June 26–29, 2025 540 (LV) ± 4.5% 35% 43% 9% 3%[b] 11%
Change Research (D)[A] May 13–16, 2025 530 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 41% 16% 2%[c] 32%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] April 7–8, 2025 527 (LV) ± 4.3% 5% 49% 11% – 35%
Close

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election Democratic primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Foxx Grijalva Harris Hernández Malvido
1 May 27, 2025 KAET[52] Ted Simons [53] P P P P P
2 June 10, 2025 Arizona Public Media[54] Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf [55] P P P P P
Close

Results

Results by county
Grijalva
  50–60%
  60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adelita Grijalva 38,679 61.48%
Democratic Deja Foxx 14,078 22.38%
Democratic Daniel Hernández Jr. 8,541 13.58%
Democratic Patrick Harris 925 1.47%
Democratic Jose Malvido Jr. 687 1.09%
Total votes 62,910 100.00%
Close
More information Town, Foxx ...
Results by county[57]
Town Foxx Grijalva Harris Hernández Jr. Malvido Jr. Total
Cochise 64622.17% 1,888 64.79% 351.20%32611.19%190.65%2,914
Maricopa 1,12221.69% 2,739 52.95% 1092.11%1,16722.56%360.70%5,173
Pima 10,88023.93% 27,923 61.42% 6221.37%5,51212.12%5251.16%45,462
Pinal 3114.90% 120 57.69% 73.37%4521.64%52.40%208
Santa Cruz 69615.08% 3,087 66.88% 681.47%71715.53%481.04%4,616
Yuma 70315.50% 2,922 64.40% 841.85%77417.06%541.19%4,537
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Daniel Butierez, painting contractor and nominee for this district in 2024[58]

Eliminated in primary

  • Jorge Rivas, restaurant owner[59]
  • Jimmy Rodriguez, businessman[59]

Endorsements

Jorge Rivas
Local officials

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election Republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Butierez Rivas Rodriguez
1 May 30, 2025 KAET[60] Ted Simons [61] P P A
2 June 9, 2025 Arizona Public Media[54] Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf [62] P P P
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Butierez 11,121 60.89%
Republican Jorge Rivas 4,594 25.15%
Republican Jimmy Rodriguez 2,549 13.96%
Total votes 18,264 100.00%
Close
More information Town, Butierez ...
Results by county[63]
Town Butierez Rivas Rodriguez Total
Cochise 446 51.86% 30335.23%11112.91%860
Maricopa 824 46.29% 60333.88%35319.83%1,780
Pima 7,309 62.15% 2,87124.41%1,58013.44%11,760
Pinal 170 60.71% 7827.86%3211.43%280
Santa Cruz 936 68.22% 28220.55%15411.22%1,372
Yuma 1,434 64.89% 45720.68%31914.43%2,210
Close

Third parties and independents

Green primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Eduardo Quintana, former chair of the Pima County Green Party and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024 (write-in)[14]
  • Gary Swing, organic produce clerk and perennial candidate (write-in)[64]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Green primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Eduardo Quintana (write-in) 42 95.45%
Green Gary Swing (write-in) 2 4.55%
Total votes 44 100.00%
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Andy Fernandez (write-in)[14]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Andy Fernandez (write-in) 19 100.00%
Total votes 19 100.00%
Close

No Labels primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
No Labels primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
No Labels Richard Grayson (write-in) 1 100.00%
Total votes 1 100.00%
Close

Write-in candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Solid D August 13, 2025
Inside Elections[73] Solid D June 30, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74] Safe D August 14, 2025
Close
More information No., Date ...
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election General Election debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Butierez Grijalva
1 August 26, 2025 Arizona Public Media[75] Nohelani Graf [76] P P
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election[77]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Adelita Grijalva 70,148 68.92% +5.47%
Republican Daniel Butierez 29,944 29.42% −7.13%
Green Eduardo Quintana 1,118 1.10% N/A
No Labels Richard Grayson 537 0.53% N/A
Republican Jeff Beasley (write-in) 9 0.01% N/A
Independent James Rose (write-in) 8 0.01% N/A
Independent Trista di Genova (write-in) 3 0.00% N/A
Republican G. Sevillr Hatch (write-in) 3 0.00% N/A
Republican Avery Block (write-in) 2 0.00% N/A
Independent Daniel Wood (write-in) 2 0.00% N/A
No Labels Nathaniel James Irwin Sr. (write-in) 1 0.00% N/A
Democratic Cheval Lavers (write-in) 1 0.00% N/A
Total votes 101,776 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information County, Adelita Grijalva Democratic ...
County[77] Adelita Grijalva
Democratic
Daniel Butierez
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Cochise (part) 3,327 71.06% 1,277 27.27% 78 1.67% 2,050 43.78% 4,682
Maricopa (part) 6,221 67.80% 2,800 30.52% 154 1.68% 3,421 37.29% 9,175
Pima (part) 49,992 70.26% 19,982 28.08% 1,180 1.66% 30,010 42.18% 71,154
Pinal (part) 275 36.67% 460 61.33% 15 2.00% -185 -24.67% 750
Santa Cruz 4,912 69.70% 2,047 29.05% 88 1.25% 2,865 40.66% 7,047
Yuma (part) 5,421 60.45% 3,378 37.67% 169 1.88% 2,043 22.78% 8,968
Totals70,14868.92%29,94429.42%1,6841.65%40,20439.50%101,776
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Malvido with 3%; Harris with 0%
  3. Harris and Malvido with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Foxx's campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Grijalva's campaign

References

Related Articles

Timelines

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