Next Romanian parliamentary election

After the 2024 Romanian parliamentary election, a pro-European coalition was formed between the centre-left Social Democratic Party (PSD), the centre-right National Liberal Party (PNL), the centre-right Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR/RMDSZ), and Romanian ethnic minority parties.^[3] The liberal reformist Save Romania Union (USR) party also initially signed an agreement to enter government but subsequently went into opposition.^[4][5]

Following the results of the first round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election in which government-endorsed Crin Antonescu failed to advance to the runoff, Ciolacu announced that Social Democratic Party would leave the coalition and resigned from the position of Prime Minister of Romania. Ciolacu stated that after seeing how Romanians had voted, "the governing coalition has no legitimacy, at least in this component", and at the same time PSD ministers remained in the government on the interim basis.^[6]

On 6 May 2025, interim President Ilie Bolojan appointed Cătălin Predoiu to serve as interim Prime Minister.^[7] The presidential election was won by Bucharest mayor Nicușor Dan, who appointed Bolojan as the next Prime Minister on 23 June, leading a grand coalition with the same parties and Save Romania Union (USR). On 23 April 2026, the Social Democratic Party left the grand coalition, leaving it with a minority in parliament.^[8]

On 5 May 2026, a motion of no confidence initiated by the PSD and AUR toppled the incumbent Bolojan government, although snap elections are still considered unlikely.^[9]

Both the 331 members of the Chamber of Deputies and the 136 members of the Senate are elected in 43 multi-member constituencies based on Romania's 41 counties, the municipality of Bucharest, as well as the Romanian diaspora using party-list proportional representation. Law no. 208/2015 outlines that each constituency is to be awarded one deputy every 73,000 people and one senator every 168,000 people in accordance with the population data collected on 1 January of the previous year by the National Institute of Statistics (INS). Constituencies cannot have less than 4 deputies and 2 senators.^[10]

Parties must pass an electoral threshold of 5% of the national vote or at least 20% of the vote in four constituencies. Electoral alliances must pass a higher threshold, namely 8% for those with two member-parties, 9% for three and 10% for alliances of more. Further seats (currently 19) can be added in the Chamber of Deputies for ethnic minority groups that compete in the elections and pass a lower threshold (5% of the votes needed to win a seat in the lower chamber, calculated by dividing the number of votes of parties, alliances and independent candidates that passed the threshold by the amount of seats that they won).^[11]

Following the elections, seats are allocated to the candidates of successful parties and lists in several stages, starting with constituencies, where seats are distributed according to the Hare quota of the constituency. Unused votes are then transferred and congregated at the national level, where remaining seats are distributed using the D'Hondt method, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's national vote share and its share of parliamentary seats. These remaining seats are then allocated to party candidates within the constituencies, based on the party results in each constituencies.^[12][13]

Political polling in Romania has generally been associated with higher error rates compared to the European average. Among Romanian pollsters, INSCOP has recorded the lowest pre-election error rate at 14.0%, while CSPS (Centrul pentru Studii Politice și Sociologice) has been identified as having the highest, at 60.0%. Marius Lulea, the owner of CSPS, previously served as the first vice president of a political party. Several reports have also documented connections between certain pollsters and political actors.^[14][15]

Party polls

More information Date, Poll source ...

Date	Poll source	Sample size	PSD	AUR	PNL	USR	SOS	POT	UDMR	PMP	FD	REPER	SENS	DREPT	Others	Lead
14–24 July 2026	CURS	1,108	23	34	21	9	3	—N/a	4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6	11
30 June–3 July 2026	ARP	1,774	17.9	36.4	22.4	10.5	2.9	1.3	4.9	1.3	—N/a	0.6	1.9	—N/a	—N/a	14
29 June–2 July 2026	IRES	1,002	21	40	17	10	2	1	3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2	—N/a	4	19
11–14 May 2026	INSCOP	1,100	17.5	38.2	20.3	10	2.9	1.9	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2.5	—N/a	1.8	17.9
1–14 May 2026	CURS	1,664	24	32	20	10	3	—N/a	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6	8
1 May 2026	USR	1,145	14.1	33	21	15.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.6	12
28 Apr–1 May 2026	CURS	1,098	23	34	18	10	3	2	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5	11
1–10 Apr 2026	ARP	1,187	17.2	35.8	14.2	11.2	6	3.3	5.5	1.4	—N/a	1.8	2.6	—N/a	1	18.6
1–7 Apr 2026	INSCOP	1,100	20.1	37	15.5	12.7	2.8	3.6	4.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2.4	—N/a	1.7	16.9
26 Mar–4 Apr 2026	Sociopol	1,008	18	36	16	18	1	1	4	—N/a	0	1	2	—N/a	3	18
23–27 Mar 2026	CURS	1,517	24	33	16	9	4	3	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6	9
10–17 Mar 2026	Avangarde	1,000	22	35	14	11	3	2	5	1	1	—N/a	2	1	3	13
2–6 Mar 2026	INSCOP	1,100	19.2	38	14.5	11.4	3.3	3	4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.6	—N/a	3	18.8
14–23 Jan 2026	CURS	1,067	23	35	18	10	5	2	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2	12
12–15 Jan 2026	INSCOP	1,100	18.2	40.9	13.5	11.7	2.8	1.5	4.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.4	—N/a	3.1	22.7
10–19 Dec 2025	CURS	1,067	22	35	19	9	5	3	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2	13
4–17 Dec 2025	IRES	1,012	21	36	18	11	2	3	2	—N/a	—N/a	1	3	—N/a	3	15
25 Oct–2 Nov 2025	INSCOP	3,000	19.5	38	14.6	12.3	1.7	3.1	4.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.2	—N/a	2.8	18.5
14–26 Oct 2025	CURS	1,036	24	35	15	10	4	7	4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	1	11
6–10 Oct 2025	INSCOP	1,100	17.6	40	14.8	11.5	2	2.6	5.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.4	—N/a	2.9	22.4
5–19 Sep 2025	CURS	1,100	23	34	16	12	5	3	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2	11
9–18 Sep 2025	Avangarde	1,300	19	41	13	12	2	2	6	1	1	—N/a	—N/a	1	2	22
1–9 Sep 2025	INSCOP	1,103	17.9	40.8	15.2	12.8	2.8	3.3	4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2.1	—N/a	1.2	22.9
21–23 Jul 2025	Sociopol	1,002	21	38	15	12	1	2	5	—N/a	1	1	3	—N/a	1	17
15–23 Jul 2025	INSOMAR	1,012	17	36.5	14.4	13.2	1.9	2.5	4.9	0.7	—N/a	0.5	—N/a	0.7	7.7	19.5
10–12 Jul 2025	FlashData	7,500	18	38	16	16	1.5	0.5	4.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.5	20
4–10 Jul 2025	CURS	1,067	20	38	15	12	4	4	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2	18
20–26 Jun 2025	INSCOP	1,150	13.7	40.5	17.3	13.1	1.9	4.2	5.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	2.4	—N/a	1.9	23.2
26–30 May 2025	INSCOP	1,150	17.4	38.1	16	12.2	2.5	3.2	4.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.3	—N/a	2.8	20.7
26–30 May 2025	CURS	1,287	24	35	14	14	5	2	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	1	11
26–28 May 2025	Sociopol	1,001	17	36	14	12	2	3	6	—N/a	2	2	3	—N/a	3	19
23–28 May 2025	Avangarde	1,300	20	32	16	15	4	3	5	1	1	—N/a	—N/a	1	2	12
24–26 Apr 2025	FlashData	7,500	19	26	15	9	2	3	4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	7
3–5 Apr 2025	FlashData	7,500	18.5	27	13	14	3.5	4	3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17	8.5
24–28 Mar 2025	Verifield	1,100	21.2	31.7	15	12.9	3.6	7	5.1	—N/a	—N/a	1.2	0.8	0.6	0.9	10.5
14–16 Feb 2025	FlashData	7,500	21.2	27.9	12.3	19	5.6	6.7	3.4	1.1	0.6	1.1	—N/a	—N/a	1.1	6.7
21–25 Jan 2025	CURS	1,100	24	22	15	13	5	10	5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6	2
10–16 Jan 2025	Avangarde	1,354	22	29	13	13	8	5	4	3	2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	1	7
1 Dec 2024	2024 Chamber election	—N/a	21.96	18.01	13.20	12.40	7.36	6.46	6.33	2.05		1.24	2.99	1.16	6.84	3.95
	2024 Senate election	—N/a	22.30	18.30	14.28	12.26	7.76	6.39	6.38	1.88		1.37	2.84	1.24	5	4

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National approval rating

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Is Romania going on a good path/direction?
			Y	N	?	Net
			Approval	Disapproval
Avangarde	10–17 Mar 2026	1,000	18	79	3	−61
CURS	10–19 Dec 2025	1,067	21	75	4	−54
Avangarde	Jul–Sep 2025	1,300	21	74	5	−53
			23	73	4	−50
			27	66	7	−39
FlashData	10–12 Jul 2025	7,500	23	71	6	−48
CURS	4–10 Jul 2025	1,067	26	69	5	−43
CURS	26–30 May 2025	1,287	34	59	7	−25
Avangarde	23–28 May 2025	1,300	38	53	9	−15

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