2024 Saskatchewan general election
Canadian provincial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2024 Saskatchewan general election was held on October 28, 2024, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.
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October 28, 2024
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61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan 31 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 56.77%  3.91% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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.png) Riding map based on new boundaries | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent Saskatchewan Party government, led by Premier Scott Moe since 2018, sought re-election to a fifth consecutive term. The Saskatchewan Party's primary opponent, the Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Carla Beck, sought to lead the NDP to its first government since 2007. This was the first general election to feature the Saskatchewan United Party (SUP).
The Saskatchewan Party won enough seats to form its fifth consecutive majority government, claiming the majority of rural ridings. Its majority was reduced from eleven seats to three by a resurgent NDP—which achieved its best electoral performance since 2007 by taking every seat in Regina and all but one in Saskatoon. The SUP lost its only seat, which had been held by party founder Nadine Wilson. The results underscored the urban–rural divide between the two parties' constituencies.[1][2][3]
Background
Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to the Legislative Assembly Act, 2007, "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[4][5] Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election".[6] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025.[6] The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.
Legislative summary
Summary of the 29th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
| Party | Leader | Seats | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | At dissolution | |||
| Saskatchewan | Scott Moe | 48 | 42 | |
| New Democratic | Carla Beck | 13 | 14 | |
| Saskatchewan United | Jon Hromek | – | 1 | |
| Independent | – | 3 | ||
| Vacant | 1 | |||
| Total | 61 | 61 | ||
List of registered provincial political parties in Saskatchewan
| Party[7] | Leader[8] | |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Phillip Zajac[9] | |
| Green | Naomi Hunter | |
| New Democratic | Carla Beck | |
| Progress | Teunis Peters (i) | |
| Progressive Conservative | Rose Marie Buscholl | |
| Saskatchewan | Scott Moe | |
| Saskatchewan United | Jon Hromek | |
Redistricting
The Saskatchewan Provincial Boundaries Commission drew a new map for Saskatchewan, as required by the Constituency Boundaries Act, 1993,[10][11] which was subsequently ratified by the Saskatchewan Legislature.[12] The Legislative Assembly continued to consist of 61 members.
The following changes took effect:
| Abolished | New |
|---|---|
| Renaming of constituencies | |
| Abolition of constituencies
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| Drawn from other constituencies | |
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| Division of constituencies | |
| Reorganization of constituencies | |
- parts going to Regina University, Regina Northeast, Regina Wascana Plains and Regina Douglas Park
- from parts of Regina Rosemont, Regina Pasqua and Lumsden-Morse
- from parts of Regina University, Regina Pasqua and Lumsden-Morse
Campaign
Health care, education, and the economy have been considered to be among the top issues heading into the election, with the incumbent Saskatchewan Party and Saskatchewan NDP focusing primarily on these issues.[13]
The province's health care system has been affected by staffing shortages, especially in rural areas of the province, which CUPE credited primarily to the Saskatchewan Health Authority's reliance on part-time workers as opposed to full-time positions. This has led to significant increases in vacancies and service disruptions since 2019.[14] In early-October 2024, the emergency room of Saskatoon's Royal University Hospital operated at 350% capacity after other nearby facilities were unable to take patients in, causing it to run out of beds, stretchers, and oxygen.[15][16][17] The Saskatchewan Party touted its effort to recruit nursing graduates, and internationally trained nurses from countries such as the Philippines.[18] It also stated that it would offer at-home screening kits for HPV, and a refundable tax credit of up to $10,000 for fertility treatment.[19] Carla Beck stated that the NDP would invest $1.1 billion into critical front line services over the next four years, and focus on improving working conditions to achieve employee retention.[18] Beck criticized Scott Moe during the leaders' debate for not making any specific funding commitments for health care in his party's platform.[20]
The Saskatchewan Teachers' Federation (STF) has been in a labour dispute with the provincial government since May 2023, citing a lack of action on issues such as classroom size and complexity.[21][22] After rotating strikes since January 2024, the STF enacted an indefinite work-to-rule beginning in April 2024.[23][24][20] The Saskatchewan Party and NDP both pledged to place increased funding into education, with the Sask Party planning to spend $156 million on infrastructure and $336 million on classroom sizes and complexity, and the NDP planning to increase the education budget by $2 billion over four years to fund classroom size and complexity, infrastructure, and special needs programs. Beck also promised a new high school in White City, and the implementation of a healthy food program.[25][26]
On October 17, expanding upon the Parents' Bill of Rights introduced in 2023, Moe announced that his "first order of business" after reelection would be to immediately enact rules requiring school students to use the changing rooms that correspond to their biological sex. The Saskatchewan Party stated that it had "received calls and correspondence" regarding an October 16 report from the Western Standard, which detailed a complaint from the parent of a rural school student who had seen two trans girls using the girls' changing room. The Canadian Press reported that a parent of the two students was one of the NDP's candidates.[27][28][29] The proposal was not in the platform published by the Saskatchewan Party, and faced criticism from the NDP, STF, and LGBT rights advocates for harming the safety of transgender students. Regina Douglas Park MLA Nicole Sarauer stated that "no leader, community, political or otherwise, should aid in anyway to the outing or othering of children." Saskatchewan Party officials denied it was directly involved with the outing,[30][31][32] and Moe later claimed he was unaware of the two children, and that "I never once spoke to any of the individuals, nor will I, nor should anyone."[27] In November 2024, Moe walked back his declaration and stated that he had misspoke, saying that his first order of business would be to form a cabinet, and that the Minister of Education would enter into a consulting phase on policies with school boards following municipal and school board elections.[33]
On the economic front, Moe stated that he would reduce personal income taxes, expand the tuition rebate offered in its graduate retention program, remove the carbon tax on heating oil, and establish new tax credits and rebates for first-time homeowners and families with children involved in the arts or sports. Beck stated that she would balance the province's budget within four years and cut $58 million in "Saskatchewan Party waste" within her first year of office. Beck also stated that she would suspend the provincial gas tax for six months, end the PST for groceries and children's clothing, and establish an accountability commission to investigate issues such as cost overruns on government projects.[34][35][20][36]
Jon Hromek launched the Saskatchewan United Party's campaign on October 2, 2024, describing it as a "true conservative option", and hoping to have at least two candidates elected to the Legislative Assembly.[37][38] Its platform focused on goals such as cutting the provincial sales tax, ending the fuel tax, lowering property taxes for homeowners over 65, reviewing the royalty framework for potash, privatization of health care, a commitment to coal and natural gas energy and the suspension of green energy projects, removing "ideology" and "indoctrination" from school curricula (including gender identity and the climate crisis), and proposals to prohibit transgender women from occupying women-only spaces or competing in women's sports.[38][39] It was suggested that the Saskatchewan United Party could potentially split the right-wing vote with the Saskatchewan Party, although Scott Moe downplayed these concerns.[40][39][41]
On October 22, it was reported that the front window of the office of Saskatchewan Party candidate Rahul Singh had been vandalized, with damage resembling small bullet holes. The party initially claimed that the vandalism was the result of a gun attack. The Regina Police Service stated that it had investigated a report of mischief reported on the evening of October 21, and that there was no evidence that firearms were involved.[42][43]
The NDP has received endorsements from multiple current and former Saskatchewan Party members and MLAs, including from Speaker Randy Weekes.[44]
Timeline
| Party | 2020 | Gain/(loss) due to | 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Died in Office |
Leaves caucus |
Resignation as MLA |
Removed from caucus |
Switching allegiance |
Byelection gain |
Byelection hold | ||||
| Saskatchewan | 48 | (1) | (3) | (3) | (1) | 1 | 1 | 42 | ||
| New Democratic | 13 | (2) | 2 | 1 | 14 | |||||
| Saskatchewan United | – | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Independent | – | 3 | 1 | (1) | 3 | |||||
| Vacant | – | 1 | 5 | (3) | (2) | 1 | ||||
| Total | 61 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61 | |
2020
- October 26: The Saskatchewan Party wins a majority government in the 2020 Saskatchewan general election. The Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) forms the official opposition. No other parties won seats in the election.
2022
- February 18: Ryan Meili announces his intention to resign as NDP leader. He intends to remain leader until a successor is chosen.[57]
- June 26: Carla Beck is elected as Leader of the Saskatchewan NDP.[58]
- November 30: The Saskatchewan United Party is registered with Elections Saskatchewan, with MLA Nadine Wilson its leader.[59]
2023
- July 19: The Saskatchewan Liberal Party changes their party name to the Saskatchewan Progress Party.[60]
2024
- May 16: Nadine Wilson stepped down as leader of the Saskatchewan United Party, and Jon Hromek was appointed as the new leader.[61]
- October 1: The election campaign begins.
- October 12: Candidate nomination deadline at 2pm.
- October 22–26: Voting week.[62]
- October 28: Final day of voting, first preliminary count.[63] Saskatchewan Party wins fifth consecutive majority government.
- October 30: Second preliminary count, mail-in ballots received by October 26 counted.[63]
- November 9: Final count, mail-in ballots received between October 27 and November 7 counted along with all hospital and remand centre votes. Returning officers will be verifying the numbers in each electoral district.[63]
Candidates
Nominations closed on October 12.
Candidates by Party
| Party | Leader[64] | Candidates | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | Scott Moe | 61 | |
| New Democratic | Carla Beck | 61 | |
| Green | Naomi Hunter | 58 | |
| Saskatchewan United | Jon Hromek | 31 | |
| Buffalo | Philip Zajac | 16 | |
| Progressive Conservative | Rose Marie Buscholl | 11 | |
| Progress | Teunis Peters | 3 | |
| Independent | 2 | ||
| Candidates nominated | Constituencies | Party | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sask | NDP | Green | SUP | Buff | PC | Prog | Ind | Totals | ||
| 3 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 54 | |||
| 4 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 108 |
| 5 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 75 |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | ||
| Total | 61 | 61 | 61 | 58 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 243 |
Incumbents not standing for re-election
| Retiring incumbents | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affiliation[a 1] | MLA | Constituency | Held office since | |
| Sask | Steven Bonk[66] | Moosomin | 2016 | |
| Fred Bradshaw[67] | Carrot River Valley | 2007 | ||
| Dustin Duncan[68] | Weyburn-Big Muddy | 2006 | ||
| Ken Francis[69] | Kindersley | 2018 | ||
| Marv Friesen[70] | Saskatoon Riversdale | 2020 | ||
| Gary Grewal[71] | Regina Northeast | 2020 | ||
| Joe Hargrave[72] | Prince Albert Carlton | 2016 | ||
| Donna Harpauer[68] | Humboldt-Watrous[a 2] | 1999 | ||
| Delbert Kirsch[67] | Batoche | 2003 | ||
| Don McMorris[68] | Indian Head-Milestone | 1999 | ||
| Don Morgan[67] | Saskatoon Southeast | 2003 | ||
| Hugh Nerlien[70] | Kelvington-Wadena | 2016 | ||
| Greg Ottenbreit[69] | Yorkton | 2007 | ||
| Dana Skoropad[67] | Arm River | 2020 | ||
| NDP | Jennifer Bowes[73] | Saskatoon University | 2020 | |
| Doyle Vermette[74] | Cumberland | 2008 | ||
| Independent | Ryan Domotor[a 3][75] | Cut Knife-Turtleford | 2020 | |
| Greg Lawrence[a 3][76] | Moose Jaw Wakamow | 2011 | ||
| Failed to secure renomination | ||||
| Sask | Terry Dennis[77][78] | Canora-Pelly | 2016 | |
| Independent | Randy Weekes[a 3][a][b][79] | Biggar-Sask Valley[a 4] | 1999 | |
Candidates by riding
Candidates in bold represent cabinet members and the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. Party leaders are italicized. The symbol † indicates incumbent MLAs who are not running again. The symbol ‡ indicates incumbent MLAs who are running again in a different district.
Northwest Saskatchewan
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | SUP | Buffalo | Green | ||||||||
| Athabasca | Jim Lemaigre[80] | Leroy Laliberte[81] | Raven Reid[82] | Jim Lemaigre | ||||||||
| Cut Knife-Turtleford | James Thorsteinson[83] | Clayton Poole[84] | Steve Gessner[85] | Holly Ennis[82] | Ryan Domotor† | |||||||
| Lloydminster | Colleen Young[80] | Adam Tremblay[86] | Joshua Bloom[85] | Patrick McNally[82] | Colleen Young | |||||||
| Meadow Lake | Jeremy Harrison[80] | Miles Nachbaur[87] | Denis Allchurch[88] | Candice Turner[82] | Jeremy Harrison | |||||||
| Rosthern-Shellbrook | Scott Moe[80] | Mark Thunderchild[89] | Cody Lockhart[85] | Janice Dongworth[82] | Scott Moe | |||||||
| The Battlefords | Jeremy Cockrill[80] | Tom Kroczynski[84] | Dale Richarson[90] | Sara Piotrofsky[82] | Jeremy Cockrill | |||||||
Northeast Saskatchewan
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | SUP | Green | Other | ||||||||
| Batoche | Darlene Rowden[91] | Trina Miller[92] | Erin Nicole Spencer[85] | Hamish Graham[82] | Delbert Kirsch† | |||||||
| Canora-Pelly | Sean Wilson[93] | Wynn Fedorchuk[94] | Casimira Rimando[82] | Niall Schofield (Buff.)[90] | Terry Dennis† | |||||||
| Carrot River Valley | Terri Bromm[80] | CJ Binkley[84] | Shauna Stanley Seymour[85] | Liam Becker Lau[82] | Fred Bradshaw† | |||||||
| Cumberland | Gregory Seib[95] | Jordan McPhail[84] | Siwichis Bird-Paddy[82] | Nasser Dean Chalifoux (Ind.)[96] | Doyle Vermette† | |||||||
| Kelvington-Wadena | Chris Beaudry[97] | Lorne Schroeder[98] | Clint Gottinger[85] | Gillian Halyk[82] | Hugh Nerlien† | |||||||
| Melfort | Todd Goudy[80] | Melanie Dyck[84] | Dave Moore[99] | Tristan St. Germain[82] | Todd Goudy | |||||||
| Prince Albert Carlton | Kevin Kasun[100] | Carolyn Brost Strom[84] | Denneil Carpenter[85] | Andrew Muirhead[82] | Joe Hargrave† | |||||||
| Prince Albert Northcote | Alana Ross[80] | Nicole Rancourt[84] | Terri Davis[101] | Jarren Jones[82] | Alana Ross | |||||||
| Saskatchewan Rivers | Eric Schmalz[80] | Doug Racine[84] | Nadine Wilson[61] | Alesha Bruce[82] | Bernard Lalonde (P.C.)[102] | Nadine Wilson | ||||||
West Central Saskatchewan
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | SUP | Buffalo | Green | Other | |||||||||
| Dakota-Arm River | Barret Kropf[103] | Jordan Wiens[84] | Darren Ebenal[85] | Joseph Reynolds[82] | Raymond L. Carrick (P.C.)[104] | Dana Skoropad† Arm River | ||||||||
| Humboldt-Watrous | Racquel Hilbert[105] | Kevin Fallis[84] | Carrie Ann Hradecki[106] | Megan Christianson[96] | Sharon Thibault[82] | Rose Buscholl (P.C.)[107] | Donna Harpauer† | |||||||
| Kindersley-Biggar | Kim Gartner[108] | Cindy Hoppe[84] | Jeff Wortman[90] | Darcy Robilliard[82] | Wade Sira (Ind.)[99] | Ken Francis† Kindersley | ||||||||
| Martensville-Blairmore | Jamie Martens[109] | Tammy Pike[84] | Brittney Ricottone[82] | Terry Jenson‡ Martensville-Warman | ||||||||||
| Rosetown-Delisle | Jim Reiter[80] | Brenda Edel[84] | Sean Muirhead[82] | Jim Reiter Rosetown-Elrose | ||||||||||
| Warman | Terry Jenson[80] | Erica Baerwald[84] | Andrea Early[85] | Mark Friesen[99] | Adriana Hackl Pinno[82] | Randy Weekes† Biggar-Sask Valley | ||||||||
Southwest Saskatchewan
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | Green | Other | |||||||
| Cypress Hills | Doug Steele[80] | Clare McNab[84] | Doug Wilson (Buff.)[90] | Doug Steele | ||||||
| Lumsden-Morse | Blaine McLeod[91] | Chauntel Baudu[110] | Isaiah Hunter[82] | Jon Hromek (SUP)[61] | Blaine McLeod | |||||
| Megan Torrie (P.C.)[111] | ||||||||||
| Moose Jaw North | Tim McLeod[80] | Cheantelle Fisher[84] | Kimberly Epp[82] | Tim McLeod | ||||||
| Moose Jaw Wakamow | Megan Patterson[91] | Melissa Patterson[84] | Michael Gardiner[82] | Greg Lawrence† | ||||||
| Swift Current | Everett Hindley[80] | Jay Kimball[84] | George Watson[82] | Constance P Maffenbeier (Buff.)[90] | Everett Hindley | |||||
| Wood River | David Marit[80] | Mike Topola[84] | Melvin Pylychuk[82] | Clint Arnason (P.C.)[112] | Dave Marit | |||||
| Todd McIntyre (SUP)[85] | ||||||||||
Southeast Saskatchewan
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | SUP | Buffalo | Green | ||||||||
| Cannington | Daryl Harrison[80] | Dianne Twietmeyer[84] | Barbara Helfrick[99] | Michelle Krieger[91] | Natalie Lund-Clysdale[82] | Daryl Harrison | ||||||
| Estevan-Big Muddy | Lori Carr[80] | Phil Smith[84] | Andrew Cey[85] | Phillip Zajac[91] | Billy Patterson[82] | Lori Carr Estevan | ||||||
| Last Mountain-Touchwood | Travis Keisig[80] | Thera Nordal[98] | Gene Unruh[85] | Elvin Mandziak[99] | Travis Keisig | |||||||
| Melville-Saltcoats | Warren Kaeding[80] | Karen Hovind[84] | Curtis Brooks[85] | Frank Serfas[99] | Micah Mang[82] | Warren Kaeding | ||||||
| Moosomin-Montmartre | Kevin Weedmark[113] | Chris Ball[84] | Adam Erickson[85] | Otis Ayre[90] | Remi Rheault[82] | Steven Bonk† Moosomin | ||||||
| Weyburn-Bengough | Michael Weger[114] | Seth Lendrum[84] | Rose McInnes[85] | Andrew Shanaida[90] | North Hunter[82] | Dustin Duncan† Weyburn-Big Muddy | ||||||
| White City-Qu'appelle | Brad Crassweller[115] | Grady Birns[84] | Darcy Thiele[85] | Don McMorris† Indian Head-Milestone | ||||||||
| Yorkton | David Chan[116] | Lenore Pinder[84] | Doug Forster[85] | Timothy Kasprick[96] | Valerie Brooks[82] | Greg Ottenbreit† | ||||||
Saskatoon East
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | SUP | Green | Progress | ||||||||
| Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood | Lisa Lambert[80] | Keith Jorgenson[84] | Morgan McAdam[82] | Lisa Lambert | ||||||||
| Saskatoon Eastview | Francis Kreiser[117] | Matt Love[84] | Brad McAvoy[85] | Kendra Anderson[82] | Matt Love | |||||||
| Saskatoon Nutana | Mumtaz Naseeb[118] | Erika Ritchie[84] | Whitney Greenleaf[82] | Erika Ritchie | ||||||||
| Saskatoon Silverspring | Paul Merriman[80] | Hugh Gordon[84] | Jackie Hanson[82] | Paul Merriman Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland | ||||||||
| Saskatoon Southeast | John Owojori[119] | Brittney Senger[84] | Greg Brkich[88] | Mohammad Abushar[82] | Don Morgan† | |||||||
| Saskatoon Stonebridge | Bronwyn Eyre[80] | Darcy Warrington[84] | Cheryl Mazil[82] | Jahangir J Valiani[120] | Bronwyn Eyre Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota | |||||||
| Saskatoon University-Sutherland | Ghislaine McLeod[121] | Tajinder Grewal[84] | Dawne Badrock[85] | Felipe Guerra[82] | Jennifer Bowes† Saskatoon University | |||||||
| Saskatoon Willowgrove | Ken Cheveldayoff[80] | Alana Wakula[84] | William Hughes[85] | Tawe Morin[82] | Ken Cheveldayoff | |||||||
Saskatoon West
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | Green | Buffalo | |||||||
| Saskatoon Centre | Dale Hrynuik[122] | Betty Nippi-Albright[84] | Darry Michelle[82] | Betty Nippi-Albright | ||||||
| Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis | Parminder Singh[123] | Don McBean[84] | Shane Caellaigh[82] | Vacant Saskatoon Northwest | ||||||
| Saskatoon Fairview | Zahid Sandhu[124] | Vicki Mowat[84] | Phoenix Neault[82] | Tony Ollenberger[90] | Vicki Mowat | |||||
| Saskatoon Meewasin | Maureen Alice Torr[125] | Nathaniel Teed[84] | Jacklin Andrews[82] | Nathaniel Teed | ||||||
| Saskatoon Riversdale | Olu Fakoyejo[126] | Kim Breckner[84] | Naomi Hunter[82] | Marv Friesen† | ||||||
| Saskatoon Westview | David Buckingham[80] | April ChiefCalf[84] | Jupiter Neault[82] | David Buckingham | ||||||
Regina
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | NDP | Green | PC | Other | ||||||||
| Regina Coronation Park | Riaz Ahmad[127] | Noor Burki[84] | Maria Krznar[82] | Olasehinde Ben Adebayo[128] | Noor Burki | |||||||
| Regina Douglas Park | Ken Grey[129] | Nicole Sarauer[84] | Victor Lau[82] | Nicole Sarauer | ||||||||
| Regina Elphinstone-Centre | Caesar Khan[130] | Meara Conway[84] | Jim Elliott[82] | Nathan Bruce (Prog.)[99] | Meara Conway | |||||||
| Pamela Carpenter (SUP)[85] | ||||||||||||
| Regina Lakeview | Sarah Wright[131] | Carla Beck[84] | Heather MacNeill[82] | Victor Teece[132] | Carla Beck | |||||||
| Regina Mount Royal | Jaspreet Mander[133] | Trent Wotherspoon[84] | Regina Demyen[82] | Trent Wotherspoon Regina Rosemont | ||||||||
| Regina Northeast | Rahul Singh[134] | Jacqueline Roy[84] | Anthony Thomas Majore[82] | Kate Tremblay (Prog.)[135] | Gary Grewal† | |||||||
| Regina Pasqua | Muhammad Fiaz[80] | Bhajan Brar[84] | Ekaterina Cabylis[82] | Justin Parnell[136] | Shannon Chapple (Buff.)[90] | Muhammad Fiaz | ||||||
| Regina Rochdale | Laura Ross[91] | Joan Pratchler[84] | Irene Browatzke[82] | Laura Ross | ||||||||
| Regina South Albert | Khushdil (Lucky) Mehrok[91] | Aleana Young[84] | Leonie Williams[82] | David Teece[137] | Aleana Young Regina University | |||||||
| Regina University | Gene Makowsky[80] | Sally Housser[84] | Cedar Park[82] | Corie Rempel[138] | Gene Makowsky Regina Gardiner Park | |||||||
| Regina Walsh Acres | Liaqat Ali[139] | Jared Clarke[84] | Dianna Holigroski[82] | Bonnie Farrell (SUP)[99] | Jared Clarke | |||||||
| Regina Wascana Plains | Christine Tell[80] | Brent Blakley[84] | Bo Chen[82] | Larry Buchinski[140] | Dustin Plett (SUP)[85] | Christine Tell | ||||||
Opinion polls
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polling firm | Client | Dates conducted | Source | SK Party | NDP | Buffalo | Green | PC | Progress | United | Others | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method | Lead |
| 2024 general election | Oct 28, 2024 | [141] | 52.3% | 40.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 3.9% | 0.1% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 11.9% | |
| Forum Research | N/A | Oct 25–27, 2024 | [p 1] | 46% | 49% | — | 2.1% | — | — | — | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2,934 | Smart IVR | 3% |
| Research Co. | N/A | Oct 25–27, 2024 | [p 2] | 46% | 48% | — | — | — | — | — | 5% | 4.5% | 500 | Online | 2% |
| Liaison Strategies | NEPMCC | Oct 24–25, 2024 | [p 3] | 46% | 49% | — | — | — | — | — | 5% | 3.63% | 729 | Smart IVR | 3% |
| Mainstreet Research | N/A | Oct 22–24, 2024 | [p 4] | 45% | 49% | — | — | — | — | — | 7% | 3.4% | 820 | Smart IVR | 4% |
| Insightrix | CTV News | Oct 18–20, 2024 | [p 5] | 45% | 50% | — | — | — | — | — | 5% | 3.5% | 802 | Online | 5% |
| Cardinal Research | N/A | Oct 9–24, 2024 | [p 6] | 49% | 43% | 1% | — | — | — | 3% | 3% | 3.5% | 798 | Telephone | 6% |
| Research Co. | N/A | Oct 7–9, 2024 | [p 7] | 51% | 43% | — | 3% | — | — | — | 2% | 4.8% | 500 | Online | 8% |
| Janet Brown Opinion Research/Trend Research | CUPE Saskatchewan | Sep 23 – Oct 3, 2024 | [p 8] | 45% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3.5% | 800 | Telephone | 5% |
| Mainstreet Research | N/A | Sep 14–17, 2024 | [p 9] | 50% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | 11% | 3.3% | 857 | Smart IVR | 10% |
| Insightrix | CTV News | Sep 10–12, 2024 | [p 10] | 48% | 49% | — | — | — | — | — | 4% | 3.3% | 806 | Online | 1% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Aug 16–20, 2024 | [p 11][p 12] | 49% | 42% | — | — | — | — | 5% | 4% | 3% | 802 | Online | 7% |
| Insightrix | N/A | July 23–26, 2024 | [p 13] | 47% | 48% | — | — | — | — | — | 5% | 3.3% | 860 | Online | 1% |
| May 16, 2024 | Nadine Wilson steps down as leader of the Saskatchewan United Party and Jon Hromek is appointed as the new leader. | ||||||||||||||
| Angus Reid | N/A | Feb 28 – Mar 12, 2024 | [p 14][p 15] | 50% | 38% | — | 1% | — | — | 6% | 5% | 4% | 504 | Online | 12% |
| Insightrix | N/A | Feb 6–8, 2024 | [p 16] | 47% | 49% | — | — | — | — | — | 4% | 3.5% | 800 | Online | 2% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Nov 24 – Dec 1, 2023 | [p 17] | 52% | 39% | — | — | — | 3% | — | 6% | 5% | 350 | Online | 13% |
| Insightrix | The SKoop | Oct 4–6, 2023 | [p 18][p 19] | 51% | 45% | — | — | — | — | — | 4% | 3.5% | 801 | Online | 6% |
| Aug 10, 2023 | By-elections were held in Regina Coronation Park, Regina Walsh Acres, and Lumsden-Morse. | ||||||||||||||
| July 19, 2023 | The Saskatchewan Liberal Party changes their party name to the Saskatchewan Progress Party. | ||||||||||||||
| Insightrix | The SKoop | July 11–14, 2023 | [p 20][p 21] | 45% | 36% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3.5% | 803 | Online | 9% |
| Insightrix | The SKoop | Apr 11–13, 2023 | [p 22][p 23][p 24][p 25] | 46% | 37% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | — | 3.5% | 803 | Online | 9% |
| Nov 30, 2022 | The Saskatchewan United Party becomes a registered party, and Nadine Wilson becomes the party's first MLA. | ||||||||||||||
| Sep 26, 2022 | A by-election was held in Saskatoon Meewasin. | ||||||||||||||
| June 26, 2022 | Carla Beck becomes leader of the NDP. | ||||||||||||||
| Angus Reid | N/A | Jun 07–13, 2022 | [p 26][p 27] | 57% | 34% | — | 1% | — | 2% | — | 6% | 4% | 513 | Online | 23% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Mar 10–15, 2022 | [p 28][p 29] | 54% | 36% | — | 2% | — | 2% | — | 6% | 4% | 602 | Online | 18% |
| Research Co. | N/A | Feb 19–23, 2022 | [p 30] | 53% | 37% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | — | 1% | 3.5% | 808 | Online | 16% |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Ryan Meili announces his intention to step down as leader of the NDP. | ||||||||||||||
| Feb 15, 2022 | A by-election was held in Athabasca. | ||||||||||||||
| Angus Reid | N/A | Jan 7–12, 2022 | [p 31][p 32] | 48% | 39% | — | 1% | — | 2% | — | 10% | 5% | 415 | Online | 9% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 | [p 33] | 52% | 35% | — | 1% | — | 2% | — | 9% | 2% | 505 | Online | 17% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Jun 2–7, 2021 | [p 34] | 57% | 31% | — | 3% | — | 2% | — | 8% | 4% | 412 | Online | 26% |
| Leger | Common Ground | Mar 1–8, 2021 | [p 35] | 41.5% | 36.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | — | 0.2% | N/A | 802 | Online | 5.3% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Nov 24–30, 2020 | [p 36] | 58% | 27% | — | 3% | — | 1% | — | 11% | 1.4% | 459 | Online | 29% |
| 2020 general election | Oct 26, 2020 | N/a | 60.7% | 31.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | — | 0.2% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 28.9% | |
Results
Although public opinion polling in the latter half of the campaign suggested that the NDP was leading the Saskatchewan Party in popular support, it remained unclear whether this would translate into a majority government, as their lead was based entirely on being ahead in Regina and Saskatoon while remaining ten points or more behind in the province's more rural districts.[142]
Taking nearly all rural ridings and two in Saskatoon (Saskatoon Willowgrove, and Martensville-Blairmore—which includes the Blairmore neighbourhood of Saskatoon), the Saskatchewan Party won enough seats to form its fifth consecutive majority government. If the Saskatchewan Party completes a full four years in office, it will be the second-longest streak of party control in Saskatchewan, exceeded only by the Liberal governments of 1905–1929.[143][1][2][3] The NDP reduced the Saskatchewan Party's majority from eleven seats at dissolution to three, taking all of Regina and all but two ridings in Saskatoon. Only one Saskatoon-based Saskatchewan Party MLA, Ken Cheveldayoff, won re-election.[144]
The NDP achieved upset victories over several long-standing Saskatchewan Party MLAs and ministers, including Bronwyn Eyre, Gene Makowsky, Paul Merriman, Laura Ross, and Christine Tell. The NDP also reclaimed the far northern seat of Athabasca, a party stronghold which the party had unexpectedly lost to the Saskatchewan Party in a 2022 by-election, but did not otherwise make any new gains in the province's rural districts.[145] The Saskatchewan United Party failed to win any seats, and lost its sole seat—held by party founder and former leader Nadine Wilson in the Saskatchewan Rivers riding—to the Saskatchewan Party candidate Eric Schmalz.[146]
Of the 32,476 mail-in ballots requested, only 20,417 had been returned by October 30. The remaining 12,059 must be received by November 7 (two days before the Final Count) in order to be validly entered into the total result.[147] There may yet be judicial recounts: under Saskatchewan law, they may only be requested by a candidate, and only if there is a tie or where the margin of victory is less than the number of rejected ballots and others objected to.[147]
| Party | Leader | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | ± | % | Change (pp) | 2020 | 2024 | ± | ||||||
| Saskatchewan | Scott Moe | 61 | 244,037 | 25,959 | 52.3 | −8.82 | 48 | 34 / 61 |
14 | |||
| New Democratic | Carla Beck | 61 | 188,373 | 47,797 | 40.4 | 8.58 | 13 | 27 / 61 |
14 | |||
| Saskatchewan United | Jon Hromek | 31 | 18,023 | 18,023 | 3.9 | 3.9 | * | |||||
| Green | Naomi Hunter | 58 | 7,957 | 2,074 | 1.8 | −0.47 | ||||||
| Progressive Conservative | Rose Marie Buscholl | 11 | 4,397 | 4,007 | 1.0 | −0.9 | ||||||
| Buffalo | Phillip Zajac | 16 | 3,267 | 8,031 | 0.7 | −1.86 | ||||||
| Progress | Teunis Peters | 3 | 536 | 181 | 0.2 | 0.1 | ||||||
| Independent | 2 | 340 | 736 | 0.1 | −0.14 | |||||||
| Total | 243 | 471,087 | 100.00% | |||||||||
| Rejected ballots | - | - | ||||||||||
| Turnout | 471,087 | 29,351 |
56.77% | 3.91 | ||||||||
| Registered voters | 810,816 | - | ||||||||||
Synopsis of results
| Riding[a 1] | Winning party | Turnout[150] [a 2] |
Votes | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1st place | Votes | Share | Margin # |
Margin % |
2nd place | 3rd place | Sask | NDP | SUP | Grn | PC | Buff | SPP | Ind | Total | ||||||
| Athabasca | NDP | NDP | 1,823 | 62.80% | 788 | 27.14% | Sask | Green | 31.45% | 1,035 | 1,823 | – | 45 | – | – | – | – | 2,903 | ||||
| Batoche | Sask | Sask | 4,415 | 61.20% | 2,205 | 30.57% | NDP | SUP | 60.27% | 4,415 | 2,210 | 450 | 139 | – | – | – | – | 7,214 | ||||
| Cannington | Sask | Sask | 6,157 | 73.68% | 5,034 | 60.24% | NDP | Buff | 60.28% | 6,157 | 1,123 | 424 | 103 | – | 549 | – | – | 8,356 | ||||
| Canora-Pelly | Sask | Sask | 5,227 | 71.07% | 3,476 | 47.26% | NDP | Buff | 57.09% | 5,227 | 1,751 | – | 154 | – | 223 | – | – | 7,355 | ||||
| Carrot River Valley | Sask | Sask | 4,857 | 67.12% | 3,462 | 47.84% | NDP | SUP | 54.23% | 4,857 | 1,395 | 844 | 140 | – | – | – | – | 7,236 | ||||
| Cumberland | NDP | NDP | 2,289 | 55.10% | 647 | 15.58% | Sask | Green | 29.63% | 1,642 | 2,289 | – | 173 | – | – | – | 50 | 4,154 | ||||
| Cut Knife-Turtleford | Sask | Sask | 5,597 | 71.27% | 4,061 | 51.71% | NDP | SUP | 55.66% | 5,597 | 1,536 | 566 | 154 | – | – | – | – | 7,853 | ||||
| Cypress Hills | Sask | Sask | 5,807 | 74.76% | 4,341 | 55.88% | NDP | Buff | 57.06% | 5,807 | 1,466 | – | – | – | 495 | – | – | 7,768 | ||||
| Dakota-Arm River | New | Sask | 5,027 | 57.45% | 2,913 | 33.29% | NDP | SUP | 65.18% | 5,027 | 2,114 | 1,074 | 92 | 443 | – | – | – | 8,750 | ||||
| Estevan-Big Muddy | New | Sask | 5,277 | 69.97% | 4,304 | 57.07% | NDP | Buff | 57.60% | 5,277 | 973 | 453 | 84 | – | 755 | – | – | 7,542 | ||||
| Humboldt-Watrous | Sask | Sask | 5,271 | 58.66% | 3,041 | 33.85% | NDP | PC | 64.25% | 5,271 | 2,230 | 600 | 127 | 660 | 97 | – | – | 8,985 | ||||
| Kelvington-Wadena | Sask | Sask | 5,015 | 65.07% | 3,279 | 42.55% | NDP | SUP | 60.94% | 5,015 | 1,736 | 831 | 125 | – | – | – | – | 7,707 | ||||
| Kindersley-Biggar | New | Sask | 5,749 | 76.83% | 4,526 | 60.48% | NDP | Ind | 56.49% | 5,749 | 1,223 | – | 115 | – | 106 | – | 290 | 7,483 | ||||
| Last Mountain-Touchwood | Sask | Sask | 4,144 | 53.08% | 1,643 | 21.05% | NDP | SUP | 61.36% | 4,144 | 2,501 | 1,107 | – | – | 55 | – | – | 7,807 | ||||
| Lloydminster | Sask | Sask | 3,497 | 77.04% | 2,769 | 61.00% | NDP | SUP | 32.64% | 3,497 | 728 | 276 | 38 | – | – | – | – | 4,539 | ||||
| Lumsden-Morse | Sask | Sask | 4,774 | 55.06% | 2,617 | 30.18% | NDP | SUP | 65.75% | 4,774 | 2,157 | 1,371 | 61 | 308 | – | – | – | 8,671 | ||||
| Martensville-Blairmore | New | Sask | 4,617 | 59.93% | 1,688 | 21.91% | NDP | Green | 56.21% | 4,617 | 2,929 | – | 158 | – | – | – | – | 7,704 | ||||
| Meadow Lake | Sask | Sask | 4,102 | 62.34% | 2,035 | 30.93% | NDP | SUP | 49.33% | 4,102 | 2,067 | 304 | 107 | – | – | – | – | 6,580 | ||||
| Melfort | Sask | Sask | 5,796 | 73.90% | 4,220 | 53.81% | NDP | SUP | 59.22% | 5,796 | 1,576 | 379 | 92 | – | – | – | – | 7,843 | ||||
| Melville-Saltcoats | Sask | Sask | 5,182 | 65.55% | 3,237 | 40.95% | NDP | SUP | 60.41% | 5,182 | 1,945 | 620 | 86 | – | 72 | – | – | 7,905 | ||||
| Moose Jaw North | Sask | Sask | 4,578 | 59.31% | 1,584 | 20.52% | NDP | Green | 60.68% | 4,578 | 2,994 | – | 147 | – | – | – | – | 7,719 | ||||
| Moose Jaw Wakamow | Sask | Sask | 3,819 | 55.02% | 925 | 13.33% | NDP | Green | 52.71% | 3,819 | 2,894 | – | 228 | – | – | – | – | 6,941 | ||||
| Moosomin-Montmartre | Sask | Sask | 5,291 | 66.10% | 3,380 | 42.22% | NDP | SUP | 57.75% | 5,291 | 1,911 | 609 | 122 | – | 72 | – | – | 8,005 | ||||
| Prince Albert Carlton | Sask | Sask | 3,166 | 51.08% | 444 | 7.16% | NDP | SUP | 50.84% | 3,166 | 2,722 | 241 | 69 | – | – | – | – | 6,198 | ||||
| Prince Albert Northcote | Sask | Sask | 2,892 | 47.77% | 133 | 2.20% | NDP | SUP | 42.53% | 2,892 | 2,759 | 302 | 101 | – | – | – | – | 6,054 | ||||
| Regina Coronation Park | Sask | NDP | 3,926 | 52.73% | 1,092 | 14.67% | Sask | PC | 53.54% | 2,834 | 3,926 | – | 272 | 414 | – | – | – | 7,446 | ||||
| Regina Douglas Park | NDP | NDP | 4,199 | 65.55% | 2,196 | 34.28% | Sask | Green | 49.56% | 2,003 | 4,199 | – | 204 | – | – | – | – | 6,406 | ||||
| Regina Elphinstone-Centre | NDP | NDP | 3,268 | 61.08% | 1,851 | 34.60% | Sask | SUP | 38.06% | 1,417 | 3,268 | 310 | 156 | – | – | 199 | – | 5,350 | ||||
| Regina Lakeview | NDP | NDP | 6,260 | 70.42% | 4,048 | 45.53% | Sask | PC | 65.47% | 2,212 | 6,260 | – | 170 | 248 | – | – | – | 8,890 | ||||
| Regina Mount Royal | New | NDP | 5,419 | 61.25% | 2,164 | 24.46% | Sask | Green | 62.44% | 3,255 | 5,419 | – | 174 | – | – | – | – | 8,848 | ||||
| Regina Northeast | Sask | NDP | 3,660 | 50.73% | 507 | 7.03% | Sask | SPP | 59.14% | 3,153 | 3,660 | – | 149 | – | – | 253 | – | 7,215 | ||||
| Regina Pasqua | Sask | NDP | 3,814 | 52.35% | 1,005 | 13.79% | Sask | PC | 62.42% | 2,809 | 3,814 | – | 132 | 441 | 90 | – | – | 7,286 | ||||
| Regina Rochdale | Sask | NDP | 5,046 | 53.44% | 816 | 8.64% | Sask | Green | 66.84% | 4,230 | 5,046 | – | 167 | – | – | – | – | 9,443 | ||||
| Regina South Albert | New | NDP | 5,108 | 64.73% | 2,773 | 35.14% | Sask | PC | 65.90% | 2,335 | 5,108 | – | 131 | 317 | – | – | – | 7,891 | ||||
| Regina University | NDP | NDP | 4,081 | 52.20% | 655 | 8.38% | Sask | PC | 66.83% | 3,426 | 4,081 | – | 78 | 233 | – | – | – | 7,818 | ||||
| Regina Walsh Acres | Sask | NDP | 4,700 | 56.99% | 1,627 | 19.73% | Sask | SUP | 58.98% | 3,073 | 4,700 | 352 | 122 | – | – | – | – | 8,247 | ||||
| Regina Wascana Plains | Sask | NDP | 4,696 | 48.58% | 593 | 6.13% | Sask | SUP | 64.77% | 4,103 | 4,696 | 414 | 98 | 356 | – | – | – | 9,667 | ||||
| Rosetown-Delisle | New | Sask | 5,965 | 70.74% | 3,730 | 44.24% | NDP | Green | 63.58% | 5,965 | 2,235 | – | 232 | – | – | – | – | 8,432 | ||||
| Rosthern-Shellbrook | Sask | Sask | 5,279 | 64.18% | 3,453 | 41.98% | NDP | SUP | 61.97% | 5,279 | 1,826 | 1,031 | 89 | – | – | – | – | 8,225 | ||||
| Saskatchewan Rivers | Sask | Sask | 3,945 | 53.68% | 1,876 | 25.53% | NDP | SUP | 57.31% | 3,945 | 2,069 | 824 | 87 | 424 | – | – | – | 7,349 | ||||
| Saskatoon Centre | NDP | NDP | 3,794 | 61.24% | 1,603 | 25.88% | Sask | Green | 46.95% | 2,191 | 3,794 | – | 210 | – | – | – | – | 6,195 | ||||
| Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis | Sask | NDP | 4,721 | 51.49% | 559 | 6.10% | Sask | Green | 63.25% | 4,162 | 4,721 | – | 285 | – | – | – | – | 9,168 | ||||
| Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood | Sask | NDP | 4,621 | 57.67% | 1,359 | 16.96% | Sask | Green | 64.61% | 3,262 | 4,621 | – | 130 | – | – | – | – | 8,013 | ||||
| Saskatoon Eastview | NDP | NDP | 5,392 | 59.42% | 2,030 | 22.37% | Sask | SUP | 64.78% | 3,362 | 5,392 | 196 | 125 | – | – | – | – | 9,075 | ||||
| Saskatoon Fairview | NDP | NDP | 4,121 | 56.54% | 1,358 | 18.63% | Sask | Green | 52.41% | 2,763 | 4,121 | – | 244 | – | 161 | – | – | 7,289 | ||||
| Saskatoon Meewasin | NDP | NDP | 4,617 | 59.20% | 1,677 | 21.50% | Sask | Green | 59.32% | 2,940 | 4,617 | – | 242 | – | – | – | – | 7,799 | ||||
| Saskatoon Nutana | NDP | NDP | 6,163 | 74.21% | 4,207 | 50.66% | Sask | Green | 61.54% | 1,956 | 6,163 | – | 186 | – | – | – | – | 8,305 | ||||
| Saskatoon Riversdale | Sask | NDP | 3,624 | 60.43% | 1,506 | 25.11% | Sask | Green | 42.54% | 2,118 | 3,624 | – | 255 | – | – | – | – | 5,997 | ||||
| Saskatoon Silverspring | New | NDP | 4,435 | 51.43% | 436 | 5.06% | Sask | Green | 62.28% | 3,999 | 4,435 | – | 190 | – | – | – | – | 8,624 | ||||
| Saskatoon Southeast | Sask | NDP | 4,921 | 50.53% | 429 | 4.41% | Sask | SUP | 65.65% | 4,492 | 4,921 | 216 | 109 | – | – | – | – | 9,738 | ||||
| Saskatoon Stonebridge | New | NDP | 4,177 | 54.30% | 841 | 10.93% | Sask | Green | 62.89% | 3,336 | 4,177 | – | 96 | – | – | 84 | – | 7,693 | ||||
| Saskatoon University-Sutherland | New | NDP | 3,960 | 55.92% | 1,298 | 18.33% | Sask | SUP | 59.52% | 2,662 | 3,960 | 312 | 147 | – | – | – | – | 7,081 | ||||
| Saskatoon Westview | Sask | NDP | 3,576 | 49.56% | 74 | 1.03% | Sask | Green | 56.11% | 3,502 | 3,576 | – | 138 | – | – | – | – | 7,216 | ||||
| Saskatoon Willowgrove | Sask | Sask | 4,895 | 49.02% | 136 | 1.36% | NDP | SUP | 64.58% | 4,895 | 4,759 | 251 | 80 | – | – | – | – | 9,985 | ||||
| Swift Current | Sask | Sask | 4,849 | 66.42% | 2,712 | 37.15% | NDP | Buff | 59.08% | 4,849 | 2,137 | – | 98 | – | 216 | – | – | 7,300 | ||||
| The Battlefords | Sask | Sask | 4,352 | 59.40% | 1,633 | 22.29% | NDP | Green | 53.69% | 4,352 | 2,719 | – | 140 | – | 115 | – | – | 7,326 | ||||
| Warman | New | Sask | 5,927 | 65.56% | 3,641 | 40.28% | NDP | SUP | 64.16% | 5,927 | 2,286 | 650 | 52 | – | 125 | – | – | 9,040 | ||||
| Weyburn-Bengough | New | Sask | 5,785 | 66.76% | 4,210 | 48.59% | NDP | SUP | 62.33% | 5,785 | 1,575 | 1,092 | 119 | – | 94 | – | – | 8,665 | ||||
| White City-Qu'appelle | New | Sask | 5,298 | 55.76% | 1,705 | 17.94% | NDP | SUP | 65.80% | 5,298 | 3,593 | 611 | – | – | – | – | – | 9,502 | ||||
| Wood River | Sask | Sask | 5,700 | 68.26% | 4,151 | 49.71% | NDP | PC | 63.26% | 5,700 | 1,549 | 495 | 54 | 553 | – | – | – | 8,351 | ||||
| Yorkton | Sask | Sask | 3,513 | 51.79% | 1,239 | 18.27% | NDP | SUP | 52.74% | 3,513 | 2,274 | 818 | 136 | – | 42 | – | – | 6,783 | ||||
- = Open seat
- = Turnout is above provincial average
- = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
- = Incumbent had switched allegiance
- = Previously incumbent in another riding
- = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
- = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
- = Other incumbents renominated
- = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
- = Multiple candidates
Comparative analysis for ridings (2024 vs 2020)
2020
2024
Summary analysis
| Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| █ Saskatchewan | 34 | 27 | |||
| █ New Democratic | 27 | 34 | |||
| █ Saskatchewan United | 27 | 4 | |||
| █ Green | 20 | 28 | 10 | ||
| █ Progressive Conservative | 7 | 4 | |||
| █ Buffalo | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||
| █ Progress | 1 | 2 | |||
| █ Independent | 1 | 1 |
Opinion poll sources
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- Canseco, Mario (October 28, 2024). "Late Surge Gives Saskatchewan Its Closest Election Since 2003". Research Co.
- "SK NDP Leads Saskatchewan Party, 49% to 46%". Liaison Strategies. October 26, 2024.
- "Mainstreet Research Survey - Saskatchewan" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. October 25, 2024. Retrieved October 26, 2024.
- "Saskatchewan NDP gaining momentum among decided voters, new poll says". CTV News Regina. Bell Media. October 22, 2024. Retrieved October 22, 2024.
- "Ruling Party Stays Ahead of Opposition NDP in Saskatchewan". Research Co. October 11, 2024. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
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- "Residents say federal government most to blame for rising cost of living in Saskatchewan, according to new poll". The SKoop. October 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
- "The SKoop Polling – October 2023". Insightrix. October 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
- "The SKoop Polling: Cost of living, healthcare top issues for Saskatchewan voters; Saskatchewan Party best able to handle cost of living issues". The SKoop. July 26, 2023. Archived from the original on July 27, 2023. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- "NEW POLLING: Cost of Living, Healthcare Top Issues for Sask. Voters". The SKoop. July 21, 2023. Archived from the original on July 25, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- Polling Canada [@CanadianPolling] (April 24, 2023). "Saskatchewan Provincial Polling..." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- "POLLING: Sask. Party Leads NDP, Sask. United Barely Registering Support". The SKoop. April 21, 2023. Archived from the original on April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
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- Salloum, Alec (April 24, 2023). "Recent poll shows NDP favoured over Sask. Party in Regina, Saskatoon". Regina Leader-Post. Postmedia Network. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
- "Prairie Politics: Moe and Stefanson share a border, but residents' government satisfaction is worlds apart". Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
- "Full Report" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
- "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
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- "What is Saskatchewan?". Research Co. February 25, 2022. Archived from the original on February 25, 2022. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
- "Spotlight on Provincial Politics" (PDF). Angus Reid. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
- "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
- "Provincial Spotlight" (PDF). Angus Reid. October 27, 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
- "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). angusreid.org. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 10, 2021.
- "Viewpoint Saskatchewan: Vote Intentions & Party Identifications". Common Ground. Archived from the original on December 3, 2021. Retrieved December 3, 2021.
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Notes
- The Biggar-Sask Valley constituency was eliminated following redistribution, prompting Weekes, then a Saskatchewan Party MLA, to seek the party's nomination in Kindersley-Biggar, which includes a portion of the former Biggar-Sask Valley constituency. Weekes later left the Saskatchewan Party after losing the nomination.