2005 Basque regional election
Election in the Spanish region of the Basque Country
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A regional election was held in the Basque Country on 17 April 2005 to elect the 8th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
17 April 2005
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All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,799,523 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 1,223,634 (68.0%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The electoral alliance Basque Nationalist Party–Basque Solidarity (PNV–EA) won 29 seats, the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE) came second with 18 seats, the People's Party (PP) came in third with 15 seats. The controversial Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK) won 9 seats, having been endorsed by the banned Batasuna party.
Overview
Under the 1979 Statute of Autonomy, the Basque Parliament was the unicameral legislature of the Basque Autonomous Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a lehendakari.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]
Date
The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.[3] The previous election was held on 13 May 2001, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 13 May 2005. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 19 April 2005, setting the latest possible date for election day on 12 June 2005.
The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process.[4] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a 60-day period from the Parliament's reconvening, the chamber was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[5]
The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 22 February 2005 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOPV, setting election day for 17 April.[6]
Electoral system
Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[7]
The Basque Parliament had 75 seats. All were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Guipúzcoa, each of which was assigned a fixed number of 25 seats to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.[8] The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.[9]
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[10]
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[11][12]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group | EAJ/PNV | 26 | 26 | ||
| Basque People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 19 | 19 | ||
| Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group | PSE–EE (PSOE) | 13 | 13 | ||
| Patriotic Socialist Parliamentary Group | Batasuna | 7 | 7 | ||
| Basque Solidarity Parliamentary Group | EA | 7 | 7 | ||
| Mixed Group | EB–B | 3 | 3 | ||
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[13]
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PNV–EA | List
|
Juan José Ibarretxe | Basque nationalism Christian democracy Conservative liberalism |
42.4% | 33 | ||||
| PP | List
|
María San Gil | Conservatism Christian democracy |
22.9% | 19 | [14] [15] [16] | |||
| PSE–EE (PSOE) |
List
|
Patxi López | Social democracy | 17.8% | 13 | [17] [18] | |||
| PCTV/EHAK | List
|
Maite Aranburu | Basque independence Abertzale left Communism |
10.0% [a] |
7 | ||||
| EB–B | List
|
Javier Madrazo | Eco-socialism Democratic socialism |
5.5% [b] |
3 | ||||
| UA | List
|
Enriqueta Benito | Alavese regionalism Christian democracy |
N/a[c] | |||||
| Aralar | List
|
Aintzane Ezenarro | Basque independence Left-wing nationalism Democratic socialism |
N/a | |||||
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 regional election | 17 Apr 2005 | N/a | 68.0 | 38.4 29 |
17.3 15 |
22.5 18 |
– | 5.3 3 |
[d] | 0.3 0 |
2.3 1 |
12.4 9 |
15.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[e][p 1][p 2] | 17 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | ? 28/30 |
? 14/15 |
? 18 |
– | ? 3 |
[d] | – | ? 1 |
? 9/10 |
? |
| Ipsos–Eco/EITB[e][p 3][p 4] | 17 Apr 2005 | 65,000 | ? | ? 29/31 |
? 13/14 |
? 18 |
– | ? 3 |
[d] | – | ? 1 |
? 9/10 |
? |
| Ipsos–Eco/RTVE[p 1][p 3][p 5] | 17 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 40.3 30/33 |
16.2 13/15 |
22.5 18/19 |
– | 6.0 3/4 |
[d] | – | 2.3 0/1 |
11.0 7/8 |
17.8 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 1][p 3][p 5] | 17 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 39.9 31/33 |
18.0 14/16 |
18.2 15/17 |
– | 6.1 3/4 |
[d] | – | 3.1 1 |
11.3 7/8 |
21.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 3][p 5] | 17 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 42.0 31/33 |
16.0 14/15 |
21.5 17/18 |
– | ? 4/5 |
[d] | – | ? 0/1 |
7.0 5/6 |
20.5 |
| Opina/El País[p 6][p 7] | 10 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 42.7 34/35 |
15.1 14/15 |
21.6 18/19 |
– | 7.6 3/4 |
[d] | – | 2.3 1 |
4.3 2/4 |
21.1 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8][p 9] | 10 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 42.7 34 |
15.1 13/14 |
21.6 18/19 |
(3.4) | 7.6 4/5 |
[d] | – | 2.3 1 |
4.3 2/3 |
21.1 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 10][p 11] | 9 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 44.3 35/36 |
14.5 13 |
23.2 18/20 |
(2.9) | 6.6 4 |
[d] | – | 2.6 1 |
3.7 2/3 |
21.1 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 8 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 45.7 38/39 |
14.5 13 |
23.5 19/20 |
(3.3) | 6.3 4 |
[d] | – | 1.9 0 |
2.7 0 |
22.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 7 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 43.5 37/38 |
15.6 13 |
24.5 20/21 |
(3.3) | 6.4 4 |
[d] | 0.2 0 |
1.6 0 |
2.5 0 |
22.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 13][p 14] | 5–7 Apr 2005 | 1,000 | ? | 45.6 35/37 |
18.3 15/16 |
20.8 15/18 |
– | 5.5 3 |
[d] | – | 1.9 0/1 |
6.6 4 |
24.8 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 15] | 4–7 Apr 2005 | 900 | ? | 46.5 34/36 |
19.7 16 |
23.2 19 |
– | 6.9 3/5 |
[d] | ? 0/1 |
? 0/1 |
– | 23.3 |
| ? | 42.9 32/34 |
18.2 15 |
21.4 17/19 |
– | 6.4 3/4 |
[d] | 0.6 0/1 |
2.1 0/1 |
8.4 5 |
21.5 | |||
| Ikertalde/GPS[p 16][p 17] | 1–7 Apr 2005 | 2,002 | 72.5 | 42.7 34 |
15.8 13 |
21.3 18 |
– | 6.7 3 |
[d] | 0.2 0 |
2.6 1 |
9.7 6 |
21.4 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 18][p 19] | 6 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 45.7 37/39 |
15.4 13 |
21.4 19/20 |
(4.6) | 6.8 5 |
[d] | 0.2 0 |
2.0 0 |
1.2 0 |
24.3 |
| LKS/Diario de Noticias[p 20] | 30 Mar–6 Apr 2005 | 1,500 | 75 | ? 33/35 |
? 16/17 |
? 15/17 |
– | ? 3/4 |
[d] | – | ? 0/1 |
? 5 |
? |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 5 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 45.5 36/38 |
15.3 13 |
20.6 18/20 |
(6.4) | 6.7 5 |
[d] | 0.2 0 |
2.3 1 |
0.2 0 |
24.9 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 4 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 45.5 37/39 |
16.0 12 |
21.5 19/20 |
– | 6.5 4/5 |
[d] | – | 3.5 1 |
– | 24.0 |
| CIS[p 22][p 23][p 24][p 25] | 29 Mar–4 Apr 2005 | 1,495 | ? | 42.5 34/35 |
17.8 16/17 |
22.2 19 |
– | 6.2 4 |
[d] | – | 2.7 1 |
– | 20.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 3 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 45.0 38/40 |
16.0 12 |
21.5 18/19 |
– | 7.0 4/5 |
[d] | – | 3.5 1 |
– | 23.5 |
| Bergareche/Vocento[p 26][p 27] | 1–3 Apr 2005 | 3,100 | ? | 40.4 32/35 |
20.8 16/19 |
18.3 15/17 |
(6.9) | 7.4 4/6 |
[d] | 0.3 0 |
3.7 1/2 |
– | 19.6 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21][p 28] | 1 Apr 2005 | ? | ? | 44.8 38/39 |
16.0 12 |
21.0 19 |
– | 7.0 4/5 |
[d] | – | 3.5 0/1 |
– | 23.8 |
| Celeste-Tel/La Razón[p 29] | 29 Mar–1 Apr 2005 | 801 | ? | 42.9 34/37 |
18.9 15/18 |
22.9 18/21 |
– | 6.0 3/4 |
[d] | – | 1.6 1 |
– | 20.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21][p 30] | 31 Mar 2005 | ? | ? | 44.8 38/39 |
16.6 13/14 |
20.6 17/18 |
– | 7.0 4/5 |
[d] | – | 3.5 0/1 |
– | 24.2 |
| CIS[p 31][p 32][p 33][p 34] | 22 Feb–16 Mar 2005 | 1,499 | ? | 42.8 35/37 |
19.1 17 |
22.2 18/19 |
– | 6.2 3/4 |
[d] | 0.5 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | 20.6 |
| PSE[p 35] | 1–11 Mar 2005 | ? | ? | 41.2 33/35 |
? 15/16 |
23.7 21/22 |
– | ? 3 |
[d] | – | ? 1 |
– | 17.5 |
| Bergareche/Vocento[p 36] | 1–8 Mar 2005 | 3,100 | ? | 43.3 35/36 |
19.9 16/18 |
20.4 17/20 |
(5.3) | 6.2 3/5 |
[d] | – | 3.2 1/3 |
– | 22.9 |
| Opina/El País[p 37] | 24–25 Feb 2005 | 1,500 | ? | 45.5 36/37 |
19.5 17 |
22.0 18 |
– | 6.5 3/4 |
[d] | – | – | – | 23.5 |
| Ikertalde/GPS[p 38] | 18 Jan–2 Feb 2005 | 2,874 | 75.0 | 41.1 32 |
15.8 13 |
22.3 19 |
9.4 7 |
6.7 3 |
[d] | 0.3 0 |
2.9 1 |
– | 18.8 |
| CPS/EHU[p 39][p 40][p 41] | 8–26 Nov 2004 | 1,200 | 76 | 42.4 33/35 |
18.1 15/16 |
23.6 21/22 |
– | 5.8 3 |
[d] | – | 3.1 1 |
– | 18.8 |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | N/a | 44.6 | 35.3 (26) |
21.0 (17) |
28.2 (24) |
– | 4.2 (3) |
7.8 (5) |
– | 1.3 (0) |
– | 7.1 |
| CPS/EHU[p 42][p 43][p 44] | 3–28 May 2004 | 1,800 | 75 | 43.7 32/34 |
17.5 14/15 |
25.6 22/23 |
– | 6.1 3 |
[d] | [f] | 4.3 2 |
– | 18.1 |
| 2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 75.0 | 33.7 (25) |
18.9 (16) |
27.2 (22) |
– | 8.2 (6) |
6.5 (5) |
– | 3.1 (1) |
– | 6.5 |
| CPS/EHU[p 45][p 46][p 47] | 3–21 Nov 2003 | 1,800 | 70 | 44.3 33 |
24.1 21 |
19.0 16/17 |
– | 6.7 3/4 |
[d] | [f] | ? 1 |
– | 20.2 |
| 2003 foral elections | 25 May 2003 | N/a | 70.0 | 45.3 (35) |
19.6 (16) |
21.6 (17) |
– | 8.1 (5) |
[d] | 0.6 (1) |
3.2 (1) |
– | 23.7 |
| CPS/EHU[p 42][p 48] | 1–20 Nov 2002 | 1,200 | ? | 42.1 31 |
21.3 18 |
19.0 16 |
9.3 6 |
6.7 4 |
[d] | [f] | – | – | 20.8 |
| CIS[p 49][p 50][p 51] | 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 | 579 | 74.2 | 38.8 | 21.1 | 19.1 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 5.6 | – | – | – | 17.7 |
| CPS/EHU[p 42] | 15–30 May 2001 | ? | ? | 43.6 33 |
20.8 19 |
18.0 14 |
9.8 6 |
6.3 3 |
[d] | [f] | – | – | 22.8 |
| CPS/EHU[p 42] | 2–21 Nov 2001 | ? | ? | 43.5 33 |
21.0 19 |
18.1 13 |
9.8 7 |
6.1 3 |
[d] | [f] | – | – | 22.5 |
| 2001 regional election | 13 May 2001 | N/a | 79.0 | 42.4 33 |
22.9 19 |
17.8 13 |
10.0 7 |
5.5 3 |
[d] | [f] | – | – | 19.5 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Lead | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 regional election[g] | 17 Apr 2005 | N/a | 26.3 | 11.9 | 15.5 | – | 3.7 | [d] | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.5 | N/a | 31.0 | 10.8 |
| CIS[p 22] | 29 Mar–4 Apr 2005 | 1,495 | 30.4 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 5.1[h] | 4.6 | [d] | 0.1 | 2.2 | – | 30.4 | 11.3 | 20.3 |
| CIS[p 31] | 22 Feb–16 Mar 2005 | 1,499 | 31.3 | 4.1 | 9.4 | – | 3.7 | [d] | 0.1 | 0.8 | – | 31.1 | 12.5 | 21.9 |
| 2004 EP election[g] | 13 Jun 2004 | N/a | 14.0 | 8.3 | 11.2 | – | 1.7 | 3.1 | – | 0.5 | – | N/a | 54.9 | 2.8 |
| 2004 general election[g] | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 23.6 | 13.2 | 19.1 | – | 5.8 | 4.6 | – | 2.2 | – | N/a | 24.1 | 4.5 |
| 2003 foral elections | 25 May 2003 | N/a | 28.4 | 12.3 | 13.5 | – | 5.1 | [d] | 0.4 | 2.0 | – | N/a | 30.0 | 14.9 |
| CIS[p 49] | 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 | 579 | 20.6 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 2.9 | – | – | – | 40.7 | 16.1 | 14.6 |
| 2001 regional election[g] | 13 May 2001 | N/a | 33.1 | 17.9 | 13.8 | 7.9 | 4.3 | [d] | [f] | – | – | N/a | 20.1 | 15.2 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8] | 10 Apr 2005 | ? | 42.5 | 10.8 | 16.7 | – | – | – | – | 10.7 | 19.2 | 25.8 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 11] | 9 Apr 2005 | ? | 41.1 | 9.6 | 16.9 | – | – | – | – | 11.5 | 20.8 | 24.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 8 Apr 2005 | ? | 42.2 | 9.7 | 16.0 | – | – | – | – | 10.4 | 21.6 | 26.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 7 Apr 2005 | ? | 40.8 | 10.0 | 16.0 | – | – | – | – | 10.0 | 23.3 | 24.8 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 19] | 6 Apr 2005 | ? | 44.0 | 9.8 | 14.7 | – | – | – | – | 8.6 | 23.0 | 29.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 5 Apr 2005 | ? | 43.9 | 9.2 | 14.9 | – | – | – | – | 8.4 | 23.6 | 29.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 4 Apr 2005 | ? | 43.1 | 9.4 | 15.4 | – | – | – | – | 8.9 | 23.2 | 27.7 |
| CIS[p 22] | 29 Mar–4 Apr 2005 | 1,495 | 37.6 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 2.7[h] | 4.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 12.7 | 23.9 | 24.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 3 Apr 2005 | ? | 43.1 | 9.9 | 15.3 | – | – | – | – | 9.5 | 22.2 | 27.8 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 1 Apr 2005 | ? | 42.4 | 10.2 | 16.1 | – | – | – | – | 9.3 | 22.0 | 26.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 31 Mar 2005 | ? | 42.5 | 10.3 | 16.1 | – | – | – | – | 9.2 | 22.0 | 26.4 |
| CIS[p 31] | 22 Feb–16 Mar 2005 | 1,499 | 38.3 | 5.3 | 12.6 | – | 4.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 32.2 | 25.7 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8] | 10 Apr 2005 | ? | 86.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 0.3 | 10.6 | 84.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 11] | 9 Apr 2005 | ? | 85.7 | 0.8 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 0.6 | 10.9 | 83.9 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 8 Apr 2005 | ? | 85.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 0.8 | 11.6 | 83.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 7 Apr 2005 | ? | 82.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 | – | – | – | 1.0 | 13.3 | 80.9 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 19] | 6 Apr 2005 | ? | 85.3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 0.8 | 11.5 | 83.5 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 5 Apr 2005 | ? | 84.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 1.0 | 12.0 | 83.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 4 Apr 2005 | ? | 84.9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 1.2 | 11.5 | 83.1 |
| CIS[p 22] | 29 Mar–4 Apr 2005 | 1,495 | 81.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.1[h] | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 14.6 | 78.4 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 3 Apr 2005 | ? | 85.2 | 0.9 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 0.8 | 11.0 | 83.1 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 1 Apr 2005 | ? | 84.1 | 1.1 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 0.5 | 11.9 | 81.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 31 Mar 2005 | ? | 83.8 | 1.1 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 0.3 | 12.4 | 81.4 |
Preferred Lehendakari
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibarretxe PNV |
San Gil PP |
López PSE–EE |
Otegi Batasuna |
Madrazo EB–B |
Errazti EA |
Benito UA |
Zabaleta Aralar |
Ezenarro Aralar | ||||||
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8] | 10 Apr 2005 | ? | 44.7 | 10.5 | 15.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.8 | 20.6 | 29.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 11] | 9 Apr 2005 | ? | 44.3 | 9.6 | 15.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.8 | 22.3 | 29.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 8 Apr 2005 | ? | 45.7 | 9.5 | 14.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.6 | 22.6 | 31.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 7 Apr 2005 | ? | 44.0 | 9.8 | 15.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.0 | 24.1 | 28.9 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 15] | 4–7 Apr 2005 | 900 | 60.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.0 | 7.0 | 42.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 19] | 6 Apr 2005 | ? | 47.0 | 8.7 | 13.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 | 23.9 | 33.1 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 5 Apr 2005 | ? | 47.3 | 8.3 | 13.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.6 | 24.1 | 33.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 4 Apr 2005 | ? | 46.7 | 8.2 | 14.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.8 | 24.0 | 32.3 |
| CIS[p 22] | 29 Mar–4 Apr 2005 | 1,495 | 42.9 | 3.8 | 11.2 | – | 3.0 | – | 0.3 | 2.1 | – | 16.1 | 20.8 | 31.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 3 Apr 2005 | ? | 46.0 | 9.0 | 14.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.8 | 23.0 | 31.8 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 1 Apr 2005 | ? | 44.9 | 9.1 | 13.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.5 | 23.9 | 31.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 31 Mar 2005 | ? | 45.1 | 9.4 | 13.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.1 | 24.1 | 31.8 |
| CIS[p 31] | 22 Feb–16 Mar 2005 | 1,499 | 31.8 | 4.2 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | – | 17.1 | 30.8 | 23.7 |
| Opina/El País[p 37] | 24–25 Feb 2005 | 1,500 | 46.3 | – | – | – | – | ? |
Predicted Lehendakari
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become lehendakari.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibarretxe PNV |
San Gil PP |
López PSE–EE | ||||||
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8] | 10 Apr 2005 | ? | 85.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 12.1 | 83.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 11] | 9 Apr 2005 | ? | 84.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 12.7 | 82.6 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 8 Apr 2005 | ? | 83.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 13.0 | 81.9 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 12] | 7 Apr 2005 | ? | 80.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 14.6 | 78.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 19] | 6 Apr 2005 | ? | 83.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 11.9 | 80.8 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 5 Apr 2005 | ? | 83.2 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 12.1 | 81.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 4 Apr 2005 | ? | 83.3 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 12.1 | 80.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 3 Apr 2005 | ? | 83.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 13.1 | 81.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 1 Apr 2005 | ? | 81.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 14.1 | 79.5 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 21] | 31 Mar 2005 | ? | 81.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 79.7 |
| Opina/El País[p 37] | 24–25 Feb 2005 | 1,500 | 79.8 | – | – | – | – | ? |
Results
Overall
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Basque Nationalist Party–Basque Solidarity (PNV–EA) | 468,117 | 38.38 | −4.00 | 29 | −4 | |
| Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) | 274,546 | 22.51 | +4.75 | 18 | +5 | |
| People's Party (PP) | 210,614 | 17.27 | −5.66 | 15 | −4 | |
| Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK)1 | 150,644 | 12.35 | +2.31 | 9 | +2 | |
| United Left–Greens (EB–B)2 | 65,023 | 5.33 | −0.20 | 3 | ±0 | |
| Aralar (Aralar) | 28,180 | 2.31 | New | 1 | +1 | |
| Alavese Unity (UA) | 4,117 | 0.34 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Greens–Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (B–PACMA) | 4,049 | 0.33 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) | 2,354 | 0.19 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 1,514 | 0.12 | −0.14 | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,261 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Carlist Party of the Basque Country–Carlist Party (EKA–PC) | 179 | 0.01 | −0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 9,001 | 0.74 | −0.07 | |||
| Total | 1,219,599 | 75 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 1,219,599 | 99.67 | +0.10 | |||
| Invalid votes | 4,035 | 0.33 | −0.10 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 1,223,634 | 68.00 | −10.97 | |||
| Abstentions | 575,889 | 32.00 | +10.97 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,799,523 | |||||
| Sources[11][19][20] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Distribution by constituency
Aftermath
Notes
- Does not include non-resident citizens.
- Results for Aukera Guztiak and Batasuna.
