2010 Catalan regional election
Election in the Spanish region of Catalonia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
A regional election was held in Catalonia on 28 November 2010 to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 135 seats in the Parliament were up for election. This was the first election held in Catalonia after the Constitutional Court of Spain struck down parts of the regional 2006 Statute of Autonomy that granted new powers of self-rule to the region. The ruling came after four years of deliberation concerning a constitutional appeal filed by the conservative People's Party (PP) under Mariano Rajoy and was met with anger and street protests throughout the region.[1][2]
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0.8% 2.8 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
28 November 2010
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All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia 68 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 5,363,688 0.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 3,152,630 (58.8%) 2.8 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The election resulted in a resounding victory for the Convergence and Union (CiU) federation under Artur Mas, whose 62 seats—six short of an absolute majority—virtually ensured that no alternative government was mathematically possible, as the left-wing alliance which had formed the government of Catalonia for the previous seven years fell to a bare 48 seats. The tripartit (English: tripartite) coalition formed by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC), Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and Initiative for Catalonia Greens (ICV) was already at the brink of split going into the election, with political disagreements between the former allies having led Catalan president José Montilla to announce that he would not seek a third alliance with ERC and ICV even if election numbers favored such a possibility.[3] The election saw a collapse in support for all three parties and Montilla's retirement from the PSC leadership shortly afterwards.[4]
The PP had one of its best showings in a Catalan regional election, with 12.4% of the vote and 18 seats. Albert Rivera's Citizens (C's) party saw a slight increase in its vote share, whereas the pro-Catalan independence Catalan Solidarity for Independence (SI) led by former FC Barcelona president Joan Laporta secured 4 seats in the Parliament.
Overview
Under the 2006 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of Catalonia was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[5] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[6]
Date
The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election was required to be called no later than 15 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament, with election day taking place between 40 and 60 days from the call.[7] The previous election was held on 1 November 2006, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 1 November 2010. The election was required to be called no later than 17 October 2010, setting the latest possible date for election day on 16 December 2010.
The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one under this procedure.[8] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[9]
The Parliament of Catalonia was officially dissolved on 5 October 2010 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia (DOGC), setting election day for 28 November.[10]
Electoral system
Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Catalonia and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[11]
The Parliament of Catalonia had a minimum of 100 and a maximum of 150 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 135. All were elected in four multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, each of which was assigned a fixed number of seats—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.[12] The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.[13]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:[14]
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[15]
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[16][17][18][19]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Convergence and Union's Parliamentary Group | CDC | 34 | 48 | ||
| UDC | 14 | ||||
| Socialists–Citizens for Change Parliamentary Group | PSC | 32 | 37 | ||
| CpC | 5 | ||||
| Republican Left of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group | ERC | 21 | 21 | ||
| People's Party of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group | PP | 14 | 14 | ||
| Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left's Parliamentary Group |
ICV | 10 | 12 | ||
| EUiA | 2 | ||||
| Mixed Group | C's | 2 | 2 | ||
| Non-Inscrits | INDEP | 1[a] | 1 | ||
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[21] Amendments in 2007 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.[22]
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
PxC |  |
RI.cat | SI | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 regional election | 28 Nov 2010 | N/a | 58.8 | 38.4 62 |
18.4 28 |
7.0 10 |
12.4 18 |
7.4 10 |
3.4 3 |
2.4 0 |
0.2 0 |
1.3 0 |
3.3 4 |
20.0 |
| Ipsos–Eco/CCMA[p 1][p 2] | 28 Nov 2010 | ? | ? | 40.2 63/66 |
17.3 24/27 |
8.1 11/13 |
11.1 15/17 |
7.3 8/10 |
3.2 2/3 |
– | – | 1.5 0/1 |
3.7 3/4 |
22.9 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 3] | 25–27 Nov 2010 | 900 | 56–58 | 40.0 65/67 |
18.5 27/28 |
7.4 10/12 |
10.5 14/15 |
10.2 12/14 |
4.0 4 |
– | – | – | 2.8 0/2 |
21.5 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 4] | 24–26 Nov 2010 | 900 | 54–56 | 39.2 64/66 |
19.3 29/30 |
7.2 10/12 |
10.4 14/15 |
9.9 12/13 |
3.7 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.6 0 |
19.9 |
| GAD/COPE[p 5][p 6] | 22–26 Nov 2010 | 2,201 | 59.2 | 39.4 60/63 |
20.5 29/31 |
7.7 11/12 |
11.6 15/16 |
9.4 11/13 |
4.0 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.9 0/3 |
18.9 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 7] | 23–25 Nov 2010 | 900 | 54–56 | 39.9 65/67 |
19.5 29/30 |
7.0 10/11 |
9.9 13/14 |
9.5 11/13 |
3.7 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.6 0 |
20.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 8] | 22–24 Nov 2010 | 800 | 54–56 | 39.5 64/65 |
20.1 29/31 |
7.3 10/12 |
9.8 13/14 |
9.0 11/12 |
4.3 4/5 |
– | – | – | 2.5 0 |
19.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 9] | 20–23 Nov 2010 | 700 | 53–55 | 39.5 64/65 |
20.1 29/31 |
7.3 10/12 |
10.1 13/14 |
8.4 10/12 |
4.4 4/5 |
– | – | – | 2.9 0/2 |
19.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 10] | 20–22 Nov 2010 | 600 | 52–54 | 39.2 63/64 |
19.9 29/30 |
7.5 11/12 |
10.1 13/14 |
8.2 10/11 |
4.7 5 |
– | – | – | 3.2 0/4 |
19.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 11][p 12] | 20–21 Nov 2010 | 400 | 51–53 | 39.1 63/64 |
20.0 30 |
7.5 11 |
10.3 14 |
8.0 10/11 |
4.3 4/5 |
– | – | – | 3.2 0/4 |
19.1 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 60 | 39.3 62 |
22.2 33 |
9.1 13 |
8.5 12 |
8.0 10 |
4.1 4 |
1.0 0 |
0.4 0 |
1.1 0 |
2.9 1 |
17.1 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 14] | 19 Nov 2010 | ? | 50.2 | 38.5 59/60 |
21.6 30/32 |
? 10/11 |
? 15/16 |
? 11/12 |
? 4 |
– | – | – | ? 3 |
16.9 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 15] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 53.9 | 39.4 60/62 |
21.8 31/32 |
9.3 13/14 |
11.4 15/16 |
8.5 11/12 |
3.2 2/3 |
– | – | – | 1.8 0 |
17.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 16] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,650 | ? | 40.4 61/64 |
21.8 30/32 |
8.1 11 |
12.7 17/19 |
8.1 9/10 |
3.0 3 |
– | – | – | – | 18.6 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 17] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | ? | 39.3 63/65 |
20.1 31/32 |
7.9 10/12 |
10.1 14 |
7.5 9/10 |
4.0 4 |
– | – | – | 2.4 0/1 |
19.2 |
| DYM/ABC[p 18][p 2] | 11–18 Nov 2010 | 1,141 | 52.3 | 40.0 60/62 |
21.7 31 |
6.6 11 |
11.3 15/16 |
10.0 12/13 |
4.6 5 |
– | – | – | 1.8 0/1 |
18.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 19][p 20] | 16–17 Nov 2010 | 1,508 | 50–52 | 39.5 64/65 |
20.4 30 |
7.0 8/9 |
9.5 13/14 |
6.9 10 |
5.0 6/7 |
– | – | – | 2.6 1/3 |
19.1 |
| La Vanguardia[p 21] | 12 Nov 2010 | ? | ? | 40.6 63/65 |
19.2 27/28 |
9.2 13 |
11.9 15/16 |
8.4 11/12 |
3.5 3 |
– | – | – | 2.9 0/3 |
21.4 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 22][p 23][p 24] | 8–12 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 52.3 | 39.3 62/63 |
20.1 30/31 |
5.6 10/11 |
10.5 14/15 |
6.7 9/10 |
3.2 3 |
0.7 0 |
– | 1.7 0/1 |
2.8 2/4 |
19.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 25][p 26][p 27] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | ? | 39.0 62/63 |
21.3 31/32 |
7.7 11/12 |
10.8 14/15 |
9.0 11/12 |
3.2 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.7 0/2 |
19.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 28][p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | ? | 42.4 65/66 |
18.4 30/32 |
7.3 10/11 |
11.6 14/16 |
7.5 7/8 |
4.1 3 |
– | – | – | 3.5 2/3 |
24.0 |
| CIS[p 30][p 31] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | ? | 38.0 59 |
22.7 33 |
10.2 15/16 |
9.7 13/14 |
8.2 11 |
3.5 3 |
0.6 0 |
0.1 0 |
1.2 0 |
1.0 0 |
15.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 32][p 33] | 26–28 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 53.5 | 41.0 62/63 |
21.6 30/31 |
8.8 11/12 |
11.9 15/16 |
10.1 12/13 |
2.9 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | 19.4 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 34][p 35] | 24 Oct 2010 | ? | 54.8 | 40.2 | 19.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.7 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 36][p 37][p 38] | 18–22 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 54.0 | 41.8 65/66 |
19.5 27/28 |
6.5 11/12 |
8.6 13 |
8.0 9/11 |
3.8 4 |
1.0 0 |
– | 1.5 0 |
2.3 0/4 |
22.3 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 39][p 40] | 11–22 Oct 2010 | 2,000 | 58.3 | 37.0 62/65 |
19.4 29/30 |
8.6 13/14 |
11.3 16 |
7.2 8/9 |
3.5 4 |
– | – | – | 2.0 0 |
17.6 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 41][p 42] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 51–52 | 40.5 63/65 |
20.8 30/31 |
8.4 12/13 |
10.4 14/15 |
7.2 9/10 |
2.9 2/3 |
– | – | – | 2.7 0/2 |
19.7 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 43][p 44][p 45] | 20–24 Sep 2010 | 1,000 | 55.3 | 41.2 63/65 |
20.4 30/31 |
8.0 10/11 |
10.7 15/16 |
7.3 9/10 |
3.7 3/4 |
– | – | 1.0 0 |
2.4 0/3 |
20.8 |
| TNS Demoscopia/SI[p 46][p 47][p 48] | 20–23 Sep 2010 | 1,201 | 54.2 | 34.6 56/59 |
20.2 30/32 |
6.9 9/12 |
10.1 13/15 |
9.3 13/14 |
4.4 4 |
0.8 0 |
– | 1.6 0 |
5.6 6/8 |
14.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 49][p 50] | 20–22 Sep 2010 | 1,200 | 50 | 40.7 61 |
19.2 28 |
9.2 12 |
12.5 17 |
7.6 9 |
3.6 4 |
– | – | 2.6 2 |
2.6 2 |
21.5 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 51] | 1–2 Sep 2010 | 800 | ? | 38.9 60/61 |
21.1 31/32 |
10.1 15/16 |
11.2 15 |
9.2 12 |
2.6 0/3 |
– | – | 2.6 0/3 |
– | 17.8 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 52] | 12–14 Jul 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 42.1 65/66 |
23.1 32/33 |
8.4 13 |
10.3 14 |
7.4 10 |
2.4 0 |
– | – | 1.9 0 |
– | 19.0 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 53][p 54] | 28 Jun–8 Jul 2010 | 2,000 | 53.9 | 40.5 67/68 |
21.1 31/32 |
8.7 13 |
9.8 13 |
7.4 10 |
2.6 0 |
– | – | 0.9 0 |
– | 19.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 55] | 2–3 Jul 2010 | 1,000 | 53.8 | 40.4 60/61 |
22.2 32/33 |
9.2 12/13 |
11.6 15/16 |
10.5 13/14 |
2.8 0 |
– | – | – | – | 18.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 56][p 57] | 1 Jul 2010 | 302 | ? | 39.0 | 24.7 | 7.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 58][p 59] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | ? | 41.0 65/67 |
21.0 30/32 |
8.5 12/13 |
10.0 13/14 |
8.5 10/12 |
1.2 0 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.3 0 |
– | 20.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 60] | 24–26 May 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 36.1 57/59 |
24.8 35/38 |
9.5 12/15 |
14.8 20/22 |
5.7 5/7 |
– | – | – | – | – | 11.3 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 61] | 10–13 May 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 41.1 63/64 |
23.5 33/34 |
8.7 13 |
10.5 14 |
8.5 11 |
1.4 0 |
– | – | 0.9 0 |
– | 17.6 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 62][p 63] | 16–30 Apr 2010 | 2,000 | 56.8 | 39.6 65 |
23.2 36 |
8.8 13 |
8.5 12 |
7.7 9 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | 1.4 0 |
– | 16.4 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | ? | 38.8 58/60 |
28.2 41/43 |
9.0 13 |
7.2 10 |
7.7 10/11 |
1.9 0 |
0.7 0 |
0.8 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | 10.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 65][p 66][p 67] | 22–23 Mar 2010 | 1,100 | 49.5 | 40.5 61/62 |
23.9 35/36 |
10.3 13/14 |
9.3 12/13 |
9.2 11/12 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | 2.1 0 |
– | 16.6 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 68][p 69] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | ? | 38.7 61/63 |
23.0 34/36 |
8.4 12/13 |
9.8 13/14 |
8.3 11/12 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | 1.0 0 |
– | 15.7 |
| GAD/COPE[p 70][p 71] | 9–15 Mar 2010 | 1,000 | 60 | 39.0 59 |
23.5 35 |
9.4 13 |
12.7 16 |
8.8 12 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | – | – | 15.5 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 72] | 8–10 Mar 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 43.9 65/67 |
23.9 32/33 |
7.7 11/12 |
10.4 13/14 |
9.2 11/12 |
0.1 0 |
– | – | 1.8 0 |
– | 20.0 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 73][p 74] | 13–28 Jan 2010 | 2,000 | 56.9 | 35.6 58 |
24.7 38 |
9.8 15 |
9.7 13 |
8.5 10 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | 1.2 1 |
– | 10.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 75][p 76] | 2–13 Nov 2009 | 2,000 | 56.8 | 33.4 55/57 |
23.1 36/38 |
10.1 17 |
10.3 15 |
6.8 10 |
1.7 0 |
– | – | 1.4 0 |
– | 10.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 77][p 78] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | ? | 35.1 55/57 |
25.1 36/38 |
10.8 16/17 |
9.4 12/14 |
10.1 13/14 |
1.2 0 |
– | – | 1.3 0 |
– | 10.0 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 79] | 22–27 Oct 2009 | 1,000 | ? | 36.2 57/58 |
25.1 35/36 |
9.5 14/15 |
11.2 15/16 |
8.5 10/11 |
0.7 0 |
– | – | 2.8 0/3 |
– | 11.1 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | ? | 35.7 53/54 |
30.8 44/46 |
6.9 11 |
10.8 13/15 |
8.4 11 |
1.6 0 |
– | 1.4 0 |
– | – | 4.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 81] | 14–15 Jul 2009 | 600 | ? | 34.4 54/56 |
26.0 37/39 |
11.0 16/17 |
8.5 12 |
10.0 12/13 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | – | – | 8.4 |
| Opina/CEO[p 82][p 83] | 29 Jun–10 Jul 2009 | 2,000 | ? | 35.4 54 |
25.5 37 |
10.4 15 |
11.3 15 |
8.7 11 |
2.6 3 |
– | – | – | – | 9.9 |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | N/a | 36.9 | 22.4 (35) |
36.0 (54) |
9.2 (13) |
18.0 (26) |
6.1 (7) |
0.4 (0) |
– | 0.8 (0) |
– | – | 13.6 |
| Opina/CEO[p 84][p 85] | 20–30 Apr 2009 | 2,000 | ? | 38.5 59 |
23.0 34 |
12.2 17 |
10.5 14 |
7.9 11 |
2.6 0 |
– | – | – | – | 15.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 86] | 9–11 Mar 2009 | 800 | ? | 35.6 55/56 |
26.5 38/39 |
10.6 15/16 |
8.8 12/13 |
9.0 11/12 |
2.5 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 9.1 |
| Opina/CEO[p 87][p 88] | 19–28 Jan 2009 | 2,000 | ? | 34.5 56 |
24.3 35/36 |
12.3 17/18 |
8.6 12 |
9.2 12 |
2.8 2 |
– | – | – | – | 10.2 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 89] | 24–27 Nov 2008 | 600 | ? | 34.8 51/53 |
26.0 36/37 |
13.7 19/20 |
9.7 12/13 |
9.2 11/12 |
2.7 0/3 |
– | – | – | – | 8.8 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 90] | 10–13 Nov 2008 | 800 | ? | 34.2 52/54 |
26.9 38/39 |
13.9 20/21 |
8.0 10/11 |
9.0 11/12 |
2.4 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 7.3 |
| Opina/CEO[p 91][p 92] | 20–28 Oct 2008 | 2,000 | ? | 34.0 52 |
25.6 37 |
10.8 16/17 |
12.2 15/17 |
8.9 12 |
1.9 1/2 |
– | – | – | – | 8.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 93] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | ? | 34.8 52/53 |
27.3 38/39 |
12.7 17/18 |
9.0 12/13 |
8.0 10/11 |
3.1 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | 7.5 |
| Opina/CEO[p 94][p 95] | 16 Jun–1 Jul 2008 | 2,000 | ? | 34.7 53 |
25.9 38 |
12.7 18 |
9.2 13 |
8.8 11 |
2.5 2 |
– | – | – | – | 8.8 |
| Opina/CEO[p 96][p 97] | 14–25 Apr 2008 | 2,000 | ? | 31.9 48 |
29.6 42 |
11.5 17 |
10.4 13 |
9.7 12 |
3.0 3 |
– | – | – | – | 2.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 98][p 99] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | ? | 35.6 53/55 |
28.4 40/42 |
11.8 17/18 |
8.5 10/11 |
8.9 11/12 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | – | – | 7.2 |
| La Vanguardia[p 100] | 9 Mar 2008 | ? | 70.3 | 30.4 50 |
30.3 45 |
9.8 14 |
10.7 15 |
8.0 11 |
– | – | – | – | – | 0.1 |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | N/a | 70.3 | 20.9 (31) |
45.4 (65) |
7.8 (12) |
16.4 (22) |
4.9 (5) |
0.7 (0) |
0.1 (0) |
0.2 (0) |
– | – | 24.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 101][p 102] | 8–11 Jan 2008 | ? | ? | 33.3 51/52 |
27.0 38/40 |
11.8 18 |
10.4 14 |
8.3 11 |
2.4 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 6.3 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 103] | 22–25 Oct 2007 | 800 | ? | 30.8 46 |
28.9 39 |
14.6 22 |
10.6 14 |
8.8 11 |
3.5 3 |
– | – | – | – | 1.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 104] | 14 Oct 2007 | ? | ? | 33.0 51/52 |
27.0 38/40 |
14.0 21/22 |
9.5 12/13 |
8.5 10/11 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | – | – | 6.0 |
| Opina/CEO[p 105][p 106] | 17–28 Sep 2007 | 2,200 | ? | 30.4 46/47 |
28.5 42 |
13.3 20 |
8.6 11/12 |
10.2 13 |
1.9 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 1.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 107][p 108] | 18 Jun–2 Jul 2007 | 2,200 | ? | 33.4 50/51 |
27.0 40 |
11.9 17 |
9.0 12 |
9.9 12/13 |
3.6 3 |
– | – | – | – | 6.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 109] | 25–27 Jun 2007 | ? | ? | 33.0 51/53 |
27.0 38/40 |
13.3 19/20 |
9.5 12/13 |
9.0 11/12 |
2.5 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 6.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 110] | 15–17 Apr 2007 | 800 | ? | 32.0 49/50 |
28.6 39/40 |
12.5 18 |
9.8 13 |
10.0 13 |
2.7 2 |
– | – | – | – | 3.4 |
| Opina/CEO[p 111][p 108] | 2–16 Mar 2007 | 2,200 | ? | 29.8 | 27.6 | 13.8 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | 2.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 112] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | ? | 31.1 47/48 |
28.4 39/40 |
12.2 18 |
10.5 14 |
9.9 12 |
4.0 4 |
– | – | – | – | 2.7 |
| DYM/CEO[p 113][p 108] | 6–20 Nov 2006 | 2,100 | ? | 32.6 | 26.3 | 13.1 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 6.0 | – | – | – | – | 6.3 |
| 2006 regional election | 1 Nov 2006 | N/a | 56.0 | 31.5 48 |
26.8 37 |
14.0 21 |
10.7 14 |
9.5 12 |
3.0 3 |
– | – | – | – | 4.7 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | RI.cat | SI |  |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 regional election[b] | 28 Nov 2010 | N/a | 22.9 | 10.9 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | N/a | 40.1 | 12.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 3] | 25–27 Nov 2010 | 900 | 32.9 | 14.1 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.0 | 16.1 | 5.6 | 18.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 4] | 24–26 Nov 2010 | 900 | 30.8 | 14.9 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 2.2 | – | – | 1.9 | 16.0 | 6.3 | 15.9 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 7] | 23–25 Nov 2010 | 900 | 30.8 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 3.2 | – | – | 2.3 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 14.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 8] | 22–24 Nov 2010 | 800 | 30.8 | 16.3 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 2.3 | – | – | 2.1 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 14.5 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 9] | 20–23 Nov 2010 | 700 | 30.3 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.0 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 13.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 10] | 20–22 Nov 2010 | 600 | 32.0 | 18.3 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 2.9 | – | – | 2.3 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 13.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 12] | 20–21 Nov 2010 | 400 | 29.8 | 16.0 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 2.8 | – | – | 3.0 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 13.8 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 25.7 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | – | – | 12.9 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 23] | 8–12 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 20.6 | 13.4 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 19.1 | 17.5 | 7.2 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 37] | 18–22 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 28.4 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 9.0 | 17.8 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 39] | 11–22 Oct 2010 | 2,000 | 24.4 | 14.2 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 22.5 | 5.9 | 10.2 |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 114] | 3–30 Sep 2010 | 2,000 | 22.3 | 21.5 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 15.7 | 16.0 | 0.8 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 41] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 29.5 | 15.9 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 | – | 1.4 | 1.9 | 21.2 | 7.0 | 13.6 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 53] | 28 Jun–8 Jul 2010 | 2,000 | 25.3 | 14.2 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 28.3 | 7.0 | 11.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 57] | 1 Jul 2010 | 302 | 22.2 | 19.9 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 23.5 | 10.6 | 2.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 58] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | 32.3 | 16.1 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | – | 14.2 | 11.0 | 16.2 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 62] | 16–30 Apr 2010 | 2,000 | 25.0 | 17.5 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 21.8 | 9.2 | 7.5 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | 24.6 | 20.1 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 4.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 68] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | 29.6 | 20.0 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | – | – | 13.3 | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 73] | 13–28 Jan 2010 | 2,000 | 23.0 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 5.6 | 1.2 | – | – | – | 20.8 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Opina/CEO[p 75] | 2–13 Nov 2009 | 2,000 | 21.8 | 15.7 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 15.9 | 13.9 | 6.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 78] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | 25.3 | 22.9 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 13.3 | 11.5 | 2.4 |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 115] | 28 Sep–19 Oct 2009 | 1,200 | 20.7 | 22.7 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 25.6 | 2.0 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | 22.3 | 22.6 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 0.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 78] | 14–15 Jul 2009 | 600 | 21.2 | 20.3 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 0.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 82] | 29 Jun–10 Jul 2009 | 2,000 | 23.8 | 18.0 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 23.3 | 8.6 | 5.8 |
| 2009 EP election[b] | 7 Jun 2009 | N/a | 8.4 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – | N/a | 62.5 | 5.0 |
| Opina/CEO[p 84] | 20–30 Apr 2009 | 2,000 | 24.9 | 19.7 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 23.0 | 6.9 | 5.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 86] | 9–11 Mar 2009 | 800 | 26.6 | 25.4 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 1.3 | – | – | – | 13.3 | 8.0 | 1.2 |
| Opina/CEO[p 87] | 19–28 Jan 2009 | 2,000 | 21.4 | 21.0 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 1.3 | – | – | – | 18.3 | 9.7 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 90] | 10–13 Nov 2008 | 800 | 25.8 | 27.9 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 12.8 | 8.4 | 2.1 |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 116] | 20 Oct–12 Nov 2008 | 1,200 | 19.9 | 27.4 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 8.1 | 22.8 | 7.5 |
| Opina/CEO[p 91] | 20–28 Oct 2008 | 2,000 | 21.2 | 21.6 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 20.7 | 9.9 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 93] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | 25.5 | 26.8 | 11.5 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 13.5 | 8.5 | 1.3 |
| Opina/CEO[p 94] | 16 Jun–1 Jul 2008 | 2,000 | 23.1 | 22.0 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 19.1 | 7.4 | 1.1 |
| Opina/CEO[p 96] | 14–25 Apr 2008 | 2,000 | 21.5 | 27.9 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 18.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 98] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | 29.4 | 30.3 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 11.0 | 5.6 | 0.9 |
| 2008 general election[b] | 9 Mar 2008 | N/a | 14.9 | 32.1 | 5.6 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | – | – | N/a | 28.8 | 17.2 |
| Opina/CEO[p 117] | 21–30 Jan 2008 | 2,000 | 20.8 | 21.2 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 7.9 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 23.9 | 7.1 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 101] | 8–11 Jan 2008 | ? | 23.5 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 118] | 5 Nov–1 Dec 2007 | 2,000 | 15.8 | 22.0 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 12.6 | 28.9 | 6.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 104] | 14 Oct 2007 | ? | 22.4 | 25.4 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 12.9 | 9.3 | 3.0 |
| Opina/CEO[p 105] | 17–28 Sep 2007 | 2,200 | 16.6 | 20.2 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 25.7 | 9.2 | 3.6 |
| Opina/CEO[p 107] | 18 Jun–2 Jul 2007 | 2,200 | 18.5 | 19.8 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 7.4 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 23.9 | 9.5 | 1.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 109] | 25–27 Jun 2007 | ? | 24.5 | 23.5 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 9.9 | 10.0 | 1.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 110] | 15–17 Apr 2007 | 800 | 23.7 | 24.6 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 13.4 | 16.8 | 0.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 111] | 2–16 Mar 2007 | 2,200 | 19.5 | 20.2 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 22.7 | 10.1 | 0.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 112] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | 24.3 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 2.9 | – | – | – | 13.6 | 9.1 | 1.7 |
| DYM/CEO[p 113] | 6–20 Nov 2006 | 2,100 | 22.6 | 17.1 | 11.0 | 4.1 | 9.6 | 4.4 | – | – | – | 16.0 | 9.1 | 5.5 |
| 2006 regional election[b] | 1 Nov 2006 | N/a | 17.8 | 15.2 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | – | – | – | N/a | 43.2 | 2.6 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | RI.cat | SI | Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metroscopia/El País[p 19] | 16–17 Nov 2010 | 1,508 | 50.0 | 27.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.0 | 23.0 | |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 36.4 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | – | 0.6 | 2.7 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 15.6 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 27.6 | 19.1 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 26.3 | 8.5 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Catalonia.
- All candidates
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
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 |
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.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mas CiU |
Montilla PSC |
Carod ERC |
Puigcercós ERC |
Piqué PP |
Sirera PP |
Camacho PP |
Saura ICV–EUiA |
Herrera ICV–EUiA |
Rivera C's |
Laporta SI | ||||||
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 3] | 25–27 Nov 2010 | 900 | 40.0 | 15.0 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 6.2 | 3.3 | 2.9 | – | – | 25.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 4] | 24–26 Nov 2010 | 900 | 38.2 | 15.4 | – | 4.9 | – | – | 4.8 | – | 6.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | – | – | 22.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 7] | 23–25 Nov 2010 | 900 | 37.4 | 16.2 | – | 4.2 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 6.2 | 3.2 | 2.9 | – | – | 21.2 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 8] | 22–24 Nov 2010 | 800 | 35.6 | 16.4 | – | 3.4 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 | – | – | 19.2 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 9] | 20–23 Nov 2010 | 700 | 36.9 | 17.1 | – | 3.9 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.6 | – | – | 19.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 10] | 20–22 Nov 2010 | 600 | 33.7 | 17.3 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 4.3 | – | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.2 | – | – | 16.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 12] | 20–21 Nov 2010 | 400 | 32.8 | 17.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | 38.6 | 17.4 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 17.5 | 5.7 | 21.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 38.6 | 20.1 | – | 4.6 | – | – | 4.1 | – | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 18.5 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 30.9 | 17.5 | – | 5.5 | – | – | 3.9 | – | 5.4 | 2.7 | – | 8.1 | 26.0 | 13.4 |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 114] | 3–30 Sep 2010 | 2,000 | 23.8 | 17.6 | – | 4.3 | – | – | 1.8 | – | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 34.4 | 9.8 | 6.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 120] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 37.3 | 18.3 | – | 5.1 | – | – | 2.9 | – | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 25.2 | 6.9 | 19.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 121] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | 32.6 | 18.0 | – | 6.4 | – | – | 3.8 | – | 5.0 | – | 4.6 | 29.6 | 14.6 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 122] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | 31.9 | 24.1 | – | 6.6 | – | – | 2.8 | – | 4.5 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 23.8 | 7.8 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 122] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | 27.3 | 25.4 | – | 7.6 | – | – | 3.1 | – | 5.6 | – | – | 31.0 | 1.9 | |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 115] | 28 Sep–19 Oct 2009 | 1,200 | 24.2 | 26.6 | – | 6.7 | – | – | 1.8 | – | 5.2 | 0.8 | – | 26.9 | 7.9 | 2.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 123] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | 25.6 | 32.6 | 9.4 | – | – | 1.4 | – | 4.8 | – | 2.1 | – | 24.1 | 7.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 123] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | 26.1 | 30.0 | 9.6 | – | – | 1.5 | – | 6.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 24.8 | 3.9 | |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 118] | 5 Nov–1 Dec 2007 | 2,000 | 17.5 | 26.7 | 8.9 | – | – | 1.3 | – | 5.4 | – | – | – | 34.5 | 5.6 | 9.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 124] | 14 Oct 2007 | ? | 25.8 | 26.5 | 10.3 | – | – | 1.8 | – | 6.0 | – | 1.8 | – | 27.8 | 0.7 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 124] | 25–27 Jun 2007 | ? | 26.0 | 25.3 | 9.3 | – | 7.0 | – | – | 5.3 | – | 2.3 | – | 24.8 | 0.7 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 125] | 15–17 Apr 2007 | 800 | 26.3 | 26.1 | 10.1 | – | 3.9 | – | – | 7.6 | – | 2.4 | – | 23.6 | 0.2 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 112] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | 26.1 | 22.3 | 10.1 | – | 6.0 | – | – | 6.9 | – | 2.6 | – | 26.0 | 3.8 | |
- Mas vs. Montilla
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mas CiU |
Montilla PSC | ||||||
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 43.9 | 21.3 | 34.8 | 22.6 | |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 14] | 19 Nov 2010 | ? | 51.2 | 31.2 | 13.2 | 4.4 | 20.0 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 17] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 51.0 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 | |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 23] | 8–12 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 51.9 | 22.1 | 25.4 | 0.6 | 29.8 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | 56.4 | 32.1 | 11.5 | 24.3 | |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 34] | 24 Oct 2010 | ? | 53.6 | 25.2 | 14.1 | 7.1 | 28.4 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 37] | 18–22 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 50.5 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 3.3 | 27.4 |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 114] | 3–30 Sep 2010 | 2,000 | 36.5 | 30.6 | 23.7 | 9.2 | 5.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 120] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 56.5 | 28.4 | 15.1 | 28.1 | |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 43] | 20–24 Sep 2010 | 1,000 | 56.0 | 24.0 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 32.0 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 51] | 1–2 Sep 2010 | 800 | 44.0 | 27.0 | 29.0 | 17.0 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 52] | 12–14 Jul 2010 | 1,000 | 52.0 | 25.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 121] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | 52.3 | 34.3 | 13.4 | 18.0 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 61] | 10–13 May 2010 | 1,000 | 50.0 | 28.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | 34.0 | 26.8 | 39.2 | 7.2 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 122] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | 47.6 | 38.8 | 13.6 | 8.8 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 72] | 8–10 Mar 2010 | 1,000 | 50.0 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 122] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | 45.8 | 42.8 | 13.6 | 3.0 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 79] | 22–27 Oct 2009 | 1,000 | 45.0 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 115] | 28 Sep–19 Oct 2009 | 1,200 | 32.8 | 39.1 | 19.7 | 8.5 | 6.3 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | 34.1 | 29.6 | 36.3 | 4.5 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 126] | 9–11 Mar 2009 | 800 | 45.4 | 44.8 | 9.8 | 0.6 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 89] | 24–27 Nov 2008 | 600 | 46.0 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 10.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 127] | 10–13 Nov 2008 | 800 | 39.9 | 45.4 | 14.7 | 5.5 | |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 116] | 20 Oct–12 Nov 2008 | 1,200 | 28.1 | 38.4 | 23.6 | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 123] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | 41.1 | 47.6 | 11.3 | 6.5 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 123] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | 42.6 | 49.4 | 8.0 | 6.8 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 123] | 8–11 Jan 2008 | ? | 40.9 | 43.8 | 15.3 | 2.9 | |
| GESOP/ICPS[p 118] | 5 Nov–1 Dec 2007 | 2,000 | 25.3 | 39.9 | 28.5 | 6.2 | 14.6 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 103] | 22–25 Oct 2007 | 800 | 37.0 | 42.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 128] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | 40.0 | 39.4 | 20.6 | 0.6 | |
Predicted President
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mas CiU |
Montilla PSC |
Puigcercós ERC |
Camacho PP |
Herrera ICV–EUiA |
Rivera C's |
Laporta SI | ||||||
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 69.7 | 12.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 17.8 | 57.2 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | 75.1 | 13.4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 | 10.7 | 61.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 66.6 | 10.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 18.8 | 55.7 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | 43.4 | 22.4 | – | – | – | – | – | 34.2 | 21.0 | |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | 28.2 | 35.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 36.7 | 6.9 | |
Voter turnout
The table below shows registered voter turnout during the election. Figures for election day do not include non-resident citizens, while final figures do.
| Province | Time (Election day) | Final | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | 18:00 | 20:00 | ||||||||||
| 2006 | 2010 | +/– | 2006 | 2010 | +/– | 2006 | 2010 | +/– | 2006 | 2010 | +/– | |
| Barcelona | 25.58% | 24.74% | −0.84 | 45.25% | 48.47% | +3.22 | 56.69% | 60.05% | +3.36 | 55.94% | 58.88% | +2.94 |
| Girona | 27.32% | 26.62% | −0.70 | 47.69% | 50.38% | +2.69 | 57.67% | 60.49% | +2.82 | 57.13% | 59.49% | +2.36 |
| Lleida | 24.26% | 23.40% | −0.86 | 47.08% | 48.30% | +1.22 | 60.30% | 61.78% | +1.48 | 59.00% | 59.87% | +0.87 |
| Tarragona | 23.87% | 24.24% | +0.37 | 42.53% | 46.07% | +3.54 | 54.64% | 57.68% | +3.04 | 54.13% | 56.79% | +2.66 |
| Total | 25.49% | 24.79% | −0.70 | 45.30% | 48.39% | +3.09 | 56.78% | 59.95% | +3.17 | 56.04% | 58.78% | +2.74 |
| Sources[40] | ||||||||||||
Results
Overall
 | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Convergence and Union (CiU) | 1,202,830 | 38.43 | +6.91 | 62 | +14 | |
| Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) | 575,233 | 18.38 | −8.44 | 28 | −9 | |
| People's Party (PP) | 387,066 | 12.37 | +1.72 | 18 | +4 | |
| Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left (ICV–EUiA) | 230,824 | 7.37 | −2.15 | 10 | −2 | |
| Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | 219,173 | 7.00 | −7.03 | 10 | −11 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 106,154 | 3.39 | +0.36 | 3 | ±0 | |
| Catalan Solidarity for Independence (SI) | 102,921 | 3.29 | New | 4 | +4 | |
| Platform for Catalonia (PxC) | 75,134 | 2.40 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Independence Rally (RI.cat) | 39,834 | 1.27 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank Seats–Citizens for Blank Votes (EB–CenB)1 | 18,679 | 0.60 | +0.35 | 0 | ±0 | |
| The Greens–European Green Group (EV–GVE) | 15,784 | 0.50 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 14,238 | 0.45 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| From Below (Des de Baix) | 7,189 | 0.23 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Reus Independent Coordinator (CORI) | 6,990 | 0.22 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Pirates of Catalonia (Pirata.cat) | 6,451 | 0.21 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 5,418 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Pensioners in Action Party (PDLPEA) | 3,330 | 0.11 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Catalan People (PCPC) | 3,028 | 0.10 | −0.08 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Government Alternative (AG) | 2,208 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Family and Life Party (PFiV) | 2,201 | 0.07 | −0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 2,100 | 0.07 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) | 1,920 | 0.06 | −0.13 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) | 1,760 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Left Republican Party–Republican Left (PRE–IR) | 1,547 | 0.05 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Castilian Party (PCAS) | 1,066 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 908 | 0.03 | −0.06 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) | 904 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Farmers for the Catalan Rural Dignity (PDR.cat) | 824 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Republican Social Movement (MSR) | 788 | 0.03 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Our People (GN) | 597 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| We Are All Equal (GLBTH/TSI) | 498 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Party for Catalonia (PxCAT) | 314 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 218 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Catalan Sovereigntist Bloc (Bloc SC) | 187 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 98 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 82 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Social and Liberal Alternative (ALS) | 54 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Progress and Justice Party (PJP) | 49 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Democratic Web (DW) | 46 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 91,631 | 2.93 | +0.90 | |||
| Total | 3,130,276 | 135 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 3,130,276 | 99.29 | −0.25 | |||
| Invalid votes | 22,354 | 0.71 | +0.25 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 3,152,630 | 58.78 | +2.74 | |||
| Abstentions | 2,211,058 | 41.22 | −2.74 | |||
| Registered voters | 5,363,688 | |||||
| Sources[16][40][41] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | CiU | PSC | PP | ICV–EUiA | ERC | C's | SI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Barcelona | 36.8 | 35 | 19.2 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | 8.3 | 8 | 6.4 | 6 | 3.8 | 3 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Girona | 45.1 | 9 | 14.3 | 3 | 8.6 | 1 | 4.8 | 1 | 9.2 | 2 | 1.7 | − | 4.7 | 1 |
| Lleida | 46.9 | 8 | 14.8 | 3 | 10.2 | 2 | 4.0 | − | 9.1 | 1 | 1.5 | − | 3.1 | − |
| Tarragona | 39.3 | 9 | 18.2 | 4 | 13.4 | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | 8.5 | 1 | 2.7 | − | 3.4 | − |
| Total | 38.4 | 62 | 18.4 | 28 | 12.4 | 18 | 7.4 | 10 | 7.0 | 10 | 3.4 | 3 | 3.3 | 4 |
| Sources[16][40][41] | ||||||||||||||
Aftermath
Notes
- Does not include non-resident citizens.