2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia. Republican governor Jim Justice won his first term in office, defeating Democratic Wheeling mayor Glenn Elliott. He succeeded independent incumbent Joe Manchin, who did not seek a third full term.[1]
November 5, 2024
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Justice: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Manchin, a Democrat until his final year in the Senate, announced he would not run for re-election shortly before switching to independent.[2] He endorsed Elliott, who won the Democratic nomination with 45% of the vote against political activist Zach Shrewsbury and businessman Don Blankenship. Justice won the Republican nomination with 62% of the vote against Congressman Alex Mooney.
Due to West Virginia's heavy Republican lean, the absence of Manchin, Justice's personal popularity, and being held concurrently with a presidential race in a state in which Donald Trump was expected to win in a landslide, a Republican pickup for this seat was considered a foregone conclusion in 2024.[3][4][5][6][7] Justice was sworn in as a Senator on January 14, 2025, giving elected Republicans control of both of West Virginia’s Senate seats for the first time since 1931 and giving the state an entirely Republican congressional delegation for the first time since 1923.[a] This was the first time since the 1956 special election that a Republican won West Virginia's Class I Senate Seat.
Background
Manchin saw electoral success through the 2010s, positioning himself as a centrist to conservative Democrat with strong ties to West Virginia,[8] which is now considered a deeply red state at the federal and state levels.[9]
The Republican Party identified this contest as a top priority in the 2024 election cycle.[10] Amongst the Republicans who ran for this seat were Congressman Alex Mooney[11] and Governor Jim Justice.[12]
Due to the state's heavy partisan lean, the narrow margin by which Manchin was re-elected in 2018, and a likely strong Republican presidential performance on the same ballot, Republicans were favored to win this seat even if Manchin sought re-election.[13] After Justice announced his bid for the seat in April 2023, Elections Daily labeled this race as "Safe Republican" due to his strong polling advantage against Manchin.[7] After Manchin announced his retirement, all major outlets rated this seat as an expected easy flip to GOP control. While some Democratic sources hoped that a primary victory by Don Blankenship would spur Manchin to run as an independent, Manchin himself described that notion as a "long, long, long-shot scenario" that ended when Blankenship lost the primary.[14]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Don Blankenship, former CEO of Massey Energy, Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018, and Constitution nominee for president in 2020[16]
- Zach Shrewsbury, political organizer[17]
Declined
- Joe Manchin, incumbent U.S. senator[1] (endorsed Elliott)[18]
Endorsements
U.S. senators
- Joe Manchin, U.S. senator from West Virginia (2010–2025) (Independent)[18]
Local officials
- Amy Shuler Goodwin, mayor of Charleston (2019–present)[19]
Labor Unions
State legislators
- Anitra Hamilton, state delegate (2023–present)[23]
- Evan Hansen, state delegate (2018–present)[23]
- Danielle Walker, former state delegate (2018–2023)[23]
Individuals
- Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University[24]
- Heather Digby Parton, political blogger[24]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Zachary Shrewsbury (D) | $295,678 | $238,895 | $56,782 |
| Glenn Elliott (D) | $125,407 | $60,071 | $65,335 |
| Don Blankenship (D) | $1,000 | $0 | $1,085 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27] | |||
Results

- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Glenn Elliott | 46,176 | 45.40% | |
| Democratic | Zach Shrewsbury | 36,754 | 36.14% | |
| Democratic | Don Blankenship | 18,778 | 18.46% | |
| Total votes | 101,708 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Justice, governor of West Virginia (2017–2025)[12]
Eliminated in primary
- Bryan Bird, pastor[29]
- Zane Lawhorn, optometrist and perennial candidate[30]
- Don Lindsay[29]
- Bryan McKinney, sales manager[30]
- Janet McNulty, IT professional[29]
- Alex Mooney, U.S. representative for West Virginia's 2nd congressional district (2015–2025)[11]
Withdrew
- Chris Rose, coal miner[31] (ran for state senate)[29]
Declined
- Carol Miller, U.S. representative for West Virginia's 1st congressional district (2019–present)[32] (running for re-election)[33]
- Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Attorney General (2013–2025) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for governor)[34]
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[35]
U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, Tennessee (2019–present)[36]
- Mitch McConnell, Senate minority leader (2021–2025) from Kentucky (1985–present)[37]
- Shelley Moore Capito, West Virginia (2015–present)[38]
- Lindsey Graham, South Carolina (2003–present)[39]
- Tom Cotton, Arkansas (2015–present)[40]
U.S. representatives
- David McKinley, WV-01 (2011–2023)[41]
State legislators
- Moore Capito, state delegate (2016–2023)[42]
Individuals
- Cathy Justice, educator and First Lady of West Virginia (2017–2025) (candidate’s wife)[43]
Organizations
U.S. senators
- Ted Cruz, Texas (2013–present)[47]
- Rand Paul, Kentucky (2011–present)[48]
- Mike Lee, Utah (2011–present)[48]
- Jim DeMint, former South Carolina (2005–2013)[48]
U.S. representatives
- Jim Jordan, OH-04 (2007–present)[49]
Statewide officials
- Riley Moore, West Virginia state treasurer (2021–2025)[50]
- Craig Blair, lieutenant governor of West Virginia (2021–2025)[51]
State legislators
- Eric Householder, Majority Leader of the West Virginia House of Delegates (2023–2025)[51]
- Rollan Roberts, state senator from the 9th district (2019–present)[50]
- Chuck Horst, state delegate from the 62nd district (2020–present)[50]
- Patricia Rucker, state senator from the 16th district (2016–present)[51]
- Robert Karnes, state senator from the 11th district (2014-2018, 2020–2024)[51]
- Chris Pritt, state delegate from the 36th district (2020–2024)[50]
- Pat McGeehan, state delegate from the 1st district (2014–present)[50]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jim Justice (R) | $2,956,027 | $2,024,749 | $931,451 |
| Alex Mooney (R) | $3,266,887 | $2,629,525 | $637,362 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Jim Justice |
Alex Mooney |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[58] | May 2–5, 2024 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 60% | 30% | 10%[c] | – |
| Research America[59][A] | April 24 – May 1, 2024 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 67% | 23% | 7% | 3% |
| Osage Research (R)[60][B] | April 22–24, 2024 | 400(LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 35% | 5% | 11% |
| NMB Research (R)[61] | April 20–22, 2024 | 500(LV) | ± 4.38% | 60% | 24% | – | 16% |
| Research America[62][A] | April 3–9, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 66% | 24% | 4% | 6% |
| Emerson College[63][C] | March 19–21, 2024 | 735 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 17% | 1% | 22% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[64][D] |
November 13–14, 2023 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 56% | 20% | 3%[d] | 22% |
| Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)[65][E] | September 11–13, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 62% | 23% | – | 15% |
| Research America[66][A] | August 16–26, 2023 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 26% | – | 16% |
| Orion Strategies[67][F] | June 17–20, 2023 | 651 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 56% | 19% | 9% | 16% |
| East Carolina University[68] | May 22–23, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 12% | – | 35% |
| co/efficient (R)[69] | April 24–25, 2023 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 17% | – | 38% |
Results

- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 40–50%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Justice | 138,307 | 61.84% | |
| Republican | Alex Mooney | 59,348 | 26.54% | |
| Republican | Bryan Bird | 7,001 | 3.13% | |
| Republican | Bryan McKinney | 6,573 | 2.94% | |
| Republican | Zane Lawhorn | 4,517 | 2.02% | |
| Republican | Janet McNulty | 4,404 | 1.97% | |
| Republican | Don Lindsay | 3,503 | 1.57% | |
| Total votes | 223,653 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Declined
- Joe Manchin, incumbent U.S. senator[1] (endorsed Elliott)[18]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[72] | Solid R (flip) | May 17, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Solid R (flip) | May 9, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R (flip) | April 17, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[5] | Safe R (flip) | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[7] | Safe R (flip) | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[73] | Solid R (flip) | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[74] | Solid R (flip) | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[75] | Safe R (flip) | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[76] | Solid R (flip) | October 23, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
U.S. senators
- John Fetterman, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2023–present)[77]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Glenn Elliott (D) | $252,262 | $183,127 | $69,135 |
| Jim Justice (R) | $3,680,408 | $2,881,158 | $799,423 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27] | |||
Polling
Joe Manchin vs. Jim Justice
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
Jim Justice (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[81] | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 28% | 41% | – | 31% |
| Research America[66] | August 16–26, 2023 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 38% | 51% | – | 11% |
| East Carolina University[68] | May 22–23, 2023 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 54% | 1% | 13% |
| co/efficient (R)[69] | April 24–25, 2023 | 974 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 29% | 43% | – | 28% |
| Tarrance Group (R)[71][G] | February 5–7, 2023 | 609 (LRV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 52% | – | 5% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[82][D] | August 24–26, 2022 | 762 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 32% | 47% | – | 21% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[83] | January 17–20, 2022 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 37% | – | 22% |
Joe Manchin vs. Alex Mooney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
Alex Mooney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[81] | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 31% | 31% | – |
| Research America[66] | August 16–26, 2023 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% | – |
| East Carolina University[68] | May 22–23, 2023 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 41% | 1% | 18% |
| co/efficient (R)[69] | April 24–25, 2023 | 974 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 30% | – | 34% |
| Tarrance Group (R)[71][G] | February 5–7, 2023 | 609 (LRV) | ± 4.1% | 55% | 40% | – | 5% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[82][D] | August 24–26, 2022 | 762 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 45% | 12% | 5% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[83] | January 17–20, 2022 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 28% | 16% | 7% |
Joe Manchin vs. Patrick Morrisey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
Patrick Morrisey (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrance Group (R)[71][G] | February 5–7, 2023 | 609 (LRV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[82][D] | August 24–26, 2022 | 762 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 50% | 9% | 5% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[83] | January 17–20, 2022 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 29% | 7% | 16% |
Joe Manchin as an Independent vs. Jim Justice
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (I) |
Jim Justice (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrance Group (R)[84][G] | September 24–26, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Justice | 514,079 | 68.75% | +22.49% | |
| Democratic | Glenn Elliott | 207,548 | 27.76% | −21.81% | |
| Libertarian | David Moran | 26,075 | 3.49% | −0.68% | |
| Write-in | 15 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 747,717 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Independent | |||||
By county
| County[85] | Glenn Elliott Democratic |
Jim Justice Republican |
David Moran Libertarian |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Barbour | 1,069 | 16.95% | 4,963 | 78.72% | 273 | 4.33% | 3,894 | 61.76% | 6,305 |
| Berkeley | 16,740 | 30.49% | 35,870 | 65.34% | 2,285 | 4.16% | 19,130 | 34.85% | 54,895 |
| Boone | 1,826 | 22.86% | 5,965 | 74.67% | 197 | 2.47% | 4,139 | 51.82% | 7,988 |
| Braxton | 1,255 | 23.99% | 3,812 | 72.86% | 165 | 3.15% | 2,557 | 48.87% | 5,232 |
| Brooke | 2,684 | 27.72% | 6,857 | 70.82% | 141 | 1.46% | 4,173 | 43.10% | 9,682 |
| Cabell | 12,093 | 34.84% | 21,486 | 61.90% | 1,131 | 3.26% | 9,393 | 27.06% | 34,710 |
| Calhoun | 484 | 16.96% | 2,293 | 80.34% | 77 | 2.70% | 1,809 | 63.38% | 2,854 |
| Clay | 594 | 18.72% | 2,479 | 78.13% | 100 | 3.15% | 1,885 | 59.41% | 3,173 |
| Doddridge | 379 | 13.06% | 2,374 | 81.78% | 150 | 5.17% | 1,995 | 68.72% | 2,903 |
| Fayette | 4,512 | 29.65% | 10,147 | 66.69% | 557 | 3.66% | 5,635 | 37.03% | 15,216 |
| Gilmer | 481 | 20.81% | 1,763 | 76.29% | 67 | 2.90% | 1,282 | 55.47% | 2,311 |
| Grant | 547 | 10.14% | 4,647 | 86.17% | 199 | 3.69% | 4,100 | 76.02% | 5,393 |
| Greenbrier | 4,515 | 30.69% | 9,676 | 65.77% | 521 | 3.54% | 5,161 | 35.08% | 14,712 |
| Hampshire | 1,777 | 17.36% | 8,120 | 79.31% | 341 | 3.33% | 6,343 | 61.96% | 10,238 |
| Hancock | 3,277 | 25.49% | 9,334 | 72.59% | 247 | 1.92% | 6,057 | 47.11% | 12,858 |
| Hardy | 1,303 | 20.66% | 4,798 | 76.07% | 206 | 3.27% | 3,495 | 55.41% | 6,307 |
| Harrison | 7,508 | 25.85% | 20,396 | 70.21% | 1,145 | 3.94% | 12,888 | 44.37% | 29,049 |
| Jackson | 2,669 | 21.14% | 9,492 | 75.17% | 466 | 3.69% | 6,823 | 54.04% | 12,627 |
| Jefferson | 11,265 | 39.31% | 16,509 | 57.61% | 884 | 3.08% | 5,244 | 18.30% | 28,658 |
| Kanawha | 29,195 | 39.65% | 42,331 | 57.49% | 2,103 | 2.86% | 13,136 | 17.84% | 73,629 |
| Lewis | 1,239 | 17.69% | 5,467 | 78.06% | 298 | 4.25% | 4,228 | 60.37% | 7,004 |
| Lincoln | 1,283 | 18.22% | 5,555 | 78.87% | 205 | 2.91% | 4,272 | 60.66% | 7,043 |
| Logan | 1,874 | 16.98% | 8,916 | 80.79% | 246 | 2.23% | 7,042 | 63.81% | 11,036 |
| Marion | 7,834 | 32.22% | 15,406 | 63.36% | 1,074 | 4.42% | 7,572 | 31.14% | 24,314 |
| Marshall | 4,027 | 30.61% | 8,902 | 67.68% | 225 | 1.71% | 4,875 | 37.06% | 13,154 |
| Mason | 2,156 | 20.73% | 7,890 | 75.85% | 356 | 3.42% | 5,734 | 55.12% | 10,402 |
| McDowell | 898 | 17.42% | 4,121 | 79.94% | 136 | 2.64% | 3,223 | 62.52% | 5,155 |
| Mercer | 4,306 | 18.66% | 18,120 | 78.51% | 653 | 2.83% | 13,814 | 59.86% | 23,079 |
| Mineral | 2,207 | 17.31% | 10,157 | 79.67% | 385 | 3.02% | 7,950 | 62.36% | 12,749 |
| Mingo | 1,085 | 13.24% | 6,940 | 84.69% | 170 | 2.07% | 5,855 | 71.45% | 8,195 |
| Monongalia | 18,272 | 44.65% | 20,874 | 51.00% | 1,780 | 4.35% | 2,602 | 6.36% | 40,926 |
| Monroe | 1,235 | 19.80% | 4,804 | 77.01% | 199 | 3.19% | 3,569 | 57.21% | 6,238 |
| Morgan | 1,840 | 20.85% | 6,662 | 75.49% | 323 | 3.66% | 4,822 | 54.64% | 8,825 |
| Nicholas | 2,006 | 20.34% | 7,538 | 76.42% | 320 | 3.24% | 5,532 | 56.08% | 9,864 |
| Ohio | 7,599 | 40.80% | 10,750 | 57.72% | 275 | 1.48% | 3,151 | 16.92% | 18,624 |
| Pendleton | 614 | 18.31% | 2,658 | 79.27% | 81 | 2.42% | 2,044 | 60.96% | 3,353 |
| Pleasants | 641 | 19.40% | 2,569 | 77.75% | 94 | 2.85% | 1,928 | 58.35% | 3,304 |
| Pocahontas | 1,014 | 26.66% | 2,649 | 69.64% | 141 | 3.71% | 1,635 | 42.98% | 3,804 |
| Preston | 2,477 | 17.50% | 9,988 | 70.58% | 1,687 | 11.92% | 7,511 | 53.07% | 14,152 |
| Putnam | 6,841 | 25.38% | 19,184 | 71.17% | 930 | 3.45% | 12,343 | 45.79% | 26,955 |
| Raleigh | 6,970 | 23.24% | 21,796 | 72.68% | 1,225 | 4.08% | 14,826 | 49.43% | 29,991 |
| Randolph | 2,881 | 25.23% | 8,107 | 70.99% | 432 | 3.78% | 5,226 | 45.76% | 11,420 |
| Ritchie | 547 | 13.87% | 3,278 | 83.11% | 119 | 3.02% | 2,731 | 69.24% | 3,944 |
| Roane | 1,190 | 21.87% | 4,100 | 75.35% | 151 | 2.78% | 2,910 | 53.48% | 5,441 |
| Summers | 1,267 | 24.67% | 3,708 | 72.21% | 160 | 3.12% | 2,441 | 47.54% | 5,135 |
| Taylor | 1,518 | 21.09% | 5,344 | 74.23% | 337 | 4.68% | 3,826 | 53.15% | 7,199 |
| Tucker | 849 | 23.51% | 2,544 | 70.45% | 218 | 6.04% | 1,695 | 46.94% | 3,611 |
| Tyler | 643 | 18.10% | 2,795 | 78.67% | 115 | 3.24% | 2,152 | 60.57% | 3,553 |
| Upshur | 1,879 | 19.39% | 7,437 | 76.75% | 374 | 3.86% | 5,558 | 57.36% | 9,690 |
| Wayne | 3,392 | 22.25% | 11,416 | 74.89% | 435 | 2.85% | 8,024 | 52.64% | 15,243 |
| Webster | 541 | 18.40% | 2,331 | 79.26% | 69 | 2.35% | 1,790 | 60.86% | 2,941 |
| Wetzel | 1,494 | 24.58% | 4,469 | 73.54% | 114 | 1.88% | 2,975 | 48.96% | 6,077 |
| Wirt | 419 | 16.63% | 2,001 | 79.40% | 100 | 3.97% | 1,582 | 62.78% | 2,520 |
| Wood | 9,381 | 25.60% | 26,084 | 71.18% | 1,178 | 3.21% | 16,703 | 45.58% | 36,643 |
| Wyoming | 956 | 12.96% | 6,207 | 84.13% | 215 | 2.91% | 5,251 | 71.17% | 7,378 |
| Totals | 207,548 | 27.76% | 514,079 | 68.75% | 26,075 | 3.49% | 306,531 | 41.00% | 747,702 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Brooke (largest borough: Wellsburg)
- Boone (largest city: Madison)
- Braxton (largest town: Sutton)
- Cabell (largest city: Huntington)
- Fayette (largest city: Fayetteville)
- Gilmer (largest city: Glenville)
- Greenbrier (largest city: Lewisburg)
- Jefferson (largest city: Charles Town)
- Harrison (largest city: Clarksburg)
- Kanawha (largest city: Charleston)
- Lincoln (largest city: Hamlin)
- Marshall (largest city: Moundsville)
- Mason (largest city: Point Pleasant)
- Marion (largest city: Fairmont)
- McDowell (largest city: Welch)
- Mineral (largest municipality: Keyser)
- Monongalia (largest city: Morgantown)
- Ohio (largest city: Wheeling)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Hurricane)
- Randolph (largest city: Elkins)
- Roane (largest city: Spencer)
- Summers (largest city: Hinton)
- Wayne (largest city: Kenova)
- Wetzel (largest city: New Martinsville)
- Wood (largest municipality: Parkersburg)
By congressional district
Justice won both congressional districts.[87]
| District | Elliott | Justice | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 27% | 70% | Carol Miller |
| 2nd | 29% | 68% | Alex Mooney (118th Congress) |
| Riley Moore (119th Congress) |
Notes
- Republicans held both of West Virginia's Senate seats in 1958 when Republican John Hoblitzell was appointed to continue the term of Democrat Matthew M. Neely before losing his bid to finish Neely's term in a special election the same year.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Zane Lawhorn with 3%; Bryan Bird, Bryan McKinney, and Janet McNulty with 2%; Don Lindsay with 1%
- Bryan McKinney with 2%; Zane Lawhorn with 1%
- Oversample of 100 likely Republican primary voters
- "Someone else" with 5%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews and The Health Plan
- Poll sponsored by Mooney's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Justice's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce
- Poll sponsored by the Senate Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates
- Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews