2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on June 7.
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November 8, 2016
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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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District 1
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 County results Blum: 50–60% 60–70% Vernon: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Rod Blum, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rod Blum, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rod Blum (incumbent) | 13,411 | 99.4 | |
| Write-in | 88 | 0.6 | ||
| Total votes | 13,499 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Monica Vernon, Cedar Rapids City Council member, candidate for this seat in 2014 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2014[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Pat Murphy, former Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives and nominee for this seat in 2014[3][4]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Chet Culver, former Governor of Iowa[12]
- Swati Dandekar, former member of the Iowa Utilities Board, former state senator and candidate for the seat in 2014[13][14][3][15]
- Anesa Kajtazovic, former state representative and candidate for this seat in 2014[13][16]
- Dave O'Brien, attorney, nominee for 6th district in 1988 and candidate for this seat in 2014[17]
Endorsements
Gary Kroeger
State legislators
- Timi Brown-Powers, state representative[18]
Monica Vernon
U.S. Representatives
- Cheri Bustos, U.S. Representative[19]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative[20]
State legislators
- Liz Bennett, state representative[21]
- Joe Bolkcom, state senator[21]
- Bill Dotzler, state senator[21]
- Bob Dvorsky, state senator[21]
- Jack Hatch, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2014[21]
- Rob Hogg, state senator[21]
- Pam Jochum, President of the Iowa Senate[21]
- Vicki Lensing, state representative[21]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[21]
- Liz Mathis, state senator[21]
- Kirsten Running-Marquardt, state representative[21]
- Art Staed, state representative[21]
- Sally Stutsman, state representative[21]
- Rich Taylor, state senator[21]
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Monica Vernon | 21,032 | 67.5 | |
| Democratic | Pat Murphy | 10,090 | 32.4 | |
| Write-in | 38 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 31,160 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rod Blum (R) |
Monica Vernon (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)[23] | October 29–31, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | — | 6% |
| Normington, Petts and Associates (D-HMP)[24] | October 10–11, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[25] | September 30 – October 3, 2016 | 439 | ± 4.7% | 48% | 46% | — | — |
| The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)[26] | September 29 – October 1, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 36% | — | — |
| Loras College[27] | September 20–22, 2016 | 368 | ± 5.1% | 45% | 38% | 1% | 16% |
| The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)[28] | August 14–16, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
| DFM Research[29] | November 4–11, 2015 | 328 | ± 5.4% | 46% | 38% | 2% | 13% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rod Blum (R) |
Pat Murphy (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFM Research[29] | November 4–11, 2015 | 328 | ± 5.4% | 45% | 42% | 2% | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[31] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[32] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[34] | Tossup | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rod Blum (incumbent) | 206,903 | 53.7 | |
| Democratic | Monica Vernon | 177,403 | 46.1 | |
| Write-in | 671 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 384,977 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 County results Loebsack: 50–60% 60–70% Peters: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Dave Loebsack, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+4.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 23,738 | 99.0 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 238 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 23,976 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christopher Peters, thoracic surgeon[36]
Declined
- Mark Chelgren, state senator[37][38]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christopher Peters | 14,987 | 99.3 | |
| Write-in | 107 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 15,094 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[32] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[34] | Likely D | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 198,571 | 53.7 | |
| Republican | Christopher Peters | 170,933 | 46.2 | |
| Write-in | 528 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 370,032 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
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 County results Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Mowrer: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent David Young, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Young, incumbent U.S. Representative[39]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Young (incumbent) | 17,977 | 84.8 | |
| Republican | Joe Grandanette | 3,143 | 14.8 | |
| Write-in | 85 | 0.4 | ||
| Total votes | 21,205 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Mowrer, vice chair of the Iowa Democratic Party, former special assistant to the United States Under Secretary of the Army, and nominee for 4th district in 2014[43]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Staci Appel, former state senator and nominee for this seat in 2014[48][45][49]
- Nathan Blake, Des Moines School Board member, Assistant Iowa Attorney General and 2014 State Senate candidate[45]
- Chet Culver, former Governor of Iowa[12][45][46]
- Nick Klinefeldt, United States Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa[50][51][52]
- Matt McCoy, state senator[53]
- Mike Sherzan, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2014[54]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Mowrer | 13,024 | 49.6 | |
| Democratic | Mike Sherzan | 9,573 | 36.4 | |
| Democratic | Desmund Adams | 3,650 | 13.9 | |
| Write-in | 38 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 26,285 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Young (R) |
Jim Mowrer (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR Research (D-DCCC)[55] | October 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 3% |
| Loras College[56] | September 20–22, 2016 | 327 | ± 5.4% | 46% | 36% | 15% |
| The Tarrance Group (R-Young)[57] | September 20–22, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 37% | 11% |
| RABA Research[58] | September 6–8, 2016 | 303 | ± 5.6% | 50% | 35% | 16% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[31] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[32] | Tilt R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[34] | Lean R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Young (incumbent) | 208,598 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic | Jim Mowrer | 155,002 | 39.7 | |
| Libertarian | Bryan Jack Holder | 15,372 | 3.9 | |
| Independent | Claudia Addy | 6,348 | 1.6 | |
| Independent | Joe Grandanette | 4,518 | 1.2 | |
| Write-in | 449 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 390,287 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
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 County results King: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Weaver: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Steve King, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve King, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Bertrand, state senator[59]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 29,098 | 64.6 | |
| Republican | Rick Bertrand | 15,872 | 35.3 | |
| Write-in | 49 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 45,019 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kim Weaver, chair of the O'Brien County Democrats and local AFSCME official[60]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kim Weaver | 12,738 | 99.5 | |
| Write-in | 62 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 12,800 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[31] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[32] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[34] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 226,719 | 61.2 | |
| Democratic | Kim Weaver | 142,993 | 38.6 | |
| Write-in | 547 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 370,259 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||