2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 10 U.S. representatives from the state of Washington, one from each of the state's 10 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Going into this election, the Democratic Party represented seven seats, while the Republican Party represented three seats.
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November 8, 2022
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All 10 Washington seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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These were the first elections to the House of Representatives held in Washington state after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The Democratic Party gained a seat, flipping the 3rd district from Republican to Democratic control, and reducing the Republicans' share of the delegation to just two districts.
Redistricting
Process
Washington state has used a bipartisan redistricting commission to draw its districts since the passage of a ballot initiative in 1983. The Democratic and Republican parties each appoint two people to the commission, and the four appointees select a fifth member to serve as the nonvoting chair of the commission. For the 2020 redistricting cycle, the Democrats appointed April Sims, secretary-treasurer of the Washington State Labor Council, and Brady Piñero Walkinshaw, CEO of Grist and a former member of the Washington House of Representatives. The Republicans chose Paul Graves, a lawyer and former member of the Washington House of Representatives, and Joe Fain, president and CEO of the Bellevue Chamber of Commerce and a former member of the Washington Senate. They selected Sarah Augustine, executive director of the Dispute Resolution Center for Yakima and Kittitas counties, as chair.[1]
Failure of the commission
The commission was required to approve a final set of district maps by 11:59 PM on November 15, 2021. However, for the first time since the process was enacted in 1983, the deadline was not met. Although the commission approved a set of maps with seconds to go before midnight, they did not vote to transmit those maps until after the deadline had passed.[2] The members of the commission faced widespread criticism for missing the deadline and for making negotiations behind closed doors rather than in front of the public. Some speculated that the actions of the commission may have violated Washington's Open Public Meetings Act, which generally prohibits public commissions from making decisions in private, and the Washington Supreme Court demanded that the redistricting commission produce a detailed timeline of what occurred in the hours before the deadline. Because the commission failed to meet the deadline, the Washington Supreme Court took over responsibility for the state's maps.[3][4]
Several Washington politicians expressed disappointment that the commission failed and that the supreme court would be drawing the state's maps. Republican former state senator Ann Rivers claimed that it was "fair to wonder" if some members of the commission wanted to miss the deadline so that the majority-liberal supreme court could take over redistricting.[5] The League of Women Voters called for the entire process to be reformed, believing it should be more transparent and that the commissioners should be given more time and training.[6] Washington Senate Majority Leader Andy Billig said his caucus would introduce legislation to require that the final version of the commission's map be released to the public before the final vote to prevent future commissions from missing the deadline.[7]
Supreme Court
Some speculated that maps drawn by the supreme court may have been more favorable to the Democratic Party compared to those drawn by the bipartisan commission, as five out of the court's nine justices were originally appointed by Democratic governors (three by Jay Inslee and two by Christine Gregoire).[3][4][5][8] The members of the commission urged the supreme court to adopt the maps that it drew but did not approve in time. However, commissioner Walkinshaw acknowledged that there may be questions about whether the maps' handling of the Yakima River Valley may have violated the Voting Rights Act due to its distribution of Latinos. The UCLA Voting Rights Project claimed that the maps demonstrated "racially polarized voting patterns" in the region and urged the supreme court to address these issues.[9] The supreme court granted the commission's request and adopted its maps, but it emphasized that its decision to use the commission's maps "does not render any opinion on the plan's compliance with any statutory and constitutional requirements," meaning that the maps could still be challenged in court.[10]
New maps
Washington's new congressional map leaves the districts largely the same, though it makes the 1st and 10th districts somewhat more liberal. The most notable change was to the 1st district, which previously reached up to the Canada–United States border. Under the new map, it is more compact, with Medina and Bellevue in the south and Arlington in the north.[11] Much of the areas cut out from the 1st district were added to the 2nd district. Previously a primarily coastal district, the 2nd now reaches further inland, taking in Skagit and Whatcom counties. The 8th district was also extended. It now reaches into Snohomish County, taking in the city of Sultan, and northern King County, taking in the city of Skykomish. Although both Snohomish and King are liberal counties, giving 58.5% and 75.0% of their vote respectively to Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, the portions of these counties that are inside the 8th are still notably more conservative than the counties as a whole. This, in addition to the presence of Trump-supporting Chelan and Kittitas counties and a portion of Pierce County, makes the district highly competitive.[9]
District 1
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  DelBene: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cavaleri: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 1st congressional district spanned the northeastern Seattle suburbs, including Redmond and Kirkland, along the Cascades to the Canada–United States border. The incumbent was Democrat Suzan DelBene, who was first elected to the 1st district in 2012. DelBene ran for re-election to a sixth full term in 2022 and won the general election with 63.5% of the vote.[12]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Vincent Cavaleri (Republican), Mill Creek city councilor and Snohomish County Sheriff's deputy[13]
- Suzan DelBene (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative and Chair of the New Democrat Coalition[14]
Eliminated in primary
- Derek Chartrand (Republican), sales executive and candidate for this seat in 2020
- Matthew Heines (Republican), educator and candidate for this seat in 2020
- Tom Spears (independent), petroleum landman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[15][16]
Endorsements
Organizations
- King County Republican Party[17]
Organizations
- King County Democratic Party[18]
- League of Conservation Voters[19]
- National Women's Political Caucus of Washington[20]
- Sierra Club[21]
Labor unions
Newspapers
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Suzan DelBene (incumbent) | 102,857 | 62.0 | |
| Republican | Vincent Cavaleri | 32,998 | 19.9 | |
| Republican | Matthew Heines | 13,634 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Derek Chartrand | 11,536 | 7.0 | |
| Independent | Tom Spears | 4,840 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 165,865 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Suzan DelBene (incumbent) | 181,992 | 63.5 | |
| Republican | Vincent Cavaleri | 104,329 | 36.4 | |
| Write-in | 363 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 286,684 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[35] | Suzan DelBene
Democratic |
Vincent Cavaleri
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| King (part) | 81,233 | 72.44% | 30,778 | 27.44% | 134 | 0.12% | 50,455 | 44.99% | 112,145 |
| Snohomish (part) | 100,759 | 57.73% | 73,551 | 42.14% | 229 | 0.13% | 27,208 | 15.59% | 174,539 |
| Totals | 181,992 | 63.48% | 104,329 | 36.39% | 363 | 0.13% | 77,663 | 27.09% | 286,684 |
District 2
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  Larsen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Matthews 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 2nd congressional district encompassed the northern Puget Sound area, including Everett and Bellingham. The incumbent was Democrat Rick Larsen, who had represented the 2nd district since 2001. Larsen most recently ran for re-election in 2022, winning 60.2% of the vote in the general election.[36]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Rick Larsen (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[37]
- Dan Matthews (Republican)
Eliminated in primary
- Jason Call (Democratic), teacher and candidate for this district in 2020[38][16]
- Cody Hart (Republican), engineering firm owner, U.S. Navy veteran, and candidate for this district in 2020[16]
- Leif Johnson (Republican), businessman[39][16]
- Carrie Kennedy (Republican), conservative activist and candidate for this district in 2020[40]
- Jon Welch (Republican)[41]
- Bill Wheeler (Republican), businessman, U.S. Air Force veteran, and write-in candidate for Everett Mayor in 2021[42][16]
Endorsements
Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, political activist and columnist for Newsweek, candidate for California's 33rd congressional district in 2014 and for President of the United States in 2020 and 2024[43]
Organizations
- Progressive Democrats of America[44]
Results
- 40–50%50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rick Larsen (incumbent) | 100,631 | 45.8 | |
| Republican | Dan Matthews | 37,393 | 17.0 | |
| Democratic | Jason Call | 31,991 | 14.6 | |
| Republican | Cody Hart | 22,176 | 10.1 | |
| Republican | Bill Wheeler | 9,124 | 4.2 | |
| Republican | Carrie Kennedy | 8,802 | 4.1 | |
| Republican | Leif Johnson | 5,582 | 2.5 | |
| Republican | Jon Welch | 1,699 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | Brandon Stalnaker | 1,366 | 0.6 | |
| Independent | Doug Revelle | 927 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 219,691 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid D | August 19, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rick Larsen (incumbent) | 202,980 | 60.1 | |
| Republican | Dan Matthews | 134,335 | 39.7 | |
| Write-in | 608 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 337,923 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[48] | Rick Larsen
Democratic |
Dan Matthews
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Island | 24,242 | 56.42% | 18,654 | 43.41% | 73 | 0.17% | 5,588 | 13.00% | 42,969 |
| San Juan | 8,322 | 73.96% | 2,912 | 25.88% | 18 | 0.16% | 5,410 | 48.08% | 11,252 |
| Skagit | 30,124 | 53.12% | 26,510 | 46.75% | 76 | 0.13% | 3,614 | 6.37% | 56,710 |
| Snohomish (part) | 73,494 | 63.18% | 42,596 | 36.62% | 228 | 0.20% | 30,898 | 26.56% | 116,318 |
| Whatcom | 66,798 | 60.36% | 43,663 | 39.45% | 213 | 0.19% | 23,135 | 20.90% | 110,674 |
| Totals | 202,980 | 60.07% | 134,335 | 39.75% | 608 | 0.18% | 68,645 | 20.31% | 337,923 |
District 3
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  Gluesenkamp Perez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kent: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed the southernmost portion of western and central Washington. It included the counties of Lewis, Pacific, Wahkiakum, Cowlitz, Clark, Skamania, and Klickitat, as well as a small sliver of southern Thurston county. The incumbent was Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler, who was re-elected with 56.4% of the vote in 2020,[49] but was eliminated in the primary; as one of the ten Republican representatives to vote for Donald Trump's second impeachment, her primary opponent was endorsed by Trump. Beutler was the first incumbent U.S. Representative from Washington to fail to advance to the general election since the introduction of the top-two primary system in 2008.[50]
Despite every major election predictor predicting this race to be "Lean R" or better for Republicans, the race was won by Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez by a small margin.[51] The race has been called a microcosm of many of those across the U.S., with a far-right challenger to the incumbent being defeated in the general election with election denial and abortion rights being major issues.[52] Other issues include the expansion of mass transit into WA-3. Kent was opposed to it while Perez supported it.
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Joe Kent (Republican), technology project manager, former U.S. Army chief warrant officer, former Green Beret, and widower of Shannon M. Kent[53][16]
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Democratic), small business owner[54]
Eliminated in primary
- Oliver Black (American Solidarity)
- Chris Byrd (independent)
- Leslie French (Republican), businessman[55]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[56]
- Vicki Kraft (Republican), state representative from the 17th district[57]
- Davy Ray (Democratic), college instructor, retired musician, and candidate for this district in 2020[58][16]
- Heidi St. John (Republican), author and speaker[53][16]
Withdrew
- Brent Hennrich (Democratic), installation site supervisor (endorsed Gluesenkamp Perez)[14][59]
- Lucy Lauser (Democratic), artist, musician, and Skamania delegate for Bernie Sanders in 2016[60][16][61]
- Christopher Maynard (Democratic), business owner (endorsed Hennrich)[62][63][64]
- Wadi Yakhour (Republican), former special assistant to the U.S. Department of the Interior and U.S. Navy veteran[65]
Endorsements
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Miles Taylor, former chief of staff to the U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2019)[66]
- Christine Todd Whitman, former administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001–2003) and former governor of New Jersey (1994–2001)[66]
U.S. Representatives
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2007–2023) Leader of the House Republican Conference (2019–2023) and Speaker of the house (2023)[67]
- María Elvira Salazar, U.S. Representative from Florida's 27th congressional district (2021–present)[67]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 1st congressional district (2008–present)[67]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)[68]
- Joe Walsh, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 8th congressional district (2011–2013)[69]
Organizations
- Maggie's List[70]
- National Federation of Independent Business[71]
- Pro-Israel America[72]
- Renew America Movement[73]
Newspapers
- The Columbian (co-endorsed with Gluesenkamp Perez)[74]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the DIA (2012–2014)
- Christopher C. Miller, acting U.S. Secretary of Defense (2020–2021)[75]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[76]
U.S. Representatives
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[77]
- Madison Cawthorn, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023)[78]
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) and former vice chair of the DNC (Independent)[79]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–2024)[80][77]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 4th congressional district (2011–present)[77][81]
- Ronny Jackson, U.S. Representative from Texas's 13th congressional district (2021–present)[77]
- Troy Nehls, U.S. Representative from Texas's 22nd congressional district (2021–present)[77]
State and local officials
- Neil Amondson, former member of the Washington Senate from 20th district (1989–1995) and former member of the Washington House of Representatives from the 20th District[82]
- Wendy Rogers, member of the Arizona Senate from 6th district (2021-present)[82]
- Anthony Sabatini, member of the Florida House of Representatives from the 32nd District and candidate for Florida's 7th congressional district[83]
- Loren Culp, former Republic police chief, U.S. Army veteran, candidate for Washington's 4th congressional district and 2020 nominee for Governor of Washington[80]
Organizations
- Latinos for America First PAC[82]
- New York Young Republican Club[84]
- Republicans for National Renewal[85]
- Thurston County Republican Party[86]
- Turning Point Action PAC[87]
- Skamania County Republican Party[82]
- Wahkiakum County Republican Party[82]
Individuals
- Morton Blackwell, president of the Leadership Institute (1979—present) and American conservative activist[82]
- Tucker Carlson, conservative political commentator and host of Tucker Carlson Tonight[88]
- Jenna Ellis, lawyer[82]
U.S. Representatives
- Suzan DelBene, U.S. Representative from Washington's 1st congressional district (2012–present)[89]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present), and chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus[90]
Organizations
- League of Conservation Voters[91]
- National Women's Political Caucus of Washington[20]
- Planned Parenthood[92]
- Sierra Club[21]
Labor unions
Newspapers
- The Columbian (co-endorsed with Beutler)[74]
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Brent Hennrich (D) |
Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) |
Joe Kent (R) |
Vicki Kraft (R) |
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) |
Heidi St. John (R) |
Other | Undecided | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennrich withdrew from the race and endorsed Gluesenkamp Perez | ||||||||||||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[95] | May 18–20, 2022 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 12% | 22% | 28% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 0%[b] | 20% | |||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[96] | February 11–14, 2022 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 22% | 26% | 5% | – | 12% | – | 3% | |||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[97] | October 30 – November 1, 2021 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 25% | 23% | 31% | – | – | 10% | 10%[c] | 2% | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Brent Hennrich (D) |
Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) |
Chris Jenkins (D) |
Joe Kent (R) |
Lucy Lauser (D) |
Matthew Overton (R) |
Heidi St. John (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[98] | June 5–7, 2021 | 841 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 13% | 30% | 3% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 13% | 0%[d] | 8% |
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | Jaime Herrera Beutler | Joe Kent | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 27, 2022 | Oregon Public Broadcasting | Dave Miller | [99] | P | P | P |
Results
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 30–40%
- 20–30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 68,190 | 31.0 | |
| Republican | Joe Kent | 50,097 | 22.8 | |
| Republican | Jaime Herrera Beutler (incumbent) | 49,001 | 22.3 | |
| Republican | Heidi St. John | 35,219 | 16.0 | |
| Republican | Vicki Kraft | 7,033 | 3.2 | |
| Democratic | Davy Ray | 4,870 | 2.2 | |
| Independent | Chris Byrd | 3,817 | 1.7 | |
| Republican | Leslie French | 1,100 | 0.5 | |
| American Solidarity | Oliver Black | 456 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 219,783 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Joe Kent | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 15, 2022 | Leagues of Women Voters of Clark, Cowlitz, Klickitat, Lewis & Skamania counties |
Sally Carpenter Hale | [100] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 27, 2022[101] | Oregon Public Broadcasting | Dave Miller | [102] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 28, 2022 | KGW | Laural Porter | [103] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Lean R | August 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Lean R | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Likely R | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Lean R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Likely R | August 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Likely R | October 18, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Likely R | September 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 160,323 | 50.4 | |
| Republican | Joe Kent | 157,690 | 49.6 | |
| Total votes | 318,013 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
By county
| County[107][108][109][110][111] | Joe Kent
Republican |
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Democratic |
Margin | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Clark | 90,805 | 44.56% | 112,996 | 55.44% | 22,191 | 10.89% | 203,801 |
| Cowlitz | 24,903 | 55.90% | 19,648 | 44.10% | -5,255 | -11.80% | 44,551 |
| Lewis | 22,981 | 64.76% | 12,507 | 35.24% | -10,474 | -29.51% | 35,488 |
| Pacific | 5,793 | 48.92% | 6,048 | 51.08% | 255 | 2.15% | 11,841 |
| Skamania | 3,280 | 53.19% | 2,887 | 46.81% | -393 | -6.37% | 6,167 |
| Thurston (part) | 8,512 | 62.48% | 5,112 | 37.52% | -3,400 | -24.96% | 13,624 |
| Wahkiakum | 1,416 | 55.73% | 1,125 | 44.27% | -291 | -11.45% | 2,541 |
| Totals | 157,690 | 49.59% | 160,323 | 50.41% | 2,633 | 0.83% | 318,013 |
District 4
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  Newhouse: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% White 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 4th congressional district encompassed rural central Washington, including Yakima and Tri-Cities area. The incumbent was Republican Dan Newhouse, who had represented the 4th district since 2015. Newhouse was one of ten Republicans in the House to vote to open impeachment proceedings against Donald Trump in his second impeachment trial in the aftermath of the January 6th insurrection. Trump targeted him in the primary and endorsed another GOP candidate, Loren Culp, as a result of Newhouse's vote.[112] Newhouse defeated Culp in the blanket primary and advanced to the general election, which he won by garnering 66.5% of the vote.[113]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Dan Newhouse (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[114]
- Doug White (Democratic), farmer[115][dead link]
Eliminated in primary
- Loren Culp (Republican), former Republic police chief, U.S. Army veteran, and nominee for Governor of Washington in 2020[114]
- Benancio Garcia III (Republican), U.S. Army veteran[116][16]
- Corey Gibson (Republican), business owner[117]
- Brad Klippert (Republican), state representative for the 8th district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2006[118]
- Jacek Kobiesa (Republican), mechanical engineer[119]
- Jerrod Sessler (Republican), former NASCAR driver and U.S. Navy veteran[120]
Endorsements
Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[121]
Federal officials
- Dan Crenshaw, Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Texas's 2nd district[122]
Organizations
- Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions[123]
- Pro-Israel America[72]
- Renew America Movement[73]
Labor unions
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dan Newhouse (R) |
Loren Culp (R) |
Benancio Garcia (R) |
Corey Gibson (R) |
Brad Klippert (R) |
Jerrod Sessler (R) |
Doug White (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[124][C] | April 17–20, 2022 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 20% | 28% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 23% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[125][C] | December 9–11, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 16% | 30% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 15% | 26% |
Results
- 20–30%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Newhouse (incumbent) | 38,331 | 25.5 | |
| Democratic | Doug White | 37,760 | 25.1 | |
| Republican | Loren Culp | 32,497 | 21.6 | |
| Republican | Jerrod Sessler | 18,495 | 12.3 | |
| Republican | Brad Klippert | 15,430 | 10.3 | |
| Republican | Corey Gibson | 5,080 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Benancio Garcia III | 2,148 | 1.4 | |
| Republican | Jacek Kobiesa | 490 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 150,231 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid R | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Solid R | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Newhouse (incumbent) | 150,619 | 66.5 | |
| Democratic | Doug White | 70,710 | 31.2 | |
| Write-in | 5,318 | 2.3 | ||
| Total votes | 226,647 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
| County[126] | Dan Newhouse
Republican |
Doug White
Democratic |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams (part) | 1,435 | 72.95% | 492 | 25.01% | 40 | 2.03% | 943 | 47.94% | 1,967 |
| Benton | 50,939 | 68.22% | 22,161 | 29.68% | 1,572 | 2.11% | 28,778 | 38.54% | 74,672 |
| Douglas (part) | 10,734 | 69.10% | 4,494 | 28.93% | 306 | 1.97% | 6,240 | 40.17% | 15,534 |
| Franklin (part) | 13,034 | 68.13% | 5,859 | 30.62% | 239 | 1.25% | 7,175 | 37.50% | 19,132 |
| Grant | 19,210 | 73.58% | 6,200 | 23.75% | 696 | 2.67% | 13,010 | 49.84% | 26,106 |
| Klickitat | 6,597 | 58.25% | 4,613 | 40.73% | 115 | 1.02% | 1,984 | 17.52% | 11,325 |
| Okanogan | 9,669 | 59.40% | 6,211 | 38.15% | 399 | 2.45% | 3,458 | 21.24% | 16,279 |
| Yakima | 39,001 | 63.28% | 20,680 | 33.55% | 1,951 | 3.17% | 18,321 | 29.73% | 61,632 |
| Totals | 150,619 | 66.46% | 70,710 | 31.20% | 5,318 | 2.35% | 79,909 | 35.26% | 226,647 |
District 5
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  McMorris Rodgers: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hill: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.png)
Before redistricting, the 5th district encompassed eastern Washington, and included the city of Spokane. The incumbent was Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers, who had represented the 5th district since 2005. McMorris Rodgers was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 59.7% of the vote.[127]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Natasha Hill (Democratic), attorney[128]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[14]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) | 106,072 | 51.5 | |
| Democratic | Natasha Hill | 61,851 | 30.0 | |
| Democratic | Ann Marie Danimus | 21,123 | 10.3 | |
| Republican | Sean Clynch | 16,831 | 8.2 | |
| Total votes | 205,877 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Cathy McMorris Rodgers | Natasha Hill | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 20, 2022 | KSPS-TV | Kristi Gorenson | [133] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid R | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) | 188,648 | 59.5 | |
| Democratic | Natasha Hill | 127,585 | 40.2 | |
| Write-in | 773 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 317,006 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
| County[134] | Cathy McMorris Rodgers
Republican |
Natasha Hill
Democratic |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams (part) | 1,752 | 83.07% | 345 | 16.36% | 12 | 0.57% | 1,407 | 66.71% | 2,109 |
| Asotin | 6,041 | 67.11% | 2,939 | 32.65% | 22 | 0.24% | 3,102 | 34.46% | 9,002 |
| Columbia | 1,649 | 76.24% | 512 | 23.67% | 2 | 0.09% | 1,137 | 52.57% | 2,163 |
| Ferry | 2,440 | 71.87% | 944 | 27.81% | 11 | 0.32% | 1,496 | 44.06% | 3,395 |
| Franklin (part) | 2,308 | 87.09% | 342 | 12.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 1,966 | 74.19% | 2,650 |
| Garfield | 1,031 | 80.67% | 242 | 18.94% | 5 | 0.39% | 789 | 61.74% | 1,278 |
| Lincoln | 4,864 | 78.97% | 1,283 | 20.83% | 12 | 0.19% | 3,581 | 58.14% | 6,159 |
| Pend Oreille | 4,799 | 71.01% | 1,942 | 28.74% | 17 | 0.25% | 2,857 | 42.28% | 6,758 |
| Spokane | 124,123 | 56.17% | 96,337 | 43.59% | 522 | 0.24% | 27,786 | 12.57% | 220,982 |
| Stevens | 16,956 | 74.50% | 5,724 | 25.15% | 79 | 0.35% | 11,232 | 49.35% | 22,759 |
| Walla Walla | 14,458 | 60.01% | 9,581 | 39.77% | 55 | 0.23% | 4,877 | 20.24% | 24,094 |
| Whitman | 8,227 | 52.55% | 7,394 | 47.22% | 36 | 0.23% | 833 | 5.32% | 15,657 |
| Totals | 188,648 | 59.51% | 127,585 | 40.25% | 773 | 0.24% | 61,063 | 19.26% | 317,006 |
District 6
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  Kilmer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kreiselmaier: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
Before redistricting, the 6th district was based on the Olympic Peninsula, and included western Tacoma. The incumbent was Democrat Derek Kilmer, who had represented the 6th district since 2013. Kilmer was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 60.1% of the vote in the general election.[135]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Derek Kilmer (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[14]
- Elizabeth Kreiselmaier (Republican), Special Education Research and Program Evaluator and runner-up for this district in 2020[14]
Eliminated in primary
- Chris Binns (Republican)
- Todd Bloom (Republican)
- Rebecca Parson (Democratic), copywriter and candidate for this district in 2020[14]
- Tom Triggs (independent)
Withdrew/disqualified
Endorsements
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
- The News Tribune[139] (post primary)
- The Seattle Times[140] (primary only)
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[141]
- National Women's Political Caucus of Washington[20]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Derek Kilmer (incumbent) | 115,725 | 50.4 | |
| Republican | Elizabeth Kreiselmaier | 54,621 | 23.8 | |
| Republican | Todd Bloom | 24,036 | 10.5 | |
| Democratic | Rebecca Parson | 21,523 | 9.4 | |
| Republican | Chris Binns | 11,074 | 4.8 | |
| Independent | Tom Triggs | 2,674 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 229,653 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid D | November 3, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid D | July 28, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Derek Kilmer (incumbent) | 208,710 | 60.0 | |
| Republican | Elizabeth Kreiselmaier | 138,754 | 39.9 | |
| Write-in | 409 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 347,873 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[142] | Derek Kilmer
Democratic |
Elizabeth Kreiselmaier
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Clallam | 22,146 | 54.69% | 18,315 | 45.23% | 30 | 0.07% | 3,831 | 9.46% | 40,491 |
| Grays Harbor | 14,735 | 49.84% | 14,788 | 50.02% | 44 | 0.15% | -53 | -0.18% | 29,567 |
| Jefferson | 15,312 | 72.47% | 5,791 | 27.41% | 27 | 0.13% | 9,521 | 45.06% | 21,130 |
| Kitsap | 74,910 | 60.86% | 48,069 | 39.05% | 116 | 0.09% | 26,841 | 21.81% | 123,095 |
| Mason | 14,601 | 49.71% | 14,725 | 50.13% | 45 | 0.15% | -124 | -0.42% | 29,371 |
| Pierce (part) | 67,006 | 64.29% | 37,066 | 35.57% | 147 | 0.14% | 29,940 | 28.73% | 104,219 |
| Totals | 208,710 | 60.00% | 138,754 | 39.89% | 409 | 0.12% | 69,956 | 20.11% | 347,873 |
District 7
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  Jayapal: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
_2.jpg)
Before redistricting, the 7th congressional district encompassed most of Seattle, as well as Edmonds, Shoreline, Lake Forest Park, Vashon Island, and Burien. The incumbent was Democrat Pramila Jayapal, who had represented the 7th district since 2017. Jayapal was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 85.7% of the vote.[143]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Pramila Jayapal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative and Chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus[14]
- Cliff Moon (Republican)
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Earnest Thompson (independent)[14]
Endorsements
Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[144]
- Indivisible[145]
- Justice Democrats[146]
- King County Democratic Party[18]
- League of Conservation Voters[138]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[147]
- National Women's Political Caucus[148]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Progressive Democrats of America[44]
- Sierra Club[21]
Labor unions
Newspapers
- The Seattle Times[140] (primary only)
- The Stranger[23]
Organizations
- King County Republican Party[17]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) | 177,665 | 84.9 | |
| Republican | Cliff Moon | 15,834 | 7.6 | |
| Republican | Paul Glumaz | 10,982 | 5.2 | |
| Independent | Jesse James | 4,859 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 209,340 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) | 295,998 | 85.4 | |
| Republican | Cliff Moon | 49,207 | 14.2 | |
| Write-in | 1,442 | 0.4 | ||
| Total votes | 346,647 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
District 8
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  Schrier: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Larkin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
Before redistricting, the 8th district encompassed the eastern suburbs of Seattle including Sammamish, Maple Valley, Covington, Hobart, Issaquah, and Auburn and stretched into rural central Washington, including Chelan County and Kittitas County, as well as taking in eastern Pierce County. The incumbent was Democrat Kim Schrier, who had represented the 8th district since 2019. Schrier was re-elected, garnering 53.4% of the vote in the general election.[150]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Matt Larkin (Republican), manufacturing executive and runner-up for Washington Attorney General in 2020[151]
- Kim Schrier (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[151]
Eliminated in primary
- Keith Arnold (Democratic), perennial candidate
- Ryan Burkett (independent), perennial candidate
- Dave Chapman (Republican)
- Patrick Dillon (independent), candidate for this district in 2018
- Reagan Dunn (Republican), King County Councilor and son of former U.S. Representative Jennifer Dunn[152]
- Justin Greywolf (Libertarian), software engineer[14]
- Jesse Jensen (Republican), U.S. Army veteran, Amazon senior project manager, and runner-up for this district in 2020[151][153]
- Scott Stephenson (Republican), program manager
- Emet Ward (Democratic)
Endorsements
Newspapers
- The News Tribune (co-endorsed with Schrier)[154]
Sheriffs
- Brian Burnett, Chelan County sheriff[155] (post primary)
- Adam Fortney, Snohomish County sheriff[155] (post primary)
- Clayton Myers, Kittitas County sheriff[155] (post primary)
- Ed Troyer, Pierce County sheriff[155] (post primary)
Local officials
- Frank Kuntz, Mayor of Wenatchee, Washington (Republican)[156]
- Mary Lou Pauly, Mayor of Issaquah, Washington[157]
Organizations
- 314 Action[158][159]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[160]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[161]
- EMILY's List[162]
- End Citizens United[163]
- Feminist Majority PAC[144]
- Giffords[164]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[165]
- King County Democratic Party[18]
- League of Conservation Voters[138]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[166]
- National Women's Political Caucus[148]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Sierra Club[21]
Labor unions
Newspapers
- The News Tribune (co-endorsed with Dunn)[154]
- The Seattle Times[156] (primary only)
- The Stranger[23]
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kim Schrier (incumbent) | 97,700 | 47.9 | |
| Republican | Matt Larkin | 34,684 | 17.0 | |
| Republican | Reagan Dunn | 29,494 | 14.5 | |
| Republican | Jesse Jensen | 26,350 | 12.9 | |
| Republican | Scott Stephenson | 7,954 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Emet Ward | 1,832 | 0.9 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 1,811 | 0.9 | |
| Democratic | Keith Arnold | 1,669 | 0.8 | |
| Libertarian | Justin Greywolf | 1,518 | 0.7 | |
| Independent | Ryan Burkett | 701 | 0.3 | |
| Independent | Patrick Dillon | 296 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 204,009 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Tossup | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Tossup | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Lean R (flip) | October 30, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Lean D | October 29, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
Kim Schrier vs. Reagan Dunn
Kim Schrier vs. Jesse Jensen
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Kim Schrier | Matt Larkin | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 28, 2022 | Washington State Debate Coalition |
Hana Kim | [170] | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kim Schrier (incumbent) | 179,003 | 53.3 | |
| Republican | Matt Larkin | 155,976 | 46.4 | |
| Write-in | 1,059 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 336,038 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[171] | Kim Schrier
Democratic |
Matt Larkin
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Chelan | 15,855 | 46.50% | 18,113 | 53.12% | 131 | 0.38% | -2,258 | -6.62% | 34,099 |
| Douglas (part) | 123 | 42.41% | 167 | 57.59% | 0 | 0.00% | -44 | -15.17% | 290 |
| King (part) | 113,403 | 62.02% | 69,034 | 37.75% | 424 | 0.23% | 44,369 | 24.26% | 182,861 |
| Kittitas | 9,350 | 45.14% | 11,291 | 54.51% | 71 | 0.34% | -1,941 | -9.37% | 20,712 |
| Pierce (part) | 28,387 | 40.32% | 41,687 | 59.22% | 325 | 0.46% | -13,300 | -18.89% | 70,399 |
| Snohomish (part) | 11,885 | 42.94% | 15,684 | 56.67% | 108 | 0.39% | -3,799 | -13.73% | 27,677 |
| Totals | 179,003 | 53.27% | 155,976 | 46.42% | 1,059 | 0.32% | 23,027 | 6.85% | 336,038 |
District 9
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Basler 40–50% 50–60% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
Before redistricting, the 9th congressional district stretched from small parts of northeastern Tacoma up to southeastern Seattle, taking in the surrounding suburbs, including Federal Way, Des Moines, Kent, SeaTac, Renton, Mercer Island, and Bellevue. The incumbent was Democrat Adam Smith, who had represented the 9th district since 1997. Smith was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 71.7% of the vote in the general election.[172]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Doug Basler (Republican), perennial candidate[14]
- Adam Smith (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[173]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
- Krystal Marx (Democratic), deputy mayor of Burien and executive director of Seattle Pride (running for re-election, endorsed Gallardo)[173][175]
Declined
Endorsements
Organizations
- King County Republican Party[17]
Local officials
- Krystal Marx, former Deputy Mayor of Burien and executive director of Seattle Pride[175]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[177]
- Democratic Socialists of America[176]
- National Women's Political Caucus of Washington[20]
- Washington State Democratic Party Environment and Climate Caucus[178]
Labor unions
Organizations
- King County Democratic Party[18]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Sierra Club[21]
Labor unions
Newspapers
- The Seattle Times[140] (primary only)
- The Stranger[23]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Smith (incumbent) | 78,272 | 55.3 | |
| Republican | Doug Basler | 29,144 | 20.6 | |
| Democratic | Stephanie Gallardo | 22,531 | 15.9 | |
| Republican | Sea Chan | 5,338 | 3.8 | |
| Republican | Seth Pedersen | 4,781 | 3.4 | |
| Independent | David Anderson | 1,541 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 141,607 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Adam Smith | Doug Basler | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | KCTS9 TVW Washington State Debate Coalition |
Mary Nam | [179] | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Smith (incumbent) | 171,746 | 71.6 | |
| Republican | Doug Basler | 67,631 | 28.2 | |
| Write-in | 471 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 239,848 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
District 10
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  Strickland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Swank: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
Before redistricting, the 10th district included Olympia and the Tacoma suburbs, including Puyallup, Lakewood, and University Place. The incumbent was Democrat Marilyn Strickland, who had represented the 10th district since 2021. Strickland most recently ran for re-election in 2022, garnering 57.1% of the vote in the general election.[181]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Marilyn Strickland (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[14]
- Keith Swank (Republican), former SPD officer, candidate for the 8th district in 2012 and 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[14]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew/disqualified
- Don Hewett (Republican), electrical engineer, U.S. Air Force veteran, and candidate for this district in 2020[16][182]
Endorsements
Organizations
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[147]
- National Women's Political Caucus[148]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[46]
- Sierra Club[21]
Labor unions
Newspapers
- The News Tribune[139] (post primary)
- The Seattle Times[140] (primary only)
Organizations
- Pierce County Republican Party[183]
- Thurston County Republican Party[86]
Forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Independent | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||||
| Richard Boyce | Dan Gordon | Eric Mahaffy | Marilyn Strickland | Keith Swank | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 12, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Tacoma-Pierce County League of Women Voters of Thurston County |
Lydia Zepeda | [184] | P | A | P | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) | 90,093 | 55.4 | |
| Republican | Keith Swank | 55,231 | 34.0 | |
| Republican | Dan Gordon | 10,315 | 6.3 | |
| Democratic | Eric Mahaffy | 3,710 | 2.3 | |
| Independent | Richard Boyce | 3,250 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 162,599 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Marilyn Strickland | Keith Swank | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 17, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Tacoma-Pierce County League of Women Voters of Thurston County |
Lydia Zepeda | [185] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
| Politico[28] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[29] | Likely D | October 31, 2022 |
| Fox News[30] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[31] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[32] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[33] | Safe D | November 3, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) | 152,544 | 57.0 | |
| Republican | Keith Swank | 114,777 | 42.9 | |
| Write-in | 427 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 267,748 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[186] | Marilyn Strickland
Democratic |
Keith Swank
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Pierce (part) | 84,232 | 53.78% | 72,123 | 46.05% | 264 | 0.17% | 12,109 | 7.73% | 156,619 |
| Thurston (part) | 68,312 | 61.47% | 42,654 | 38.38% | 163 | 0.15% | 25,658 | 23.09% | 111,129 |
| Totals | 152,544 | 56.97% | 114,777 | 42.87% | 427 | 0.16% | 37,767 | 14.11% | 267,748 |
Notes
Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
- This poll was sponsored by Gluesenkamp Perez's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Culp's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Dunn's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Lead the Way PAC, which opposes Reagan Dunn in favor of Jesse Jensen