2026 Latvian parliamentary election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia no later than 3 October 2026, following the end of the term of the fourteenth Saeima elected in 2022.
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By 3 October 2026
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All 100 seats in the Saeima 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Electoral system
The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 11 to 38 seats and based on the regions of Latvia, with overseas votes included in the Rīga constituency. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method, with a national electoral threshold of 5%.
Voters may cast "specific votes" for candidates on the list for which they have voted. This involves marking a green-colored "FOR" box opposite the candidate's name to indicate preference (positive votes), or marking a red-colored "AGAINST" box opposite the candidate's name to indicate disapproval (negative votes). The mark may be a cross, tick, shading, or similar indication. An unaltered ballot paper may also be placed in the envelope.[1] The number of votes for each candidate is calculated as the number of votes cast for the list, plus the number of positive votes they receive, minus the number of negative votes they receive. The candidates with the highest vote totals fill their party's seats.[2]
Seat redistribution
The Central Electoral Commission is required to determine the number of Members of Parliament (MPs) to be elected in each constituency based on the number of eligible voters five months before the election. On 7 May 2026, the Central Electoral Commission announced the new distribution of seats among the constituencies. The Rīga constituency gained two seats compared to the 2022 election, while the Kurzeme and Latgale constituencies each lost one seat.[3]
Opinion polls
2026
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | KP | LA | SC | LKS | SV | JKP | ASL | MMN | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S | |||||||||||||||||||
| SKDS/LTV[4] | April – May 2026 | 1,126 | 11.3 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 14.9 | 14.9 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 10 | 1.2 | 2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | Tie |
| Gemius[5] | 31 Mar – 7 April 2026 | 1,538 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 14.1 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | - | 6.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 13.8[a] | 0.2 |
| SKDS/LTV[6] | Mar 2026 | 1,809 | 11 | 7.4 | 10.6 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 14.6 | 12.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 10.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Gemius[5] | 24 Feb – 2 Mar 2026 | 1,168 | 15.1 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 8.4 | 13.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 4.2 | - | 5.3 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 7.3 | 15.8[b] | 1.9 |
2025
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | KP | LA | S | P21 | PLV | SV | JKP | ASL | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS | |||||||||||||||||||
| Gemius[7] | 16–26 Dec 2025 | 1,423 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 9.6 | 16.5 | 2.4 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 1.0 |
| SKDS/LTV[8] | 21 Nov – 4 Dec 2025 | 1,819 | 16.0 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 10.3 | 5.4 | 13.9 | 13.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Gemius[9] | 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2025 | 1,410 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 15.3 | 1.3 | 10.7 | 12.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | - | 17[c] | 1.7 |
| SKDS/LTV[10] | 25 Oct – 4 Nov 2025 | 1,815 | 16.5 | 8.1 | 10.5 | 11.1 | 5.2 | 14.8 | 11.8 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 6.8 | 0.9 | - | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| SKDS/LTV[11] | Jul 2025 | 1,824 | 11.5 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 15.4 | 5.1 | 14 | 11.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 1.7 | - | 2 | 1.4 |
| SKDS/LTV[12] | Apr 2025 | 1,813 | 12.8 | 9.7 | 9.5 | 16.0 | 7.3 | 16.5 | 8.8 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | - | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Latvijas Fakti [13] | 14–24 Mar 2025 | 1,003 | 13.2 | 16.1 | 4.6 | 18.1 | 5.3 | 18.9 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 4.2 | - | - | 2.1 | 1 | - | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| SKDS/LTV[14] | Jan 2025 | 1,791 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 9.1 | 18.1 | 7.7 | 14.2 | 10.6 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | - | 2.4 | 3.9 |
2024
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | KP | LA | S | P21 | PLV | SV | JKP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKDS/LTV[15] | Dec 2024 | 1,739 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 18.0 | 6.7 | 14.6 | 11.2 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| SKDS/LTV[16] | Nov 2024 | 1,823 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 14.2 | 11.5 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| SKDS/LTV[17] | Oct 2024 | 1,807 | 15.9 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 15.2 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 7.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| SKDS/LTV[18] | Aug 2024 | 1,789 | 15.5 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 11.8 | 11.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| SKDS/LTV[19] | Jun 2024 | 1,818 | 18.4 | 7.2 | 7.9 | 16.1 | 6.0 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 8.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| SKDS/LTV[20] | Apr 2024 | 1,806 | 12.7 | 11.6 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 10.2 | 11.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| SKDS/LTV[21] | Mar 2024 | 1,785 | 13.6 | 10.3 | 8.2 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 11.1 | 13.6 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| SKDS/LTV[22] | Jan 2024 | 1,799 | 16.0 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 13.0 | 8.2 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
2023
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | KP | LA | S | P21 | PLV | SV | K | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS | ||||||||||||||||||
| SKDS/LTV[23] | Dec 2023 | 1,808 | 14.4 | 12.0 | 8.9 | 13.1 | 9.1 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| SKDS/LTV[23] | Nov 2023 | [d] | 18.0 | 13.2 | 7.6 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| SKDS/LTV[24] | Oct 2023 | 1,793 | 17.3 | 13.7 | 8.2 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 11.6 | 11.0 | 2.3 | – | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| SKDS/LTV[25] | Sept 2023 | 1,081 | 14.5 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 12.0 | 8.1 | 11.9 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| SKDS/LTV[26] | Aug 2023 | 1,787 | 18.1 | 12.7 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 13.0 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 5.1 |
| SKDS/LTV[27] | Jul 2023 | 1,805 | 22.3 | 11.8 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 11.4 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 8.3 |
| SKDS/LTV[28] | Jun 2023 | 1,797 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 14.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4.2 |
| SKDS/LTV[29] | May 2023 | 1,777 | 18.9 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 10.6 | 7.8 | 13.5 | 10.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 |
| SKDS/LTV[30] | Apr 2023 | 1,800 | 19.0 | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 2.9 | – | 4.7 | – | 2.2 | – | 2.9 | 3.0 | 6.3 |
| SKDS/LTV[31] | Mar 2023 | 1,814 | 17.7 | 14.4 | 9.7 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 | 12.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| SKDS/LTV[32] | Jan 2023 | 1,792 | 21.3 | 14.1 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 7.2 |
2022
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | AP! | S | P21 | LKS | SV | K | R | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KP | LA | ||||||||||||||||||
| SKDS/LTV[33] | Dec 2022 | 1,785 | 18.8 | 15.1 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 11.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.8 | – | 1.5 | 3.7 | |
| SKDS/LTV[34] | Nov 2022 | 1,795 | 22.5 | 11.6 | 11.0 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 12.3 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.7 | – | 1.0 | 10.2 | |
| SKDS/LTV[35] | Oct 2022 | 1,821 | 23.9 | 13.7 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 10.2 | |
| 2022 election | 1 Oct 2022 | – | 18.92 | 12.40 | 10.98 | 9.27 | 6.78 | 6.22 | 6.14 | 4.96 | 4.76 | 3.66 | 3.62 | 3.23 | 3.08 | 1.76 | 4.18[e] | 6.42 | |
Notes
- Platform 21 at 0.3
- Platform 21 at 0.4
- Political Movement "Without Parties": 8.8%; Others: 8.2%
- LTV never released the November poll, because of its editorial decision "to not highlight the November ratings separately, because the survey was conducted at a time when the scandal involving the private flights of former Prime Minister Krišjānis Kariņš was just beginning to gain momentum and could mislead the public", thus the results may be inaccurate. Numbers on this row were counted manually using information about the November poll given by LTV itself.
- Others: 2.76%, blank/invalid votes: 1.42%