Opinion polling for the 2009 European Parliament election in France
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This is a list of public opinion polls conducted for the 2009 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 7 June 2009.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the seven major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
Because the Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.
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Voting intentions
Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with one asterisk (*), while the hypothetical poll conducted for the Left Party by Ifop in January 2009 is marked with two asterisks (**). The Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 59.37% | 1.20% | 4.88% | 6.05% | 16.48% | 16.28% | 3.63% | 8.46% | 27.88% | 4.80% (Libertas) | 1.77% | 6.34% | 0.51% | 1.73% | ||
| Ipsos | 5–6 Jun 2009 | 888 | – | 1.5% | 5% | 6.5% | 18% | 16.5% | 1.5% | 8.5% | 28.5% | 5% | 1% | 5.5% | – | 2.5% | ||
| Ifop | 4–5 Jun 2009 | 856 | 63% | 1.5% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 12% | – | 12% | 27.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 5.5% | – | 4.5% | ||
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2009 | 875 | – | 1% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 11% | 2% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 1% | 7% | – | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres[dead link] | 3–4 Jun 2009 | 1,000 | – | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 19% | 15.5% | 1.5% | 12.5% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ipsos | 2–3 Jun 2009 | 1,002 | 60% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 6% | 21% | 11% | 1.5% | 11% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 5.5% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 2–3 Jun 2009 | 4,970 | 56% | 2.5% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 12% | 2% | 12.5% | 26% | 5% | 0.5% | 6.5% | – | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres[dead link] | 2 Jun 2009 | 1,000 | – | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 20% | 13.5% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | ||
| BVA[permanent dead link] | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 3,527 | – | 1.5% | 6.5% | 6% | 21.5% | 11% | 1.5% | 11% | 26% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 1.5% | ||
| Ipsos | 29–30 May 2009 | 861 | 60% | 1.5% | 7% | 5.5% | 21% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 6% | 0.5% | 5.5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop | 28–29 May 2009 | 858 | 63% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 21% | 9.5% | – | 13% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 6% | – | 2.5% | ||
| CSA | 27–28 May 2009 | 862 | – | 2% | 5% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 13% | 25% | 6% | 1% | 8% | – | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres[dead link] | 27–28 May 2009 | 1,000 | – | 2.5% | 6% | 7% | 20% | 11% | 1.5% | 13% | 26% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 25–27 May 2009 | 5,581 | – | 1% | 6% | 5% | 20% | 10% | 2.5% | 13% | 26% | 6% | 0.5% | 7% | – | 3% | ||
| TNS Sofres[dead link] | 25–26 May 2009 | 1,000 | – | 2% | 6% | 7% | 19% | 11% | 1.5% | 14% | 26% | 4% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 3% | ||
| Ipsos | 22–23 May 2009 | 861 | 63% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 20% | 10.5% | – | 13% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 5.5% | – | 4% | ||
| CSA | 19–20 May 2009 | 903 | – | 1% | 6% | 5% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 14% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 7% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 15–18 May 2009 | 4,724 | – | 2% | 6% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 1% | ||
| Ipsos | 15–16 May 2009 | 862 | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 10% | – | 11% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 5% | – | 3% | ||
| Viavoice[dead link] | 13–15 May 2009 | 1,010 | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 22% | 9% | – | 13% | 27% | 5% | 2% | 6% | – | 2% | ||
| CSA | 13–14 May 2009 | 1,003 | – | 2% | 5% | 4% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 5% | 1% | 6% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 7–10 May 2009 | 5,079 | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 9% | 1% | 13% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 7% | – | 1% | ||
| Ifop | 6–7 May 2009 | 886 | – | 2% | 7% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 7% | – | 13.5% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 7.5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop* | 29 Apr–7 May 2009 | 1,741 | – | 2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 8% | – | 14% | 26% | 5% | – | 7.5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ipsos | 30 Apr–2 May 2009 | 861 | – | 2% | 7% | 6% | 23% | 10% | – | 11% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop | 23–24 Apr 2009 | 853 | – | 3% | 7% | 5.5% | 22.5% | 7.5% | – | 14% | 26.5% | 5% | 1% | 7.5% | 0.5% | – | ||
| OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2009 | 1,005 | – | – | 7% | 5% | 23% | 10% | – | 12% | 28% | 5% | 1% | 6% | – | 3% | ||
| CSA | 15–16 Apr 2009 | 904 | – | 2% | 7% | 3% | 25% | 10% | – | 12% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 8% | – | – | ||
| Ipsos | 13–14 Mar 2009 | 887 | – | 2% | 9% | 6% | 24% | 9% | – | 10% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 5.5% | 0.5% | – | ||
| Ifop | 12–13 Feb 2009 | 862 | – | 3% | 9% | 4% | 23% | 7% | – | 14.5% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 0.5% | – | ||
| Ifop** | 22–23 Jan 2009 | 876 | – | 14.5% | 22.5% | 7% | – | 14% | 25.5% | 6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 6.5% | – | – | |||
| Ifop | 27–28 Nov 2008 | 881 | – | 4% | 8% | 4% | 22% | 11% | – | 12% | 2% | 22% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 7% | – | – |
| 2004 election | 13 Jun 2004 | – | 57.24% | 2.56% | 5.25% | 28.90% | 7.41% | 1.91% | 11.96% (UDF) | 16.64% | 6.67% | 1.73% | – | 9.81% | – | 7.16% | ||
By constituency
Nord-Ouest
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 60.21% | 2.08% | 5.80% | 6.84% | 18.10% | 12.10% | 3.56% | 8.67% | 24.22% | 4.26% | 2.40% | 10.18% | 1.52% | 0.28% | ||
| BVA[permanent dead link] | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 5% | 9% | 5% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 23% | 5% | – | 9% | 1% | 1% | ||
Ouest
Est
Sud-Ouest
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 55.50% | 1.02% | 5.62% | 8.16% | 17.72% | 15.83% | 4.24% | 8.61% | 26.89% | 3.06% | 1.28% | 5.94% | 0.92% | 0.74% | ||
| BVA[permanent dead link] | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 2% | 8% | 7% | 21% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 24% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop | 12–13 May 2009 | 703 | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 23% | 8.5% | 3% | 13% | 23.5% | 5% | – | 5.5% | – | 2.5% | ||
Sud-Est
Massif-Central Centre
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 57.43% | 1.40% | 5.45% | 8.06% | 17.79% | 13.58% | 3.45% | 8.15% | 28.51% | 4.90% | 1.43% | 5.12% | 1.88% | 0.27% | ||
| BVA[permanent dead link] | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 1% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 11% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 3% | – | 9% | – | 2% | ||
Île-de-France
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | PAS | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 57.94% | 0.74% | 3.48% | 6.32% | 13.58% | 20.86% | 2.97% | 8.52% | 29.60% | 3.28% | 2.44% | 4.40% | 1.30% | 2.51% | ||
| BVA[permanent dead link] | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 1% | 3% | 7% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 11% | 30.5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 0.5% | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres[dead link] | 14–16 May 2009 | 1,000 | – | 1% | 3% | 5.5% | 21.5% | 14% | 3% | 12% | 33% | 1% | 0.5% | 4% | 0.5% | 1% | ||
See also
External links
- Notices of the French polling commission (in French)