2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 12 U.S. representatives from the state of New Jersey, one from each of the state's 12 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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November 6, 2018
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All 12 New Jersey seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 56%[1] ( 12pp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democrats won four seats from Republicans and changed control from 7–5 for Democrats to 11–1 for Democrats, the fewest seats Republicans had won in the state since 1912.[2] This was the first time since the 1912 elections that Republicans failed to hold any seat in North Jersey.
However, Representative Jeff Van Drew of the 2nd district would later change his party affiliation from Democratic to Republican in December 2019, bringing it down to 10–2.[3]
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic | 12 | 1,856,819 | 59.92 | 11 |  4 |
91.67 | |
| Republican | 12 | 1,198,664 | 38.68 | 1 | 4 |
8.33 | |
| Independent | 15 | 23,719 | 0.77 | 0 |  |
0.0 | |
| Libertarian | 8 | 12,963 | 0.42 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Constitution | 1 | 3,902 | 0.13 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Green | 1 | 2,676 | 0.09 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Total | 49 | 3,098,743 | 100.0 | 12 | |
100.0 | |
By district
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey by district:[4]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 169,628 | 64.40% | 87,617 | 33.26% | 6,173 | 2.34% | 263,418 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 136,685 | 52.90% | 116,866 | 45.23% | 4,812 | 1.86% | 258,363 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 3 | 153,473 | 50.01% | 149,500 | 48.72% | 3,902 | 1.27% | 306,875 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 4 | 126,766 | 43.07% | 163,065 | 55.40% | 4,517 | 1.53% | 294,348 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 169,546 | 56.18% | 128,255 | 42.49% | 4,022 | 1.33% | 301,823 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 140,752 | 63.63% | 80,443 | 36.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,195 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 7 | 166,985 | 51.74% | 150,785 | 46.72% | 4,972 | 1.54% | 322,742 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 8 | 119,881 | 78.12% | 28,725 | 18.72% | 4,849 | 3.16% | 153,455 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 140,832 | 70.27% | 57,854 | 28.87% | 1,730 | 0.86% | 200,416 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | 175,253 | 87.56% | 20,191 | 10.09% | 4,715 | 2.36% | 200,159 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 183,684 | 56.77% | 136,322 | 42.13% | 3,568 | 1.10% | 323,574 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 12 | 173,334 | 68.68% | 79,041 | 31.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 252,375 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 1,856,819 | 59.92% | 1,198,664 | 38.68% | 43,260 | 1.40% | 3,098,743 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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Norcross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Dilks: 80–90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in South Jersey and includes most of Camden County along with parts of Burlington County and Gloucester County. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross, who had represented the district since 2014, ran for reelection. He was reelected with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donald Norcross, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Lee Carlson
- Scot John Tomaszewski
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donald Norcross (incumbent) | 39,788 | 84.1 | |
| Democratic | Robert Lee Carlson | 4,570 | 9.7 | |
| Democratic | Scot John Tomaszewski | 2,953 | 6.2 | |
| Total votes | 47,311 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Paul Dilks[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul E. Dilks | 12,363 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 12,363 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 2, 2018 |
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donald Norcross (incumbent) | 169,628 | 64.4 | |
| Republican | Paul E. Dilks | 87,617 | 33.3 | |
| Libertarian | Robert Shapiro | 2,821 | 1.1 | |
| Independent | Paul Hamlin | 2,368 | 0.9 | |
| Independent | Mohammad Kabir | 984 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 263,418 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Donald Norcross Democratic |
Paul Dilks Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Burlington (part) | 5,660 | 62.7% | 3,213 | 35.6%% | 148 | 1.7% | 2,447 | 27.1% | 9,021 |
| Camden (part) | 121,634 | 68.2% | 52,632 | 29.5% | 4,211 | 2.3% | 69,002 | 38.7% | 178,477 |
| Gloucester (part) | 42,334 | 55.8% | 31,772 | 41.8% | 1,814 | 2.3% | 10,562 | 14.0% | 75,920 |
| Totals | 169,628 | 64.4% | 87,617 | 33.3% | 6,173 | 2.3% | 82,011 | 31.1% | 263,418 |
District 2
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 County results Van Drew: 50–60% Grossman: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in South Jersey and is the largest Congressional District in the state. It includes all of Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland and Salem Counties and parts of Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Frank LoBiondo, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in November 2017 that he would not run for re-election in 2018 making the 2nd an open seat.[21] He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+1.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Seth Grossman, attorney, former Atlantic County Freeholder and candidate for governor in 2013[22]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
- Chris A. Brown, state senator[36][37]
- Don Guardian, former Mayor of Atlantic City[36][38]
- Frank LoBiondo, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Vincent J. Polistina, former state assembly member[36][39]
- Mike Torrissi, Hammonton Town Council member[36]
Endorsements
Sam Fiocchi
County Republican Party organizations
Brian T. Fitzherbert
County Republican Party organizations
Hirsh Singh
County Republican Party organizations
State senators
- Chris A. Brown (R-2)[42]
State Assembly members
- DiAnne Gove (R-9)[44]
- Brian E. Rumpf (R-9)[44]
Individuals
- Giancarlo Ghione, chair of the New Jersey Young Republican Federation[42]
James Toto
County Republican Party organizations
Robert Turkavage
County Republican Party organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Seth Grossman | 10,215 | 39.0 | |
| Republican | Hirsh V. Singh | 7,983 | 30.5 | |
| Republican | Samuel Fiocchi | 6,107 | 23.3 | |
| Republican | Robert D. Turkavage | 1,854 | 7.1 | |
| Total votes | 26,159 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[47]
Candidates
Nominee
- Jeff Van Drew, state senator[37]
Eliminated in primary
- William Cunningham, former aide to U.S. Senator Cory Booker[48]
- Nathan Kleinman, farmer and activist[49]
- Tanzie Youngblood, retired teacher[50]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Jeff Van Drew
Individuals
- Bill Prady, writer and producer[52]
Tanzie Youngblood
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeff Van Drew | 16,901 | 57.0 | |
| Democratic | Tanzira "Tanzie" Youngblood | 5,495 | 18.5 | |
| Democratic | William Cunningham | 4,795 | 16.2 | |
| Democratic | Nate Kleinman | 2,467 | 8.3 | |
| Total votes | 29,658 | 100 | ||
General election
Campaign
A month after the primaries, the National Republican Congressional Committee withdrew its support of Grossman, following the news that he had posted an article from the white nationalist website American Renaissance on his Facebook page stating that blacks represented "a threat to all who cross their paths, black and non-black alike."[54] Grossman responded that he had not carefully read the article that he had posted in 2014 and did not believe its racist sentiments, although in explaining his actions he said many black teenagers are violent and dangerous.[55] Grossman also posted comments that criticized "multi-culturalism" and "diversity".[56]
Endorsements
Jeff Van Drew (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
- BIPAC[57]
- Blue Dog Coalition[58]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[59]
- End Citizens United[18]
- New Democrat Coalition "Watch List"[19]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[60]
Individuals
- Bill Prady, writer and producer
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Seth Grossman (R) |
Jeff Van Drew (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton University[61] | October 17–23, 2018 | 597 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 55% | 5%[62] | 2% |
| Stockton University[63] | September 12–18, 2018 | 535 | ± 4.2% | 32% | 55% | 5%[64] | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Republican candidate |
Democratic candidate |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[66] | November 8–10, 2017 | 565 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeff Van Drew | 136,685 | 52.9 | |
| Republican | Seth Grossman | 116,866 | 45.2 | |
| Libertarian | John Ordille | 1,726 | 0.7 | |
| Independent | Steven Fenichel | 1,154 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | Anthony Parisi Sanchez | 1,064 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | William Benfer | 868 | 0.3 | |
| Majority | 19,819 | 7.7 | ||
| Total votes | 258,363 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Jeff Van Drew Democratic |
Seth Grossman Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Atlantic | 52,917 | 56.4% | 39,118 | 41.7% | 1,833 | 1.9% | 13,799 | 14.7% | 93,868 |
| Burlington (part) | 325 | 37.1% | 540 | 61.6% | 12 | 1.4% | -215 | -24.5% | 877 |
| Camden (part) | 1,894 | 45.2% | 2,201 | 52.6% | 93 | 2.2% | -307 | -7.4% | 4,188 |
| Cape May | 21,595 | 52.6% | 19,003 | 46.3% | 473 | 1.1% | 2,592 | 6.3% | 41,071 |
| Cumberland | 23,914 | 59.0% | 15,782 | 38.9% | 825 | 2.0% | 8,132 | 20.1% | 40,521 |
| Gloucester (part) | 17,932 | 50.4% | 16,982 | 47.7% | 662 | 1.8% | 950 | 2.7% | 35,576 |
| Ocean (part) | 7,103 | 38.4% | 11,140 | 60.3% | 238 | 1.3% | -4,037 | -21.9% | 18,481 |
| Salem | 11,005 | 46.3% | 12,100 | 50.9% | 676 | 2.8% | -1,095 | -4.6% | 23,781 |
| Totals | 136,685 | 52.9% | 116,866 | 45.2% | 4,812 | 1.9% | 19,819 | 7.0% | 258,363 |
District 3
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 County results Kim: 50–60% MacArthur: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based in South Jersey and includes parts of Burlington and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Tom MacArthur, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom MacArthur, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom MacArthur (incumbent) | 25,612 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 25,612 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[47]
Candidates
Nominee
- Andy Kim, former United States National Security Council official and former diplomat[67]
Withdrawn
Declined
- John G. Ducey, mayor of Brick[71]
- Pamela Rosen Lampitt, state assembly member[72]
- Betsy Ryan, president and CEO of the New Jersey Hospital Association[72]
- Troy Singleton, state senator[73]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Andy Kim | 28,514 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 28,514 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Tom MacArthur (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[16]
- New Jersey Building and Construction Trades Council[75]
Organizations
Andy Kim (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Labor unions
Organizations
- Congressional Progressive Caucus[17]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[59]
- End Citizens United[18]
- MoveOn[79]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[80]
Individuals
- Piper Perabo, actress[81]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Tom MacArthur | Andy Kim | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 31, 2018 | NJ PBS | David Cruz | [82] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom MacArthur (R) |
Andy Kim (D) |
Larry Berlinski (C) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[83] | October 21–25, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 9% |
| Monmouth University[84] | October 18–22, 2018 | 363 | ± 5.2% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
| Stockton University[85] | October 3–10, 2018 | 546 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 45% | 7%[86] | 1% |
| National Research Inc. (R-MacArthur)[87] | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[88] | September 22–26, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 49% | – | 12% |
| DCCC (D)[89] | September 4–5, 2018 | 523 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 47% | – | 8% |
| Monmouth University[90] | August 7–9, 2018 | 300 LV | ± 5.7% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 9% |
| 401 RV | ± 4.9% | 41% | 40% | 3% | 15% | ||
| Global Strategy Group (D)[91] | June 11–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |
| GQR Research (D-Kim)[92] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[93] | April 16–17, 2018 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 41% | – | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[94] | February 14–15, 2018 | 336 | ± 5.4% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Results
The close result required a recount, with Kim ultimately winning by 3,973 votes.[95]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Andy Kim | 153,473 | 50.01 | |
| Republican | Tom MacArthur (incumbent) | 149,500 | 48.72 | |
| Constitution | Larry Berlinski | 3,902 | 1.27 | |
| Majority | 3,973 | 1.29 | ||
| Total votes | 306,875 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Andy Kim Democratic |
Tom MacArthur Republican |
Larry Berlinski Constitution |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Burlington (part) | 105,909 | 59.4% | 71,279 | 39.9% | 1,258 | 0.7% | 34,360 | 19.5% | 178,446 |
| Ocean (part) | 47,564 | 37.0% | 78,221 | 60.9% | 2,644 | 2.1% | −30,657 | −23.9% | 128,429 |
| Totals | 153,473 | 50.0% | 149,500 | 48.7% | 3,902 | 1.3% | 3,973 | 1.3% | 206,875 |
District 4
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 County results Smith: 50–60% 60–70% Welle: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Monmouth and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Smith (incumbent) | 25,930 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 25,930 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joshua Welle, Navy veteran[96]
Eliminated in primary
- Jim Keady, former Asbury Park Council member and candidate for the 3rd district in 2016[97]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Kelly Stewart Maer, party operative[99]
Endorsements
Joshua Welle
County Democratic Party organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joshua Welle | 16,905 | 57.1 | |
| Democratic | Jim Keady | 12,682 | 42.9 | |
| Total votes | 29,587 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Chris Smith (R)
Joshua Welle (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
Smith's showing of 55% was his lowest since 1982, when he defeated Joseph P. Merlino 53% to 47%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Smith (incumbent) | 163,065 | 55.4 | |
| Democratic | Joshua Welle | 126,766 | 43.1 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Rufo | 1,387 | 0.5 | |
| Independent | Ed Stackhouse | 1,064 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | Brian Reynolds | 851 | 0.3 | |
| Independent | Felicia Stoler | 844 | 0.3 | |
| Independent | Allen Yusufov | 371 | 0.1 | |
| Majority | 36,299 | 12.3 | ||
| Total votes | 294,348 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Chris Smith Republican |
Josh Welle Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Mercer (part) | 19,049 | 47.9% | 19,795 | 49.7% | 964 | 2.5% | -746 | -1.8% | 39,808 |
| Monmouth (part) | 93,491 | 52.3% | 82,535 | 46.2% | 2,614 | 2.5% | 10,956 | 6.1% | 178,640 |
| Ocean (part) | 50,525 | 66.6% | 24,436 | 32.2% | 939 | 1.2% | 26,089 | 34.4% | 75,900 |
| Totals | 163,065 | 55.4% | 126,766 | 43.1% | 4,517 | 1.5% | 36,299 | 12.3% | 194,348 |
District 5
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 County results Gottheimer: 60–70% Pallotta: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Passaic, Sussex and Warren counties. Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Josh Gottheimer, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) | 27,486 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 27,486 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Robert Auth, state assembly member[108]
- Lou Dobbs, conservative political commentator, author, and television host[109]
- Michael J. Doherty, state senator[109][110]
- Scott Garrett, former U.S. Representative[108][109]
- Michael Ghassali, mayor of Montvale[111][112]
- Steve Oroho, state senator[109][110]
- Sam Raia, former mayor of Saddle River and former chair of the New Jersey Republican State Committee[109][113]
- Jason Sarnoski, Warren County Freeholder[114]
- Holly Schepisi, state assembly member[115]
- Chuck Shotmeyer, businessman[116][117]
- Parker Space, state assembly member[108][118]
- Harold J. Wirths, state assembly member, former commissioner of the New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development, and former Sussex County Freeholder[109][118]
Endorsements
Steve Lonegan
U.S. Senators
State senators
- Gerald Cardinale (R-39)[122]
- Michael Doherty (R-24)[123]
- Steve Oroho (R-24)[123]
- Joseph Pennacchio (R-26)[124]
State assembly members
- BettyLou DeCroce (R-26)[125]
- John DiMaio (R-23)[126]
- Erik Peterson (R-23)[126]
- Holly Schepisi (R-39)[127]
- Parker Space (R-24)[122]
- Harold J. Wirths (R-24)[122]
Organizations
Local politicians
- Richard D. Gardner, Warren County freeholder[129]
- Jason Sarnoski, Warren County freeholder[129]
- Edward J. Smith, Warren County freeholder[129]
Individuals
- David Bossie, president of Citizens United and deputy campaign manager of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign[127]
- Steve Forbes, editor-in-chief of Forbes and political activist[130]
- Corey Lewandowski, political commentator and former campaign manager of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign[127]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John J. McCann Jr. | 16,685 | 53.0 | |
| Republican | Steven M. Lonegan | 14,767 | 47.0 | |
| Total votes | 31,452 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Josh Gottheimer (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
John McCann (R)
Statewide officials
- Jan Brewer, former governor of Arizona[132]
- Kim Guadagno, former lieutenant governor of New Jersey[133]
State legislators
- Robert Auth, State Assembly member, District 39[134]
- Paul DiGaetano, former State Assembly member, District 36, former Republican Leader in the General Assembly and candidate for governor in 2005[135]
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "On the Radar" Program[136][137]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[60][138]
- Students for Trump[139]
- Stump for Trump[140]
- Veterans for Trump[141]
Mayors
- Jack DeLorenzo, Hasbrouck Heights[142][135]
- Dierdre Dillon, Ramsey[135]
- Mike Melfi, Hackensack (former)[135]
- Carlos Rendo, Woodcliff Lake, nominee for lieutenant governor of New Jersey in 2017[143]
- Ben Romeo, Cresskill[135]
- Norman Schmelz, Bergenfield, candidate for Bergen County Executive[135]
- Harry Shortway Jr., Midland Park[142]
- Frank Valenzuela, Rochelle Park[135]
- Don Winant, Dumont (former)[135]
- Jack Zisa, Hackensack (former), chairman of the Bergen County Republican Organization[142]
County sheriffs
- Fred Brown, Sheriff of Hunterdon County[142]
- Shaun Golden, Sheriff of Monmouth County, Chairman of the Mommouth County Republican Organization[142]
- Michael Mastronardy, Sheriff of Ocean County[142]
- Chuck Miller, Sheriff of Salem County[142]
- Bob Nolan, Sheriff of Cape May County[142]
- Frank Provenzano, Sheriff of Somerset County[142]
- Mike Strada, Sheriff of Sussex County[144]
County freeholders
- John Driscoll, Bergen County Freeholder (former)[135]
- John Felice, Bergen County Freeholder (former)[145]
- George Graham, Sussex County Freeholder[142]
- Robert Hermansen, Bergen County Freeholder (former), Mahwah Councilman[135]
- Carl Lazarro, Sussex County Freeholder[142]
- Johnathan Rose, Sussex County Freeholder
Municipal council members
- Jim Cleary, Cresskill Councilman[142]
- Arthur Cumming, Washington Township Councilman[142]
- Chris Di Piazza, Paramus Councilman[135]
- Danielle DiPaola, Emerson Councilwoman[142]
- Vincent Durante, Upper Saddle River Councilman[142]
- Eric Kumala, Oakland Councilman, Candidate for Bergen County Freeholder[142]
- Billy Leonard Jr, Glenn Rock Councilman[142]
- David May, Mahwah Councilman
- Ed O'Connell, Allendale Councilman[142]
- Hector Olmo, Cresskill Councilman, Candidate for Bergen County Freeholder[135]
- Pat Pignatelli, Oakland Councilman[142]
- Joe Pojanowski, Ramsey Councilman (former)[142]
- Steve Sasso, Allendale Councilman[142]
- George Silos, Bogota Councilman (former)[146]
- Stephen Skellenger, Franklin Councilman[142]
- Jim Strauch, Allendale Councilman[142]
- Russell Talamini, Oakland Councilman[142]
- Joe Verdone, Ramsey Councilman[142]
- Jeanne Weber, Paramus Councilwoman[142]
Individuals
- Ryan Fournier, national chair of Students for Trump[139]
- Giancarlo Ghione, chair of the New Jersey Young Republican Federation[135]
- Sebastian Gorka, Breitbart columnist and former deputy assistant to US President Donald Trump[147]
- Harlan Z. Hill, political consultant, member of Trump Advisory Board[148]
- Bernard Kerik, former New York City Police Commissioner[149]
- Daryl Kipnis, attorney, candidate for congress in New Jersey's 12th congressional district[150]
- Al Kurpis, Saddle River municipal chair[142]
- Steven Rogers, Nutley Commissioner of Public Affairs, member of Trump Advisory Board, chairman of NJ Team Trump[151]
- Joseph Rudy Rullo, businessman, actor, candidate for governor in 2017, candidate for US Senate in 2012
- Darrell C. Scott, pastor, co-founder of National Diversity Coalition for Trump[152]
County Republican Party organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Josh Gottheimer (D) |
John McCann (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-McCann)[155] | October 12–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 38% | 9%[156] | 7% |
| Tel Opinion Research (R-McCann)[157] | August 9–12, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 36% | 39% | – | 25% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) | 169,546 | 56.2 | |
| Republican | John J. McCann | 128,255 | 42.5 | |
| Libertarian | James Tosone | 2,115 | 0.7 | |
| Independent | Wendy Goetz | 1,907 | 0.6 | |
| Majority | 41,291 | 13.7 | ||
| Total votes | 301,823 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Josh Gottheimer Democratic |
John McCann Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Bergen (part) | 133,894 | 61.1% | 82,869 | 37.8% | 2,410 | 1.1% | 51,025 | 23.3% | 219,173 |
| Passaic (part) | 7,229 | 45.4% | 8,487 | 53.4% | 191 | 1.2% | −1,258 | −8.0% | 15,907 |
| Sussex (part) | 17,171 | 43.0% | 21,946 | 54.9% | 855 | 2.2% | −4,775 | −11.9% | 39,972 |
| Warren (part) | 11,252 | 42.0% | 14,953 | 55.9% | 566 | 2.1% | −3,701 | −13.9% | 26,771 |
| Totals | 169,546 | 56.2% | 128,255 | 42.5% | 4,022 | 1.3% | 41,291 | 14.0% | 301,823 |
District 6
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 County results Pallone: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, who had represented the district since 1988, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank Pallone, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Javahn Walker
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) | 23,621 | 86.2 | |
| Democratic | Javahn Walker | 3,770 | 13.8 | |
| Total votes | 27,391 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard J. Pezzullo | 9,827 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 9,827 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Frank Pallone (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) | 140,752 | 63.6 | |
| Republican | Richard J. Pezzullo | 80,443 | 36.4 | |
| Total votes | 221,195 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
District 7
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 County results Malinowski: 50–60% 60–70% Lance: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district includes all of Hunterdon County, and parts of Essex, Morris, Somerset, Union, and Warren Counties. Incumbent Republican Leonard Lance, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Leonard Lance, incumbent U.S. Representative[159]
Eliminated in primary
- Lindsay Brown, web developer[160]
Declined
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Leonard Lance (incumbent) | 24,934 | 74.9 | |
| Republican | Lindsay C. Brown | 4,795 | 14.4 | |
| Republican | Raafat Barsoom | 3,556 | 10.7 | |
| Total votes | 33,285 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[47]
Three Democrats were on the Democratic primary ballot. They included former Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor Tom Malinowski;[163] lawyer Goutam Jois;[164] and social worker Peter Jacob. Green Party of New Jersey member Diane Moxley also announced her intent to run for the seat.[165] Westfield teacher and attorney Lisa Mandelblatt withdrew in February 2017,[166] as did Scotch Plains lawyer Scott Salmon.[167] The Democratic County Parties in New Jersey's 7th District unanimously threw their support to Malinowski, and he received the county line for the June 5 primary in all counties.
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
- Christine Lui Chen, neuroscientist, healthcare executive and nominee for state senate (LD-23) in 2017[176]
- Zenon Christodoulou, businessman and vice chair of the Somerset County Democratic Party[176][177]
- Bill Knox, wealth management specialist[178]
- Colleen Mahr, mayor of Fanwood[176]
- Keiona Miller, North Plainfield Borough Council member[176]
- Kurt Perhach, teacher and Army prosecutor[176][179]
Endorsements
Peter Jacob
Organizations
Tom Malinowski
County Democratic Party organizations
- Essex County[181]
- Hunterdon County[182]
- Morris County[183]
- Somerset County[181]
- Union County[184]
- Warren County[185]
Individuals
- Lisa Mandelblatt, teacher, attorney, and former candidate for this seat
Results
Malinowski won the Democratic nomination in the June primary.[186]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Malinowski | 26,172 | 66.8 | |
| Democratic | Peter Jacob | 7,503 | 19.1 | |
| Democratic | Goutam Jois | 5,507 | 14.1 | |
| Total votes | 39,182 | 100 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Leonard Lance (R)
Tom Malinowski (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[59]
- End Citizens United[18]
- Indivisible[103]
- MoveOn[79]
- New Democrat Coalition[19]
Statewide officials
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Leonard Lance | Tom Malinowski | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 17, 2018 | NJTV | Briana Vannozzi | [188] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Leonard Lance (R) |
Tom Malinowski (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[189] | October 28–31, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.6% | 39% | 47% | 1% | 12% |
| Monmouth University[190] | October 25–29, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 6% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[191] | September 17–21, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 44% | – | 10% |
| Monmouth University[192] | September 13–17, 2018 | 365 LV | ± 5.1% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 9% |
| 414 RV | ± 4.8% | 39% | 47% | 2% | 12% | ||
| GQR Research (D-Malinowski)[193] | June 20–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | – | 7% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Leonard Lance (R) |
Democratic candidate (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[194] | November 8–9, 2017 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 41% | 42% | – | 17% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Malinowski | 166,985 | 51.7 | |
| Republican | Leonard Lance (incumbent) | 150,785 | 46.7 | |
| Green | Diane Moxley | 2,676 | 0.8 | |
| Independent | Gregg Mele | 2,296 | 0.7 | |
| Majority | 16,200 | 5.0 | ||
| Total votes | 322,742 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Tom Malinowski Democratic |
Leonard Lance Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Essex (part) | 6,239 | 69.0% | 2,736 | 30.3% | 62 | 0.7% | 3,503 | 38.7% | 9,037 |
| Hunterdon | 28,047 | 44.3% | 34,017 | 53.8% | 1,221 | 1.9% | -5,970 | -9.5% | 63,285 |
| Morris (part) | 23,103 | 47.1% | 25,263 | 51.5% | 728 | 1.5% | -2,160 | -4.4% | 49,094 |
| Somerset (part) | 55,478 | 53.5% | 46,720 | 45.0% | 1,578 | 1.6% | 8,758 | 8.5% | 103,776 |
| Union (part) | 48,217 | 57.5% | 34,650 | 41.3% | 1,061 | 1.2% | 13,567 | 16.2% | 83,928 |
| Warren (part) | 5,901 | 43.3% | 7,399 | 54.3% | 322 | 2.3% | -1,498 | -11.0% | 13,622 |
| Totals | 166,985 | 51.7% | 150,785 | 46.7% | 4,972 | 1.5% | 16,200 | 5.0% | 322,742 |
District 8
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 County results Sires: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Albio Sires, who had represented the district since 2006, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Albio Sires, incumbent U.S. Representative[195]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Albio Sires (incumbent) | 31,583 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 31,583 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Muniz[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John R. Muniz | 3,052 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 3,052 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Albio Sires (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Albio Sires (incumbent) | 119,881 | 78.1 | |
| Republican | John R. Muniz | 28,752 | 18.7 | |
| Independent | Mahmoud Mahmoud | 3,658 | 2.4 | |
| Libertarian | Dan Delaney | 1,191 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 153,455 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Albio Sires Democratic |
John Muniz Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Bergen (part) | 1,723 | 71.6% | 604 | 25.1% | 79 | 3.2% | 1,119 | 46.5% | 2,406 |
| Essex (part) | 20,977 | 78.3% | 5,148 | 19.2% | 678 | 2.6% | 15,829 | 59.1% | 26,803 |
| Hudson (part) | 80,789 | 77.9% | 19,281 | 18.6% | 3,662 | 3.6% | 61,508 | 59.3% | 103,732 |
| Union (part) | 16,392 | 79.9% | 3,692 | 18.0% | 430 | 2.1% | 12,700 | 61.9% | 20,514 |
| Totals | 119,881 | 78.1% | 28,725 | 18.7% | 4,849 | 3.2% | 91,156 | 59.4% | 153,455 |
District 9
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 County results Pascrell: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Hudson and Passaic counties. Incumbent Democrat Bill Pascrell, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Pascrell Jr., incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- William Henry
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) | 23,365 | 85.7 | |
| Democratic | William O. Henry | 3,911 | 14.3 | |
| Total votes | 27,276 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Eric Fisher[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eric P. Fisher | 5,142 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 5,142 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Bill Pascrell (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) | 140,832 | 70.3 | |
| Republican | Eric P. Fisher | 57,854 | 28.9 | |
| Libertarian | Claudio Belusic | 1,730 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 200,416 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Bill Pascrell Democratic |
Eric Fisher Republican |
Claudio Belusic Libertarian |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Bergen (part) | 74,915 | 65.6% | 38,106 | 33.4% | 1,208 | 1.1% | 36,809 | 32.2% | 114,229 |
| Hudson (part) | 6,355 | 65.9% | 3,216 | 33.3% | 77 | 0.8% | 3,139 | 32.6% | 9,648 |
| Passaic (part) | 59,962 | 77.8% | 16,532 | 21.6% | 445 | 0.6% | 43,030 | 56.2% | 76,539 |
| Totals | 140,832 | 70.3% | 57,854 | 28.9% | 1,730 | 0.9% | 82,978 | 41.4% | 200,416 |
District 10
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 County results Payne Jr.: 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Donald Payne Jr., who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 86% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+36.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donald Payne Jr., incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Aaron Fraser
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) | 38,206 | 91.7 | |
| Democratic | Aaron Walter Fraser | 3,442 | 8.3 | |
| Total votes | 41,648 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Agha Khan[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Agha Khan | 2,292 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 2,292 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Donald Payne Jr. (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) | 175,253 | 87.6 | |
| Republican | Agha Khan | 20,191 | 10.1 | |
| Independent | Cynthia Johnson | 2,070 | 1.0 | |
| Independent | Joanne Miller | 2,038 | 1.0 | |
| Libertarian | Scott DiRoma | 607 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 200,159 | 100.0 | ||
By county
| County[20] | Donald Payne Jr. Democratic |
Agha Khan Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Essex (part) | 112,372 | 92.5% | 6,983 | 5.7% | 2,165 | 1.7% | 105,389 | 86.8% | 121,520 |
| Hudson (part) | 25,851 | 80.7% | 4,709 | 14.7% | 1,461 | 4.5% | 21,142 | 66.0% | 32,021 |
| Union (part) | 37,030 | 79.4% | 8,499 | 18.2% | 1,089 | 2.3% | 28,531 | 61.2% | 46,618 |
| Totals | 175,253 | 87.6% | 20,191 | 10.1% | 4,715 | 2.4% | 155,062 | 77.5% | 200,159 |
District 11
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 County results Sherrill: 50–60% 60–70% Webber: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Morris, Passaic and Sussex counties. Incumbent Republican Rodney Frelinghuysen, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in January 2018 that he will not seek re-election.[197] He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jay Webber, state assembly member and former chair of the New Jersey Republican State Committee[198]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Kate Whitman Annis, daughter of former governor Christine Todd Whitman and candidate for the 7th district in 2008[203][204]
- Rosemary Becchi, attorney and former U.S. Senate Finance Committee staff member[205]
- Justin Bozonelis, investment banker[206]
- Tony Bucco, state assembly member (endorsed Jay Webber)[207][208]
- Joe Caruso, businessman[209]
- Kristin Corrado, state senator (endorsed Antony Ghee)[210]
- BettyLou DeCroce, state assembly assembly member (endorsed Antony Ghee)[210]
- Rodney Frelinghuysen, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Jim Gannon, Morris County Sheriff[207][211]
- Jerry Langer, trucking company executive[212][213]
- Nick Mangold, former Jets center[214]
- Tom Mastrangelo, Morris County Freeholder[207]
- Paul Miller, car dealer[215]
- Christine Myers, Morris County Freeholder[207]
- Kevin J. O'Toole, chair of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey and former state senator[205]
- Joseph Pennacchio, state senator[216]
- Sylvia Petillo, Sussex County Freeholder Deputy Director (endorsed Antony Ghee)[217]
- Nicolas Platt, Harding Township Committeeman[210]
- Steve Rogers, Nutley Commissioner of Public Affairs and candidate for governor in 2017[218]
Endorsements
Antony Ghee
State senators
- Kristin Corrado (R-40)[219]
State assembly member
- BettyLou DeCroce (R-26)[210]
- Kevin J. Rooney (R-40)[219]
- Christopher DePhillips (R-40)[219]
Local officials
- John Coiro, mayor of Totowa[219]
- Walter Davidson Jr, Passaic County Clerk[219]
- Sylvia Petillo, Sussex County Freeholder Deputy Director[217]
- Steven Rogers, Nutley Commissioner of Public Affairs, member of Trump Advisory Board, chairman of NJ Team Trump[220]
- John Speer, mayor of Ringwood[219]
- Peter Tanella, mayor of Cedar Grove[219]
- Joseph Tempesta, mayor of West Caldwell[219]
- Chris Vergano, mayor of Wayne[219]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jay Webber | 16,417 | 40.0 | |
| Republican | Peter de Neufville | 12,487 | 30.5 | |
| Republican | Antony E. Ghee | 8,991 | 21.9 | |
| Republican | Patrick S. Allocco | 1,680 | 4.1 | |
| Republican | Martin Hewitt | 1,428 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 41,003 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[47]
Candidates
Nominee
- Mikie Sherrill, retired Navy helicopter pilot and former federal prosecutor[221]
Eliminated in primary
- Mitchell Cobert, attorney[222]
- Jack Gebbia, Army National Guard veteran[223]
- Tamara Harris, divorce coach and college instructor[224]
- Mark Washburne, County College of Morris professor[225]
Withdrawn
- John Bartlett, Passaic County Freeholder (running for re-election)[226][227]
Declined
- Al Anthony, Livingston Township Councilman and former mayor of Livingston[228][229]
- Keith Kazmark, mayor of Woodland Park[230][231][232]
- John F. McKeon, state assembly member[233][234]
- Mike Venezia, mayor of Bloomfield[235]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mikie Sherrill | 35,338 | 77.4 | |
| Democratic | Tamara Harris | 6,615 | 14.5 | |
| Democratic | Mark Washburne | 1,538 | 3.4 | |
| Democratic | Alison Heslin | 1,253 | 2.7 | |
| Democratic | Mitchell H. Cobert | 885 | 1.9 | |
| Total votes | 45,629 | 100 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Jay Webber (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[236][237]
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[238]
U.S. senators
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator (R-AR)[239]
State senators
State Assembly members
- Robert Auth (39th District)[241]
- Tony Bucco (25th District)[208]
- Caroline Casagrande (former, 11th District)[242]
- Guy R. Gregg (former, 24th District)[242]
- C. Richard Kamin (former, 24th District)[242]
Organizations
- Eagle Forum[243]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[244]
- New Jersey Right to Life[239]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[60]
- Susan B. Anthony List[245]
Local officials
- Robert Alviene, mayor of Butler[242]
- Gary Chiusano, Sussex County Surrogate[242]
- Richard Conklin, mayor of Montville[242]
- Frank Druetzler, mayor Morris Plains[242]
- Ronald Francioli, mayor of Hanover[242]
- William Neely, mayor of Kinnelon[242]
- John Pecoraro, Morris County Surrogate[246]
- David Runfeldt, mayor of Lincoln Park[242]
- Michael Serra, mayor of Pompton Lakes[242]
- Mike Strada, Sussex County Sheriff[240]
- Mark Taylor, mayor of Florham Park[242]
Individuals
- Mark Dunec, 2014 Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 11th congressional district[247]
- Wayne Marek, former Democratic candidate for New Jersey General Assembly[248]
Mikie Sherrill (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States and former U.S. Senator (D-DE)[249]
- Jim Johnson, former United States Under Secretary of the Treasury for Enforcement[250]
U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator (D-NJ)[251]
- Brian Schatz, U.S. Senator (D-HI)[252]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (D-MA)[253]
U.S. Representatives
- Ben Ray Lujan, U.S. Representative (D-NM)[254]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative (D-MA)[255]
- Bill Pascrell, U.S. Representative (D-NJ)[256]
- Donald Payne Jr., U.S. Representatives (D-NJ)[257]
Statewide officials
- Richard Codey, 54th governor of New Jersey and current State Senator (27th District)[258]
- Phil Murphy, governor of New Jersey[259]
State senators
State Assembly members
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[14]
- Communications Workers of America[15]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[16]
- New Jersey State Police Benevolent's Association[261]
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America[262]
Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition[58]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[59]
- EMILY's List[263][264]
- End Citizens United[265][18]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[266]
- MoveOn[79]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[267]
- New Democrat Coalition[19]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[268]
- Sierra Club[269]
- VoteVets[270][104]
- With Honor Fund[105]
- Working Families Party[271]
Newspapers
- New Jersey Hills Media Group, publisher of 10 local papers in the district[272]
- The New York Times[273]
Local officials
- Robert "Bob" Connelly, mayor of Madison[258]
- Amalia Duarte, Committeewoman of Mendham Township[274]
- Manny Friedlander, Councilman of Rockaway Township[275]
- Keith Kazmark, mayor of Woodland Park[258]
- Joe Pannullo, mayor of East Hanover[258]
- Mike Puzio, Councilman of Rockaway Township (Republican)[275]
- Jonathan Sackett, Councilman of Rockaway Township[275]
Individuals
- Tom Colicchio, professional chef[276]
- Bruce Springsteen, singer[277]
- Patrick Wilson, actor[278]
County Democratic Party organizations
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Jay Webber | Mikie Sherrill | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 10, 2018 | NJTV | Michael Aron | [279] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Webber (R) |
Mikie Sherrill (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[280] | October 13–17, 2018 | 487 | ± 4.6% | 38% | 49% | 2% | 11% |
| Monmouth University[281] | October 3–7, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.2% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 6% |
| National Research Inc. (R-Webber)[282] | September 24–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | – | – |
| Monmouth University[283] | June 22–25, 2018 | 339 LV | ± 5.3% | 40% | 44% | 1% | 15% |
| 406 RV | ± 4.9% | 38% | 40% | 1% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Mikie Sherill (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[284] | February 12–13, 2018 | 688 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | – | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rodney Freylinghuysen (R) |
Democratic candidate (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[194] | November 8–9, 2017 | 710 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mikie Sherrill | 183,684 | 56.8 | |
| Republican | Jay Webber | 136,322 | 42.1 | |
| Independent | Robert Crook | 2,182 | 0.7 | |
| Libertarian | Ryan Martinez | 1,386 | 0.4 | |
| Majority | 47,362 | 14.7 | ||
| Total votes | 323,574 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Mikie Sherrill Democratic |
Jay Webber Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Essex (part) | 56,669 | 66.2% | 28,008 | 32.7% | 909 | 1.1% | 28,661 | 33.5% | 85,586 |
| Morris (part) | 89,881 | 54.6% | 73,044 | 44.4% | 1,600 | 1.0% | 16,837 | 10.2% | 164,525 |
| Passaic (part) | 27,484 | 52.4% | 24,433 | 46.6% | 545 | 1.1% | 3,051 | 5.8% | 52,462 |
| Sussex (part) | 9,650 | 46.0% | 10,837 | 51.6% | 514 | 2.4% | −1,187 | −5.6% | 21,001 |
| Totals | 183,684 | 56.8% | 136,322 | 42.1% | 3,568 | 1.1% | 47,362 | 14.7% | 323,574 |
District 12
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 County results Watson Coleman: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset and Union counties. The district is known for its research centers and educational institutions such as Princeton University, Institute for Advanced Study, Johnson & Johnson and Bristol-Myers Squibb. Incumbent Democrat Bonnie Watson Coleman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of +.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bonnie Watson Coleman, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) | 35,430 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 35,430 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daryl Kipnis | 9,776 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 9,776 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) | 173,334 | 68.7 | |
| Republican | Daryl Kipnis | 79,041 | 31.3 | |
| Total votes | 252,375 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[20] | Bonnie Watson Coleman Democratic |
Daryl Kipnis Republican |
Margin | Total votes cast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Mercer (part) | 66,323 | 76.7% | 20,157 | 23.3% | 46,166 | 53.4% | 86,480 |
| Middlesex (part) | 65,788 | 60.2% | 43,423 | 39.8% | 22,365 | 20.4% | 109,211 |
| Somerset (part) | 21,970 | 69.9% | 9,440 | 30.1% | 12,530 | 39.8% | 31,410 |
| Union (part) | 19,253 | 76.2% | 6,021 | 23.8% | 12,232 | 52.4% | 25,274 |
| Totals | 173,334 | 68.7% | 79,041 | 31.3% | 94,293 | 37.4% | 252,375 |