Talk:2025 IIHF World Championship Group A

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canada clinching

keeps coming up so....If Latvia wins their remaining games they are at 12 points. If Canada loses remaining games they are at 12. If Slovakia then defeats Finland in OT then they are also at 12 and Finland would be at 15. So, Canada defeated Latvia 7-1, if Slovakia can defeat Canada by a greater margin than that it is still possible for Canada to be 5th.18abruce (talk) 18:46, 17 May 2025 (UTC)

finland clinching

they can't yet. If Austria wins their remaining games, Finland loses their remaining games, including a 2 or more goal loss to slovakia, and slovakia loses to latvia in overtime...Finland will be 5th.18abruce (talk) 22:08, 17 May 2025 (UTC)

Yeah, below is correct, I missed that Austria's h2h win was only worth 2 points. They have indeed clinched as no 3way tie could be an even split in points.18abruce (talk) 22:12, 17 May 2025 (UTC)

Finland advances

Slovakia and Latvia can't both get 11 points or more, since Slovakia-Latvia is still unplayed. Similarly Latvia and Austria.

That leaves Slovakia and Austria.

If Austria gets 11 points, Finland will still rank better (2-1).

So there must be a third country.

How can Finland, Slovakia and Austria tie at 11 points?

Finland 11, Slovakia 7, Austria 5

Finland loses remaining games

Slovakia beats Finland (+3)

and loses to Latvia in overtime (+1)

Austria wins Slovenia and Latvia (2*+3)

Now Finland 11, Slovakia 11, Austria 11

H2H points:

Finland +0, Slovakia +3

Finland +3, Austria +0

Austria +2, Slovakia +1

Finland 3

Slovakia 4

Austria 2

The last in the tiebreaker fails to qualify, so Finland advances. Anonymous7002 (talk) 22:09, 17 May 2025 (UTC)

You are correct in your conclusion. Note that if Latvia beats Slovakia in overtime then they can both finish with 11 points, but it is moot because you would have the same tie-breaking result with Latvia replacing Austria.18abruce (talk) 22:16, 17 May 2025 (UTC)
Yeah, I forgot about that.
FIN +0, SVK +3
FIN +3, LAT +0
LAT +2, SVK +1
SVK 4
FIN 3
LAT 2 Anonymous7002 (talk) 22:20, 17 May 2025 (UTC)

Incorrect year

The year should be 2025, not 2024. 31.208.72.90 (talk) 09:05, 20 May 2025 (UTC)

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