Talk:EmDrive/Archive 5
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Rewriting the lede
User Forbes72, please discuss your changes here in the Talk page and introduce them one by one; your proposed version has severe problems in tone, undue weight and synthesis. Let's work together to solve any concerns with the old lede section and improve it. Diego (talk) 12:41, 7 September 2016 (UTC)
- Sure. Thanks for opening the discussion.
- A radio frequency (RF) resonant cavity thruster is a proposed type of electromagnetic thruster in which electromagnetic radiation is confined to a microwave cavity, and pushes the cavity in a particular direction as the radiation reflects off the cavity walls."
- The idea is a one-sentence synopsis of how the device works. The current article states the drive is 1.) elecotromagnetic and 2.) rectionless, but fails to give details of how that would work. I think it's important to put the basic mechanism of action up front, rather than getting bogged down in the details early.
- Despite the inventor's claims to the contrary,[1] this mechanism is a clear violation of the conservation of momentum, and the scientific consensus is that the device's theory of operation directly contradicts mainstream understandings of physics.
- The inventor of the drive apparently claims in several articles, (not just the one I cited) the device doesn't violate the laws of Newton. All the expert coverage I've come across disagrees with this assessment. (including the two I cited) "The design instantly violates the principle of conservation of momentum." from the Ars Technica article. "if the EmDrive actually works, it would violate known physics." from the Forbes article. Perhaps you have some questions of tone here, or you may wish to put the inventors claims and the response in separate sentences. Not sure of your exact concerns. but the basic claims are sound.
- "The device has been the subject of some coverage in the general media, often speculating on the possibilities if the inventors' claims are taken at face value."
- This is a summary of what follows in the next two sentences. Writers in the popular press have written speculative articles concerning the applications/merits of the drive. This is a significant source of publicity around the drive, and popular knowledge of its existence.
- Claims made in these and similar articles that NASA has 'proved the drive works',[24] stand in contrast to NASA's official statement that the drive "has not yet shown any tangible results.”[25]
- This is a fairly harsh criticism, but it's explicitly made in the source.(i.e. not WP:SYN) The title of the response "Did NASA Validate an "Impossible" Space Drive? In a Word, No." is clearly a direct response to the article "Nasa validates 'impossible' space drive". The article explicitly references several popular articles and criticizes their coverage. I did my best to summarize the basic point of this response.
- Let me know what the specific
issueswords or phrase you have in mind here are.Forbes72 (talk) 23:13, 7 September 2016 (UTC)- For the first listed change, I prefer the current way the lede paragraph is structured, and am not entirely sure if your 'synopsis' accurately represents all theories that have been used to describe the theoretical action of these drives, best to keep it
brandbroad in the lede IMO.
- For the first listed change, I prefer the current way the lede paragraph is structured, and am not entirely sure if your 'synopsis' accurately represents all theories that have been used to describe the theoretical action of these drives, best to keep it
- For the second one I feel like this wording is a too strong per WP:NPOV. Also, best to avoid the term 'scientific consensus' altogether, as this device has really seen only sporadic coverage and is far from being on the mainstream radar of most physics scientists.
- For the third addition, I have no problem with it, but have a big problem with the other stuff that you had put in the lede right after it ("For example, David Hambling has written a number of articles highly charitable to the device's claims.[4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13] Mary-Ann Russon has also published many EM drive articles, including speculation about Em drive as a possible solution to the the world's energy needs and interstellar travel.[14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23]" as singling out authors is not generally something that is done in the lede as it isn't really important to the topic. Though it could be added elsewhere in the article.
- The fourth change may be out of context, as 'tangible results' could mean a lot of things, not necessarily what is being implied by this sentence. Also your quote doesn't use the full NASA quote from that article: “This is a small effort that has not yet shown any tangible results.” Which is a FURTHER cut down of the official statement: "While conceptual research into novel propulsion methods by a team at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston has created headlines, this is a small effort that has not yet shown any tangible results," NASA officials told Space.com in a statement. "NASA is not working on 'warp drive' technology." Also, this 'statement' by NASA was made quite a long time ago. Again, best to avoid this IMO, and is better the way it is. However, I don't have a particular problem with replacing the first half of your sentence with the current wording "Claims that the drive had been validated by NASA" if you want. InsertCleverPhraseHere 06:31, 8 September 2016 (UTC)
- Honestly, you make some good points here. The two sentences about the writers in particular are probabTTsdfsdffly too much, as you imply. I've rewritten the lead, per you suggestions.
- This should be a significant improvement to things. We should continue to improve this as needed. I'm afraid I don't understand what you mean by "keep it brand", but surely we can do better than the opening sentence as it stood before my edit.Forbes72 (talk) 18:13, 8 SepttTYTember 2016 (UTC)
- 'brand' was an autocorrect typo (broad). Apologies, I have stuck it and fixed it. InsertCleverPhraseHere 07:38, 9 September 2016 (UTC)
- @Forbes72: I added a couple changes to the description sentence to improve the explanation, let me know if you agree with my changes. InsertCleverPhraseHere 15:18, 11 September 2016 (UTC)
- Those that Insert described were largely my concerns, yes. Your latest edit is much, much improved with respect to your first try in terms of tone and neutrality, good work. Diego (talk) 20:51, 8 September 2016 (UTC)
- The fourth change may be out of context, as 'tangible results' could mean a lot of things, not necessarily what is being implied by this sentence. Also your quote doesn't use the full NASA quote from that article: “This is a small effort that has not yet shown any tangible results.” Which is a FURTHER cut down of the official statement: "While conceptual research into novel propulsion methods by a team at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston has created headlines, this is a small effort that has not yet shown any tangible results," NASA officials told Space.com in a statement. "NASA is not working on 'warp drive' technology." Also, this 'statement' by NASA was made quite a long time ago. Again, best to avoid this IMO, and is better the way it is. However, I don't have a particular problem with replacing the first half of your sentence with the current wording "Claims that the drive had been validated by NASA" if you want. InsertCleverPhraseHere 06:31, 8 September 2016 (UTC)
Eagleworks Passed Peer Review, article needs re-writing to trim fringe theories and incorporate this into article.
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/emdrive-nasa-eagleworks-paper-has-finally-passed-peer-review-says-scientist-know-1578716 75.90.182.40 (talk) 11:48, 1 September 2016 (UTC)
- I though of adding this myself, but it's currently at the state of rumor. I'd wait until the peer-review is indeed published. Diego (talk) 13:02, 1 September 2016 (UTC)
- We should definitely wait until a secondary source reports on the peer reviewed published study. This article has enough speculation and primary sources as is. Curious Sargon (talk) 13:14, 1 September 2016 (UTC)
- Wait till publication for any large scale changes to the article would be my suggestion. InsertCleverPhraseHere 12:08, 2 September 2016 (UTC)
- We should definitely wait until a secondary source reports on the peer reviewed published study. This article has enough speculation and primary sources as is. Curious Sargon (talk) 13:14, 1 September 2016 (UTC)
- "Passed peer review" means that it's published in a reputale scientific journal. {{citation needed}}. Guy (Help!) 19:04, 2 September 2016 (UTC)
- Well, technically yes. but also if you happen to be a researcher, "passed peer review" can also mean that it has passed but is awaiting publication. (as a published author i know that the wait time after passing peer review can easily be many months depending on the frequency of the journal.) That being said, I think your point was that we should wait until publication, which I agree with. InsertCleverPhraseHere 07:27, 3 September 2016 (UTC)
- Indeed, because the reputation of the journal is kind of important. Guy (Help!) 08:31, 5 September 2016 (UTC)
- Well, technically yes. but also if you happen to be a researcher, "passed peer review" can also mean that it has passed but is awaiting publication. (as a published author i know that the wait time after passing peer review can easily be many months depending on the frequency of the journal.) That being said, I think your point was that we should wait until publication, which I agree with. InsertCleverPhraseHere 07:27, 3 September 2016 (UTC)
Well, It isn't a rumour any more. We could possibly comment on it as it has seen quite a bit of coverage, though from a scientific content point of view there is no news here, so all it could be used for is to say that there is a paper that has passed peer review that will be published in the AIAA Journal of Propulsion and Power. Though the AIAA refused to comment on the content of the paper (or even the title), they were 'confirming' the previous rumour, so presumably the other details were correct. Publication date should be December 2016. It probably deserves a brief mention at this point in the eagleworks section. InsertCleverPhraseHere 16:14, 11 September 2016 (UTC)
Another null result: Martin Tajmar and G. Fiedler
Direct Thrust Measurements of an EMDrive and Evaluation of Possible Side-Effects: "We therefore achieved a null measurement". They see thrust in various directions, not necessarily aligned with any axis where the EM-Drive enthusiasts would expect it. It is not just a null result, it also shows that systematic uncertainties are not well understood. --mfb (talk) 08:22, 5 September 2016 (UTC)
- Seems like it should be added to the article. Note however that they say in the abstract "Our test campaign cannot confirm or refute the claims of the EMdrive but intends to independently assess possible side-effects in the measurement methods so far." so it seems that their primary goal with this experiment is to investigate various forms of noise. And they aren't currently sure exactly where the noise is coming from (although they suspect magnetic interactions with the power feeding lines). We should be careful how this is added, as it is clearly a preliminary study, but I can already see some people putting on their 'debunking' hats, and that's not what this is. InsertCleverPhraseHere 20:47, 5 September 2016 (UTC)
- True, but the focus of most of the attempted changes over recent months has been rebunking... Guy (Help!) 12:17, 6 September 2016 (UTC)
- Not a fan of any kind of bunking, things can quickly turn out bad for you. InsertCleverPhraseHere 16:24, 11 September 2016 (UTC)
- True, but the focus of most of the attempted changes over recent months has been rebunking... Guy (Help!) 12:17, 6 September 2016 (UTC)
Agreed that this mainly highlights how large systematic uncertainties are. Yang's group discovered noise from their power source that was >10x their signal, and this group discovered noise >10x their signal whose source they couldn't even identify. It's kind to say that their goal was to investigate forms of noise; it wasn't their initial stated plan. They stopped an published a report on their work (which is good), because they weren't able to overcome the noise to study anything else. – SJ + 22:30, 14 September 2016 (UTC)
Overall update
I took a pass at the lede and made the rest of the article consistent with recent results. Primarily: Yang's correction of their group's earlier work (finding no significant thrust in their latest and final test, and highlighting the excess force they were seeing thanks to external power sources), and Eagleworks getting a paper through peer review.
Possibly worth adding: Fetta's experiment, once details come out, but it's hard enough to run these experiments in a lab, not to mention remotely - it may just be good publicity. (Especially since they suggest that the next step after their experiment is making engines available for purchase; not usually how engine tech develops.) And I saw conflicting reports that Tajmar has published an experiment that avoided their initial errors, but they seem to just be misreadings of their one conference proceeding. – SJ + 20:54, 14 September 2016 (UTC)
- I have found your changes to be largely unsourced (or directly at odds with the sources), and gives an overall impression of attempting to slant the article toward a negative POV, rather than following the published sources. Please see my edit comments. InsertCleverPhraseHere 21:34, 14 September 2016 (UTC)
Thanks. The Yang source is her 2016 paper and public analysis of it; I added refs. Some other replies:
- many' is a stretch here. as the number of tests is limited in the first place, and most of the tests so far have detected at least small thrusts. The second half of this sentence (' any measured thrust has generally been within the margin of error.’ is patently false.)
- True, the number of tests is small. The second half... "generally" here means "with one exception, and not a strong one". Not false, I would say, it's just that many tests did not effectively estimate error (initial claims by shawyer & fetta, the first 7 experiments shawyer claimed had observed thrust), and those that did tended to revise their error margins upwards over time (yang, tajmar). The only independent measurement that found thrust exceeding the margin of error is Eagleworks. In that case: it was within 2x the margin of error, and they found similar "thrust" for their control object, which tends to invalidate the result. If White's paper currently in publication addresses these issues & shows net thrust and a full error & noise analysis, it will be the first significant positive result.
- Bear in mind that for this sort of experiment there is noise and stray signal everywhere; and running an experiment often means discarding every negative result until you get a positive one. it's rare to find an experimenter who then tries everything to make the positive signal vanish, assuming it is noise until proven otherwise; more often they are content to publish the results of that first positive experiment, and let other people disprove it. – SJ +
- "Dozens of prototypes of such thrusters have been designed as of 2015." --> What source do you have for this statement?
- Not worth arguing. Most of the experimenters writing about their work built a variety of models for their experiments. Lots of different design variants were talked about and photographed on the forums. They all boil down to a few variants on the same theme.
- trying to say that the eagle works results were within main of error when they were not. Also what is 'close to' supposed to mean? Does their paper say it was 'close to' the margin?
- —> I'm open to better ways to say this in a short sentence. They saw 30-55uN of force with an estimated margin of error of 15-30 uN from known sources of error. They recognized there were other potential sources of error that hadn't been estimated. And they observed similar force on their control setup, which if the experiment was set up properly, shouldn't have produced any thrust at all. So they did not get significant results matching any expected theory. They also didn't rule out the possibility of such a system producing thrust... but disproving a poorly understood phenomenon is hard.
- The experimenters noted that the observed force may well be the result of a stray signal or measurement error from some unexpected source. (For instance, since they ran that experiment, the Dresden & Xi'an labs found much stronger stray force from power sources than expected, and the one strong result from the Xi'an lab, which had driven much of the international interest in the past 4 years, was invalidated as a result.) As other folks at NASA said in discussing the Eagleworks results, it's good to try blue-sky experiments like this, but you're looking for a signal that is way, way bigger than the errors you already know about. – SJ +
- how does science fiction authors enter into it? The term 'science fiction' is not mentioned in the source.
- You're right, that Wired piece didn't have a good reference to this history; if I find one I'll put it in. (You can find a through if unreliable discussion here) Reactionless drives are a compelling idea in the public mind, and in fiction, despite there being no known physical avenues to producing them. Resonant cavity thrusters and EM drives are successors to the Dean drive, which was actively promoted by sci-fi editors, and reactionless drives have been a staple of sci-fi since the 50s.
- For comparison, see theoretical photon thrusters, where the physics underpinning is largely understood, inventors are merely trying to make something so efficient that it competes with the state of the art. Still chancy, with difficult experiments to run. Similar use cases, and they use a lot of the same promotional language to market their drives. But the prototypes work. – SJ + 23:19, 14 September 2016 (UTC)
Apparently Fetta is going to send one to space on a cubesat
Popular mechanics just reported on an interesting development that is almost certainly worth coving somewhere in the article:
http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/energy/a22678/em-drive-cannae-cubesat-reactionless/
InsertCleverPhraseHere 15:38, 11 September 2016 (UTC)
- Have you seen any details on the model they will send up or how they will run a test? Just straight thrust in one direction, on a cube with no other propulsion? – SJ + 20:54, 14 September 2016 (UTC)
- Just the source you see above that was published by popular mechanics. You can read it yourself if you like. InsertCleverPhraseHere 21:39, 14 September 2016 (UTC)
Significant Thrust
The article and talk page frequently use the terms "significant thrust", or "significant positive results". What does this mean, exactly? Could someone add some kind of definition of "significant thrust" to the article, preferably understandable by lay-persons? The Northwestern Polytechnical University section seems to have the start of such a definition, but I have to assume that it only applies to that section/experiment. --2620:114:2012:3:1D69:6B5D:5B1B:40AD (talk) 16:34, 26 September 2016 (UTC)
- Think the problem here, is that those that are claiming to archive "significant thrust", or "significant positive results" have their patent lawyers busily submitting patents. It probably won't be until those patents are filed that anything will be released into the public domain that is worthy of being peer reviewed. Without that data and exact details of the force balances and other transducers used etc., we can’t define significant. I was hyper - sceptical at first to the point of absolute dismissive. Now, having skimmed though the math. Should this device work, as theorised, it will be significantly more efficient than shining a laser out of a space craft window because it involves the compression of a EM standing wave and since light can't travel faster than light, a asymmetrical force has to occur in order to agree which Einstein's special theory of relativity and thus doesn’t break any laws. However, until we get the peer review data we have no RS to refer to and no way to define significant; other than doing it ourselves of course -which is considered OR.--Aspro (talk) 21:28, 26 September 2016 (UTC)
- "doesn't break any laws"? Except conservation of linear momentum, right?
- To answer the original question, I take "significant" to mean the measured thrust was larger than could be explained by the estimated measurement errors. Those errors include noise and systematic errors. Systematic errors are things like a cable gets some force on it proportional to the current. Those can be hard to predict. Spiel496 (talk) 22:39, 28 September 2016 (UTC)
Significance makes sense in the context of an experiment. A "significant" observation means "significantly more than you'd expect to see if your hypothesis were wrong". For instance, "significantly more likely than the null hypothesis" means an effect many times the effect on a control group. And "significantly more than noise" often means a signal to noise ratio of at least 10. In these experiments, there is a huge potential noise source – experimenters are using hundreds of Watts + resonance, to get microNewtons of thrust – so one would hope for a better than usual S/N ratio.
Shawyer claimed 10+ years ago to have gotten significant thrust in his lab, but couldn't demonstrate it, and now claims a much weaker result. The NWPU group thought they observed a fairly large thrust, 300x what anyone else had observed. This revived interest in the topic. But noone could reproduce any such result, including the NWPU team themselves; when they redid their work more carefully, they discovered an even larger experimental error, which likely produced a false signal. White observed thrust with a signal-to-noise ratio of 2.5 (not very significant), and saw the same thrust on a control target (making the observation not significant at all).
Experiments informally written up so far have observed insignificant negative results (thrust in the opposite or orthogonal direction), null results (no measurable thrust), and insignificant positive results (thrust in the expected direction, but a low S/N ratio; or similar to the thrust observed on a control group; or less than measured experimental error). When the article says no published experiments have seen significant thrust, I think that means each according to its own measures of significance. This spread of results is what one would expect to see under the null hypothesis.
Separate from this is the idea of practical significance. To be practically useful, such a thruster would need to generate more thrust per unit of power than a pure laser or ion thruster. – SJ + 16:29, 29 September 2016 (UTC)
- All positive claims are above the efficiency of a photon rocket, and if there would be an effect we would expect that future devices (superconducting cavities?) can increase it notably. But you highlighted the main point: the claimed thrust values scale with the experimental precision. A clear indication that this is not a real effect. It is just really hard to understand all systematic effects. --mfb (talk) 20:29, 30 September 2016 (UTC)
A few new sources.
https://hacked.com/move-emdrive-comes-woodwards-mach-effect-drive/
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/235566-can-the-impossible-space-drive-survive-falsification-in-orbit (there are several other articles about this 'launch' but this one seems to be the best RS).
InsertCleverPhraseHere 23:38, 4 October 2016 (UTC)
- "now NASA is taking the testing to space" (from the third "source")
- Wait, what? Who said NASA would do that? --mfb (talk) 13:51, 5 October 2016 (UTC)
- No idea, I haven't read them thoroughly yet, just bringing them to attention. Note though that the whole canna drive in space thing has been reported on previously, but it was little more than a rumour previously. InsertCleverPhraseHere 14:04, 5 October 2016 (UTC)
Circular reference
From the page "RF resonant cavity thruster", if one clicks on the link(s) to "Roger Shawyer" (there are two of them), it immediately redirects back to "RF resonant cavity thruster". This isn't right is it?
Unfortunately, I don't have the skills to fix this, could someone please have a look?
Many thanks CoeurDeHamster (talk) 08:57, 17 October 2016 (UTC)
- Nope. I'll fix it. InsertCleverPhraseHere 10:55, 17 October 2016 (UTC)
Peer-reviewed NASA report in AIAA. And reviews of it
I am very busy today, but here are a couple links to the new NASA peer reviewed paper, which has been published online as an 'article in advance' in the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA)’s Journal of Propulsion and Power. (December in the print edition). Major development in this story, especially as they found a thrust-to-power ratio in a vacuum of 1.2±0.1mN/kW (two orders of magnitude higher than light sails, the current best propellent-less propulsion technology).
http://arc.aiaa.org/doi/10.2514/1.B36120
InsertCleverPhraseHere 18:52, 19 November 2016 (UTC)
- Reputable news organizations are publishing articles about this study. Seems like WP ought to be able to mention it. WP:PRIMARY doesn't expressly disallow this use of a primary source: "Policy: Unless restricted by another policy, primary sources that have been reputably published may be used in Wikipedia, but only with care, because it is easy to misuse them.[4] Any interpretation of primary source material requires a reliable secondary source for that interpretation. A primary source may only be used on Wikipedia to make straightforward, descriptive statements of facts that can be verified by any educated person with access to the primary source but without further, specialized knowledge." In this case, we're doing exactly as the policy states: making a straightforward, descriptive statement of facts. TimidGuy (talk) 11:50, 20 November 2016 (UTC)
- Nov 19, 2016 NASA's Physics-Defying EM Drive Passes Peer Review. By Brian Koberlein. Nov. 19, 2016 article in Forbes. At the end of the article is this info on the author (emphasis added): "Brian Koberlein is an astrophysicist, professor and author. You can find more of his writing at One Universe at a Time." At the beginning of the article is a link to the primary source: "One of the biggest criticisms has been that the work wasn’t submitted for peer review, and until that happens it shouldn’t be taken seriously. Well, this week that milestone was reached with a peer-reviewed paper. The EM Drive has officially passed peer review."
- My reading of WP:PSTS, and some of the background discussion in its archives, is that peer review is a level beyond the primary experimental results. Peer review is secondary review. So a peer reviewed article is not just a report of an experiment. It is an early analysis that will evolve over time as more experiments and analysis occur. It is a combination of primary and secondary sourcing. In any case it can be reported in Wikipedia, as long as we don't do original analysis. We can also report the further analysis of others in WP:RS sources (such as Forbes) if the author has some expertise in the field. --Timeshifter (talk) 12:17, 21 November 2016 (UTC)
