2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, a loss of one seat following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a federal quadrennial presidential election, concurrent statewide gubernatorial election, quadrennial statewide lieutenant gubernatorial election, and an election to the U.S. Senate.
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November 6, 2012
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All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2012[1] | ||||||
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| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
| Republican | 1,463,586 | 54.70% | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Democratic | 1,119,554 | 41.84% | 3 | 2 | -1 | |
| Libertarian | 87,774 | 3.28% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Constitution | 4,971 | 0.19% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Independent | 15 | <0.01% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Total | 2,675,900 | 100.00% | 9 | 8 | — | |
Redistricting
A new congressional map was passed by the Missouri General Assembly on April 27, 2011.[2] The map was vetoed by Democratic Governor Jay Nixon on April 30,[3] but Nixon's veto was overridden by the General Assembly on May 4, making the plan law.[4] The map effectively eradicated the former 3rd district, which had been represented by Democrat Russ Carnahan since 2005, splitting it between the districts represented by Republicans Blaine Luetkemeyer and Todd Akin and Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr. The bulk of the old 9th district became the new 3rd district.[2]
District 1
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Clay: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr., who had represented Missouri's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election.
Democratic primary
Fellow U.S. Representative Russ Carnahan, part of whose district was drawn into the 1st district, challenged Clay in the Democratic primary.[5]
Candidates
Nominee
- William Lacy Clay, Jr., incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Candice Britton
- Russ Carnahan, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district
Declined
- Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis (endorse Clay)[6]
Endorsements
Lacy Clay
Local officials
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | William Lacy Clay, Jr. (incumbent) | 57,791 | 63.3 | |
| Democratic | Russ Carnahan (incumbent) | 30,943 | 33.9 | |
| Democratic | Candice Britton | 2,570 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 91,304 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Robyn Hamlin, insurance agent and nominee for this seat in 2010.
Eliminated in primary
- Martin Baker, political organizer
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Robyn Hamlin | 9,737 | 57.9 | |
| Republican | Martin D. Baker | 7,085 | 42.1 | |
| Total votes | 16,822 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Robb Cunningham, candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Robb E. Cunningham | 246 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 246 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Clay vs Baker
Carnahan vs Hamlin
Carnahan vs Baker
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 267,927 | 78.7 | |
| Republican | Robyn Hamlin | 60,832 | 17.9 | |
| Libertarian | Robb E. Cunningham | 11,824 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 340,583 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
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Wagner: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Todd Akin, who had represented Missouri's 2nd congressional district since 2001, chose to run for the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election.[16]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann Wagner, former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg and former chair of the Missouri Republican Party[17][18]
Eliminated in primary
- James Baker, businessman
- Randy Jotte, emergency room physician and former member of the Webster Groves City Council[19]
- John Morris
Withdrawn
- Ed Martin, lawyer and nominee for the 3rd district in 2010[20] (running for state attorney general)[21]
Declined
- Todd Akin, incumbent U.S. representative
- Jane Cunningham, state senator[22]
- Joe Smith, former state representative[23]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ann Wagner | 53,583 | 65.8 | |
| Republican | Randy Jotte | 18,644 | 22.9 | |
| Republican | John Morris | 6,041 | 7.4 | |
| Republican | James O. Baker | 3,185 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 81,453 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Glenn Koenen, non-profit executive
Eliminated in primary
- George Weber, realtor
- Harold Whitfield, attorney
- Marshall Works, insurance executive
Declined
- Russ Carnahan, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district[5]
Campaign
3rd District Congressman Russ Carnahan briefly mulled over a run in this district, though the district was more Republican than his previous district, and he did not live in the district.[24] A poll commissioned by Carnahan showed him being competitive with Ann Wagner and Ed Martin.[25] The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had preferred that Carnahan run in the district, and considered him a member of the Frontline program for vulnerable members.[26] Ultimately, he ran unsuccessfully for the 1st district.
Primary results
Whitfield requested a recount, as the race was separated by less than 1%. By September 13, 2012, the recount was completed and Koenen was declared the winner.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Glenn Koenen | 7,894 | 28.38 | |
| Democratic | Harold Whitfield | 7,848 | 28.22 | |
| Democratic | George Weber | 7,541 | 27.11 | |
| Democratic | Marshall Works | 4,532 | 16.29 | |
| Total votes | 27,815 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Slantz, businessman
Constitution primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Anatol Zorikova, business owner
General election
Endorsements
Ann Wagner (R)
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ann Wagner | 236,971 | 60.1 | |
| Democratic | Glenn Koenen | 146,272 | 37.1 | |
| Libertarian | Bill Slantz | 9,193 | 2.3 | |
| Constitution | Anatol Zorikova | 2,012 | 0.5 | |
| Total votes | 394,448 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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Luetkemeyer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer ran in the reconfigured 3rd district, which includes most of the 9th district he had represented since 2009.[30]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 79,661 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 79,661 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eric C. Mayer | 22,478 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 22,478 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steven Wilson, commercial artist
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Steven Wilson | 367 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 367 | 100.0 | ||
Constitution primary
Candidates
Declined
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 214,843 | 63.5 | |
| Democratic | Eric C. Mayer | 111,189 | 32.8 | |
| Libertarian | Steven Wilson | 12,353 | 3.7 | |
| Total votes | 338,385 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
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Hartzler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Hensley: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Vicky Hartzler, who represented the 4th district since January 2011, sought re-election. In redistricting, all of Boone, Cooper, Howard, and Randolph counties, and parts of Audrain County, were added to the 4th district, while Cole, Lafayette, Ray, and Saline counties were removed from the district.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bernie Mowinski, U.S. Air Force veteran
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 71,615 | 84.0 | |
| Republican | Bernie Mowinski | 13,645 | 16.0 | |
| Total votes | 85,260 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Teresa Hensley, Cass County prosecuting attorney[34]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Teresa Hensley | 24,631 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 24,631 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Thomas Holbrook
Eliminated in primary
- Herschel Young, small business owner
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Thomas Holbrook | 232 | 58.0 | |
| Libertarian | Herschel L. Young | 168 | 42.0 | |
| Total votes | 400 | 100.0 | ||
Constitution primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Cowan, retired Navy lieutenant commander
General election
Endorsements
Vicky Hartzler (R)
Organizations
Teresa Hensley (D)
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program[35]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 192,237 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Teresa Hensley | 113,120 | 35.5 | |
| Libertarian | Thomas Holbrook | 10,407 | 3.3 | |
| Constitution | Greg Cowan | 2,959 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 318,723 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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Cleaver: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Turk: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Missouri's 5th Congressional district was perhaps the one most complicated by redistricting, and the legal challenges that have ensued.[36] Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver successfully won re-election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 43,712 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 43,712 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Republican Jerry Nolte, who at first announced his intention to run in the 6th district, decided to run in the 5th.[37] His residence lay on the court-contested border of the two districts.
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jason Greene
- Jerry Nolte, former state representative
- Ron Paul Shawd
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jacob Turk | 24,814 | 58.9 | |
| Republican | Jerry Nolte | 10,734 | 25.5 | |
| Republican | Jason Greene | 5,067 | 12.0 | |
| Republican | Ron Paul Shawd | 1,542 | 3.6 | |
| Total votes | 42,157 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Randall Langkraehr
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Randall Langkraehr | 335 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 335 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 200,290 | 60.5 | |
| Republican | Jacob Turk | 122,149 | 36.9 | |
| Libertarian | Randall Langkraehr | 8,497 | 2.6 | |
| Independent | Andrew Feagle (write-in) | 6 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 330,942 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
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Graves: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Due to realignment following the 2010 U.S. census, the district spanned most of the northern portion of the state, from St. Joseph to Kirksville, and also included most of the state's portion of the Kansas City Metropolitan Area north of the Missouri River. Incumbent Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001,[38] ran for reelection.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bob Gough, high school mathematics teacher
- Christopher Ryan
Withdrawn
- Jerry Nolte, former state representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 59,388 | 80.3 | |
| Republican | Christopher Ryan | 9,945 | 13.5 | |
| Republican | Bob Gough | 4,598 | 6.2 | |
| Total votes | 73,931 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kyle Yarber, teacher[39]
Eliminated in primary
- Ronald Harris, truck driver, Air Force veteran and candidate for the 5th district in 2000
- Bill Hedge, pastor of St. Francis Baptist Temple
- Ted Rights, physician
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kyle Yarber | 10,242 | 32.5 | |
| Democratic | Bill Hedge | 8,620 | 27.4 | |
| Democratic | Ronald William Harris | 7,483 | 23.8 | |
| Democratic | Ted Rights | 5,118 | 16.3 | |
| Total votes | 31,463 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Russ Lee Monchil, committeeman in Mirabile Township[40]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Russ Lee Monchil | 252 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 252 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 216,906 | 65.0 | |
| Democratic | Kyle Yarber | 108,503 | 32.5 | |
| Libertarian | Russ Lee Monchil | 8,279 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 333,688 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
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Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election.[41]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Moon, membership coordinator
- Tom Stilson, environmental geochemist
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 62,917 | 59.7 | |
| Republican | Mike Moon | 22,860 | 21.7 | |
| Republican | Tom Stilson | 19,666 | 18.6 | |
| Total votes | 105,443 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Evans, retired businessman, teacher, and U.S. Army veteran
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Evans | 14,446 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 14,446 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kevin Craig, editor of Vine & Fig Tree
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Kevin Craig | 303 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 303 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 203,565 | 63.9 | |
| Democratic | Jim Evans | 98,498 | 30.9 | |
| Libertarian | Kevin Craig | 16,668 | 5.2 | |
| Independent | Kenneth Joe Brown (write-in) | 9 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 318,740 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 8
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 County results Emerson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Jo Ann Emerson, who had represented Missouri's 8th congressional district since 1996,[42] was challenged by Democratic nominee Jack Rushin and Libertarian nominee Rick Vandeven.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jo Ann Emerson, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bob Parker, rancher and real estate agent
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jo Ann Emerson (incumbent) | 61,975 | 67.1 | |
| Republican | Bob Parker | 30,429 | 32.9 | |
| Total votes | 92,404 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jack Rushin, chiropractor
Withdrawn
- Todd Mahn, businessman
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jack Rushin | 27,839 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 27,839 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rick Vandeven
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Rick Vandeven | 164 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 164 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Jo Ann Emerson (R)
Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[10] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[12] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jo Ann Emerson (incumbent) | 216,083 | 71.9 | |
| Democratic | Jack Rushin | 73,755 | 24.6 | |
| Libertarian | Rob Vandeven | 10,553 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 300,391 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
- 2013 Missouri's 8th congressional district special election
- 2012 United States Senate election in Missouri
- 2012 Missouri gubernatorial election
- 2012 Missouri lieutenant gubernatorial election
- 2012 Missouri Attorney General election
- 2012 Missouri State Treasurer election
- 2012 Missouri Secretary of State election