2008 United States Senate election in Tennessee
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The 2008 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 4, 2008, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Republican incumbent Lamar Alexander won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic former state party chair Bob Tuke.
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November 4, 2008
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| Turnout | 66.34%  [1] 15.94 pp | ||||||||||||||||
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   Alexander: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tuke: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Alexander flipped reliably Democratic Davidson County, home to Nashville which has not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1988. With that, he also won 65.1% of the vote against Tuke, who won just 32.6%. Alexander also won 28% of the African American vote.[2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lamar Alexander, incumbent U.S. senator (2003–2021)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lamar Alexander (Incumbent) | 244,222 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 244,222 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Tuke, former chairman of the Democratic Party of Tennessee (2005–2007)
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Davis, perennial candidate
- Mike Padgett, former Knox County Clerk
- Mark E. Clayton, insurance agent
- Kenneth Eaton, businessman and Nashville mayoral candidate in 2003 and 2007
- Leonard Ladner, truck-driver
Campaign
Mike Padgett finished third after Gary Davis, who did not campaign and used no money. Many were surprised at the results. They[who?] claimed that perhaps there was name confusion, with two incumbent congressmen David Davis and Lincoln Davis.[4]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Tuke | 59,050 | 32.21% | |
| Democratic | Gary G. Davis | 39,119 | 21.34% | |
| Democratic | Mike Padgett | 33,471 | 18.26% | |
| Democratic | Mark E. Clayton | 32,309 | 17.62% | |
| Democratic | Kenneth Eaton | 14,702 | 8.02% | |
| Democratic | Leonard D. Ladner | 4,697 | 2.55% | |
| Total votes | 183,348 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Candidates
Major
- Lamar Alexander (R), incumbent U.S. Senator and former Governor
- Bob Tuke (D), Chairman of the Democratic Party of Tennessee (2005–2007)
Minor
In Tennessee, a candidate seeking a House or Senate seat at the state or national level must gather 25 signatures from registered voters to be put on the ballot for any elected office.[6][7][8][9] Presidential candidates seeking to represent an officially recognized party must either be named as candidates by the Tennessee Secretary of State or gather 2,500 signatures from registered voters, and an independent candidate for president must gather 275 signatures and put forward a full slate of eleven candidates who have agreed to serve as electors.[10] In order to be recognized as a party and have its candidates listed on the ballot under that party's name, a political party must gather signatures equal to or in excess of 2.5% of the total number of votes cast in the last election (about 45,000 signatures based on the election held in 2006).[11] The last third party to be officially recognized was the American Party in 1968; none of its candidates received five percent of the statewide vote in 1970 and it was then subject to decertification as an official party.[citation needed]. Due to these hurdles third party candidates almost always appear on the ballot as independents.
- Edward Buck (I)
- Christopher Fenner (I)
- David "None of the Above" Gatchell (I)
- Bo Heyward (I)
- Ed Lawhorn (I)
- Daniel T. Lewis (L)[12]
- Chris Lugo (I), Green party peace activist
Campaign
On April 3, 2007, Alexander confirmed that he would seek re-election to the Senate in 2008. Alexander has remained a popular figure in Tennessee since his first term as governor and faced no opposition in the Republican primary[13] Tuke is a former Marine who served in the Vietnam War. Tuke served as Barack Obama's Presidential campaign chair in Tennessee. Tuke declared himself to be a candidate March 3, 2008, and he secured the help of several high-profile Democratic campaigners including Joe Trippi. There were many minor candidates in the race. Chris Lugo announced on January 17 that he was seeking the nomination of the Democratic Party as a 'Progressive Democrat.'[14] In March 2008, Lugo announced he was dropping his candidacy for the Democratic nomination, and would run either for the Green Party nomination or as an independent.[15]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Safe R | October 23, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Likely R | October 31, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[18] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[19] | Safe R | November 4, 2008 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Lamar Alexander (R) |
Bob Tuke (R) |
Other/Undecided [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[20] | September 15 – October 22, 2008 | October 22, 2008 | 57.0% | 32.5% | 10.5% | Alexander +24.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Lamar Alexander (R) |
Bob Tuke (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[21] | October 16, 2008 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 62% | 34% | – | 4% |
| Research 2000[22][A] | October 21–22, 2008 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 37% | – | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[20] | September 29, 2008 | 500 (LV) | – | 56% | 32% | – | 12% |
| Middle Tennessee State University[23] | September 15–27, 2008 | 635 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 26% | 1% | 23% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[24][B] | September 22–24, 2008 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 33% | – | 10% |
| Ayres McHenry (R)[25][C] | August 10–12, 2008 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 30% | – | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports[26] | April 3, 2008 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 30% | 4% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Lamar Alexander (R) |
Mike Padgett (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[26] | April 3, 2008 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58% | 31% | 4% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lamar Alexander (Incumbent) | 1,579,477 | 65.14% | +10.87% | |
| Democratic | Bob Tuke | 767,236 | 31.64% | −12.69% | |
| Independent | Edward L. Buck | 31,631 | 1.30% | N/A | |
| Independent | Christopher G. Fenner | 11,073 | 0.46% | N/A | |
| Independent | Daniel Towers Lewis | 9,367 | 0.39% | N/A | |
| Independent | Chris Lugo | 9,170 | 0.38% | N/A | |
| Independent | Ed Lawhorn | 8,986 | 0.37% | N/A | |
| Independent | David Gatchell | 7,645 | 0.32% | N/A | |
| Majority | 812,241 | 33.50% | +23.56% | ||
| Turnout | 2,424,585 | 66.34% | |||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
By county
| County[28] | Lamar Alexander Republican |
Bob Tuke Democratic |
Others Independent |
Margin | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | |||
| Anderson | 71.40% | 21,365 | 25.65% | 7,675 | 2.95% | 883 | 13,690 | 29,923 |
| Bedford | 70.37% | 9,717 | 25.70% | 3,548 | 3.93% | 543 | 6,169 | 13,808 |
| Benton | 59.71% | 3,614 | 36.63% | 2,217 | 3.66% | 222 | 1,397 | 6,053 |
| Bledsoe | 68.87% | 3,105 | 27.77% | 1,252 | 3.36% | 151 | 1,853 | 4,508 |
| Blount | 79.16% | 38,961 | 17.60% | 8,664 | 3.24% | 1,593 | 30,297 | 49,218 |
| Bradley | 79.41% | 28,820 | 17.87% | 6,485 | 2.72% | 986 | 22,335 | 36,291 |
| Campbell | 71.96% | 8,264 | 24.29% | 2,790 | 3.75% | 430 | 5,474 | 11,484 |
| Cannon | 64.39% | 3,125 | 29.53% | 1,433 | 6.08% | 295 | 1,692 | 4,853 |
| Carroll | 67.83% | 7,254 | 28.75% | 3,075 | 3.42% | 366 | 4,179 | 10,695 |
| Carter | 79.75% | 16,148 | 17.03% | 3,448 | 3.22% | 653 | 12,700 | 20,249 |
| Cheatham | 69.39% | 10,665 | 27.07% | 4,160 | 3.54% | 544 | 6,505 | 15,369 |
| Chester | 73.99% | 4,403 | 22.58% | 1,344 | 3.43% | 204 | 3,059 | 5,951 |
| Claiborne | 73.36% | 7,095 | 23.22% | 2,246 | 3.42% | 330 | 4,849 | 9,671 |
| Clay | 63.00% | 1,623 | 33.07% | 852 | 3.93% | 101 | 771 | 2,576 |
| Cocke | 77.38% | 8,742 | 19.75% | 2,231 | 2.87% | 325 | 6,511 | 11,298 |
| Coffee | 65.84% | 13,173 | 29.91% | 5,985 | 4.25% | 850 | 7,188 | 20,008 |
| Crockett | 72.58% | 3,766 | 24.55% | 1,274 | 2.87% | 149 | 2,492 | 5,189 |
| Cumberland | 72.06% | 17,094 | 24.15% | 5,730 | 3.79% | 898 | 11,364 | 23,722 |
| Davidson | 49.17% | 119,996 | 47.27% | 115,354 | 3.56% | 8,699 | 4,642 | 244,049 |
| Decatur | 64.53% | 2,958 | 32.46% | 1,488 | 3.01% | 138 | 1,470 | 4,584 |
| DeKalb | 64.55% | 3,914 | 30.70% | 1,861 | 4.75% | 288 | 2,053 | 6,063 |
| Dickson | 62.18% | 11,264 | 33.41% | 6,053 | 4.41% | 799 | 5,211 | 18,116 |
| Dyer | 73.34% | 9,533 | 23.04% | 2,995 | 3.62% | 471 | 6,538 | 12,999 |
| Fayette | 70.03% | 12,457 | 27.69% | 4,925 | 2.28% | 405 | 7,532 | 17,787 |
| Fentress | 76.41% | 4,469 | 19.95% | 1,167 | 3.64% | 213 | 3,302 | 5,849 |
| Franklin | 64.94% | 10,461 | 31.44% | 5,064 | 3.62% | 583 | 5,397 | 16,108 |
| Gibson | 69.46% | 13,208 | 27.20% | 5,172 | 3.34% | 634 | 8,036 | 19,014 |
| Giles | 62.02% | 6,355 | 33.51% | 3,433 | 4.47% | 458 | 2,922 | 10,246 |
| Grainger | 75.52% | 5,229 | 20.87% | 1,445 | 3.61% | 250 | 3,784 | 6,924 |
| Greene | 77.37% | 18,468 | 20.06% | 4,788 | 2.57% | 613 | 13,680 | 23,869 |
| Grundy | 57.93% | 2,368 | 38.43% | 1,571 | 3.64% | 149 | 797 | 4,088 |
| Hamblen | 76.45% | 16,191 | 20.90% | 4,426 | 2.65% | 561 | 11,765 | 21,178 |
| Hamilton | 64.34% | 91,563 | 33.56% | 47,754 | 2.10% | 2,987 | 43,809 | 142,304 |
| Hancock | 77.28% | 1,537 | 19.41% | 386 | 3.32% | 66 | 1,151 | 1,989 |
| Hardeman | 51.82% | 5,144 | 45.09% | 4,476 | 3.09% | 307 | 668 | 9,927 |
| Hardin | 72.31% | 6,770 | 24.61% | 2,304 | 3.08% | 288 | 4,466 | 9,362 |
| Hawkins | 75.06% | 15,260 | 21.83% | 4,437 | 3.11% | 633 | 10,823 | 20,330 |
| Haywood | 45.32% | 3,402 | 52.87% | 3,969 | 1.81% | 136 | -567 | 7,507 |
| Henderson | 73.29% | 7,367 | 23.44% | 2,356 | 3.27% | 329 | 5,011 | 10,052 |
| Henry | 66.78% | 8,084 | 30.29% | 3,667 | 2.93% | 355 | 4,417 | 12,106 |
| Hickman | 60.22% | 4,738 | 34.76% | 2,735 | 5.02% | 395 | 2,003 | 7,868 |
| Houston | 52.95% | 1,572 | 43.55% | 1,293 | 3.50% | 104 | 279 | 2,969 |
| Humphreys | 55.52% | 3,965 | 40.99% | 2,927 | 3.49% | 249 | 1,038 | 7,141 |
| Jackson | 52.86% | 2,097 | 42.15% | 1,672 | 4.99% | 198 | 425 | 3,967 |
| Jefferson | 77.03% | 13,542 | 19.31% | 3,395 | 3.66% | 644 | 10,147 | 17,581 |
| Johnson | 76.12% | 4,620 | 19.62% | 1,191 | 4.25% | 258 | 3,429 | 6,069 |
| Knox | 71.22% | 126,776 | 25.75% | 45,844 | 3.03% | 5,388 | 80,932 | 178,008 |
| Lake | 56.47% | 1,038 | 37.27% | 685 | 6.26% | 115 | 353 | 1,838 |
| Lauderdale | 64.58% | 5,256 | 32.31% | 2,630 | 3.11% | 253 | 2,626 | 8,139 |
| Lawrence | 70.50% | 10,115 | 26.21% | 3,761 | 3.28% | 471 | 6,354 | 14,347 |
| Lewis | 63.73% | 2,857 | 31.92% | 1,431 | 4.35% | 195 | 1,426 | 4,483 |
| Lincoln | 69.94% | 8,653 | 25.84% | 3,197 | 4.22% | 522 | 5,456 | 12,372 |
| Loudon | 80.28% | 17,110 | 17.16% | 3,658 | 2.55% | 544 | 13,452 | 21,312 |
| Macon | 72.23% | 4,665 | 21.40% | 1,382 | 6.38% | 412 | 3,283 | 6,459 |
| Madison | 59.15% | 23,890 | 37.96% | 15,333 | 2.89% | 1,167 | 8,557 | 40,390 |
| Marion | 62.18% | 6,803 | 34.76% | 3,803 | 3.05% | 334 | 3,000 | 10,940 |
| Marshall | 64.59% | 6,675 | 30.69% | 3,172 | 4.72% | 488 | 3,503 | 10,335 |
| Maury | 61.94% | 20,330 | 34.59% | 11,355 | 3.47% | 1,138 | 8,975 | 32,823 |
| McMinn | 75.35% | 13,464 | 21.45% | 3,832 | 3.20% | 572 | 9,632 | 17,868 |
| McNairy | 69.29% | 6,908 | 27.91% | 2,783 | 2.80% | 279 | 4,125 | 9,970 |
| Meigs | 72.33% | 2,807 | 24.50% | 951 | 3.17% | 123 | 1,856 | 3,881 |
| Monroe | 75.18% | 12,198 | 21.83% | 3,541 | 2.99% | 485 | 8,657 | 16,224 |
| Montgomery | 62.65% | 31,012 | 33.01% | 16,337 | 4.34% | 2,148 | 14,675 | 49,497 |
| Moore | 70.01% | 1,989 | 26.43% | 751 | 3.55% | 101 | 1,238 | 2,841 |
| Morgan | 75.86% | 4,746 | 21.32% | 1,334 | 2.81% | 176 | 3,412 | 6,256 |
| Obion | 68.18% | 8,056 | 28.65% | 3,385 | 3.17% | 374 | 4,671 | 11,815 |
| Overton | 62.19% | 4,220 | 34.03% | 2,309 | 3.79% | 257 | 1,911 | 6,786 |
| Perry | 58.04% | 1,559 | 38.20% | 1,026 | 3.76% | 101 | 533 | 2,686 |
| Pickett | 73.55% | 1,805 | 23.43% | 575 | 3.02% | 74 | 1,230 | 2,454 |
| Polk | 67.83% | 4,233 | 28.75% | 1,794 | 3.43% | 214 | 2,439 | 6,241 |
| Putnam | 67.38% | 16,629 | 28.32% | 6,990 | 4.30% | 1,061 | 9,639 | 24,680 |
| Rhea | 76.67% | 7,907 | 20.38% | 2,102 | 2.95% | 304 | 5,805 | 10,313 |
| Roane | 74.55% | 16,617 | 22.62% | 5,042 | 2.83% | 632 | 11,575 | 22,291 |
| Robertson | 69.49% | 17,485 | 26.80% | 6,744 | 3.70% | 932 | 10,741 | 25,161 |
| Rutherford | 65.44% | 62,464 | 30.28% | 28,906 | 4.28% | 4,084 | 33,558 | 95,454 |
| Scott | 77.74% | 4,501 | 18.98% | 1,099 | 3.28% | 190 | 3,412 | 5,790 |
| Sequatchie | 71.66% | 3,553 | 24.97% | 1,238 | 3.37% | 167 | 2,315 | 4,958 |
| Sevier | 79.52% | 26,021 | 16.93% | 5,539 | 3.55% | 1,161 | 20,482 | 32,721 |
| Shelby | 50.88% | 189,851 | 46.61% | 173,924 | 2.51% | 9,364 | 15,927 | 373,139 |
| Smith | 64.16% | 4,458 | 30.74% | 2,136 | 5.10% | 354 | 2,322 | 6,948 |
| Stewart | 59.87% | 3,006 | 35.43% | 1,779 | 4.70% | 236 | 1,227 | 5,021 |
| Sullivan | 77.15% | 47,721 | 20.86% | 12,906 | 1.99% | 1,229 | 34,815 | 61,856 |
| Sumner | 71.84% | 44,945 | 24.19% | 15,134 | 3.97% | 2,484 | 29,811 | 62,563 |
| Tipton | 74.22% | 17,157 | 22.92% | 5,299 | 2.86% | 660 | 11,858 | 23,116 |
| Trousdale | 62.75% | 1,725 | 32.38% | 890 | 4.87% | 134 | 835 | 2,749 |
| Unicoi | 78.35% | 5,251 | 18.76% | 1,257 | 2.89% | 194 | 3,994 | 6,702 |
| Union | 75.82% | 4,276 | 20.20% | 1,139 | 3.99% | 225 | 3,137 | 5,640 |
| Van Buren | 62.27% | 1,223 | 33.66% | 661 | 4.07% | 80 | 562 | 1,964 |
| Warren | 64.02% | 8,225 | 31.49% | 4,045 | 4.49% | 577 | 4,180 | 12,847 |
| Washington | 75.92% | 34,592 | 21.32% | 9,715 | 2.76% | 1,256 | 24,877 | 45,563 |
| Wayne | 76.18% | 3,685 | 21.40% | 1,035 | 2.42% | 117 | 2,650 | 4,837 |
| Weakley | 66.69% | 8,546 | 29.73% | 3,809 | 3.58% | 459 | 4,737 | 12,814 |
| White | 66.20% | 5,969 | 29.06% | 2,620 | 4.74% | 427 | 3,349 | 9,016 |
| Williamson | 75.49% | 68,258 | 21.46% | 19,405 | 3.05% | 2,759 | 48,853 | 90,422 |
| Wilson | 70.78% | 34,781 | 24.91% | 12,240 | 4.31% | 2,122 | 22,541 | 49,143 |
| Total | 65.14% | 1,579,477 | 31.64% | 767,236 | 3.21% | 77,872 | 812,241 | 2,424,585 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bedford (Largest city: Shelbyville)
- Benton (Largest city: Camden)
- Campbell (Largest city: LaFollette)
- Cannon (Largest city: Woodbury)
- Clay (Largest city: Celina)
- Crockett (Largest city: Bells)
- Davidson (Largest city: Nashville)
- Decatur (Largest city: Parsons)
- DeKalb (Largest city: Smithville)
- Dickson (Largest city: Dickson)
- Franklin (Largest city: Winchester)
- Giles (Largest city: Pulaski)
- Grundy (Largest town: Altamont)
- Hardeman (Largest city: Bolivar)
- Henry (Largest city: Paris)
- Hickman (Largest city: Centerville)
- Houston (Largest city: Erin)
- Humphreys (Largest town: Waverly)
- Jackson (Largest town: Gainesboro)
- Lake (Largest town: Tiptonville)
- Lauderdale (Largest city: Ripley)
- Lewis (Largest city: Hohenwald)
- Macon (Largest city: Lafayette)
- Marion (Largest city: Jasper)
- Marshall (Largest city: Lewisburg)
- Morgan (Largest city: Coalfield)
- Obion (Largest city: Union City)
- Overton (Largest municipality: Livingston)
- Perry (Largest municipality: Linden)
- Robertson (Largest city: Springfield)
- Sequatchie (Largest city: Dunlap)
- Smith (Largest municipality: Carthage)
- Stewart (Largest municipality: Dover)
- Trousdale (Largest municipality: Hartsville)
- Van Buren (Largest municipality: Spencer)
- Warren (Largest city: McMinnville)
- Weakley (Largest city: Martin)
- White (Largest city: Sparta)
See also
Notes
Partisan clients