1986 Basque regional election
Election in the Spanish region of the Basque Country
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A regional election was held in the Basque Country on 30 November 1986 to elect the 3rd Parliament of the autonomous community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
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4.8% 1.1 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 November 1986
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All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,660,143 4.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 1,155,815 (69.6%) 1.1 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The Socialist Party of the Basque Country (PSE–PSOE) won 19 seats, the Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) came second with 17 seats, People's Unity (HB) and Basque Solidarity (EA), a PNV split, each won 13 seats, and Basque Country Left won 9 seats.
Overview
Under the 1979 Statute of Autonomy, the Basque Parliament was the unicameral legislature of the Basque Autonomous Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a lehendakari.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]
Date
The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place between 54 and 60 days after the decree's publication.[3] The previous election was held on 26 February 1984, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 26 February 1988. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 2 February 1988, setting the latest possible date for election day on 2 April 1988.
The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process.[4] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a 60-day period from the Parliament's reconvening, the chamber was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[5]
The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 1 October 1986 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOPV, setting election day for 30 November.[6]
Electoral system
Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and with full civil and political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[7]
The Basque Parliament had 75 seats. All were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Guipúzcoa, each of which was assigned a fixed number of 25 seats to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (not including blank ballots)[b] in each constituency.[8]
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[9]
Opinion polls
The tables below lists opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |  |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 regional election | 30 Nov 1986 | N/a | 69.6 | 23.6 17 |
22.0 19 |
17.4 13 |
4.8 2 |
10.8 9 |
3.5 2 |
15.8 13 |
1.6 |
| Emopública/Diario 16[p 1] | 23 Nov 1986 | ? | ? | ? 18/19 |
? 18/19 |
? 12/13 |
? 5 |
? 8 |
? 0 |
? 9/10 |
Tie |
| Demoscopia/El País[p 2][p 3][p 4] | 14–18 Nov 1986 | 1,500 | 65–68 | 25.0 20/21 |
24.0 19/20 |
? 9/10 |
? 2/3 |
? 7/8 |
? 1/3 |
? 13/14 |
1.0 |
| CINDE/Basque Government[p 5] | 14–18 Nov 1986 | 1,500 | ? | ? 20 |
? 18 |
? 12 |
? 3 |
? 10 |
? 2 |
? 10 |
? |
| Bergareche/El Correo[p 1] | 15–17 Nov 1986 | 2,972 | ? | ? 16/18 |
? 18/20 |
? 13/15 |
? 5/7 |
? 8/9 |
? 2 |
? 9/10 |
? |
| CINDE/Basque Government[p 1][p 6] | 9–12 Nov 1986 | 1,200 | ? | 24.0 20 |
19.0 17 |
14.0 11 |
7.0 4 |
11.0 8 |
5.0 2 |
15.0 13 |
5.0 |
| Demoscopia/El País[p 7][p 8][p 9] | 7–11 Nov 1986 | 1,200 | 65–69 | 28.0 19/22 |
25.0 17/18 |
16.0 10/13 |
? 1/3 |
11.0 8/9 |
? 1/4 |
13.0 11/13 |
3.0 |
| PSOE[p 10] | 18 Oct 1986 | ? | ? | ? 14 |
? 18 |
? 13 |
? 6 |
? 8 |
? 2 |
? 14 |
? |
| Bergareche/El Correo[p 10][p 11] | 18 Oct 1986 | 2,545 | ? | ? 16 |
? 18/19 |
? 13/15 |
? 5 |
? 10/11 |
? 3 |
? 7/9 |
? |
| Iope–Etmar/Tiempo[p 10][p 12] | 7 Oct 1986 | ? | ? | 16.2 13 |
18.9 15 |
17.4 13 |
3.6 2 |
11.0 8 |
3.3 1 |
27.5 23 |
8.6 |
| Ikerfel/PNV[p 10][p 13] | 11–19 Sep 1986 | ? | ? | ? 20 |
? 17/18 |
? 11 |
? 7/8 |
? 8 |
? 1 |
? 10 |
? |
| Gaceta del Norte[p 10][p 14][p 15] | 12–17 Sep 1986 | ? | ? | ? 17 |
? 17 |
? 10 |
? 6 |
? 9 |
– | ?[c] 16 |
Tie |
| ? | ? 20 |
? 19 |
? 10 |
? 6 |
? 9 |
– | ? 11 |
? | |||
| 1986 general election | 22 Jun 1986 | N/a | 67.6 | 27.8 21 |
26.3 23 |
17.7 13 |
10.5[d] 9 |
9.1 7 |
5.0 2 |
– | 1.5 |
| 1984 regional election | 26 Feb 1984 | N/a | 68.5 | 41.8 32 |
23.0 19 |
14.6 11 |
9.3[d] 7 |
7.9 6 |
– | – | 18.8 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 regional election[e] | 30 Nov 1986 | N/a | 16.3 | 15.2 | 12.0 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 10.9 | N/a | 30.4 | 1.1 |
| CIS[p 16] | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| CIS[p 17] | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| CIS[p 18] | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| CIS[p 19] | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | – | 7.0 | 44.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| CIS[p 20] | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| CIS[p 21] | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | – | 8.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| 1986 general election[e] | 22 Jun 1986 | N/a | 18.5 | 17.5 | 11.8 | 7.0[d] | 6.0 | 3.3 | – | N/a | 32.4 | 1.0 |
| 1984 regional election | 26 Feb 1984 | N/a | 28.5 | 15.6 | 9.9 | 6.3[d] | 5.4 | 0.9 | – | N/a | 31.5 | 12.9 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | |
|
|
|
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 16] | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | – | 9.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 6.0 |
| CIS[p 17] | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | – | 39.0 | 11.0 |
| CIS[p 18] | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 11.0 |
| CIS[p 19] | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | – | 9.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 |
| CIS[p 20] | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | – | 38.0 | 12.0 |
| CIS[p 21] | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 36.0 | 12.0 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | |
|
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 16] | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 43.0 | 22.0 |
| CIS[p 17] | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 36.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | – | 3.0 | – | 45.0 | 21.0 |
| CIS[p 18] | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | – | 47.0 | 17.0 |
| CIS[p 19] | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | – | 5.0 | – | 44.0 | 15.0 |
| CIS[p 20] | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 35.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | – | 4.0 | 1.0 | 44.0 | 20.0 |
| CIS[p 21] | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 31.0 | 19.0 | – | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 42.0 | 12.0 |
Preferred Lehendakari
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Lehendakari.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg) |
|
 |
 |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardanza PNV |
Benegas PSE–PSOE |
Bandrés EE |
Guimón AP |
Viana CDS |
Garaiko. EA | ||||||
| CIS[p 16] | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | – | 1.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 6.0 |
| CIS[p 17] | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | – | 35.0 | 5.0 |
| CIS[p 18] | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | – | 34.0 | 2.0 |
| CIS[p 19] | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | – | 20.0 | – | 34.0 | 1.0 |
| CIS[p 20] | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 25.0 | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | – | 27.0 | 13.0 |
| 19.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | – | 22.0 | – | 36.0 | 3.0 | |||
| CIS[p 21] | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | – | – | 25.0 | – | 32.0 | 6.0 |
Results
Overall
 | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) | 271,208 | 23.60 | −18.21 | 17 | −15 | |
| Socialist Party of the Basque Country (PSE–PSOE) | 252,233 | 21.95 | −1.01 | 19 | ±0 | |
| Popular Unity (HB) | 199,900 | 17.40 | +2.81 | 13 | +2 | |
| Basque Solidarity (EA) | 181,175 | 15.77 | New | 13 | +13 | |
| Basque Country Left (EE) | 124,423 | 10.83 | +2.89 | 9 | +3 | |
| People's Alliance–Liberal Party (AP–PL)1 | 55,606 | 4.84 | −4.48 | 2 | −5 | |
| Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 40,445 | 3.52 | New | 2 | +2 | |
| United Left (IU/EB) | 6,750 | 0.59 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK) | 5,675 | 0.49 | −0.90 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Workers' Socialist Party (PST) | 2,925 | 0.25 | +0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 1,400 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) | 1,190 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Republican Popular Unity (UPR)2 | 1,102 | 0.10 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots[f] | 5,003 | 0.44 | −0.03 | |||
| Total | 1,149,035 | 75 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 1,149,035 | 99.41 | −0.01 | |||
| Invalid votes | 6,780 | 0.59 | +0.01 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 1,155,815 | 69.62 | +1.13 | |||
| Abstentions | 504,328 | 30.38 | −1.13 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,660,143 | |||||
| Sources[10][11] | ||||||
Footnotes:
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Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | PNV | PSE | HB | EA | EE | AP–PL | CDS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Álava | 20.1 | 5 | 24.9 | 7 | 12.8 | 3 | 14.5 | 4 | 10.9 | 3 | 6.9 | 1 | 8.0 | 2 |
| Biscay | 28.8 | 8 | 22.5 | 6 | 16.0 | 4 | 11.7 | 3 | 10.2 | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | 3.2 | – |
| Guipúzcoa | 16.0 | 4 | 19.9 | 6 | 21.6 | 6 | 23.1 | 6 | 11.9 | 3 | 3.6 | – | 2.4 | – |
| Total | 23.6 | 17 | 22.0 | 19 | 17.4 | 13 | 15.8 | 13 | 10.8 | 9 | 4.8 | 2 | 3.5 | 2 |
| Sources[10][11] | ||||||||||||||
Aftermath
Notes
- Unlike other electoral legislation in Spain, valid votes under the 1983 Basque electoral law did not include blank ballots.
- With Carlos Garaikoetxea as EA's candidate.
- Does not include non-resident citizens.
- The 1983 electoral law provided that blank ballots would not count as valid votes for the application of the 5 percent threshold in each district. However, this rule was not determinant in excluding any party from seat distribution during its time of application (the 1984 and 1986 elections). As a result, and for comparison purposes, blank ballots are shown here included within valid votes.