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2003 Kentucky gubernatorial election

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The 2003 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held to elect the Governor of Kentucky on November 4, 2003. Republican candidate Ernie Fletcher defeated Democrat Ben Chandler and became the first Republican governor of Kentucky in 36 years.[1] Chandler was later elected to Congress in a 2004 special election in Kentucky's 6th congressional district and held that seat until January 2013.

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2003 Kentucky gubernatorial election

← 1999
November 4, 2003
2007 →
Turnout40.2% (Increase 16.6%)
 
Nominee Ernie Fletcher Ben Chandler
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Steve Pence Charlie Owen
Popular vote 596,284 487,159
Percentage 55.04% 44.96%

Fletcher:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Chandler:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Paul E. Patton
Democratic

Elected Governor

Ernie Fletcher
Republican

Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Bruce Lunsford – Louisville businessman; former Kentucky Secretary of Commerce, 1981–1983
    • Running mate: Barbara Edelman, litigation lawyer; former Assistant Kentucky Attorney General, 1977–1979; former Assistant U.S. Attorney for Eastern District of Kentucky

Campaign

Incumbent Democratic Governor Paul E. Patton was term limited from seeking a third term of office and was facing investigations after admitting to an affair. This led to the other Democratic candidates distancing themselves from him.[2] State Attorney General Ben Chandler won the primary narrowly defeating the Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives Jody Richards, whose running mate was Tony Miller. He had led in the polls for several months before the primary.[3]

Earlier businessman Bruce Lunsford had dropped out of the primary after Chandler launched adverts talking of abuse at nursing homes run by Lunsford's company.[2] Lunsford had spent 8 million dollars of his own money during the primary campaign and after his withdrawal backed Richards against Chandler and said he would vote against Chandler in the general election if he won the primary.[3]

Results

Primary results by county:
Chandler
  •   Chandler—81-90%
  •   Chandler—71-80%
  •   Chandler—61-70%
  •   Chandler—51-60%
  •   Chandler—41-50%
Richards
  •   Richards—81-90%
  •   Richards—71-80%
  •   Richards—61-70%
  •   Richards—51-60%
  •   Richards—41-50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic
143,150 50.20%
Democratic
132,627 46.51%
Democratic
  • Otis Hensley Jr.
  • Richard Robbins
9,372 3.29%
Total votes 285,149 100.00%
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Campaign

Physician and former Air Force pilot Ernie Fletcher won the Republican primary easily. Earlier Fletcher had to replace his running mate for lieutenant governor, Hunter Bates, as he did not meet the residency requirements.[2] Fletcher was backed by U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell and led in most polls before the primary.[3]

Results

Primary results by county:
  Fletcher
  •   Flethcer—40–50%
  •   Flethcer—60–70%
  •   Flethcer—70–80%
  •   Fletcher—80–90%
  •   Fletcher—>90%
  Jackson
  •   Jackson—30–40%
  •   Jackson—40–50%
  •   Jackson—50–60%
  •   Jackson—>60%
  Nunn
  •   Nunn—40–50%
  •   Nunn—50–60%
  •   Nunn—>60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican 90,912 57.31%
Republican
44,084 27.79%
Republican 21,267 13.41%
Republican
2,365 1.49%
Total votes 158,628 100.00%
Close

General election

Campaign

Fletcher tried to link Chandler with the scandals that incumbent governor Patton's administration had been racked with. However Chandler attempted to distance himself from the governor, calling for him to resign and describing himself as a maverick.[5]

Chandler meanwhile attacked President George Bush for his handling of the economy and linked Fletcher with his policies.[5] Nevertheless, Fletcher was assisted late in the campaign by President Bush, who made five visits to Kentucky to support him.[1] Fletcher led in the polls throughout the campaign and towards the end pulled out a lead of 7 to 9 percent over Chandler.[6]

Just before the election the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) filed lawsuits for some residents of largely Democratic districts in West Louisville to try to get an injunction to stop Republicans from putting challengers in their precincts. Kentucky law allowed challengers to be stationed in precincts to question whether voters were eligible but the ACLU claimed they were targeting black voters and could intimidate people.[7] However a judge refused to issue the injunction and allowed the challengers to go ahead.[8]

Exit polls showed that Fletcher got a quarter of Democrats to support him as well as a majority of independents. Male voters backed Fletcher over Chandler by 59% to 41%, while women split almost equally.[9] They also showed that 18% of voters used their votes to express opposition to the incumbent governor Paul Patton.[10]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ernie
Fletcher (R)
Ben
Chandler (D)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[11] October 30 – November 1, 2003 755 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 44% 4%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
Sabato
[12]
Lean R (flip) September 2, 2003
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2003 Kentucky gubernatorial election[13][14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican 596,284 55.04 +32.83
Democratic 487,159 44.96 −15.74
Total votes 1,083,443 100.0 N/A
Turnout 1,088,192 40.22 +16.64
Registered electors 2,705,453
Republican gain from Democratic
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. Fletcher's running mate printed on the ballot was Hunter Bates, but a notice to voters at the polls indicated that Bates had been replaced by Pence.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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