2004 United States presidential election in Nebraska
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2004 United States presidential election in Nebraska took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose five electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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November 2, 2004
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| Turnout | 67.1% (of registered voters) 60.0% (of voting age population) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Nebraska is notable as one of the two states (the other being Maine) that awards electoral votes based on the winners of each congressional district. The statewide winner receives two electoral votes, and the remaining 3 are awarded based on the winner of each individual congressional district.
Nebraska, a rural Great Plains state, is a Republican and conservative stronghold. Prior to the election, it was regarded as a state Bush would easily win or a safe red state.
Voters here gave an overwhelming statewide victory to George W. Bush, who received more than twice the number of votes of his challenger, John F. Kerry. Bush who carried the state in 2000 increased his margin of victory, from 29% (2000) to 33% in 2004. Bush also won all three congressional districts, so he received all five of the states electoral votes.
Bush also carried every county except substantially Native American Thurston County which Kerry won by a narrow 2.43 percent margin.
With 65.9% of the popular vote, Nebraska would prove to be Bush's fourth strongest state in the 2004 election after Utah, Wyoming and Idaho.[1] This is the last time any candidate won Nebraska with more than 60% of the vote.
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | Solid R |
| Associated Press | Solid R |
| CNN | Likely R |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R |
| Newsweek | Solid R |
| New York Times | Solid R |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely R |
| Research 2000 | Solid R |
| Washington Post | Likely R |
| Washington Times | Solid R |
| Zogby International | Likely R |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely R |
Results
| Presidential Candidate | Running Mate | Party | Electoral Vote (EV) | Popular Vote (PV)[3] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George W. Bush of Texas (incumbent) | Richard Cheney of Wyoming (incumbent) | Republican | 5 | 512,814 | 65.90% |
| John Kerry of Massachusetts | John Edwards of North Carolina | Democrat | 0 | 254,328 | 32.68% |
| Ralph Nader of Connecticut | Peter Camejo of California | By Petition | 0 | 5,698 | 0.73% |
| Michael Badnarik of Texas | Richard Campagna of Iowa | Libertarian | 0 | 2,041 | 0.26% |
| Michael Peroutka of Maryland | Chuck Baldwin of Florida | Nebraska | 0 | 1,314 | 0.17% |
| David Cobb of Texas | Pat LaMarche of Maine | Green | 0 | 978 | 0.13% |
| – | – | Write-ins | 0 | 931 | 0.12% |
| Róger Calero of New Jersey | Arrin Hawkins of New York | By Petition | 0 | 82 | 0.01% |
By county
| County[4] | George W. Bush Republican |
John Kerry Democratic |
Ralph Nader By Petition |
Michael Badarnik Libertarian |
Michael Peroutka Nebraska |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 9,233 | 69.49% | 3,791 | 28.53% | 132 | 0.99% | 37 | 0.28% | 48 | 0.36% | 45 | 0.34% | 5,442 | 40.96% | 13,286 |
| Antelope | 2,761 | 80.64% | 613 | 17.90% | 27 | 0.79% | 11 | 0.32% | 7 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.15% | 2,148 | 62.73% | 3,424 |
| Arthur | 240 | 90.23% | 24 | 9.02% | 2 | 0.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 216 | 81.20% | 266 |
| Banner | 379 | 86.73% | 56 | 12.81% | 1 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 323 | 73.91% | 437 |
| Blaine | 301 | 88.79% | 38 | 11.21% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 263 | 77.58% | 339 |
| Boone | 2,309 | 79.76% | 546 | 18.86% | 20 | 0.69% | 6 | 0.21% | 10 | 0.35% | 4 | 0.14% | 1,763 | 60.90% | 2,895 |
| Box Butte | 3,396 | 65.92% | 1,657 | 32.16% | 55 | 1.07% | 11 | 0.21% | 19 | 0.37% | 14 | 0.28% | 1,739 | 33.76% | 5,152 |
| Boyd | 911 | 79.36% | 228 | 19.86% | 5 | 0.44% | 3 | 0.26% | 1 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 683 | 59.49% | 1,148 |
| Brown | 1,426 | 82.29% | 268 | 15.46% | 13 | 0.75% | 4 | 0.23% | 19 | 1.10% | 3 | 0.18% | 1,158 | 66.83% | 1,733 |
| Buffalo | 14,222 | 76.43% | 4,100 | 22.03% | 154 | 0.83% | 57 | 0.31% | 35 | 0.19% | 40 | 0.21% | 10,122 | 54.40% | 18,608 |
| Burt | 2,349 | 64.04% | 1,272 | 34.68% | 23 | 0.63% | 9 | 0.25% | 6 | 0.16% | 9 | 0.25% | 1,077 | 29.36% | 3,668 |
| Butler | 3,016 | 72.36% | 1,068 | 25.62% | 53 | 1.27% | 6 | 0.14% | 15 | 0.36% | 10 | 0.24% | 1,948 | 46.74% | 4,168 |
| Cass | 7,763 | 67.33% | 3,619 | 31.39% | 80 | 0.69% | 27 | 0.23% | 11 | 0.10% | 29 | 0.25% | 4,144 | 35.94% | 11,529 |
| Cedar | 3,387 | 74.67% | 1,083 | 23.88% | 43 | 0.95% | 7 | 0.15% | 11 | 0.24% | 5 | 0.11% | 2,304 | 50.79% | 4,536 |
| Chase | 1,652 | 83.73% | 302 | 15.31% | 7 | 0.35% | 8 | 0.41% | 2 | 0.10% | 2 | 0.10% | 1,350 | 68.42% | 1,973 |
| Cherry | 2,509 | 82.48% | 483 | 15.88% | 28 | 0.92% | 9 | 0.30% | 12 | 0.39% | 1 | 0.03% | 2,026 | 66.60% | 3,042 |
| Cheyenne | 3,791 | 79.88% | 893 | 18.82% | 32 | 0.67% | 10 | 0.21% | 13 | 0.27% | 7 | 0.15% | 2,898 | 61.06% | 4,746 |
| Clay | 2,543 | 76.21% | 743 | 22.27% | 31 | 0.93% | 6 | 0.18% | 8 | 0.24% | 6 | 0.18% | 1,800 | 53.94% | 3,337 |
| Colfax | 2,589 | 71.26% | 990 | 27.25% | 40 | 1.10% | 3 | 0.08% | 6 | 0.17% | 5 | 0.14% | 1,599 | 44.01% | 3,633 |
| Cuming | 3,330 | 76.57% | 966 | 22.21% | 29 | 0.67% | 6 | 0.14% | 6 | 0.14% | 12 | 0.28% | 2,364 | 54.36% | 4,349 |
| Custer | 4,518 | 80.51% | 1,040 | 18.53% | 24 | 0.43% | 14 | 0.25% | 11 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.09% | 3,478 | 61.97% | 5,612 |
| Dakota | 3,526 | 53.30% | 3,027 | 45.76% | 31 | 0.47% | 9 | 0.14% | 12 | 0.18% | 10 | 0.16% | 499 | 7.54% | 6,615 |
| Dawes | 2,809 | 70.33% | 1,119 | 28.02% | 38 | 0.95% | 10 | 0.25% | 7 | 0.18% | 11 | 0.28% | 1,690 | 42.31% | 3,994 |
| Dawson | 6,149 | 77.29% | 1,728 | 21.72% | 45 | 0.57% | 20 | 0.25% | 10 | 0.13% | 4 | 0.05% | 4,421 | 55.57% | 7,956 |
| Deuel | 820 | 77.87% | 222 | 21.08% | 5 | 0.47% | 3 | 0.28% | 2 | 0.19% | 1 | 0.09% | 598 | 56.79% | 1,053 |
| Dixon | 2,028 | 67.40% | 938 | 31.17% | 22 | 0.73% | 7 | 0.23% | 7 | 0.23% | 7 | 0.23% | 1,090 | 36.22% | 3,009 |
| Dodge | 10,716 | 66.26% | 5,250 | 32.46% | 116 | 0.72% | 46 | 0.28% | 24 | 0.15% | 20 | 0.12% | 5,466 | 33.80% | 16,172 |
| Douglas | 120,813 | 58.34% | 83,330 | 40.24% | 1,462 | 0.71% | 641 | 0.31% | 253 | 0.12% | 572 | 0.28% | 37,483 | 18.10% | 207,071 |
| Dundy | 858 | 81.48% | 186 | 17.66% | 4 | 0.38% | 4 | 0.38% | 1 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 672 | 63.82% | 1,053 |
| Fillmore | 2,314 | 72.47% | 828 | 25.93% | 27 | 0.85% | 9 | 0.28% | 9 | 0.28% | 6 | 0.19% | 1,486 | 46.54% | 3,193 |
| Franklin | 1,277 | 74.50% | 412 | 24.04% | 11 | 0.64% | 6 | 0.35% | 5 | 0.29% | 3 | 0.18% | 865 | 50.47% | 1,714 |
| Frontier | 1,160 | 79.07% | 275 | 18.75% | 14 | 0.95% | 8 | 0.55% | 6 | 0.41% | 4 | 0.27% | 885 | 60.33% | 1,467 |
| Furnas | 1,950 | 79.04% | 492 | 19.94% | 16 | 0.65% | 3 | 0.12% | 4 | 0.16% | 2 | 0.08% | 1,458 | 59.10% | 2,467 |
| Gage | 6,575 | 63.32% | 3,655 | 35.20% | 82 | 0.79% | 28 | 0.27% | 21 | 0.20% | 23 | 0.22% | 2,920 | 28.12% | 10,384 |
| Garden | 970 | 81.99% | 201 | 16.99% | 9 | 0.76% | 2 | 0.17% | 1 | 0.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 769 | 65.00% | 1,183 |
| Garfield | 806 | 79.25% | 196 | 19.27% | 12 | 1.18% | 1 | 0.10% | 1 | 0.10% | 1 | 0.10% | 610 | 59.98% | 1,017 |
| Gosper | 890 | 79.54% | 222 | 19.84% | 5 | 0.45% | 1 | 0.09% | 1 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 668 | 59.70% | 1,119 |
| Grant | 352 | 88.89% | 41 | 10.35% | 2 | 0.51% | 1 | 0.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 311 | 78.54% | 396 |
| Greeley | 865 | 69.31% | 361 | 28.93% | 15 | 1.20% | 1 | 0.08% | 6 | 0.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 504 | 40.38% | 1,248 |
| Hall | 14,592 | 68.98% | 6,228 | 29.44% | 197 | 0.93% | 41 | 0.19% | 42 | 0.20% | 54 | 0.26% | 8,364 | 39.54% | 21,154 |
| Hamilton | 3,785 | 77.78% | 1,012 | 20.80% | 50 | 1.03% | 4 | 0.08% | 10 | 0.21% | 5 | 0.10% | 2,773 | 56.99% | 4,866 |
| Harlan | 1,467 | 77.33% | 398 | 20.98% | 22 | 1.16% | 2 | 0.11% | 7 | 0.37% | 1 | 0.05% | 1,069 | 56.35% | 1,897 |
| Hayes | 524 | 87.63% | 66 | 11.04% | 2 | 0.33% | 1 | 0.17% | 1 | 0.17% | 4 | 0.67% | 458 | 76.59% | 598 |
| Hitchcock | 1,171 | 78.80% | 296 | 19.92% | 9 | 0.61% | 2 | 0.13% | 8 | 0.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 875 | 58.88% | 1,486 |
| Holt | 4,217 | 81.50% | 894 | 17.28% | 28 | 0.54% | 10 | 0.19% | 19 | 0.37% | 6 | 0.12% | 3,323 | 64.22% | 5,174 |
| Hooker | 392 | 85.03% | 64 | 13.88% | 2 | 0.43% | 1 | 0.22% | 2 | 0.43% | 0 | 0.00% | 328 | 71.15% | 461 |
| Howard | 2,020 | 67.81% | 900 | 30.21% | 34 | 1.14% | 10 | 0.34% | 8 | 0.27% | 7 | 0.23% | 1,120 | 37.60% | 2,979 |
| Jefferson | 2,600 | 64.82% | 1,352 | 33.71% | 29 | 0.72% | 13 | 0.32% | 6 | 0.15% | 11 | 0.27% | 1,248 | 31.11% | 4,011 |
| Johnson | 1,470 | 61.40% | 885 | 36.97% | 25 | 1.04% | 4 | 0.17% | 2 | 0.08% | 8 | 0.33% | 585 | 24.44% | 2,394 |
| Kearney | 2,621 | 77.57% | 707 | 20.92% | 27 | 0.80% | 9 | 0.27% | 4 | 0.12% | 11 | 0.33% | 1,914 | 56.64% | 3,379 |
| Keith | 3,356 | 81.12% | 743 | 17.96% | 24 | 0.58% | 2 | 0.05% | 9 | 0.22% | 3 | 0.07% | 2,613 | 63.16% | 4,137 |
| Keya Paha | 442 | 80.51% | 98 | 17.85% | 5 | 0.91% | 2 | 0.36% | 1 | 0.18% | 1 | 0.18% | 344 | 62.66% | 549 |
| Kimball | 1,491 | 79.44% | 366 | 19.50% | 7 | 0.37% | 3 | 0.16% | 6 | 0.32% | 4 | 0.21% | 1,125 | 59.94% | 1,877 |
| Knox | 3,062 | 72.68% | 1,086 | 25.78% | 38 | 0.90% | 5 | 0.12% | 16 | 0.38% | 6 | 0.14% | 1,976 | 46.90% | 4,213 |
| Lancaster | 69,764 | 56.03% | 52,747 | 42.36% | 1,010 | 0.81% | 324 | 0.26% | 151 | 0.12% | 513 | 0.41% | 17,017 | 13.67% | 124,509 |
| Lincoln | 11,056 | 68.25% | 4,905 | 30.28% | 123 | 0.76% | 38 | 0.23% | 36 | 0.22% | 41 | 0.25% | 6,151 | 37.97% | 16,199 |
| Logan | 357 | 83.22% | 67 | 15.62% | 3 | 0.70% | 1 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 290 | 67.60% | 429 |
| Loup | 314 | 81.35% | 68 | 17.62% | 3 | 0.78% | 1 | 0.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 246 | 63.73% | 386 |
| Madison | 10,981 | 77.94% | 2,934 | 20.82% | 94 | 0.67% | 26 | 0.18% | 25 | 0.18% | 29 | 0.21% | 8,047 | 57.12% | 14,089 |
| McPherson | 259 | 83.01% | 49 | 15.71% | 1 | 0.32% | 3 | 0.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 210 | 67.30% | 312 |
| Merrick | 2,771 | 75.77% | 833 | 22.78% | 30 | 0.82% | 5 | 0.14% | 10 | 0.27% | 8 | 0.22% | 1,938 | 52.99% | 3,657 |
| Morrill | 1,755 | 76.54% | 495 | 21.59% | 20 | 0.87% | 10 | 0.44% | 7 | 0.31% | 6 | 0.26% | 1,260 | 54.95% | 2,293 |
| Nance | 1,237 | 71.46% | 459 | 26.52% | 19 | 1.10% | 3 | 0.17% | 9 | 0.52% | 4 | 0.23% | 778 | 44.95% | 1,731 |
| Nemaha | 2,595 | 69.85% | 1,066 | 28.69% | 30 | 0.81% | 10 | 0.27% | 5 | 0.13% | 9 | 0.24% | 1,529 | 41.16% | 3,715 |
| Nuckolls | 1,884 | 76.24% | 541 | 21.89% | 23 | 0.93% | 7 | 0.28% | 9 | 0.36% | 7 | 0.28% | 1,343 | 54.35% | 2,471 |
| Otoe | 5,018 | 67.94% | 2,275 | 30.80% | 47 | 0.64% | 16 | 0.22% | 11 | 0.15% | 19 | 0.26% | 2,743 | 37.14% | 7,386 |
| Pawnee | 986 | 66.49% | 481 | 32.43% | 5 | 0.34% | 3 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.34% | 3 | 0.20% | 505 | 34.05% | 1,483 |
| Perkins | 1,285 | 82.48% | 262 | 16.82% | 5 | 0.32% | 4 | 0.26% | 2 | 0.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 1,023 | 65.66% | 1,558 |
| Phelps | 3,872 | 81.64% | 830 | 17.50% | 18 | 0.38% | 7 | 0.15% | 10 | 0.21% | 6 | 0.13% | 3,042 | 64.14% | 4,743 |
| Pierce | 2,824 | 83.11% | 546 | 16.07% | 14 | 0.41% | 7 | 0.21% | 3 | 0.09% | 4 | 0.12% | 2,278 | 67.04% | 3,398 |
| Platte | 11,130 | 79.57% | 2,657 | 19.00% | 107 | 0.76% | 30 | 0.21% | 26 | 0.19% | 37 | 0.26% | 8,473 | 60.58% | 13,987 |
| Polk | 2,146 | 78.69% | 549 | 20.13% | 21 | 0.77% | 2 | 0.07% | 8 | 0.29% | 1 | 0.04% | 1,597 | 58.56% | 2,727 |
| Red Willow | 4,129 | 78.53% | 1,055 | 20.06% | 40 | 0.76% | 14 | 0.27% | 11 | 0.21% | 9 | 0.17% | 3,074 | 58.46% | 5,258 |
| Richardson | 2,924 | 68.35% | 1,297 | 30.32% | 27 | 0.63% | 9 | 0.21% | 12 | 0.28% | 9 | 0.21% | 1,627 | 38.03% | 4,278 |
| Rock | 740 | 83.81% | 130 | 14.72% | 8 | 0.91% | 2 | 0.23% | 2 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.11% | 610 | 69.08% | 883 |
| Saline | 3,071 | 55.17% | 2,420 | 43.48% | 38 | 0.68% | 10 | 0.18% | 13 | 0.23% | 14 | 0.25% | 651 | 11.70% | 5,566 |
| Sarpy | 40,163 | 68.85% | 17,455 | 29.92% | 334 | 0.57% | 200 | 0.34% | 65 | 0.11% | 117 | 0.20% | 22,708 | 38.93% | 58,334 |
| Saunders | 6,441 | 67.88% | 2,884 | 30.39% | 84 | 0.89% | 28 | 0.30% | 23 | 0.24% | 29 | 0.31% | 3,557 | 37.49% | 9,489 |
| Scotts Bluff | 10,378 | 72.12% | 3,843 | 26.71% | 84 | 0.58% | 30 | 0.21% | 27 | 0.19% | 28 | 0.19% | 6,535 | 45.41% | 14,390 |
| Seward | 5,353 | 70.76% | 2,114 | 27.94% | 49 | 0.65% | 11 | 0.15% | 19 | 0.25% | 19 | 0.25% | 3,239 | 42.82% | 7,565 |
| Sheridan | 2,136 | 82.19% | 430 | 16.54% | 16 | 0.62% | 11 | 0.42% | 2 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.15% | 1,706 | 65.64% | 2,599 |
| Sherman | 1,072 | 65.25% | 541 | 32.93% | 19 | 1.16% | 6 | 0.37% | 4 | 0.24% | 1 | 0.06% | 531 | 32.32% | 1,643 |
| Sioux | 677 | 83.68% | 123 | 15.20% | 4 | 0.49% | 4 | 0.49% | 1 | 0.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 554 | 68.48% | 809 |
| Stanton | 2,159 | 78.65% | 559 | 20.36% | 14 | 0.51% | 3 | 0.11% | 5 | 0.18% | 5 | 0.18% | 1,600 | 58.29% | 2,745 |
| Thayer | 2,075 | 72.10% | 764 | 26.55% | 18 | 0.63% | 5 | 0.17% | 10 | 0.35% | 6 | 0.21% | 1,311 | 45.55% | 2,878 |
| Thomas | 378 | 85.14% | 60 | 13.51% | 4 | 0.90% | 1 | 0.23% | 1 | 0.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 318 | 71.62% | 444 |
| Thurston | 1,154 | 48.35% | 1,212 | 50.78% | 14 | 0.59% | 2 | 0.08% | 3 | 0.13% | 2 | 0.08% | -58 | -2.43% | 2,387 |
| Valley | 1,801 | 75.32% | 564 | 23.59% | 13 | 0.54% | 3 | 0.13% | 5 | 0.21% | 5 | 0.21% | 1,237 | 51.74% | 2,391 |
| Washington | 7,083 | 71.19% | 2,754 | 27.68% | 53 | 0.53% | 38 | 0.38% | 7 | 0.07% | 15 | 0.15% | 4,329 | 43.51% | 9,950 |
| Wayne | 2,971 | 72.73% | 1,059 | 25.92% | 24 | 0.59% | 10 | 0.24% | 11 | 0.27% | 10 | 0.24% | 1,912 | 46.81% | 4,085 |
| Webster | 1,403 | 70.08% | 557 | 27.82% | 15 | 0.75% | 4 | 0.20% | 7 | 0.35% | 16 | 0.80% | 846 | 42.26% | 2,002 |
| Wheeler | 366 | 80.79% | 81 | 17.88% | 5 | 1.10% | 1 | 0.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 285 | 62.91% | 453 |
| York | 5,393 | 79.34% | 1,304 | 19.18% | 48 | 0.71% | 14 | 0.21% | 17 | 0.25% | 21 | 0.31% | 4,089 | 60.16% | 6,797 |
| Totals | 512,814 | 65.90% | 254,328 | 32.68% | 5,698 | 0.73% | 2,041 | 0.26% | 1,314 | 0.17% | 1,991 | 0.26% | 258,486 | 33.22% | 778,186 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Bush won all three congressional districts.[5]
| district | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63% | 36% | Doug Bereuter |
| Jeff Fortenberry | |||
| 2nd | 60% | 38% | Lee Terry |
| 3rd | 75% | 24% | Tom Osborne |