2007 Madrilenian regional election
Election in the Spanish region of Madrid
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A regional election was held in the Community of Madrid on 27 May 2007 to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 120 seats in the Assembly were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain. Because regional elections in Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the October 2003 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in May 2003.
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27 May 2007
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All 120 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 61 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 4,458,989 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 3,001,200 (67.3%) 4.7 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Esperanza Aguirre was re-elected for a second term in office, with the People's Party (PP) winning a record absolute majority comprising almost 56% of the seats in the Assembly. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) obtained one of the worst party results since 1995, resulting in Rafael Simancas resigning as Secretary-General of the Socialist Party of Madrid shortly thereafter. United Left (IU) continued on its rising trend and won 2 additional seats.
Overview
Under the 1983 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Madrid was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]
Date
The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (BOCM).[3] The previous ordinary election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 27 May 2007.
The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election had been called and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or during the last year of parliament before its planned expiration, nor before one year after a previous one.[4] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called, which was to be held on the first Sunday 54 days after the call.[5] Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances did not alter the date of the chamber's next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term.[6]
The election to the Assembly of Madrid was officially called on 3 April 2007 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOCM, setting election day for 27 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 12 June.[7]
Electoral system
Voting for the Assembly was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[8]
The Assembly of Madrid had one seat per 50,000 inhabitants or fraction above 25,000. All were elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the autonomous community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) regionally.[9] As a result of the aforementioned allocation, the Assembly was entitled to 120 seats, based on the official population figures resulting from the latest revision of the municipal register (as of 1 January 2006).[10]
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[11]
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.[12]
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[13] Amendments earlier in 2007 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.[14]
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | List
|
|
Esperanza Aguirre | Conservatism Christian democracy |
48.5% | 57 |  |
[15] [16] [17] | |
| PSOE | List |
.jpg) |
Rafael Simancas | Social democracy | 39.0% | 45 |  |
[18] [19] | |
| IUCM | List
|
.jpg) |
Inés Sabanés | Socialism Communism |
8.5% | 9 | |
[20] [21] | |
Campaign
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 61 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (56 in the October 2003 election).
- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | N/a | 67.3 | 53.3 67 |
33.6 42 |
8.9 11 |
19.7 |
| Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA[p 1][p 2] | 27 May 2007 | ? | ? | 50.5 63/66 |
35.1 43/46 |
9.0 10/12 |
15.4 |
| Opina/El País[p 3][p 4] | 14–17 May 2007 | ? | ? | 51.0 63 |
38.5 47/48 |
8.0 9/10 |
12.5 |
| Metroscopia/ABC[p 5] | 14–16 May 2007 | 1,211 | 65–70 | 52.5 66 |
35.3 44/45 |
7.8 9/10 |
17.2 |
| Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 6][p 7] | 9–15 May 2007 | ? | ? | 53.3 67 |
35.2 44 |
7.7 9 |
18.1 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 8] | 7–15 May 2007 | 800 | ? | 52.3 65 |
35.7 44 |
9.3 11 |
16.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 9] | 9 May 2007 | ? | ? | ? 64/65 |
? 46/47 |
? 9/10 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 10][p 11][p 12] | 27 Apr–8 May 2007 | 800 | ? | 52.7 65/67 |
35.8 44/46 |
7.2 9 |
16.9 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 13][p 14] | 6 May 2007 | 600 | ? | 53.0 64/65 |
38.2 45/47 |
7.8 9 |
14.8 |
| CIS[p 15][p 16] | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,178 | ? | 51.2 64/65 |
35.6 45 |
8.5 10/11 |
15.6 |
| Metroscopia/CEIM[p 17][p 18] | 12 Feb–1 Mar 2007 | 2,056 | ? | 51.7 65 |
36.6 45 |
8.3 10 |
15.1 |
| Sigma Dos/PP[p 19] | 14–25 Feb 2007 | 2,000 | ? | 52.8 66/67 |
34.5 43/44 |
8.4 10 |
18.3 |
| Iberconsulta/La Razón | 15 Jan 2007 | ? | 61.8 | 53.4 67 |
35.5 45 |
7.6 9 |
17.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 20][p 21][p 22] | 16–21 Nov 2006 | 600 | ? | 55.4 65/66 |
33.8 39/40 |
5.6 6 |
21.6 |
| Iberconsulta/La Razón[p 23] | 17 Sep 2006 | ? | ? | 50.6 59 |
35.6 41 |
? 11 |
15.0 |
| Opina/El País[p 24][p 25] | 26 Apr 2006 | 1,000 | ? | 50.0 57 |
40.0 46 |
7.0 8 |
10.0 |
| PP[p 26][p 27] | 12 Dec 2005 | 8,000 | ? | 51.0 59 |
? 43 |
7.5 9 |
? |
| Synovate/PSOE[p 28][p 29] | 15 May 2005 | 2,625 | ? | 45.1 51 |
44.5 50 |
9.0 10 |
0.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 30] | 28 Feb 2005 | ? | ? | ? 56/57 |
? 47 |
? 8/9 |
? |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | N/a | 49.2 | 49.5 (57) |
42.9 (49) |
5.1 (5) |
6.6 |
| 2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 78.9 | 45.0 (53) |
44.1 (51) |
6.4 (7) |
0.9 |
| October 2003 regional election | 26 Oct 2003 | N/a | 62.5 | 48.5 57 |
39.0 45 |
8.5 9 |
9.5 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 regional election[b] | 27 May 2007 | N/a | 36.5 | 22.9 | 6.1 | N/a | 31.7 | 13.6 |
| CIS[p 15] | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,178 | 32.3 | 24.4 | 5.0 | 27.3 | 6.7 | 7.9 |
| IMOP/PSOE[p 23][p 31] | 12–20 Jul 2006 | 4,442 | 39.3 | 35.5 | 7.7 | – | – | 3.8 |
| 2004 EP election[b] | 13 Jun 2004 | N/a | 24.9 | 21.5 | 2.6 | N/a | 49.8 | 3.4 |
| 2004 general election[b] | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 36.1 | 35.5 | 5.2 | N/a | 19.3 | 0.6 |
| October 2003 regional election[b] | 26 Oct 2003 | N/a | 30.9 | 24.8 | 5.4 | N/a | 36.0 | 6.1 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opina/El País[p 4] | 14–17 May 2007 | ? | 43.4 | 32.3 | – | – | – | 11.1 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 8] | 7–15 May 2007 | 800 | 48.0 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 14] | 6 May 2007 | 600 | 42.8 | 33.1 | 4.8 | 6.9 | 12.4 | 9.7 |
| CIS[p 15] | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,178 | 38.1 | 31.2 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 16.4 | 6.9 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Community of Madrid.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
 |
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aguirre PP |
Simancas PSOE |
Marín IUCM |
Sabanés IUCM | ||||||
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 32] | 7–15 May 2007 | 800 | 50.0 | 23.0 | – | 8.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 14] | 6 May 2007 | 600 | 46.8 | 28.2 | – | 7.7 | 7.3 | 10.0 | 18.6 |
| CIS[p 15] | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,178 | 40.2 | 25.2 | – | 7.8 | 3.8 | 26.8 | 15.0 |
| Opina/El País[p 25] | 26 Apr 2006 | 1,000 | 41.3 | 30.6 | 6.4 | – | 8.7 | 13.0 | 10.7 |
Predicted President
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aguirre PP |
Simancas PSOE |
Marín IUCM |
Sabanés IUCM | ||||||
| Opina/El País[p 4] | 14–17 May 2007 | ? | 79.6 | – | – | – | – | ? | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 32] | 7–15 May 2007 | 800 | 78.0 | 13.0 | – | – | – | 9.0 | 65.0 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 14] | 6 May 2007 | 600 | 74.3 | 12.8 | – | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 61.5 |
| Opina/El País[p 25] | 26 Apr 2006 | 1,000 | 55.6 | 20.9 | 1.9 | – | 0.7 | 20.9 | 34.7 |
Results
Overall
 | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 1,592,162 | 53.29 | +4.81 | 67 | +10 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 1,002,862 | 33.57 | −5.43 | 42 | −3 | |
| United Left of the Community of Madrid (IUCM) | 264,782 | 8.86 | +0.36 | 11 | +2 | |
| The Greens (LV, LVM, LVCM, LV–GV)1 | 33,044 | 1.11 | +0.14 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 6,877 | 0.23 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Alternative (AES) | 5,039 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 5,024 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 4,231 | 0.14 | +0.07 | 0 | ±0 | |
| National Democracy (DN) | 3,518 | 0.12 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 3,123 | 0.10 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| The Phalanx (FE) | 2,675 | 0.09 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Citizen Unity (UC) | 2,099 | 0.07 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Madrid is Castile (MEC) | 2,074 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Democratic Centre (CDEs) | 1,816 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 1,757 | 0.06 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Madrid First (PM) | 1,667 | 0.06 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union for Leganés (ULEG) | 1,422 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Liberal Centrist Union (UCL) | 1,335 | 0.04 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Democratic Innovation (ID) | 574 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Save Telemadrid Party (PSTM) | 0 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 51,665 | 1.73 | −0.01 | |||
| Total | 2,987,746 | 120 | +9 | |||
| Valid votes | 2,987,746 | 99.55 | −0.06 | |||
| Invalid votes | 13,454 | 0.45 | +0.06 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 3,001,200 | 67.31 | +4.73 | |||
| Abstentions | 1,457,789 | 32.69 | −4.73 | |||
| Registered voters | 4,458,989 | |||||
| Sources[12][24] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Elected legislators
The following table lists the elected legislators sorted by order of election:[24]
| Elected legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| # | Name | List | |
| 1 | Esperanza Aguirre Gil de Biedma | PP | |
| 2 | Rafael Simancas Simancas | PSOE | |
| 3 | Jaime Ignacio González González | PP | |
| 4 | Francisco José Granados Lerena | PP | |
| 5 | Matilde Fernández Sanz | PSOE | |
| 6 | Beatriz María Elorriaga Pisarik (es) | PP | |
| 7 | Andrés Rojo Cubero | PSOE | |
| 8 | Lucía Figar de Lacalle | PP | |
| 9 | Juan José Güemes Barrios | PP | |
| 10 | Inés Sabanés Nadal | IUCM | |
| 11 | Ruth Porta Cantoni | PSOE | |
| 12 | Alfredo Prada Presa (es) | PP | |
| 13 | Pedro Feliciano Sabando Suárez (es) | PSOE | |
| 14 | María Gador Ongil Cores (es) | PP | |
| 15 | Alberto López Viejo (es) | PP | |
| 16 | Carmen Menéndez González-Palenzuela (es) | PSOE | |
| 17 | Engracia Hidalgo Tena (es) | PP | |
| 18 | Antonio Germán Beteta Barreda (es) | PP | |
| 19 | Francisco Cabaco López (ca) | PSOE | |
| 20 | María Paloma Adrados Gautier | PP | |
| 21 | Gregorio Gordo Pradel | IUCM | |
| 22 | María Helena Almazán Vicario | PSOE | |
| 23 | María Cristina Cifuentes Cuencas | PP | |
| 24 | Juan Soler-Espiauba Gallo (es) | PP | |
| 25 | José Luis Pérez Ráez | PSOE | |
| 26 | Regino García-Badell Arias | PP | |
| 27 | Pilar Mercedes Lezcano Pastor | PSOE | |
| 28 | María Carmen Álvarez-Arenas Cisneros | PP | |
| 29 | David Pérez García | PP | |
| 30 | José Manuel Franco Pardo | PSOE | |
| 31 | Luis Peral Guerra | PP | |
| 32 | María Caridad García Alvarez | IUCM | |
| 33 | Rosa María Posada Chapado | PP | |
| 34 | María Encarnación Moya Nieto | PSOE | |
| 35 | José Ignacio Echeverría Echániz | PP | |
| 36 | José Quintana Viar (es) | PSOE | |
| 37 | María Elvira Rodríguez Herrer | PP | |
| 38 | María Carmen Rodríguez Flores | PP | |
| 39 | María Mercedes Díaz Masso | PSOE | |
| 40 | Juan Van-Halen Acedo | PP | |
| 41 | Modesto Nolla Estrada (ca) | PSOE | |
| 42 | Ana Isabel Mariño Ortega (es) | PP | |
| 43 | Miguel Ángel Reneses González-Solares (es) | IUCM | |
| 44 | Benjamín Martín Vasco | PP | |
| 45 | Adolfo Navarro Muñoz | PSOE | |
| 46 | Luis del Olmo Flórez | PP | |
| 47 | Josefa Dolores Pardo Ortiz | PSOE | |
| 48 | Paloma Martín Martín | PP | |
| 49 | Pedro Muñoz Abrines | PP | |
| 50 | José Carmelo Cepeda García | PSOE | |
| 51 | Elena de Utrilla Palombi | PP | |
| 52 | Pedro Núñez Morgades (es) | PP | |
| 53 | Fausto Fernández Díaz (es) | IUCM | |
| 54 | María Angeles Martínez Herrando | PSOE | |
| 55 | José María de Federico Corral | PP | |
| 56 | Francisco Contreras Lorenzo | PSOE | |
| 57 | Francisco Javier Rodríguez Rodríguez (es) | PP | |
| 58 | Isabel Gema González González (fr) | PP | |
| 59 | Francisco Javier Gómez Gómez | PSOE | |
| 60 | Enrique Ruiz Escudero | PP | |
| 61 | Pilar Sánchez Acera (es) | PSOE | |
| 62 | María Luz Bajo Prieto | PP | |
| 63 | Jesús Fermosel Díaz (es) | PP | |
| 64 | Eulalia Vaquero Gómez | IUCM | |
| 65 | César Augusto Giner Parreño | PSOE | |
| 66 | Francisco de Borja Sarasola Jáudenes | PP | |
| 67 | María Pilar Liébana Montijano | PP | |
| 68 | María Antonia García Fernández | PSOE | |
| 69 | Sonsoles Trinidad Aboín Aboín | PP | |
| 70 | Jorge Gómez Moreno | PSOE | |
| 71 | Pablo Casado Blanco | PP | |
| 72 | María Nieves Margarita García Nieto | PP | |
| 73 | José Antonio Díaz Martínez | PSOE | |
| 74 | Alvaro Moraga Valiente | PP | |
| 75 | Antero Ruiz López | IUCM | |
| 76 | Fátima Peinado Villegas | PSOE | |
| 77 | Jacobo Ramón Beltrán Pedreira (ca) | PP | |
| 78 | María Nadia Alvarez Padilla | PP | |
| 79 | Enrique Echegoyen Vera | PSOE | |
| 80 | Jesús Adriano Valverde Bocanegra | PP | |
| 81 | Eduardo Oficialdegui Alonso de Celada | PP | |
| 82 | Carmen García Rojas | PSOE | |
| 83 | Jaime González Taboada (es) | PP | |
| 84 | Antonio Fernández Gordillo | PSOE | |
| 85 | Carlos Clemente Aguado | PP | |
| 86 | Juan Ramón Sanz Arranz | IUCM | |
| 87 | Regina María Plañiol de Lacalle (es) | PP | |
| 88 | Iván García Yustos | PSOE | |
| 89 | Pilar Busó Borus | PP | |
| 90 | Rosa María Alcalá Chacón | PSOE | |
| 91 | Francisco de Borja Carabante Muntada | PP | |
| 92 | Colomán Trabado Pérez | PP | |
| 93 | Joaquín García Pontes | PSOE | |
| 94 | José Gabriel Astudillo López | PP | |
| 95 | Rosa Yolanda Villavicencio Mapy | PSOE | |
| 96 | Marta Escudero Díaz-Tejeiro | PP | |
| 97 | María de los Reyes Montiel Mesa (es) | IUCM | |
| 98 | María Isabel Redondo Alcaide | PP | |
| 99 | Alejandro Fernández Martín | PSOE | |
| 100 | José Cabrera Orellana | PP | |
| 101 | Raimundo Herraiz Romero | PP | |
| 102 | Oscar Blanco Hortet | PSOE | |
| 103 | María Teresa Gómez-Limón Amador | PP | |
| 104 | Esperanza Rozas Piña | PSOE | |
| 105 | Ana Camins Martínez | PP | |
| 106 | Federico Jiménez de Parga Maseda | PP | |
| 107 | María Josefa Amat Ruiz | IUCM | |
| 108 | Juan Antonio Ruiz Castillo | PSOE | |
| 109 | Pablo Morillo Casals | PP | |
| 110 | Livia Castillo Pascual | PSOE | |
| 111 | Alfonso Bosch Tejedor | PP | |
| 112 | María Isabel Barreiro Fernández | PP | |
| 113 | Adolfo Piñedo Simal (es) | PSOE | |
| 114 | María del Carmen Martín Irañeta | PP | |
| 115 | José Ignacio Fernández Rubio | PP | |
| 116 | Francisco Hernández Ballesteros | PSOE | |
| 117 | José María Arribas del Barrio | PP | |
| 118 | Fernando Camaño Gómez | IUCM | |
| 119 | María Dolores Rodríguez Gabucio | PSOE | |
| 120 | Ignacio González Velayos | PP | |
Aftermath
Notes
- Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- Does not include non-resident citizens.