2008 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming
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The 2008 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican Congresswoman Barbara Cubin declined to seek re-election. Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis won the Republican primary to succeed Cubin, and advanced to the general election, where she was opposed by businessman Gary Trauner, the Democratic nominee, who had previously run for the seat in 2006. Lummis defeated Trauner by a wide margin, improving significantly from Cubin's narrow victory over him two years prior.
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November 4, 2008
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 County results Lummis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Trauner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
- Gary Trauner, businessman, 2006 Democratic nominee for the U.S. House
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gary Trauner | 24,741 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 24,741 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Cynthia Lummis, former State Treasurer
- Mark Gordon, rancher, former Chairman of the Wyoming Environmental Qualify Council[2]
- Bill Winney, retired U.S. Navy captain, 2006 Republican candidate for the U.S. House[3]
- Michael S. Holland, Green River physician[3]
Declined to run
- Roy Cohee, Speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives[4]
- Matt Mead, former U.S. Attorney for the District of Wyoming[5]
- Swede Nelson, Cheyenne inspirational speaker[6]
- Tom Sansonetti, former United States Assistant Attorney General for the Environment and Natural Resources Division[7]
- Colin M. Simpson, State Representative[4]
- Dan Zwonitzer, State Representative[8]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cynthia Lummis |
Tom Sansonetti |
Dan Zwonitzer |
Roy Cohee |
Matt Mead |
Swede Nelson |
Bill Winney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[9] | January 18-21, 2008 | 325 | 4% | 31% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 33,149 | 46.24% | |
| Republican | Mark Gordon | 26,827 | 37.42% | |
| Republican | Bill Winney | 8,537 | 11.91% | |
| Republican | Michael S. Holland | 3,171 | 4.42% | |
| Total votes | 71,684 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | W. David Herbert | 187 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 187 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Lean R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Lean R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Trauner (D) |
Lummis (R) |
Herbert (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[9] | January 18-21, 2008 | 625 | 4% | 41% | 40% | — | 19% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[18] | October 13-14, 2008 | 625 | 4% | 44% | 43% | 4% | 9% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 131,244 | 52.62% | |
| Democratic | Gary Trauner | 106,758 | 42.81% | |
| Libertarian | W. David Herbert | 11,030 | 4.42% | |
| Write-in | 363 | 0.15% | ||
| Total votes | 249,395 | 100.00% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||