2008 United States Senate election in Nebraska
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2008 United States Senate election in Nebraska was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Hagel declined to seek a third term. Mike Johanns, the former Governor of Nebraska and United States Secretary of Agriculture, won the Republican primary to succeed him. He faced Scott Kleeb, the 2006 Democratic nominee for Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, in the general election and defeated him in a landslide, winning 58% of the vote.
November 4, 2008
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Johanns: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kleeb: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
Candidates
- Pat Flynn, businessman
- Mike Johanns, former United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Nebraska
Withdrew
- Jon Bruning, Attorney General of Nebraska[1]
- Hal Daub, former mayor of Omaha and former United States congressman[2]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Johanns | 112,191 | 78.61% | |
| Republican | Pat Flynn | 31,560 | 21.12% | |
| Total votes | 143,751 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Scott Kleeb, businessman and 2006 Democratic nominee for Nebraska's 3rd congressional district[4]
- Tony Raimondo, Columbus businessman[5]
- Larry Marvin, United States Air Force veteran and 1998 state legislative candidate[6]
- James Bryan Wilson, 2007 write-in candidate for Mayor of Lincoln[7]
Declined
- Bob Kerrey, former U.S. Senator (1989–2001)[8]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Scott Kleeb | 65,582 | 68.37% | |
| Democratic | Tony Raimondo | 24,141 | 25.17% | |
| Democratic | James Bryan Wilson | 3,224 | 3.36% | |
| Democratic | Larry Marvin | 2,672 | 2.80% | |
| Total votes | 95,919 | 100.00% | ||
Green primary
Nebraska primary
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Likely R | October 23, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[10] | Likely R | October 31, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[12] | Likely R | September 30, 2008 |
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates administered | Kleeb | Johanns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/Daily Kos[13] | November 12–14, 2007 | 28% | 59% |
| Rasmussen Reports[14] | May 15, 2008 | 40% | 55% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos[15] | May 19–21, 2008 | 31% | 58% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | June 23, 2008 | 33% | 60% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | July 28, 2008 | 34% | 60% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | September 30, 2008 | 38% | 52% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Johanns | 455,854 | 57.52% | −25.24% | |
| Democratic | Scott Kleeb | 317,456 | 40.06% | +25.42% | |
| Nebraska | Kelly Rosberg | 11,438 | 1.44% | — | |
| Green | Steve Larrick | 7,763 | 0.98% | — | |
| Majority | 138,398 | 17.46% | −50.67% | ||
| Total votes | 792,511 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
From Secretary of State of Nebraska[18]
| County | Mike Johanns
Republican |
Scott Kleeb
Democratic |
Kelly Renee Rosberg Nebraska |
Steve Larrick Green |
Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
| Adams | 47.59% | 6,263 | 50.65% | 6,665 | 1.09% | 143 | 0.68% | 89 | 13,160 |
| Antelope | 66.76% | 2,123 | 30.91% | 983 | 1.57% | 50 | 0.75% | 24 | 3,180 |
| Arthur | 72.80% | 182 | 24.40% | 61 | 2.80% | 7 | 0.00% | 0 | 250 |
| Banner | 73.96% | 301 | 24.57% | 100 | 1.23% | 5 | 0.25% | 1 | 407 |
| Blaine | 59.68% | 188 | 37.78% | 119 | 1.90% | 6 | 0.63% | 2 | 315 |
| Boone | 60.11% | 1,706 | 38.23% | 1,085 | 1.34% | 38 | 0.32% | 9 | 2,838 |
| Box Butte | 60.42% | 2,966 | 36.20% | 1,777 | 2.30% | 113 | 1.08% | 53 | 4,909 |
| Boyd | 59.41% | 641 | 37.91% | 409 | 2.22% | 24 | 0.46% | 5 | 1,079 |
| Brown | 65.03% | 1,006 | 31.42% | 486 | 2.97% | 46 | 0.58% | 9 | 1,547 |
| Buffalo | 61.86% | 11,876 | 36.46% | 7,000 | 1.10% | 212 | 0.57% | 110 | 19,198 |
| Burt | 60.61% | 2,023 | 36.97% | 1,234 | 1.77% | 59 | 0.66% | 22 | 3,338 |
| Butler | 60.88% | 2,336 | 37.74% | 1,448 | 1.09% | 42 | 0.29% | 11 | 3,837 |
| Cass | 62.07% | 7,412 | 35.25% | 4,210 | 1.95% | 233 | 0.73% | 87 | 11,942 |
| Cedar | 70.75% | 2,907 | 26.33% | 1,082 | 2.41% | 99 | 0.51% | 21 | 4,109 |
| Chase | 72.07% | 1,308 | 26.28% | 477 | 1.21% | 22 | 0.44% | 8 | 1,815 |
| Cherry | 70.19% | 2,093 | 25.99% | 775 | 3.29% | 98 | 0.54% | 16 | 2,982 |
| Cheyenne | 75.04% | 3,583 | 21.78% | 1,040 | 2.53% | 121 | 0.65% | 31 | 4,775 |
| Clay | 58.30% | 1,770 | 39.86% | 1,210 | 1.35% | 41 | 0.49% | 15 | 3,036 |
| Colfax | 64.16% | 2,057 | 33.37% | 1,070 | 1.87% | 60 | 0.59% | 19 | 3,206 |
| Cuming | 69.70% | 2,830 | 28.82% | 1,170 | 1.21% | 49 | 0.27% | 11 | 4,060 |
| Custer | 60.07% | 3,373 | 38.70% | 2,173 | 0.89% | 50 | 0.34% | 19 | 5,615 |
| Dakota | 56.58% | 3,543 | 39.78% | 2,491 | 3.31% | 207 | 0.34% | 21 | 6,262 |
| Dawes | 63.59% | 2,363 | 31.57% | 1,173 | 3.71% | 138 | 1.13% | 42 | 3,716 |
| Dawson | 60.15% | 4,801 | 37.91% | 3,026 | 1.48% | 118 | 0.46% | 37 | 7,982 |
| Deuel | 72.52% | 710 | 22.27% | 218 | 4.60% | 45 | 0.61% | 6 | 979 |
| Dixon | 67.76% | 1,877 | 29.28% | 811 | 2.53% | 70 | 0.43% | 12 | 2,770 |
| Dodge | 60.89% | 9,374 | 36.68% | 5,647 | 1.83% | 282 | 0.60% | 93 | 15,396 |
| Douglas | 55.29% | 123,299 | 42.00% | 93,667 | 1.38% | 3,070 | 1.34% | 2,982 | 223,018 |
| Dundy | 69.90% | 699 | 25.80% | 258 | 3.60% | 36 | 0.70% | 7 | 1,000 |
| Fillmore | 54.34% | 1,610 | 44.38% | 1,315 | 1.01% | 30 | 0.27% | 8 | 2,963 |
| Franklin | 47.48% | 734 | 51.03% | 789 | 0.84% | 13 | 0.65% | 10 | 1,546 |
| Frontier | 62.76% | 873 | 35.30% | 491 | 1.44% | 20 | 0.50% | 7 | 1,391 |
| Furnas | 61.50% | 1,436 | 36.83% | 860 | 1.28% | 30 | 0.39% | 9 | 2,335 |
| Gage | 48.26% | 4,909 | 49.93% | 5,079 | 1.26% | 128 | 0.55% | 56 | 10,172 |
| Garden | 74.73% | 831 | 22.30% | 248 | 2.43% | 27 | 0.54% | 6 | 1,112 |
| Garfield | 55.11% | 566 | 43.33% | 445 | 1.46% | 15 | 0.10% | 1 | 1,027 |
| Gosper | 60.99% | 641 | 37.49% | 394 | 1.43% | 15 | 0.10% | 1 | 1,051 |
| Grant | 71.39% | 257 | 25.28% | 91 | 3.06% | 11 | 0.28% | 1 | 360 |
| Greeley | 43.28% | 522 | 55.22% | 666 | 1.41% | 17 | 0.08% | 1 | 1,206 |
| Hall | 53.80% | 11,398 | 44.46% | 9,419 | 1.14% | 241 | 0.61% | 129 | 21,187 |
| Hamilton | 60.79% | 2,905 | 38.17% | 1,824 | 0.71% | 34 | 0.33% | 16 | 4,779 |
| Harlan | 57.18% | 1,007 | 41.11% | 724 | 1.53% | 27 | 0.17% | 3 | 1,761 |
| Hayes | 64.07% | 353 | 33.03% | 182 | 2.18% | 12 | 0.73% | 4 | 551 |
| Hitchcock | 60.57% | 825 | 36.86% | 502 | 1.84% | 25 | 0.73% | 10 | 1,362 |
| Holt | 66.08% | 3,271 | 31.72% | 1,570 | 1.68% | 83 | 0.53% | 26 | 4,950 |
| Hooker | 67.98% | 293 | 30.16% | 130 | 1.86% | 8 | 0.00% | 0 | 431 |
| Howard | 50.82% | 1,523 | 47.35% | 1,419 | 1.33% | 40 | 0.50% | 15 | 2,997 |
| Jefferson | 52.33% | 1,935 | 45.81% | 1,694 | 1.16% | 43 | 0.70% | 26 | 3,698 |
| Johnson | 49.98% | 1,055 | 48.03% | 1,014 | 1.47% | 31 | 0.52% | 11 | 2,111 |
| Kearney | 59.96% | 1,888 | 38.68% | 1,218 | 1.05% | 33 | 0.32% | 10 | 3,149 |
| Keith | 70.09% | 2,763 | 27.52% | 1,085 | 1.90% | 75 | 0.48% | 19 | 3,942 |
| Keya Paha | 63.01% | 327 | 34.68% | 180 | 1.54% | 8 | 0.77% | 4 | 519 |
| Kimball | 70.19% | 1,243 | 26.14% | 463 | 2.94% | 52 | 0.73% | 13 | 1,771 |
| Knox | 62.83% | 2,524 | 33.48% | 1,345 | 3.06% | 123 | 0.62% | 25 | 4,017 |
| Lancaster | 48.14% | 60,805 | 49.42% | 62,421 | 0.84% | 1,064 | 1.60% | 2,024 | 126,314 |
| Lincoln | 58.24% | 9,454 | 39.68% | 6,442 | 1.47% | 239 | 0.61% | 99 | 16,234 |
| Logan | 66.59% | 273 | 32.44% | 133 | 0.49% | 2 | 0.49% | 2 | 410 |
| Loup | 55.61% | 218 | 43.88% | 172 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.51% | 2 | 392 |
| Madison | 66.02% | 9,182 | 30.56% | 4,250 | 2.65% | 369 | 0.77% | 107 | 13,908 |
| McPherson | 69.55% | 201 | 26.64% | 77 | 3.46% | 10 | 0.35% | 1 | 289 |
| Merrick | 59.26% | 2,023 | 39.37% | 1,344 | 0.94% | 32 | 0.44% | 15 | 3,414 |
| Morrill | 69.29% | 1,627 | 27.43% | 644 | 2.51% | 59 | 0.77% | 18 | 2,348 |
| Nance | 55.37% | 953 | 43.17% | 743 | 0.93% | 16 | 0.52% | 9 | 1,721 |
| Nemaha | 61.60% | 2,119 | 36.37% | 1,251 | 1.66% | 57 | 0.38% | 13 | 3,440 |
| Nuckolls | 55.28% | 1,231 | 43.06% | 959 | 1.12% | 25 | 0.54% | 12 | 2,227 |
| Otoe | 58.26% | 4,111 | 39.64% | 2,797 | 1.42% | 100 | 0.68% | 48 | 7,056 |
| Pawnee | 55.68% | 765 | 42.07% | 578 | 1.46% | 20 | 0.80% | 11 | 1,374 |
| Perkins | 70.53% | 993 | 27.84% | 392 | 1.21% | 17 | 0.43% | 6 | 1,408 |
| Phelps | 68.05% | 3,058 | 30.97% | 1,392 | 0.73% | 33 | 0.24% | 11 | 4,494 |
| Pierce | 70.99% | 2,259 | 25.93% | 825 | 2.39% | 76 | 0.69% | 22 | 3,182 |
| Platte | 68.78% | 9,163 | 29.40% | 3,917 | 1.38% | 184 | 0.44% | 59 | 13,323 |
| Polk | 62.19% | 1,579 | 36.71% | 932 | 0.83% | 21 | 0.28% | 7 | 2,539 |
| Red Willow | 65.02% | 3,269 | 32.98% | 1,658 | 1.51% | 76 | 0.50% | 25 | 5,028 |
| Richardson | 63.25% | 2,477 | 34.01% | 1,332 | 2.40% | 94 | 0.33% | 13 | 3,916 |
| Rock | 59.24% | 465 | 39.11% | 307 | 1.66% | 13 | 0.00% | 0 | 785 |
| Saline | 40.81% | 2,139 | 57.45% | 3,011 | 1.07% | 56 | 0.67% | 35 | 5,241 |
| Sarpy | 64.61% | 43,116 | 32.96% | 21,994 | 1.58% | 1,052 | 0.85% | 569 | 66,731 |
| Saunders | 61.62% | 6,266 | 36.00% | 3,660 | 1.58% | 161 | 0.80% | 81 | 10,168 |
| Scotts Bluff | 63.01% | 9,262 | 34.81% | 5,117 | 1.61% | 237 | 0.57% | 84 | 14,700 |
| Seward | 56.61% | 4,257 | 41.72% | 3,137 | 1.04% | 78 | 0.64% | 48 | 7,520 |
| Sheridan | 74.63% | 1,821 | 19.55% | 477 | 4.88% | 119 | 0.94% | 23 | 2,440 |
| Sherman | 37.50% | 582 | 60.76% | 943 | 0.84% | 13 | 0.90% | 14 | 1,552 |
| Sioux | 72.61% | 517 | 25.28% | 180 | 1.69% | 12 | 0.42% | 3 | 712 |
| Stanton | 71.51% | 1,762 | 25.65% | 632 | 2.27% | 56 | 0.57% | 14 | 2,464 |
| Thayer | 52.50% | 1,303 | 45.93% | 1,140 | 1.17% | 29 | 0.40% | 10 | 2,482 |
| Thomas | 61.66% | 238 | 35.75% | 138 | 2.07% | 8 | 0.52% | 2 | 386 |
| Thurston | 52.55% | 1,041 | 41.29% | 818 | 5.20% | 103 | 0.96% | 19 | 1,981 |
| Valley | 55.40% | 1,343 | 43.03% | 1,043 | 1.16% | 28 | 0.41% | 10 | 2,424 |
| Washington | 65.47% | 6,658 | 31.76% | 3,230 | 1.99% | 202 | 0.79% | 80 | 10,170 |
| Wayne | 69.38% | 2,626 | 28.06% | 1,062 | 1.88% | 71 | 0.69% | 26 | 3,785 |
| Webster | 46.57% | 849 | 51.51% | 939 | 1.21% | 22 | 0.71% | 13 | 1,823 |
| Wheeler | 57.58% | 247 | 40.56% | 174 | 1.17% | 5 | 0.70% | 3 | 429 |
| York | 65.56% | 4,300 | 33.28% | 2,183 | 0.82% | 54 | 0.34% | 22 | 6,559 |
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic