2010 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
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The 2010 congressional elections in Montana was held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the state of Montana in the United States House of Representatives. Montana has one seat in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected will serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.
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November 2, 2010
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 County results Rehberg: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% McDonald: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
- Dennis McDonald, former chairman of the Montana Democratic Party
- Tyler Gernant, attorney
- Melinda Gopher, Native American activist
- Sam Rankin
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dennis McDonald | 24,014 | 38.42 | |
| Democratic | Tyler Gernant | 15,177 | 24.28 | |
| Democratic | Melinda Gopher | 13,170 | 21.07 | |
| Democratic | Sam Rankin | 10,138 | 16.22 | |
| Total votes | 62,499 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Denny Rehberg, incumbent U.S. Congressman
- Mark T. French, Clark Fork Valley Hospital scientist
- A. J. Otjen, Montana State University Billings professor
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Denny Rehberg (inc.) | 96,796 | 74.69 | |
| Republican | Mark T. French | 25,344 | 19.56 | |
| Republican | A. J. Otjen | 7,461 | 5.76 | |
| Total votes | 129,601 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[5] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[7] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[7] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Denny Rehberg (inc.) | 217,696 | 60.41 | |
| Democratic | Dennis McDonald | 121,954 | 33.84 | |
| Libertarian | Mike Fellows | 20,691 | 5.74 | |
| Total votes | 360,341 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
County results
Source[9]
| Denny Rehberg Republican |
Dennis McDonald Democratic |
Mike Fellows Libertarian |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Beaverhead | 2,716 | 72.82% | 840 | 22.52% | 174 | 4.66% | 984 | 26.38% | 3,730 |
| Big Horn | 1,600 | 40.73% | 2,152 | 54.79% | 176 | 4.48% | 552 | 14.05% | 3,928 |
| Blaine | 1,165 | 63.77% | 613 | 33.55% | 49 | 2.68% | 552 | 30.21% | 1,827 |
| Broadwater | 1,895 | 73.25% | 551 | 21.30% | 141 | 5.45% | 1,344 | 51.95% | 2,587 |
| Carbon | 2,837 | 58.87% | 1,667 | 34.59% | 315 | 6.54% | 1,170 | 24.28% | 4,819 |
| Carter | 613 | 89.49% | 54 | 7.88% | 18 | 2.63% | 559 | 81.61% | 685 |
| Cascade | 16,241 | 62.05% | 8,867 | 33.88% | 1,064 | 4.07% | 7,374 | 28.18% | 26,172 |
| Chouteau | 1,703 | 73.98% | 509 | 22.11% | 90 | 3.91% | 1,194 | 51.87% | 2,302 |
| Custer | 2,699 | 66.54% | 1,163 | 28.67% | 194 | 4.78% | 1,536 | 37.87% | 4,056 |
| Daniels | 629 | 70.99% | 202 | 22.80% | 55 | 6.21% | 427 | 48.19% | 886 |
| Dawson | 2,459 | 67.83%' | 1,007 | 27.78% | 159 | 4.39% | 1,452 | 40.06% | 3,625 |
| Deer Lodge | 1,347 | 40.13% | 1,828 | 54.45% | 182 | 5.42% | 481 | 14.33% | 3,357 |
| Fallon | 864 | 78.76% | 202 | 18.41% | 31 | 2.83% | 662 | 60.35% | 1,097 |
| Fergus | 3,795 | 73.50% | 1,130 | 21.89% | 238 | 4.61% | 2,665 | 51.62% | 5,163 |
| Flathead | 21,153 | 67.68% | 8,127 | 26.00% | 1,975 | 6.32% | 13,026 | 41.68 | 31,255 |
| Gallatin | 18,221 | 58.56% | 11,125 | 35.75% | 1,769 | 5.69% | 7,096 | 22.81% | 31,115 |
| Garfield | 569 | 84.05% | 75 | 11.08% | 33 | 4.87% | 494 | 72.97% | 677 |
| Glacier | 1,316 | 49.46% | 1,246 | 46.82% | 99 | 3.72% | 70 | 2.63% | 2,661 |
| Golden Valley | 278 | 68.64% | 108 | 26.67% | 19 | 4.69% | 170 | 41.98% | 405 |
| Granite | 985 | 68.45% | 348 | 24.18% | 106 | 7.37% | 637 | 44.27% | 1,439 |
| Hill | 3,142 | 60.70% | 1,787 | 34.52% | 247 | 4.77% | 1,355 | 26.18% | 5,176 |
| Jefferson | 3,430 | 65.25% | 1,529 | 29.09% | 298 | 5.67% | 1,901 | 36.16% | 5,257 |
| Judith Basin | 794 | 75.05% | 229 | 21.64% | 35 | 3.31% | 565 | 53.40% | 1,058 |
| Lake | 6,014 | 58.66% | 3,517 | 34.31% | 721 | 7.03% | 2,497 | 24.36% | 10,252 |
| Lewis and Clark | 14,221 | 56.54% | 9,684 | 38.50% | 1,246 | 4.95% | 4,537 | 18.04% | 25,151 |
| Liberty | 706 | 76.81% | 178 | 19.28% | 39 | 4.22% | 528 | 57.20% | 923 |
| Lincoln | 4,926 | 69.16% | 1,688 | 23.70% | 509 | 7.15% | 3,238 | 45.46% | 7,123 |
| Madison | 2,541 | 70.04% | 847 | 23.35% | 240 | 6.62% | 1,694 | 46.69% | 3,628 |
| McCone | 631 | 71.62% | 220 | 24.97% | 30 | 3.41% | 411 | 46.65% | 881 |
| Meagher | 610 | 74.66% | 152 | 18.60% | 55 | 6.73% | 458 | 56.06% | 817 |
| Mineral | 1,135 | 62.67% | 530 | 29.27% | 146 | 8.06% | 605 | 33.41% | 1,811 |
| Missoula | 17,789 | 47.14% | 17,637 | 46.73% | 2,314 | 6.13% | 152 | 0.40% | 37,740 |
| Musselshell | 1,356 | 72.40% | 385 | 20.56% | 132 | 7.05% | 971 | 51.84% | 1,873 |
| Park | 4,148 | 60.28% | 2,355 | 34.22% | 378 | 5.49% | 1,793 | 26.06% | 6,881 |
| Petroleum | 194 | 78.23% | 40 | 16.13% | 14 | 5.65% | 154 | 62.10% | 248 |
| Phillips | 1,490 | 80.76% | 274 | 14.85% | 81 | 4.39% | 1,216 | 65.91% | 1,845 |
| Pondera | 1,513 | 72.22% | 516 | 24.63% | 66 | 3.15% | 997 | 47.59% | 2,095 |
| Powder River | 708 | 80.18% | 139 | 15.74% | 36 | 4.08% | 569 | 64.44% | 883 |
| Powell | 1,513 | 68.90% | 538 | 24.50% | 145 | 6.60% | 975 | 44.40% | 2,196 |
| Prairie | 434 | 71.93% | 138 | 22.89% | 31 | 5.14% | 296 | 49.09% | 603 |
| Ravalli | 11,506 | 65.07% | 4,887 | 27.64% | 1,290 | 7.30% | 6,619 | 37.43% | 17,683 |
| Richland | 2,767 | 74.52% | 791 | 21.30% | 155 | 4.17% | 1,976 | 53.22% | 3,713 |
| Roosevelt | 1,559 | 54.30% | 1,211 | 42.18% | 101 | 3.52% | 338 | 11.77% | 2,871 |
| Rosebud | 1,507 | 56.76% | 990 | 37.29% | 158 | 5.95% | 517 | 19.47% | 2,655 |
| Sanders | 3,386 | 65.99% | 1,324 | 25.80% | 421 | 8.21% | 2,062 | 40.19% | 5,131 |
| Sheridan | 1,052 | 63.72% | 523 | 31.68% | 76 | 4.60% | 529 | 32.04% | 1,651 |
| Silver Bow | 5,133 | 43.71% | 6,044 | 51.47% | 586 | 4.99% | 911 | 7.76% | 11,743 |
| Stillwater | 2,549 | 68.01% | 984 | 26.25% | 215 | 5.74% | 1,565 | 41.76% | 3,748 |
| Sweet Grass | 1,250 | 72.55% | 394 | 22.87% | 79 | 4.59% | 856 | 49.68% | 1,723 |
| Teton | 1,932 | 70.80% | 654 | 23.96% | 143 | 5.24% | 1,278 | 46.83% | 2,729 |
| Toole | 1,293 | 73.97% | 366 | 20.94% | 89 | 5.09% | 927 | 53.03% | 1,748 |
| Treasure | 272 | 70.83% | 93 | 24.22% | 19 | 4.95% | 179 | 46.61% | 384 |
| Valley | 2,300 | 68.23% | 944 | 28.00% | 127 | 3.77% | 1,356 | 40.23% | 3,371 |
| Wheatland | 713 | 71.09% | 250 | 24.93% | 40 | 3.99% | 463 | 46.16% | 1,003 |
| Wibaux | 349 | 72.56% | 110 | 22.87% | 22 | 4.57% | 239 | 49.69% | 481 |
| Yellowstone | 29,768 | 57.82% | 18,192 | 35.34% | 3,520 | 6.84% | 11,576 | 22.49% | 51,480 |