2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.
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November 2, 2010
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 County results Coburn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
Candidates
- Tom Coburn, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Evelyn Rogers, librarian[1]
- Lewis Kelly Spring, teacher[2]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Coburn (incumbent) | 223,997 | 90.4% | |
| Republican | Evelyn Rogers | 15,093 | 6.1% | |
| Republican | Lewis Kelly Spring | 8,812 | 3.5% | |
| Total votes | 247,902 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Jim Rogers, retired college professor
- Mark Myles, businessman
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Rogers | 157,955 | 65.4% | |
| Democratic | Mark Myles | 83,715 | 34.6% | |
| Total votes | 241,670 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Candidates
- Tom Coburn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Ronald Dwyer (I), activist
- Jim Rogers (D), teacher
- Stephen Wallace (I), businessman[4]
Campaign
Coburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats.[5] His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate[6] who did little campaigning.[7]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[8] | Solid R | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[10] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[12] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Jim Rogers (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | June 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 65% | 26% | 3% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[14] | July 28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 65% | 31% | 1% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[15] | August 26, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 67% | 24% | 3% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | September 23, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 68% | 26% | 2% | 4% |
| SoonerPoll[17] | October 3–7, 2010 | 755 | ± ? | 62% | 22% | 2% | 14% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Dan Boren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 53% | 36% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Brad Henry (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Mark Myles (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | June 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 62% | 27% | 4% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Cole (R) |
Dan Boren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Cole (R) |
Brad Henry (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
J. C. Watts (R) |
Dan Boren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 41% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
J. C. Watts (R) |
Brad Henry (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Coburn (R) | $1,935,820 | $2,103,749 | $671,135 | $0 |
| Jim Rogers (D) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[19] | ||||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Coburn (incumbent) | 718,482 | 70.64% | +17.87% | |
| Democratic | Jim Rogers | 265,814 | 26.13% | −15.11% | |
| Independent | Stephen Wallace | 25,048 | 2.46% | N/A | |
| Independent | Ronald F. Dwyer | 7,807 | 0.77% | N/A | |
| Majority | 452,668 | 44.50% | |||
| Total votes | 1,017,151 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Atoka (Largest city: Atoka)
- Bryan (Largest city: Durant)
- Caddo (Largest city: Anadarko)
- Coal (Largest city: Coalgate)
- Cotton (Largest city: Walters)
- Craig (Largest city: Vinita)
- Greer (Largest city: Mangum)
- Harmon (Largest city: Hollis)
- Jefferson (Largest city: Waurika)
- Johnston (Largest city: Tishomingo)
- Kiowa (Largest city: Hobart)
- Le Flore (Largest city: Poteau)
- Love (Largest city: Marietta)
- Marshall (Largest city: Madill)
- Mayes (Largest city: Pryor Creek)
- Murray (Largest city: Sulphur)
- Nowata (Largest city: Nowata)
- Okfuskee (Largest city: Okemah)
- Osage (Largest city: Hominy)
- Pittsburg (Largest city: McAlester)
- Pushmataha (Largest city: Antlers)
- Seminole (Largest city: Seminole)
- Sequoyah (Largest city: Sallisaw)
- Tillman (Largest city: Frederick)
- Cherokee (Largest city: Tahlequah)
- Choctaw (Largest city: Hugo)
- Haskell (Largest city: Stigler)
- Hughes (Largest city: Holdenville)
- Latimer (Largest city: Wilburton)
- McIntosh (Largest city: Checotah)
- Muskogee (Largest city: Muskogee)
- Okmulgee (Largest city: Okmulgee)
- Ottawa (Largest city: Miami)
- Delaware (Largest city: Grove)
- Adair (Largest city: Stilwell)