2012 South Korean legislative election

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Legislative elections were held in South Korea on 11 April 2012. The election was won by the ruling Saenuri or New Frontier Party, which renewed its majority in the National Assembly,[1] despite losing seats. The election was read as a bellwether for the presidential election to be held later in the year.[2] The result confounded exit polls and media analysis, which had predicted a closer outcome.[3]

Quick facts All 300 seats in the National Assembly 151 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...
2012 South Korean legislative election

 2008
11 April 2012
2016 

All 300 seats in the National Assembly
151 seats needed for a majority
Turnout54.24% (Increase8.16pp; Const. votes)
54.24% (Increase8.16pp; PR votes)
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Park Geun-hye Han Myeong-sook
Party Saenuri Democratic United
Last election 167 seats[a] 81 seats[b]
Seats won 152 127
Seat change Decrease15 Increase46
Constituency vote 9,324,911 8,156,045
% and swing 43.28% (Decrease3.87pp) 37.85% (Increase8.93pp)
Regional vote 9,130,651 7,777,123
% and swing 42.80% (Decrease7.86pp) 36.46% (Increase 11.28pp)

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Lee Jung-hee
Rhyu Si-min
Sim Sang-jung
Lee Hoi-chang
Party Unified Progressive Liberty Forward
Last election 5 seats[c] 18 seats
Seats won 13 5
Seat change Increase8 Decrease 13
Constituency vote 1,291,306 474,001
% and swing 5.99% (Increase2.60pp) 2.20% (Decrease3.52pp)
Regional vote 2,198,405 690,754
% and swing 10.31% (Increase4.63pp) 3.24% (Decrease3.61pp)

Results of the election.

Speaker before election

Chung Eui-hwa
Saenuri

Elected Speaker

Kang Chang-hee
Saenuri

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Background

The South Korean National Assembly consists of 246 directly elected seats and 54 nationwide proportional representation seats chosen under an FPTP-PR parallel voting system.[4] Proportional seats were only available to parties which one three percent of the national valid vote among seat-allocated parties and/or won five or more constituency seats. In South Korea's presidential system, the head of state controls the executive, but the loss of control in congress could have hampered President Lee's ability to govern alone.[5]

Political parties

More information Parties, Leader ...
Parties Leader Ideology Seats Status
Last election Before election
Saenuri Party Park Geun-hye Conservatism
153 / 299
[d]
163 / 299
Government
14 / 299
[e]
Democratic United Party Han Myeong-sook Liberalism
81 / 299
[b]
79 / 299
Opposition
Liberty Forward Party Lee Hoi-chang Conservatism
18 / 299
13 / 299
Opposition
Unified Progressive Party Lee Jung-hee
Rhyu Si-min
Sim Sang-jung
Progressivism
5 / 299
[c]
7 / 299
Opposition
Creative Korea Party Han Myeon-hee Centrist reformism
3 / 299
0 / 299
Opposition
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Four parties won seats in the 2012 election:

Other parties that put forward candidates included the left-wing New Progressive Party and the centre-right Korea Vision Party.

The conservative parties were fragmented, particularly between Saenuri and the new KVP over the latter recruiting high-profile defected members of the incumbent party and those who were denied tickets in the election, which was also reflective of a division grew between Park's leadership and loyalists of Lee Myung-bak.[16] However, the DUPUPP coalition also came under strain due to irregularities in the UPP's primaries that involved co-leader Lee Jung-hee.[17]

Campaign

Campaigning for the election officially began on 29 March, though party leaders toured the country beforehand to rally support for their bids.[18] The international media suggested that the main issues in the campaign were economic, including inflation, educational and housing costs, unemployment and underemployment, the income gap, and social welfare, while the North Korean issue did not play a role.[2][7]

The opposition DUP tried to harness discontent with the incumbent Lee's administration, and called on the electorate to adjudge the election as a referendum on Lee's presidency.[19] The opposition coalition endeavored to depict the ruling party as unsocial and favoring the rich, while promising to create jobs.[20] The incumbent government emphasised the threat of North Korea and made the case for continuing their hard line towards the northern neighbour and maintaining a close alliance with the United States. They accused the opposition of jeopardising the free trade agreement with the U.S. The DUP had demanded renegotiation of the treaty and threatened to cancel it in case of the United States' refusal to negotiate.[19]

The international media highlighted the candidacy of Cho Myung-chul, a professor who defected from North Korea in 1994.[21][22] In its newspaper Rodong Sinmun, the North Korean Workers' Party called on the electorate to vote out the incumbent government: "Young voters, students and people must deliver a crushing defeat to the traitors."[1]

Scandals

After accusations of unauthorized government surveillance surfaced, legislators called for an investigation, while the ruling party accused the previous government of doing the same.[2] The presidential office published an analysis stating that 84% of the recorded incidents had taken place under the previous administration of Roh Moo-hyun.[23] A post-election analysis by polling institute Realmeter showed that the ruling party's handling of scandal was effective, and that the surveillance scandal didn't affect voters' decision much.[24] A DUP candidate, Kim Yong-min, was also accused of having made numerous offensive comments on the podcast-talk-show Naneun Ggomsuda,[25] for which he apologized but refused to rescind his candidacy, despite the DUP leadership advising him to do so.[26][27] Kim subsequently failed to win his seat in the election.[28]

Opinion polling

Polls were barred in the final week of the election, just before indications suggested the two largest parties would get somewhere between 130 and 135 seats each. A high turnout, particularly with the youth, was seen as beneficial to the opposition.[2]

More information Institute, Date ...
Institute Date Saenuri
(SP)
Democratic United
(DUP)
Unified Progressive
(UPP)
Liberty Forward
(LFP)
Korea Vision
(KVP)
New Progressive
(NPP)
Realmeter[29] 23 December 2011 31.2% 30.9% 6.1% 2.2% 1.3%
Realmeter[30] 13 January 2012 29.5% 34.7% 3.2% 2.4% 1.8%
Realmeter[31] Jan.25–27, 2012 30.3% 37.1% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0%
Realmeter[31] Jan.30–Feb.2, 2012 32.9% 36.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.9%
Realmeter[31] Feb.6–10, 2012 33.9% 35.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.8%
Hankyoreh / KSOI[32] Feb.24–25, 2012 38.2% 32.9% 3.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.1%
Realmeter[31] Feb.27–Mar.2, 2012 36.3% 36.3% 6.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Realmeter[31] 5–9 March 2012 40.3% 32.7% 4.8% 2.3%
KBS[33][nb 2] 10–11 March 2012 34.1% 35.4% 3.6% 1.7%
Realmeter[31] 12–16 March 2012 39.4% 33.7% 5.7% 2.3%
Realmeter[31] 19–23 March 2012 37.4% 33.3% 7.5% 2.1%
Realmeter[34] 26–30 March 2012 39.8% 30.5% 8.1% 2.3%
Realmeter[35][nb 3] 28 March 2012 37.8% 30.5% 12.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.6%
Hankyoreh / KSOI[36] 31 March 2012 38.3% 33.5% 7.2% 2.4% 0.3% 1.0%
Research View[37][unreliable source?] 1 April 2012 42.3% 29.5% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 2.1%
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Results

The voting centres were open from 6:00−18:00. Voting occurred via electronic ballot counting and scanning that gave an instantaneous result.[6] Cho Myung-chul's successful candidature was the first time that one of the 23 thousand North Korean refugees living in the South was elected to the National Assembly.[21]

More information Party, Proportional ...
Graph of the party split among 300 seats.
PartyProportionalConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Saenuri Party9,130,65142.80259,324,91143.28127152–15
Democratic United Party7,777,12336.46218,156,04537.85106127+46
Unified Progressive Party2,198,40510.3161,291,3065.99713+8
Liberty Forward Party690,7543.242474,0012.2035–13
Christian Liberal Democratic Party [ko]257,1901.2102,2410.01000
New Progressive Party243,0651.140101,6140.47000
Hannara Party181,8220.8504540.0000New
Korea Vision Party156,2410.73044,3790.2100New
Pro-Park United [ko]134,8980.63025,3020.1200New
Green Party Korea103,8420.4904,8430.0200New
Creative Korea Party91,9350.4303,6240.0200–3
Party for Youth [ko]73,1940.3405,5690.0300New
Go! Party for the Grand People [ko]60,4280.2800New
Korean Christian Party54,3320.2500New
Authentic Democratic Party48,6480.23071,8670.3300New
United Buddhist Party36,2620.170680.0000New
People's Happiness Party [ko]35,8460.17018,0280.0800New
Party for Culture and Art23,3300.11000
Future Union [ko]19,9620.0905,4030.0300New
Grand Korea Party [ko]14,1330.0708870.0000New
Democratic Unification Party5240.0000New
People's Power1530.0000New
Independents2,014,7779.3533–22
Total21,332,061100.005421,545,996100.00246300+1
Valid votes21,332,06197.8221,545,99698.87
Invalid/blank votes474,7372.18246,8551.13
Total votes21,806,798100.0021,792,851100.00
Registered voters/turnout40,205,05554.2440,181,62354.24
Source: NEC, CLEA, IPU
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By city/province

More information Region, Saenuri ...
Constituency results by city/province
Region Saenuri DUP UPP LFP Ind. Total
seats
Seats% Seats% Seats% Seats% Seats%
Seoul 1644.4 3045.4 23.4 00.4 04.6 48
Busan 1649.9 234.6 04.7 00.1 09.7 18
Daegu 1260.3 016.6 04.5 00.7 016.5 12
Incheon 647.2 644.7 03.0 01.2 02.7 12
Gwangju 05.2 649.4 121.5 00.1 122.9 8
Daejeon 335.3 336.8 04.0 022.4 00.8 6
Ulsan 654.3 013.5 026.0 00.3 04.7 6
Sejong 013.9 147.9 033.8 04.4 1
Gyeonggi 2146.1 2943.6 24.3 00.1 04.8 52
Gangwon 952.8 037.2 01.0 00.4 08.1 9
North Chungcheong 550.1 338.0 03.8 03.6 04.1 8
South Chungcheong 436.5 332.7 02.1 327.4 00.8 10
North Jeolla 07.6 951.8 110.8 00.5 128.6 11
South Jeolla 03.5 1056.7 117.5 022.0 11
North Gyeongsang 1560.4 08.7 05.6 00.0 023.2 15
South Gyeongsang 1451.5 118.4 010.5 00.1 116.7 16
Jeju 025.7 348.9 05.0 017.0 3
Total 12743.3 10637.9 76.0 32.2 39.4 246
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More information Region, Saenuri ...
Party list vote results by city/provinces
Region Saenuri DUP UPP LFP Other
Seoul 42.3 38.2 10.6 2.1 6.9
Busan 51.3 31.8 8.4 1.9 6.6
Daegu 66.5 16.4 7.0 2.0 8.1
Incheon 42.9 37.7 9.7 2.6 7.1
Gwangju 5.5 68.9 18.6 1.0 5.9
Daejeon 34.3 33.7 9.0 17.9 5.1
Ulsan 49.5 25.2 16.3 1.6 7.4
Sejong 27.8 38.7 5.4 22.6 5.5
Gyeonggi 42.4 27.7 11.0 2.2 6.7
Gangwon 51.3 33.5 6.6 1.8 6.8
North Chungcheong 43.8 36.0 7.7 5.3 7.1
South Chungcheong 36.6 30.4 6.8 20.4 5.8
North Jeolla 9.6 65.6 14.2 1.4 9.2
South Jeolla 6.3 69.6 14.8 1.2 8.2
North Gyeongsang 69.0 13.4 6.2 1.4 9.9
South Gyeongsang 53.8 25.6 10.5 1.6 8.5
Jeju 38.5 39.5 12.4 2.0 7.6
Overall total 42.8 36.5 10.3 3.2 7.2
Seat allocation 25 21 6 2 0
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Reactions and aftermath

President Lee said that the "people made wise choices. The government will do its best to manage state affairs in a stable manner and take care of the people's livelihood". The DUP's secretary-general Park Sun-sook conceded the election and added: "The DUP failed to turn public calls for punishing the ... ruling party into reality. We apologise for disappointing supporters. We will sincerely think over what today's election means and try ceaselessly to be reborn as a party the people can lean and rely on."[1] Sim Dae-pyung, leader of the Liberty Forward Party, announced his resignation after the party's poor performance.[38]

On 13 April, the DUP leader Han Myeong-sook announced her resignation on account of her party's defeat.[39]

See also

Notes

1.^ Comparison includes the Pro-Park Coalition, which split from and subsequently reintegrated with the Grand National Party.
2.^ This survey asked separate questions on party support and voting intention. The latter result is reported here.
3.^ This survey dealt specifically with seats allocated by proportional representation.

References

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