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2012 United States Senate election in Ohio

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The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican Josh Mandel, the Ohio State Treasurer. Brown was unopposed in the Democratic primary while Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote.[1][2]

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2012 United States Senate election in Ohio

 2006
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
2018 
Turnout70.54% (registered voters) Increase 17.29pp
 
Nominee Sherrod Brown Josh Mandel
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,762,766 2,435,744
Percentage 50.70% 44.70%

Brown:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Mandel:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Close

Democratic primary

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 522,827 100.00%
Total votes 522,827 100.00%
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Republican primary

Candidates

Filed

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Josh Mandel was endorsed by Rob Portman, U.S. Senator (R-OH);[11] Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator (R-SC);[12] Jim Jordan, U.S. Congressman (R-OH);[13] Club for Growth;[14] National Rifle Association of America;[15] Tea Party Express;[16] John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ);[17] Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (R-FL);[18] Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey;[19] Afghanistan & Iraq Veterans for Congress (AIVC);[20] Buckeye Firearms Association[21] National Right to Life Committee;[22] Ohio Right to Life;[23] and National Federation of Independent Business[24]

Results

Results by county:
  Mandel
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Josh Mandel 586,556 63.02%
Republican Michael Pryce 132,205 14.20%
Republican Donna Glisman 115,621 12.42%
Republican David Dodt 47,933 5.15%
Republican Eric Gregory 47,740 5.13%
Republican Russell Bliss (write-in) 644 0.07%
Total votes 930,699 100.00%
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General election

Candidates

Debates

Campaign

U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown defeated two-term incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike DeWine 56%-44% in the 2006 election. Over the next six years, he established a very progressive, and populist record. The National Journal named Brown the most liberal U.S. Senator in the past two years.[27] The Washington Post called him a "modern-day Paul Wellstone." One article said "Brown is way to the left of Ohio in general, but probably the only person who could outwork Brown is Portman."[28] Brown is the only candidate the 60 Plus Association targeted in the 2012 election cycle.[29]

Mandel, 34, was elected state treasurer in 2010. Before that, he was a Lyndhurst City Councilman and Ohio State Representative. He was criticized as Ohio Treasurer for not fulfilling his pledge to serve a four-year term and for not attending any of the Board of Deposit monthly meetings.[30] However, Mandel raised a lot of money. He was called a rising star in the Republican Party and was called "the rock star of the party." He was also compared to Marco Rubio.[31]

Mandel's campaign was singled out by the independent fact-checking group Politifact for its "casual relationship with the truth" and its tendency to "double down" after inaccuracies were pointed out. The fact-checking group wrote: "For all the gifts Mandel has, from his compelling personal narrative as an Iraq war veteran to a well-oiled fundraising machine, whoppers are fast becoming a calling card of his candidacy."[32]

Mandel raised $7.2 million through the first quarter of 2012. He had $5.3 million cash on hand, trailing Brown's $6.3 million.[33] However, Mandel benefited from massive support from conservative out-of-state superPACs, which raise unlimited amounts of money from anonymous donors. These outside groups, including Crossroads GPS, aired over $60 million in TV advertising supporting Mandel and attacking Brown,[34] outspending Democratically aligned outside groups by more than five-to-one.[35] Mandel's campaign was aided by over $1 million spent primarily on attack ads by a 501(c)(4) organization called the Government Integrity Fund. The group was funded by anonymous donors and run by lobbyist Tom Norris of Columbus, Ohio-based Cap Square Solutions.[36]

Endorsements

Brown was endorsed by the Cleveland Plain Dealer,[37] the Columbus Dispatch,[38] the Toledo Blade,[39] the Youngstown Vindicator,[40] The Cincinnati Enquirer,[41] and the Akron Beacon-Journal.[42]

Mandel was endorsed by the Warren Tribune-Chronicle[43] and the Marietta Times.[44]

Fundraising

More information Candidate (party), Receipts ...
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Sherrod Brown (D) $8,132,882 $3,379,775 $6,273,316 $0
Josh Mandel (R) $7,286,390 $1,999,397 $5,286,993 $0
Scott Rupert (I) $3,153 $2,594 $389 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[45][46][47]
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Top contributors

[48]

More information Sherrod Brown, Contribution ...
Sherrod Brown Contribution Josh Mandel Contribution
JStreetPAC $71,175 Club for Growth $172,904
Ohio State University $69,470 Senate Conservatives Fund $114,400
Kohrman, Jackson & Krantz $59,500 Suarez Corp $90,000
Cleveland Clinic $57,971 Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman $41,600
Forest City Enterprises $51,600 American Financial Group $32,750
American Electric Power $42,350 Cintas Corp $30,000
Squire Sanders $39,400 Sullivan & Cromwell $25,475
Baker & Hostetler $38,906 Susquehanna International Group $22,500
Case Western Reserve University $35,450 Timken Company $22,500
Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease $34,167 Crawford Group $22,000
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Top industries

[49]

More information Sherrod Brown, Contribution ...
Sherrod Brown Contribution Josh Mandel Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,587,113 Retired $480,900
Retired $942,717 Financial Institutions $397,140
Health Professionals $536,954 Real Estate $371,057
Real Estate $435,066 Lawyers/Law Firms $362,515
Lobbyists $393,651 Leadership PACs $320,050
Education $369,722 Republican/Conservative $278,924
Leadership PACs $318,975 Manufacturing & Distributing $276,600
Hospitals/Nursing Homes $286,072 Misc Finance $205,350
Insurance $223,983 Retail Industry $166,650
Financial Institutions $204,350 Pro-Israel $163,000
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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[50] Lean D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[52] Lean D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[53] Lean D November 5, 2012
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Josh
Mandel (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[54] March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1% 48% 32% 21%
Quinnipiac[55] May 10–16, 2011 1,379 ±2.6% 45% 31% 2% 21%
Public Policy Polling[56] May 19–22, 2011 565 ±4.1% 48% 31% 21%
Quinnipiac[57] July 12–18, 2011 1,659 ±4.1% 49% 34% 1% 16%
Public Policy Polling[58] August 11–14, 2011 792 ±3.5% 48% 33% 19%
Quinnipiac[59] September 20–25, 2011 1,301 ±2.7% 49% 36% 13%
Public Policy Polling[60] October 13–16, 2011 581 ±4.1% 48% 40% 12%
Quinnipiac[61] October 17–23, 2011 1,668 ±2.4% 49% 34% 1% 14%
Public Policy Polling[62] November 4–6, 2011 1,421 ±2.6% 48% 35% 14%
Quinnipiac[63] January 9–16, 2012 1,610 ±2.4% 47% 32% 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling[64] January 28–29, 2012 820 ±3.4% 47% 36% 17%
Rasmussen Reports[65] February 8, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 40% 4% 12%
Quinnipiac[66] February 7–12, 2012 500 ±4.5% 48% 35% 4% 17%
NBC News/Marist[67] February 29 – March 2, 2012 3,079 ±1.8% 47% 37% 16%
Quinnipiac[68] March 20–26, 2012 1,246 ±2.8% 46% 36% 3% 14%
Rasmussen Reports[69] March 26, 2012 500 ±4.5% 43% 43% 3% 11%
Rasmussen Reports[70] April 18, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 3–6, 2012 875 ±3.3% 45% 37% 19%
Quinnipiac[72] May 2–7, 2012 1,069 ±3.0% 46% 40% 1% 13%
NBC News/Marist[73] May 17–20, 2012 1,103 ±3.0% 51% 37% 12%
Rasmussen Reports[74] May 29, 2012 500 ±4.5% 47% 42% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling[75] June 21–24, 2012 673 ±3.8% 46% 39% 15%
Quinnipiac[76] June 19–25, 2012 1,237 ±2.8% 50% 34% 1% 14%
Rasmussen Reports[77] July 18, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 42% 4% 8%
Magellan Strategies[78] July 23–24, 2012 597 ±4.0% 45% 38% 12% 5%
Quinnipiac[79] July 24–30, 2012 1,193 ±2.8% 51% 39% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports[80] August 13, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 44% 3% 9%
Quinnipiac[81] August 15–21, 2012 1,253 ±2.8% 48% 45% 1% 10%
Ohio Poll[82] August 16–21, 2012 847 ±3.4% 48% 47% 5%
Columbus Dispatch[83] August 15–25, 2012 1,758 ±2.1% 44% 44% 12%
Gravis Marketing[84] September 7–8, 2012 1,548 ±2.7% 47% 42% 11%
Public Policy Polling[85] September 7–9, 2012 1,072 ±3.0% 48% 40% 11%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[86] September 9–11, 2012 979 ±3.1% 49% 42% 9%
Rasmussen Reports[87] September 12, 2012 500 ±4.5% 49% 41% 3% 7%
Ohio Newspaper Organization[88] September 13–18, 2012 861 ±3.3% 52% 45% 1% 2%
Fox News Poll[89] September 16–18, 2012 1,009 ±3.0% 47% 40% 1% 9%
Gravis Marketing[90] September 21–22, 2012 594 ±4.3% 44% 43% 13%
The Washington Post[91] September 19–23, 2012 934 ±4.0% 53% 41% 6%
CBS/The New York Times/Quinnipiac[92] September 18–24, 2012 1,162 ±4.0% 50% 40% 10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[93] September 30 – October 1, 2012 931 ±3.2% 50% 41% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[94] October 4, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 46% 2% 6%
SurveyUSA[95] October 5–8, 2012 808 ±3.5% 42% 38% 4% 16%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[96] October 7–9, 2012 994 ±3.1% 52% 41% 1% 6%
Rasmussen Reports[97] October 10, 2012 500 ±4.5% 47% 46% 2% 4%
Public Policy Polling[98] October 12–13, 2012 880 ±3.3% 49% 42% 9%
Survey USA[99] October 12–15, 2012 613 ±4.0% 43% 38% 4% 14%
Rasmussen Reports[100] October 17, 2012 750 ±4.0% 49% 44% 1% 5%
CBS News/Quinnipiac[101] October 17–20, 2012 1,548 ±3.0% 51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling[102] October 18–20, 2012 532 ±4.3% 49% 44% 7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[103] October 18–20, 2012 550 ±4.2% 52% 45% 3%
Suffolk[104] October 18–21, 2012 600 unknown 46% 39% 6% 10%
Pharos Research[105] October 19–21, 2012 810 ±3.4% 52% 41% 7%
SurveyUSA[106] October 20–22, 2012 725 ±4.2% 43% 42% 3% 12%
Rasmussen Reports[107] October 23, 2012 750 ±4.0% 48% 44% 2% 5%
The Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News[108] October 18–23, 2012 1,015 ±3.1% 51% 47% 1% 2%
Gravis Marketing[109] October 27, 2012 730 ±3.6% 48% 47% 5%
CBS/Quinnipiac University[110] October 23–28, 2012 1,110 ±3.0% 51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling[111] October 26–28, 2012 718 ±3.7% 53% 42% 6%
Pharos Research[112] October 26–28, 2012 765 ±3.5% 53% 43% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[113] October 28, 2012 750 ±4.0% 50% 48% 1% 1%
SurveyUSA[114] October 26–29, 2012 603 ±4.1% 46% 41% 3% 10%
University of Cincinnati/Ohio Poll[115] October 25–30, 2012 1,182 ±2.9% 49% 44% 4% 3%
Reuters/Ipsos[116] October 29–31, 2012 885 ±3.8% 49% 41% 4% 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[117] October 31 – November 1, 2012 971 ±3.1% 50% 45% 1% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[118] November 1, 2012 750 ±4.0% 48% 48% 2% 2%
Columbus Dispatch[119] October 24 – November 3, 2012 1,501 ±2.2% 51% 45% 4%
Ohio Poll/Univ. of Cincinnati[120] October 31 – November 4, 2012 901 ±3.3% 51% 47% 3%
SurveyUSA[121] November 1–4, 2012 803 ±3.5% 44% 41% 4% 9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[122] November 2–4, 2012 572 ±4.1% 52% 46% 2%
Public Policy Polling[123] November 3–4, 2012 1,000 ±3.1% 54% 44% 3%
Rasmussen Reports[124] November 4, 2012 750 ±4% 50% 48% 1% 1%
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Hypothetical polling

Democratic primary

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown
Other/
Undecided
American Public Polling[125] January 23, 2012 1,600 ±3% 77% 23%
American Public Polling[126] February 6, 2012 1,600 ±3% 84% 16%
American Public Polling[127] February 13, 2012 1,600 ±3% 81% 19%
American Public Polling[128] February 20–27, 2012 1,600 ±3% 91% 9%
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Republican primary

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Coughlin
Josh
Mandel
Other/
Undecided
Quinnipiac[129] July 12–18, 2011 563 ±4.1% 12% 35% 46%
Public Policy Polling[130] August 11–14, 2011 400 ±4.9% 12% 31% 57%
Quinnipiac[131] September 20–25, 2011 423 ±4.8% 12% 33% 53%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ken
Blackwell
Kevin
Coughlin
Josh
Mandel
Other/
Undecided
Quinnipiac[132] May 10–16, 2011 1,379 ±2.6% 33% 5% 17% 46%
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General election

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Ken
Blackwell (R)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac[133] May 10–16, 2011 1,379 ±2.6% 44% 35% 2% 18%
Public Policy Polling[134] May 19–22, 2011 565 ±4.1% 51% 33% 15%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Drew
Carey (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[135] March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1% 49% 34% 17%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Kevin
Coughlin (R)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac[136] May 10–16, 2011 1,379 ±2.6% 44% 28% 3% 23%
Public Policy Polling[137] May 19–22, 2011 565 ±4.1% 51% 30% 19%
Quinnipiac[138] July 12–18, 2011 1,659 ±4.1% 50% 32% 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling[139] August 11–14, 2011 792 ±3.5% 47% 33% 20%
Quinnipiac[140] September 20–25, 2011 1,301 ±2.7% 53% 32% 13%
Public Policy Polling[141] October 13–16, 2011 581 ±4.1% 48% 37% 15%
Quinnipiac[142] October 17–23, 2011 1,668 ±2.4% 51% 30% 1% 16%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Mike
DeWine (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[143] December 10–12, 2010 510 ±4.3% 43% 43% 14%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jon
Husted (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[144] December 10–12, 2010 510 ±4.3% 43% 38% 18%
Public Policy Polling[145] March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1% 49% 34% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jim
Jordan (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[146] December 10–12, 2010 510 ±4.3% 43% 35% 22%
Public Policy Polling[147] March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1% 49% 30% 21%
Public Policy Polling[148] May 19–22, 2011 565 ±4.1% 49% 31% 21%
Public Policy Polling[149] August 11–14, 2011 792 ±3.5% 47% 35% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Steve
LaTourette (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[150] March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1% 48% 30% 22%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Mary
Taylor (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[151] December 10–12, 2010 510 ±4.3% 40% 38% 22%
Public Policy Polling[152] March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1% 49% 30% 21%
Public Policy Polling[153] May 19–22, 2011 565 ±4.1% 50% 31% 19%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jim
Tressel (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[154] August 11–14, 2011 792 ±3.5% 46% 34% 20%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
United States Senate election in Ohio, 2012[155]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 2,762,766 50.70% −5.46%
Republican Josh Mandel 2,435,744 44.70% +0.88%
Independent Scott Rupert 250,618 4.60% N/A
Total votes 5,449,128 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Brown won six of 16 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans to the House.[156]

More information District, Brown ...
District Brown Mandel Representative
1st 47.20% 49.13% Steve Chabot
2nd 44.52% 51.01% Jean Schmidt (112th Congress)
Brad Wenstrup (113th Congress)
3rd 68.41% 27.73% Mike Turner (112th Congress)
Joyce Beatty (113th Congress)
4th 40.48% 54.19% Jim Jordan
5th 43.26% 51.76% Bob Latta
6th 44.46% 49.92% Bill Johnson
7th 44.18% 49.81% Steve Austria (112th Congress)
Bob Gibbs (113th Congress)
8th 36.53% 58.92% John Boehner
9th 66.47% 28.93% Marcy Kaptur
10th 48.52% 47.74% Dennis Kucinich (112th Congress)
Mike Turner (113th Congress)
11th 81.90% 15.71% Marcia Fudge
12th 44.27% 51.09% Pat Tiberi
13th 63.80% 30.99% Betty Sutton (112th Congress)
Tim Ryan (113th Congress)
14th 48.07% 47.14% Steve LaTourette (112th Congress)
Dave Joyce (113th Congress)
15th 46.15% 48.89% Steve Stivers
16th 46.46% 48.47% Jim Renacci
Close

See also

References

Related Articles

Timelines

Top Qs

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