2014 California gubernatorial election

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The 2014 California gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick facts Turnout, Candidate ...
2014 California gubernatorial election
← 2010
November 4, 2014
2018 →
Turnout30.94% (Decrease28.65 pp)
 
Candidate Jerry Brown Neel Kashkari
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 4,388,368 2,929,213
Percentage 59.97% 40.03%
Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Kashkari:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Jerry Brown
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Jerry Brown
Democratic

Close

Incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown ran for election to a second consecutive and fourth overall term in office. Although governors are limited to lifetime service of two terms in office, Brown previously served as governor from 1975 to 1983, and the law only affects terms served after November 6, 1990.[1][2][3]

A primary election was held on June 3, 2014. Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington is the only other state with this system, a top two primary (Louisiana has a similar primary). Brown and Republican Neel Kashkari finished first and second, respectively,[4] which Brown won. He won the largest gubernatorial victory since 1986, "despite running a virtually nonexistent campaign."[5] This was the first time since 1978 that a Democrat carried Nevada County.

Primary election

Republican candidate Kashkari campaigns at the San Diego LGBT Pride Parade.

A certified list of candidates was released by the secretary of state on March 27, 2014. The primary election took place on Tuesday, June 3, 2014, from 7am to 8pm.[6]

Party candidacies

Democratic Party

Declared
Withdrew
  • Geby Espinosa, gym owner
  • Hanala Sagal, author and fitness personality
  • Michael Strimling, attorney
Declined

Republican Party

Declared
Withdrew
Declined

Libertarian Party

Declined

Green Party

Declared

American Independent Party

Endorsed Tim Donnelly[28]

Withdrew

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

Independent

Declared
  • Bogdan Ambrozewicz, small business owner, Independent candidate for the State Senate in 2012 and Republican candidate for the State Assembly in 2011[30]
  • Janel Buycks, minister/business owner[14][31]
  • Rakesh Kumar Christian, small business owner, independent candidate for governor in 2010[7]
  • Joe Leicht, golf course operator[14]
  • Robert Newman, psychologist, farmer and Republican candidate for governor in 2003, 2006, and 2010[14]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jerry
Brown (D)		 Andrew
Blount (R)		 Tim
Donnelly (R)		 Neel
Kashkari (R)		 Abel
Maldonado (R)		 Other Undecided
GQR[32] May 21–28, 2014 626 ± 4.4% 50% — 13% 18% — 5% 14%
SurveyUSA[33] May 16–19, 2014 610 ± 4% 57% — 18% 11% — 4% 10%
PPIC[34] May 8–15, 2014 901 ± 4.9% 48% — 15% 10% — 1% 27%
PPIC[35] April 8–15, 2014 944 ± 5.1% 46% 3% 9% 2% — 2% 38%
Field Poll[36] March 18–April 5, 2014 504 ± 4.5% 57% 3% 17% 2% — 1% 20%
PPIC[37] March 11–18, 2014 936 ± 4.7% 47% 2% 10% 2% — 3% 36%
Field Poll[38] November 15–December 3, 2013 836 ± 3.5% 52% — 9% 3% 11% — 25%
PPIC[39] November 12–19, 2013 1,081 ± 4.5% 46% — 16% — 7% 1% 29%
Close
Polling with all candidates listed
More information Party, Candidate ...
Clear Path Strategies poll of 1,000 likely voters, April 2–6, 2014. MoE: ±?
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerry Brown (incumbent) – 45.6
Republican Tim Donnelly – 18.3
Republican Glenn Champ – 7.3
Republican Andrew Blount – 5.4
Republican Alma Marie Winston – 4.1
Republican Neel Kashkari – 3.8
No party preference Robert Newman – 3.1
Democratic Akinyemi Agbede – 2.8
Green Luis J. Rodriguez – 2.6
Peace and Freedom Cindy Sheehan – 2.3
Republican Richard William Aguirre – 1.7
No party preference "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz – 0.9
No party preference Janel Hyeshia Buycks – 0.8
No party preference Rakesh Kumar Christian – 0.7
No party preference Joe Leicht – 0.6
Total votes – 100
Close

Results

Results by county:
  Donnelly ≥ 30%
  Brown ≥ 30%
  Brown ≥ 40%
  Brown ≥ 50%
  Brown ≥ 60%
  Brown ≥ 70%
  Brown ≥ 80%
More information Party, Candidate ...
California gubernatorial primary election, 2014[40]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerry Brown (incumbent) 2,354,769 54.34%
Republican Neel Kashkari 839,767 19.38%
Republican Tim Donnelly 643,236 14.85%
Republican Andrew Blount 89,749 2.07%
Republican Glenn Champ 76,066 1.76%
Green Luis J. Rodriguez 66,872 1.54%
Peace and Freedom Cindy Sheehan 52,707 1.22%
Republican Alma Marie Winston 46,042 1.06%
No party preference Robert Newman 44,120 1.02%
Democratic Akinyemi Agbede 37,024 0.85%
Republican Richard William Aguirre 35,125 0.81%
No party preference "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz 14,929 0.35%
No party preference Janel Hyeshia Buycks 12,136 0.28%
No party preference Rakesh Kumar Christian 11,142 0.26%
No party preference Joe Leicht 9,307 0.22%
Write-In Karen Jill Bernal 17 <0.01%
Write-In Nickolas Wildstar 17 <0.01%
Write-In Jimelle L. Walls 3 <0.01%
Total votes 4,333,028 100.00%
Turnout   14.67%
Close

General election

Debates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[41] Solid D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] Safe D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[43] Safe D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[44] Safe D November 3, 2014
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jerry
Brown (D)		 Neel
Kashkari (R)		 Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics[45] October 28–31, 2014 705 ± 3.8% 51% 33% 16%
GQR/American Viewpoint[46] October 22–29, 2014 1,162 ± 3.3% 56% 37% — 7%
Field Poll[47] October 15–28, 2014 941 ± 3.4% 54% 33% — 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] October 16–23, 2014 7,463 ± 2% 55% 37% 1% 8%
PPIC[49] October 12–19, 2014 1,704 ± 3.5% 52% 36% — 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] September 20 – October 1, 2014 7,943 ± 2% 56% 36% 1% 7%
PPIC[50] September 8–15, 2014 916 ± 4.9% 54% 33% 2% 11%
LA Times/USC[51] September 2–9, 2014 1,089 ± 3.3% 57% 36% — 7%
GQR/AV[52] September 2–8, 2014 8,941 ± 2% 57% 32% — 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[53] August 18 – September 2, 2014 8,941 ± 2% 53% 35% 2% 10%
Field Poll[54] August 14–28, 2014 467 ± 4.8% 50% 34% — 16%
Gravis Marketing[55] July 22–24, 2014 580 ± 4% 52% 35% — 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[56] July 5–24, 2014 9,393 ± ? 57% 33% 3% 7%
PPIC[57] July 8–15, 2014 984 ± 4.7% 52% 33% 4% 11%
Field Poll[58] June 5–22, 2014 2,013 ± 3.2% 52% 32% 0% 16%
Rasmussen Reports[59] June 4–5, 2014 823 ± 4% 52% 33% 5% 10%
GQR[32] May 21–28, 2014 626 ± 4.4% 53% 35% 2% 9%
MFour/Tulchin Research[60] August 27–30, 2013 1,001 ± 3.5% 44% 15% 8% 33%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jerry
Brown (D)		 Tim
Donnelly (R)		 Other Undecided
GQR[32] May 21–28, 2014 626 ± 4.4% 54% 32% 3% 11%
PPIC[61] January 14–21, 2014 1,706 ± 3.8% 53% 17% — 30%
MFour/Tulchin Research[62] August 27–30, 2013 1,001 ± 3.5% 43% 21% 7% 30%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jerry
Brown (D)		 Abel
Maldonado (R)		 Other Undecided
MFour/Tulchin Research[62] August 27–30, 2013 1,001 ± 3.5% 42% 21% 9% 29%
Close

Results

Brown won easily, by nearly twenty points. He outperformed his majority margin from 2010. As expected, Brown did very well in Los Angeles and in the San Francisco Bay Area. Kashkari conceded defeat right after the polls closed in California.

More information Party, Candidate ...
2014 California gubernatorial election[63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jerry Brown (incumbent) 4,388,368 59.97% +6.20%
Republican Neel Kashkari 2,929,213 40.03% −0.86%
Total votes 7,317,581 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information County, Jerry Brown Democratic ...
County[64] Jerry Brown
Democratic		 Neel Kashkari
Republican		 Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Alameda 293,081 82.17% 63,593 17.83% 229,488 64.34% 356,674
Alpine 284 61.87% 175 38.13% 109 23.75% 459
Amador 5,682 44.55% 7,071 55.45% -1,389 -10.89% 12,753
Butte 29,520 47.79% 32,249 52.21% -2,729 -4.42% 61,769
Calaveras 6,870 43.73% 8,841 56.27% -1,971 -12.55% 15,711
Colusa 1,789 42.73% 2,398 57.27% -609 -14.55% 4,187
Contra Costa 174,403 68.65% 79,660 31.35% 94,743 37.29% 254,063
Del Norte 3,488 49.64% 3,539 50.36% -51 -0.73% 7,027
El Dorado 27,916 45.50% 33,443 54.50% -5,527 -9.01% 61,359
Fresno 76,143 47.62% 83,744 52.38% -7,601 -4.75% 159,887
Glenn 2,049 34.40% 3,908 65.60% -1,859 -31.21% 5,957
Humboldt 24,003 64.61% 13,146 35.39% 10,857 29.23% 37,149
Imperial 13,457 64.26% 7,484 35.74% 5,973 28.52% 20,941
Inyo 2,317 42.68% 3,112 57.32% -795 -14.64% 5,429
Kern 54,269 40.90% 78,417 59.10% -24,148 -18.20% 132,686
Kings 8,752 39.20% 13,575 60.80% -4,823 -21.60% 22,327
Lake 10,722 61.28% 6,775 38.72% 3,947 22.56% 17,497
Lassen 2,213 32.44% 4,609 67.56% -2,396 -35.12% 6,822
Los Angeles 978,142 66.84% 485,186 33.16% 492,956 33.69% 1,463,328
Madera 9,974 37.22% 16,825 62.78% -6,851 -25.56% 26,799
Marin 69,751 79.35% 18,147 20.65% 51,604 58.71% 87,898
Mariposa 2,499 38.23% 4,038 61.77% -1,539 -23.54% 6,537
Mendocino 17,340 71.76% 6,825 28.24% 10,515 43.51% 24,165
Merced 18,945 50.13% 18,848 49.87% 97 0.26% 37,793
Modoc 770 27.20% 2,061 72.80% -1,291 -45.60% 2,831
Mono 1,632 53.09% 1,442 46.91% 190 6.18% 3,074
Monterey 51,315 69.43% 22,591 30.57% 28,724 38.87% 73,906
Napa 25,846 68.19% 12,059 31.81% 13,787 36.37% 37,905
Nevada 20,976 54.63% 17,419 45.37% 3,557 9.26% 38,395
Orange 275,707 44.43% 344,817 55.57% -69,110 -11.14% 620,524
Placer 51,241 45.41% 61,604 54.59% -10,363 -9.18% 112,845
Plumas 2,966 41.75% 4,139 58.25% -1,173 -16.51% 7,105
Riverside 165,340 47.09% 185,805 52.91% -20,465 -5.83% 351,145
Sacramento 202,416 62.33% 122,342 37.67% 80,074 24.66% 324,758
San Benito 8,654 63.52% 4,969 36.48% 3,685 27.05% 13,623
San Bernardino 134,417 46.86% 152,458 53.14% -18,041 -6.29% 286,875
San Diego 346,419 51.07% 331,942 48.93% 14,477 2.13% 678,361
San Francisco 196,745 88.15% 26,442 11.85% 170,303 76.31% 223,187
San Joaquin 62,614 53.54% 54,331 46.46% 8,283 7.08% 116,945
San Luis Obispo 46,606 54.32% 39,186 45.68% 7,420 8.65% 85,792
San Mateo 120,280 75.22% 39,615 24.78% 80,665 50.45% 159,895
Santa Barbara 64,912 58.26% 46,503 41.74% 18,409 16.52% 111,415
Santa Clara 288,732 72.94% 107,113 27.06% 181,619 45.88% 395,845
Santa Cruz 56,977 78.61% 15,499 21.39% 41,478 57.23% 72,476
Shasta 21,509 38.06% 35,007 61.94% -13,498 -23.88% 56,516
Sierra 679 44.21% 857 55.79% -178 -11.59% 1,536
Siskiyou 6,103 44.16% 7,717 55.84% -1,614 -11.68% 13,820
Solano 57,874 64.57% 31,754 35.43% 26,120 29.14% 89,628
Sonoma 107,328 74.75% 36,249 25.25% 71,079 49.51% 143,577
Stanislaus 46,566 51.54% 43,786 48.46% 2,780 3.08% 90,352
Sutter 8,688 42.73% 11,644 57.27% -2,956 -14.54% 20,332
Tehama 5,408 35.21% 9,952 64.79% -4,544 -29.58% 15,360
Trinity 1,711 44.17% 2,163 55.83% -452 -11.67% 3,874
Tulare 23,708 38.42% 37,996 61.58% -14,288 -23.16% 61,704
Tuolumne 7,951 46.75% 9,058 53.25% -1,107 -6.51% 17,009
Ventura 106,072 53.07% 93,797 46.93% 12,275 6.14% 199,869
Yolo 31,431 69.12% 14,043 30.88% 17,388 38.24% 45,474
Yuba 5,166 41.62% 7,245 58.38% -2,079 -16.75% 12,411
Total4,388,36859.97%2,929,21340.03%1,459,15519.94%7,317,581
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Brown won 41 of 53 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.[65]

More information District, Brown ...
District Brown Kashkari Representative
1st 43% 57% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 73% 27% Jared Huffman
3rd 56% 44% John Garamendi
4th 45% 55% Tom McClintock
5th 73% 27% Mike Thompson
6th 73% 27% Doris Matsui
7th 56% 44% Ami Bera
8th 38% 62% Paul Cook
9th 55% 45% Jerry McNerney
10th 52% 48% Jeff Denham
11th 70% 30% Mark DeSaulnier
12th 89% 11% Nancy Pelosi
13th 91% 9% Barbara Lee
14th 78% 22% Jackie Speier
15th 70% 30% Eric Swalwell
16th 54% 46% Jim Costa
17th 75% 25% Mike Honda
18th 72% 28% Anna Eshoo
19th 73% 27% Zoe Lofgren
20th 73% 27% Sam Farr
21st 52% 48% David Valadao
22nd 40% 60% Devin Nunes
23rd 35% 65% Kevin McCarthy
24th 57% 43% Lois Capps
25th 43% 57% Steve Knight
26th 55% 45% Julia Brownley
27th 62% 38% Judy Chu
28th 71% 29% Adam Schiff
29th 74% 26% Tony Cárdenas
30th 64% 36% Brad Sherman
31st 52% 48% Pete Aguilar
32nd 60% 40% Grace Napolitano
33rd 62% 38% Ted Lieu
34th 84% 16% Xavier Becerra
35th 61% 39% Norma Torres
36th 53% 47% Raul Ruiz
37th 84% 16% Karen Bass
38th 60% 40% Linda Sánchez
39th 44% 56% Ed Royce
40th 76% 24% Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st 54% 46% Mark Takano
42nd 37% 63% Ken Calvert
43rd 73% 27% Maxine Waters
44th 80% 20% Janice Hahn
45th 41% 59% Mimi Walters
46th 59% 41% Loretta Sánchez
47th 57% 43% Alan Lowenthal
48th 42% 58% Dana Rohrabacher
49th 45% 55% Darrell Issa
50th 36% 64% Duncan Hunter
51st 66% 34% Juan Vargas
52nd 52% 48% Scott Peters
53rd 60% 40% Susan Davis
Close

By city

More information By municipality, City ...
Close

Notes

  1. [a]
    City not incorporated until after 2010 election

References

External links

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