2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

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The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including governor of Maine and United States Senate. The primary elections were held on June 10, 2014.

Quick facts All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

 2012
November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
2016 

All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Last election 2 0 0
Seats won 1 1 0
Seat change Decrease1 Increase1 Steady0
Popular vote 305,230 228,059 59,058
Percentage 51.53% 38.50% 9.97%
Swing Decrease10.13% Increase0.16% Increase9.97%

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This election marked the first time since 1994 that Maine elected a Republican into the House of Representatives.

Overview

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine by district:[1]

More information District, Democratic ...
District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1186,67460.43%94,75130.68%27,4738.89%308,898100.0%Democratic hold
District 2118,56841.83%133,32047.03%31,58511.14%283,473100.0%Republican gain
Total305,24251.53%228,07138.50%59,0589.97%592,371100.0%
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District 1

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2014 Maine's 1st congressional district election

 2012
2016 
 
Nominee Chellie Pingree Isaac Misiuk Richard P. Murphy
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Popular vote 186,674 94,751 27,410
Percentage 60.4% 30.7% 8.9%

County results
Pingree:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

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The 1st district includes covers the southern coastal area of the state, including all of Cumberland, Knox, Lincoln, Sagadahoc and York counties and most of Kennebec County. Located within the district are the cities of Portland, Augusta, Brunswick and Saco. The incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 30,950 100.0
Total votes 30,950 100.0
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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Isaac Misiuk 17,061 100.0
Total votes 17,061 100.0
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Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2014 Maine's 1st congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chellie Pingree Isaac Misiuk Richard Murphy
1 Oct. 6, 2014 Bangor Daily News
WGME-TV
WPFO
Gregg Lagerquist [8][9][10] P P P
1 Oct. 9, 2014 Maine Public Broadcasting Network Jennifer Rooks [11] P P P
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Endorsements

Chellie Pingree (D)
Issac Misiuk (R)

U.S. senators

State officials

Declined to endorse

Organizations

  • Sportsman's Alliance of Maine[15]

Newspapers

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Issac
Misiuk (R)
Richard
Murphy (I)
Other Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center[17] October 31–November 2, 2014 419 ± 4.79% 56% 30% 7% 7%
Pan Atlantic/SMS Group[18] October 15–21, 2014 206 ± 6.8% 62% 18% 6% 14%
University of New Hampshire[19] October 15–21, 2014 297 ± 5.5% 57% 19% 10% 13%
Critical Insights[20] September 24–30, 2014 311 ± 4% 53% 19% 10% 17%
Pan Atlantic SMS[21] September 23–29, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 51% 9% 10% 30%
University of New Hampshire[22] September 18–25, 2014 220 ± 6.2% 66% 13% 0% 4% 17%
University of New Hampshire[23] June 12–18, 2014 305 ± 6.5% 56% 22% 2% 20%
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Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg[25] Safe D October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe D October 30, 2014
RCP Safe D November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[27] Safe D November 4, 2014
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Maine's 1st congressional district, 2014[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 186,674 60.4
Republican Isaac J. Misiuk 94,751 30.7
Independent Richard P. Murphy 27,410 8.9
n/a Write-ins 63 0.0
Total votes 308,898 100.0
Democratic hold
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District 2

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2014 Maine's 2nd congressional district election

 2012
2016 
 
Nominee Bruce Poliquin Emily Cain Blaine Richardson
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 133,308 118,556 31,336
Percentage 47.0% 41.8% 11.1%

County results
Poliquin:      40–50%      50%–60%
Cain:      40–50%      50%–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Michaud
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bruce Poliquin
Republican

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The 2nd district covers 27,326 square miles (70,770 km2), comprising nearly 80% of the state's total land area. It is the largest district east of the Mississippi River and the 24th-largest overall. It is the second-most rural district in the United States, with 72.11% of its population in rural areas, behind only Kentucky's 5th congressional district. It includes most of the land area north of the Portland and Augusta metropolitan areas, including the cities of Bangor, Lewiston, Auburn and Presque Isle. The incumbent Democrat Mike Michaud, who had represented the district since 2003, did not seek re-election, and was selected as the Democratic nominee for governor of Maine in the 2014 election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+2.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Troy Dale Jackson

State legislators

Labor unions

Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Emily
Cain
Troy Dale
Jackson
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[42] June 2–3, 2014 810 ±3.4% 60% 25% 15%
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Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Baldacci
Emily
Cain
Matthew
Dunlap
Troy Dale
Jackson
Jeff
McCabe
Janet
Mills
Alden
Smith
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[43] August 23–25, 2013 561 ± 4.1% 31% 22% 15% 2% 30%
Public Policy Polling[44] June 26–27, 2013 633 ± 3.9% 19% 18% 8% 9% 3% 15% 28%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emily Cain 19,906 71.0
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson 8,116 29.0
Total votes 28,022 100.0
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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Bruce Poliquin

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Kevin Raye

State legislators

Organizations

Newspapers

Declined to endorse

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Poliquin
Kevin
Raye
Blaine
Richardson
Richard
Rosen
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Raye)[65] November 4–5, 2013 310 ± 5.57% 18% 42% 3% 5% 32%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Poliquin 19,736 56.8
Republican Kevin Raye 14,987 43.2
Total votes 34,723 100.0
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Independents

Candidates

Declared
  • Blaine Richardson, United States Navy veteran, and Republican candidate for the seat in 2012 (unenrolled as a Republican, running as an independent)[48]

General election

Campaign

Bruce Poliquin resisted invitations to debates where Blaine Richardson would be present, including one sponsored by MPBN. Political observers stated this might have been due to Richardson's potential to split the conservative vote. Emily Cain expressed support for Richardson being present at debates and said she would only attend debates where both of the other candidates were present.[66] A debate to be held on WMTW-TV was cancelled after Cain pulled out to protest Richardson not being invited. WMTW said they and their parent company, Hearst Television, had strict criteria for invitations to debates that Richardson did not meet. These criteria included holding large campaign events, fundraising, and performance in polling, all of which WMTW said were not met.[67]

On August 29, Richardson revealed, and Poliquin's campaign confirmed, that Richardson had rejected a request from Poliquin to quit the race. A Poliquin spokesman stated the phone call was made because Richardson had "no chance" to win and seemed "more interested in working with Emily Cain to bash Bruce rather than have a discussion about the future". Richardson said he would stay in the race and he was "so fed up with the parties, both of them". He also said that Poliquin asking him to quit had been one of the biggest boosts for his campaign.[68]

Debates

Endorsements

Emily Cain (D)

U.S. senators

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Individuals

  • Maj. Gen. (retired) John Libby, former head of the Maine National Guard and former commissioner of the Maine Department of Defense, Veterans, and Emergency Management[70]
Declined to endorse

Organizations

  • Sportsman's Alliance of Maine[15]

Newspapers

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Emily
Cain (D)
Bruce
Poliquin (R)
Blaine
Richardson (I)
Other Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center[17] October 31–November 2, 2014 397 ± 4.92% 42% 43% 10% 5%
Pan Atlantic/SMS Group[18] October 15–21, 2014 186 ± 7% 39% 38% 8% 16%
University of New Hampshire[19] October 15–21, 2014 291 ± 5.5% 40% 41% 8% 9%
Normington Petts (D-Cain)[79] October 15–16, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 34% 8% 16%
Critical Insights[20] September 24–30, 2014 295 ± 4% 36% 41% 6% 16%
Pan Atlantic SMS[21] September 23–29, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 36% 33% 6% 25%
University of New Hampshire[22] September 18–25, 2014 220 ± 6.2% 30% 40% 3% 27%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Poliquin)[80] August 17–19, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 37% 33% 6% 24%
University of New Hampshire[23] June 12–18, 2014 222 ± 6.5% 44% 39% 0% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Raye)[65] November 4–5, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 37% 34% 29%
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Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Emily
Cain (D)
Kevin
Raye (R)
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies^[81] November 4–5, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 31% 45% 24%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Troy Dale
Jackson (D)
Bruce
Poliquin (R)
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies^[81] November 4–5, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 38% 33% 29%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Troy Dale
Jackson (D)
Kevin
Raye (R)
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies^[81] November 4–5, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 30% 45% 25%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg[25] Lean D October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Lean D October 30, 2014
RCP Tossup November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[27] Lean D November 4, 2014
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2014[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Poliquin 133,308 47.0
Democratic Emily Cain 118,556 41.8
Independent Blaine Richardson 31,336 11.1
n/a Write-ins 248 0.1
Total votes 283,448 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic
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See also

References

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