2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]
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November 4, 2014
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 County results Enzi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
- Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Former Vice President and Former U.S. Representative Dick Cheney[8]
Endorsements
Mike Enzi
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)[9]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)[10]
- Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)[10]
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[10]
- Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)[10]
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)[11]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008[11]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader[9]
- Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee[9]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)[12]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)[10]
- Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)[13]
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)
U.S. Ambassadors
- Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy[14]
Individuals
- Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[15]
- Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator[16]
- Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[17]
- Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[18]
Polling
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi |
Liz Cheney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[19] | July 17–18, 2013 | 422 | ± 4.77% | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 26% | 19% |
| Wickers Group ^[21] | August 22–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Wickers Group ^[21] | October 25–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 69% | 17% | 14% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney |
Cynthia Lummis |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
Results
Enzi
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 77,965 | 78.51% | |
| Republican | Bryan E. Miller | 9,330 | 9.39% | |
| Republican | James "Coaltrain" Gregory | 3,740 | 3.77% | |
| Republican | Thomas Bleming | 2,504 | 2.52% | |
| Republican | Arthur Bruce Clifton | 1,403 | 1.41% | |
| Republican | Write-in | 346 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | Over Votes | 51 | 0.05% | |
| Republican | Under Votes | 3,973 | 4.00% | |
| Total votes | 99,312 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Declined
- Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008[27]
Results
Hardy
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Wilde
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 7,200 | 39.33% | |
| Democratic | Rex Wilde | 3,012 | 16.46% | |
| Democratic | Al Hamburg | 2,988 | 16.32% | |
| Democratic | William Bryk | 1,670 | 9.12% | |
| Democratic | Write-in | 216 | 1.18% | |
| Democratic | Over Votes | 31 | 0.17% | |
| Democratic | Under Votes | 3,189 | 17.42% | |
| Total votes | 18,306 | 100.00% | ||
Independents and third parties
Candidates
Declared
- Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot[28]
- Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home[29]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[32] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[33] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Charlie Hardy (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34] | July 5–24, 2014 | 419 | ± 5.1% | 66% | 23% | 5% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[35] | August 20–21, 2014 | 700 | ± 4% | 63% | 27% | 4% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 350 | ± 8% | 66% | 21% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 264 | ± 7% | 75% | 17% | 2% | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] | October 16–23, 2014 | 258 | ± 11% | 67% | 27% | 0% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
With Enzi
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Dave Freudenthal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 54% | 31% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Gary Trauner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 66% | 19% | — | 14% |
With Cheney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Dave Freudenthal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Gary Trauner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 31% | — | 20% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 121,554 | 72.19% | −3.44% | |
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 29,377 | 17.45% | −6.81% | |
| Independent | Curt Gottshall | 13,311 | 7.90% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Joseph Porambo | 3,677 | 2.18% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 471 | 0.28% | +0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 168,390 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| Mike Enzi Republican |
Charlie Hardy Democrat |
Curt Gottshall Independent |
All Others | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % |
| Albany | 5,672 | 55.3% | 3,276 | 31.9% | 1,041 | 10.1% | 274 | 2.7% |
| Big Horn | 3,398 | 81.9% | 351 | 8.5% | 248 | 6.0% | 254 | 3.7% |
| Campbell | 8,903 | 83.6% | 716 | 6.7% | 703 | 6.6% | 229 | 3.1% |
| Carbon | 3,356 | 73.5% | 820 | 17.9% | 283 | 6.2% | 110 | 2.4% |
| Converse | 3,255 | 76.8% | 384 | 9.1% | 497 | 11.7% | 101 | 2.3% |
| Crook | 2,369 | 84.9% | 196 | 7.0% | 144 | 5.2% | 81 | 3.0% |
| Fremont | 8,629 | 70.0% | 2,331 | 18.9% | 1,123 | 9.1% | 249 | 2.0% |
| Goshen | 3,302 | 76.5% | 511 | 11.8% | 416 | 9.6% | 88 | 2.0% |
| Hot Springs | 1,529 | 75.1% | 190 | 9.3% | 248 | 12.2% | 68 | 3.3% |
| Johnson | 2,735 | 83.3% | 320 | 9.7% | 160 | 4.9% | 68 | 2.0% |
| Laramie | 17,647 | 68.2% | 5,560 | 21.5% | 2,043 | 7.9% | 613 | 2.4% |
| Lincoln | 4,758 | 82.0% | 580 | 10.0% | 304 | 5.2% | 158 | 2.7% |
| Natrona | 14,361 | 68.1% | 3,387 | 16.1% | 2,856 | 13.6% | 471 | 2.3% |
| Niobrara | 875 | 83.3% | 84 | 8.0% | 70 | 6.7% | 22 | 2.1% |
| Park | 7,695 | 80.6% | 1,066 | 11.2% | 523 | 5.5% | 266 | 2.7% |
| Platte | 2,625 | 74.0% | 552 | 15.6% | 284 | 8.0% | 88 | 2.5% |
| Sheridan | 7,307 | 76.5% | 1,474 | 15.4% | 557 | 5.8% | 213 | 2.2% |
| Sublette | 2,546 | 79.9% | 416 | 13.1% | 138 | 4.3% | 85 | 2.7% |
| Sweetwater | 7,656 | 68.0% | 2,711 | 24.1% | 636 | 5.6% | 254 | 2.2% |
| Teton | 4,261 | 54.4% | 3,103 | 39.6% | 261 | 3.3% | 202 | 2.6% |
| Uinta | 4,368 | 76.4% | 892 | 15.6% | 322 | 5.6% | 134 | 2.3% |
| Washakie | 2,280 | 79.9% | 263 | 9.2% | 253 | 8.9% | 57 | 2.0% |
| Weston | 2,027 | 81.6% | 194 | 7.8% | 201 | 8.1% | 63 | 2.5% |
