2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 17.
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November 8, 2016
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All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
By district
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 216,959 | 72.56% | 81,710 | 27.33% | 332 | 0.11% | 299,001 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 251,825 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 251,825 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 122,093 | 36.50% | 212,401 | 63.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 334,494 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 233,922 | 71.32% | 94,065 | 28.68% | 0 | 0.00% | 327,987 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 221,242 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,242 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 202,099 | 61.09% | 128,728 | 38.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 330,827 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,248,140 | 70.70% | 516,904 | 29.28% | 332 | 0.02% | 1,765,376 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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  Comer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Ed Whitfield, who had represented the district since 1995, did not run for re-election for a 12th term.[2] He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Republican primary
Republicans James Comer, the Agriculture Commissioner of Kentucky,[3] and Michael Pape, Witfield's district director,[4] ran for the Republican Party nomination. Other potential Republican candidates included former Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky nominee Robbie Rudolph, businessman Todd P'Pool, George W. Bush administration official J. Scott Jennings, and Whitfield's chief of staff Cory Hicks.[5] State Senator Max Wise also was considered a potential candidate, but he endorsed Comer.[6] In the May 17 primary, Comer won with 61% of the vote and went on to face Democrat Sam Gaskins in the general election.
Candidates
Nominee
- James Comer, former Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner and candidate for governor in 2015[7]
Eliminated in primary
- Jason Batts, Hickman County Attorney[8]
- Miles A. Caughey Jr.[9]
- Michael Pape, district director for Congressman Ed Whitfield[5]
Declined
- Cory Hicks, former chief of staff to Congressman Ed Whitfield[10]
- J. Scott Jennings, former White House aide[10]
- Todd P'Pool, former Hopkins County Attorney and nominee for attorney general in 2011[11]
- Robbie Rudolph, businessman, former secretary of Executive Cabinet, former State Secretary of Finance and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2007[10]
- Ed Whitfield, incumbent U.S. Representative (endorsed Pape)[10]
- Max Wise, state senator (endorsed Comer)[6][10]
Results
- Comer—>90%
- Comer—80–90%
- Comer—70–80%
- Comer—60–70%
- Comer—50–60%
- Comer—40–50%
- Pape—70–80%
- Pape—50–60%
- Pape—40–50%
- Batts—>90%
- Batts—70–80%
- Batts—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Comer | 24,342 | 60.6 | |
| Republican | Mike Pape | 9,357 | 23.3 | |
| Republican | Jason Batts | 5,578 | 13.9 | |
| Republican | Miles A. Caughey, Jr. | 896 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 40,173 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
- Tom Osborne, attorney[15]
Declined
- Brandi Harless, vice chair of the Kentucky Democratic Party and co-founder and CEO of Personal Medicine Plus[16]
- David Ramey, chair of the Calloway County Democratic Party[17]
- Dorsey Ridley, state senator[16][17][18]
- John Tilley, Secretary of the Kentucky Department of Justice and Public Safety and former state representative[16][19]
- Gerald Watkins, state representative[16][20]
Special election
Whitfield resigned on September 6, 2016. A special election was held on November 8, concurrently with the regularly scheduled election.[21]
Candidates
Republican nominee
- James Comer, former Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner and candidate for governor in 2015[7][21]
Democratic nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Comer | 209,810 | 72.2 | |
| Democratic | Sam Gaskins | 80,813 | 27.8 | |
| Total votes | 290,623 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[24] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[27] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Comer | 216,959 | 72.6 | |
| Democratic | Sam Gaskins | 81,710 | 27.3 | |
| Independent | Terry McIntosh (write-in) | 332 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 299,001 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election.[9] He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+16.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
No Democrats filed to run.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[24] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[27] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 251,825 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 251,825 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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 County result Yarmuth: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election.[9][29] He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+4.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Harold Bratcher, business owner[9]
Eliminated in primary
- Everett Corley, real estate agent
- Bob DeVore Jr., former McCreary County Board of Education member (2001–2007) and perennial candidate[a]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Harold Bratcher | 9,578 | 44.6 | |
| Republican | Everett Corley | 7,857 | 36.5 | |
| Republican | Robert DeVore, Jr. | 4,075 | 18.9 | |
| Total votes | 21,510 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[24] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[25] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[27] | Safe D | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 212,401 | 63.5 | |
| Republican | Harold Bratcher | 122,093 | 36.5 | |
| Total votes | 334,494 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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 County results Massie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Thomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election.[9] He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+16.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[24] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[27] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 233,922 | 71.3 | |
| Democratic | Calvin Sidle | 94,065 | 28.7 | |
| Total votes | 327,987 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+25.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- John Burk Jr., insurance industry worker[9]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 35,984 | 82.4 | |
| Republican | John Burk, Jr. | 7,669 | 17.6 | |
| Total votes | 43,653 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
No Democrats filed to run.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[24] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[27] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (Incumbent) | 221,242 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 221,242 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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 County results Barr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Andy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Roger Brill[9]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr (Incumbent) | 25,212 | 84.55 | |
| Republican | Roger Brill | 4,608 | 15.45 | |
| Total votes | 29,820 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Matt Jones, host and founder of Kentucky Sports Radio, considered challenging Representative Barr, but announced on November 23, 2015, that he would not do so.[32] Rev. Nancy Jo Kemper, a graduate of Yale Divinity School and former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches, announced she would run for the Democratic nomination on January 21, 2016.
Geoff Young, candidate for governor in Kentucky in 2014, and Michael Coblenz, a candidate for Kentucky state house in 2010 competed with Kemper for the chance to challenge Barr in the general election.[9] Michael Coblenz later withdrew, leaving Rev. Kemper and Young as the only Democratic candidates.[33]
Candidates
Nominee
- Nancy Jo Kemper, former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches[34]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Michael Coblenz, attorney and former Air Force B-52 navigator
Declined
- Matt Jones, host and founder of Kentucky Sports Radio
Endorsements
Statewide officials
- Crit Luallen, former Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky[35]
- Alison Lundergan Grimes, Secretary of State of Kentucky
State legislators
- Reggie Thomas, state senator
- Susan Westrom, state representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Jo Kemper | 63,440 | 80.1 | |
| Democratic | Geoff Young | 15,772 | 19.9 | |
| Total votes | 79,212 | 100 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[24] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[27] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 202,099 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic | Nancy Jo Kemper | 128,728 | 38.9 | |
| Total votes | 330,827 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Notes
- Candidate for Kentucky's 16th Senate district in 2006; candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2008, and 2012; candidate for Kentucky's 46th House district in 2010; Republican nominee for Mayor of Louisville in 2014