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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Quick facts All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
← 2016
November 6, 2018
2020 →
All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 1
Seats won 5 1
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 935,564 613,040
Percentage 59.59% 39.05%
Swing Decrease 11.11% Increase 9.77%
Close

Overview

Popular vote
Republican
 
 59.59%
Democratic
 
 39.05%
Other
 
 1.36%
House seats
Republican
 
 83.33%
Democratic
 
 16.67%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[1]

More information District, Republican ...
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1172,16768.59%78,84931.41%00.00%251,016100.0%Republican hold
District 2171,70066.72%79,96431.07%5,6812.21%257,345100.0%Republican hold
District 3101,93036.57%173,00262.07%3,7881.36%278,720100.0%Democratic hold
District 4162,94662.24%90,53634.58%8,3303.18%261,812100.0%Republican hold
District 5172,09378.94%45,89021.05%340.02%218,017100.0%Republican hold
District 6154,46851.00%144,73647.79%3,6841.22%302,888100.0%Republican hold
Total935,30459.58%612,97739.05%21,5171.37%1,569,798100.0%
Close

District 1

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee James Comer Paul Walker
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 172,167 78,849
Percentage 68.6% 31.4%
County results
Comer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

Close
See also: Kentucky's 1st congressional district

Incumbent Republican James Comer, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Paul Walker, professor[2]
Eliminated in primary
  • Alonzo Pennington, musician[3]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Walker 51,094 74.6
Democratic Alonzo Pennington 17,398 25.4
Total votes 68,492 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[7] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[9] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[10] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[11] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent) 172,167 68.6
Democratic Paul Walker 78,849 31.4
Total votes 251,016 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 2

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Brett Guthrie Hank Linderman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 171,700 79,964
Percentage 66.7% 31.1%
County results
Guthrie:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Close
See also: Kentucky's 2nd congressional district

Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Hank Linderman, musician[12]
Eliminated in primary
  • Brian Pedigo, teacher and farmer[13]
  • Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, veteran and former intern for William D. Ford[14]
  • Grant Short, pilot, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[15]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hank Linderman 14,516 30.0
Democratic Brian Pedigo 13,866 28.7
Democratic Rane Eir Olivia Sessions 10,501 21.7
Democratic Grant Short 9,470 19.6
Total votes 48,353 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[7] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[9] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[10] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[11] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 171,700 66.7
Democratic Hank Linderman 79,964 31.1
Independent Thomas Loecken 5,681 2.2
Total votes 257,345 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 3

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee John Yarmuth Vickie Yates Glisson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 173,002 101,930
Percentage 62.1% 36.1%
County results
Yarmuth:      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Close
See also: Kentucky's 3rd congressional district

Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Vickie Yates Glisson, lawyer and former state health secretary[16]
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike Craven, Ford worker
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor
Withdrawn
  • Waymen Eddings

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vickie Yates Glisson 11,239 49.1
Republican Mike Craven 6,163 26.9
Republican Rhonda Palazzo 5,511 24.0
Total votes 22,913 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5] Safe D November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D November 5, 2018
RCP[7] Safe D November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8] Safe D November 5, 2018
538[9] Safe D November 7, 2018
CNN[10] Safe D October 31, 2018
Politico[11] Safe D November 4, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Yarmuth (incumbent) 173,002 62.1
Republican Vickie Yates Glisson 101,930 36.6
Libertarian Gregory Boles 3,788 1.4
Total votes 278,720 100.0
Democratic hold
Close

District 4

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Thomas Massie Seth Hall
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 162,946 90,536
Percentage 62.2% 34.6%
County results
Massie:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

Close
See also: Kentucky's 4th congressional district

Incumbent Republican Thomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2018 Kentucky's 4th congressional district Republican primary election[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie Uncontested N/A
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Seth Hall, health insurance worker
Eliminated in primary
  • Christina Lord[18]
  • Patti Piatt, business executive[19]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Seth Hall 17,859 40.8
Democratic Patti Piatt 16,441 37.5
Democratic Christina Lord 9,509 21.7
Total votes 43,809 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[7] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[9] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[10] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[11] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 162,946 62.2
Democratic Seth Hall 90,536 34.6
Independent Mike Moffett 8,318 2.2
Independent David Goodwin (write-in) 12 0.0
Total votes 261,812 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 5

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Hal Rogers Kenneth Stepp
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 172,093 45,890
Percentage 78.9% 21.0%
County results
Rogers:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

Close
See also: Kentucky's 5th congressional district

Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+31.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Gerardo Serrano

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 75,405 84.2
Republican Gerardo Serrano 14,177 15.8
Total votes 89,582 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kenneth Stepp, attorney
Eliminated in primary
  • Scott Sykes

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kenneth Stepp 33,584 58.7
Democratic Scott Sykes 23,637 41.3
Total votes 57,221 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[7] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[9] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[10] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[11] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 172,093 78.9
Democratic Kenneth Stepp 45,890 21.0
Independent Bill Ray (write-in) 34 0.1
Total votes 218,017 100.0
Close

District 6

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Andy Barr Amy McGrath
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 154,468 144,736
Percentage 51.0% 47.8%
County results
Barr:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
McGrath:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

Close
See also: Kentucky's 6th congressional district

Incumbent Republican Andy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Chuck Eddy

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 40,514 83.8
Republican Chuck Eddy 7,858 16.2
Total votes 48,372 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Campaign

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee included Kentucky's 6th congressional district on its initial list of Republican-held seats considered targets in 2018.[25][26] McGrath's campaign announcement video, entitled "Told Me", in which she spoke of her Navy service (being the first female Marine to fly an F-18 in combat), attracted much national attention.[27][28][29]

The DCCC opted to support Jim Gray in the primary.[30][31]

Endorsements

Jim Gray

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Amy McGrath

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Reggie Thomas

Individuals

  • Nancy Jo Kemper, former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches and nominee for this seat in 2016

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jim
Gray		 Amy
McGrath		 Reggie
Thomas		 Other Undecided
Garin Hart Yang (D-McGrath)[39] April 17–19, 2018 400 ±5.0% 35% 42% 6% 3% 14%
Mellman Group (D-Gray)[40] March 3–6, 2018 400 ±4.9% 52% 19% 6% — 23%
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Results

County results
Map legend
  •   McGrath—60–70%
  •   McGrath—50–60%
  •   McGrath—40–50%
  •   Gray—50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amy McGrath 48,859 48.7
Democratic Jim Gray 40,684 40.5
Democratic Reggie Thomas 7,226 7.2
Democratic Geoff Young 1,574 1.6
Democratic Daniel Kemph 1,240 1.2
Democratic Theodore Green 835 0.8
Total votes 100,418 100.0
Close

General election

Endorsements

Andy Barr (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

Amy McGrath (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

%support01020304050602018/02/072018/07/102018/09/17BarrMcGrathOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the Kentucky's sixth dis...
View source data.
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Andy
Barr (R)		 Amy
McGrath (D)		 Other Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College[43] November 1–4, 2018 438 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 2% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)[44] October 6–8, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 48% 46% – –
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)[45] September 30 – October 2, 2018 501 ± 4.5% 44% 51% – –
Pulse Opinion Research[46] September 12–17, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 47% 2% 3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[47] September 6–8, 2018 506 ± 4.9% 47% 46% – 7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)[48] September 4–6, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 49% 45% – 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)[49] July 7–10, 2018 461 ± 4.6% 43% 50% – 7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)[48] June 6–7, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 38% 51% – 11%
DCCC (D)[50] April 30 – May 2, 2018 508 ± 4.4% 37% 52% – 8%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)[51] February 5–7, 2018 401 ± 5.0% 48% 44% – –
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Andy
Barr (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[52] February 12–13, 2018 662 ± 3.8% 42% 44% – 14%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Tossup November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5] Tossup November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R November 5, 2018
RCP[7] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8] Tossup November 5, 2018
538[9] Tossup November 7, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 154,468 51.0
Democratic Amy McGrath 144,736 47.8
Libertarian Frank Harris 2,150 0.7
Independent Rikka Wallin 1,011 0.3
Independent James Germalic 523 0.2
Total votes 302,890 100.0
Republican hold
Close

See also

References

External links

Related Articles

Timelines

Top Qs

Fact Checks