2016 Washington gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2016 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016.
.jpg)
 | ||||||||||||||||
November 8, 2016
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
   Inslee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bryant: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
Under Washington's top-two primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the August 2 primary, residents voted for one of several candidates from a range of party affiliations. The top two finishers, incumbent Governor Jay Inslee (Democratic)[1] and Port of Seattle Commissioner Bill Bryant (Republican), moved on to the November general election, which Inslee won.
Pacific County voted for a Republican gubernatorial candidate for the first time since 1964 and Grays Harbor County did so for the first time since 1924. As of 2026, this was the last gubernatorial election in Washington in which the margin of victory was within single digits.
Background
Democratic governor Christine Gregoire declined to seek a third term in 2012. Democratic former U.S. Representative Jay Inslee was elected to succeed her, defeating Republican Rob McKenna, the outgoing Attorney General of Washington, by 51.5% to 48.5%.
Primary election
Democratic Party
Declared
- James Robert Deal[2]
- Johnathan Dodds[2]
- Jay Inslee, incumbent governor
- Patrick O'Rourke[2]
Republican Party
Declared
- Bill Bryant, former Seattle Port Commissioner[3]
- Goodspaceguy, perennial candidate[2]
- Bill Hirt[2]
Declined
- Andy Hill, state senator[4]
- Steve Litzow, state senator (running for reelection)[4]
- Rob McKenna, former Attorney General of Washington and candidate for governor in 2012[5][6]
- Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative for Washington's 8th congressional district (ran for reelection)[7]
Third Party and independent candidates
Declared
- David Blomstrom (Fifth Republic)[2]
- Christian Joubert (Holistic)[2]
- Mary Martin (Socialist Workers)[2]
- Steve Rubenstein (Independent)
Declined
Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Inslee, Bryant, and Dorn
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Bill Bryant (R) |
Randy Dorn (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway Poll[9] | April 14–17, 2016 | 503 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 26% | 7% | 25% |
Results
Inslee
- 40–50%
- 60–70%
Bryant
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Inslee
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Bryant
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee (incumbent) | 687,412 | 49.30 | |
| Republican | Bill Bryant | 534,519 | 38.33 | |
| Republican | Bill Hirt | 48,382 | 3.47 | |
| Democratic | Patrick O'Rourke | 40,572 | 2.91 | |
| Independent | Steve Rubenstein | 22,582 | 1.62 | |
| Democratic | James Robert Deal | 14,623 | 1.05 | |
| Democratic | Johnathan Dodds | 14,152 | 1.01 | |
| Republican | Goodspaceguy | 13,191 | 0.95 | |
| Socialist Workers | Mary Martin | 10,374 | 0.74 | |
| Independent | David Blomstrom | 4,512 | 0.32 | |
| Independent | Christian Joubert | 4,103 | 0.29 | |
| Total votes | 1,394,422 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[13] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[15] | Lean D | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[16] | Likely D | November 7, 2016 |
Endorsements
Jay Inslee (D)
U.S Presidents
Newspapers
Bill Bryant (R)
U.S. Senators
- Slade Gorton, former U.S. Senator from Washington[22]
U.S. Representatives
- Sid Morrison, former U.S. Representative from Washington's 4th congressional district[23]
- Dan Newhouse, U.S. Representative from Washington's 4th congressional district[24]
Statewide officials
- Dan Evans, 16th Governor of Washington and former U.S. Senator from Washington[25]
- Rob McKenna, 17th Attorney General of Washington and runner up for governor in 2012[26]
State legislators
- Jan Angel, state senator[27]
- Mary Dye, state representative[24]
- Curtis King, state senator[28]
- Brad Klippert, state representative[24]
- Matt Manweller, state representative[29]
- Joe Schmick, state representative[24]
- Maureen Walsh, state representative[24]
Newspapers
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Bill Bryant (R) |
Other/Undecided [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[34] | October 6 – November 2, 2016 | November 2, 2016 | 50.7% | 42.3% | 7.0% | Inslee +8.4% |
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Bill Bryant (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[35] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,451 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | 3% |
| Insights West | November 4–6, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 40% | 10% |
| SurveyMonkey[36] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 1,292 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[37] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 944 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
| SurveyUSA[38] | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | 667 | ± 3.9% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey[39] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 807 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[40] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 698 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 41% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[41] | October 25–31, 2016 | 745 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | 3% |
| Elway Poll[42] | October 20–22, 2016 | 502 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| KCTS 9/YouGov[43] | October 6–13, 2016 | 750 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| Strategies 360/KOMO News[44] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | 8% |
| Elway Poll[45] | August 9–13, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Moore Information[46] | May 16–18, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 36% | 18% |
| Elway Poll[9] | April 14–17, 2016 | 503 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Elway Poll[47] | December 28–30, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling[48] | May 14–17, 2015 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 34% | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
Jay Inslee vs. Andy Hill
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Andy Hill (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[48] | May 14–17, 2015 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Jay Inslee vs. Rob McKenna
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[48] | May 14–17, 2015 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 38% | 19% |
Jay Inslee vs. Dave Reichert
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Dave Reichert (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[48] | May 14–17, 2015 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 45% | 34% | 22% |
Jay Inslee vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway Poll[47] | December 28–30, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 30% | 25% | 45% |
Jay Inslee vs. generic opponent
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee (incumbent) | 1,760,520 | 54.25% | +2.71% | |
| Republican | Bill Bryant | 1,476,346 | 45.49% | −2.97% | |
| Write-in | 8,416 | 0.26% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 3,245,282 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County[50][49] | Jay Inslee
Democratic |
Bill Bryant
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 1,533 | 32.64% | 3,151 | 67.10% | 12 | 0.26% | -1,618 | -34.45% | 4,696 |
| Asotin | 4,149 | 42.46% | 5,609 | 57.40% | 13 | 0.13% | -1,460 | -14.94% | 9,771 |
| Benton | 31,128 | 37.95% | 50,730 | 61.84% | 172 | 0.21% | -19,602 | -23.90% | 82,030 |
| Chelan | 13,866 | 40.94% | 19,934 | 58.86% | 65 | 0.19% | -6,068 | -17.92% | 33,865 |
| Clallam | 19,354 | 48.87% | 20,108 | 50.78% | 140 | 0.35% | -754 | -1.90% | 39,602 |
| Clark | 96,032 | 47.93% | 103,787 | 51.80% | 560 | 0.28% | -7,755 | -3.87% | 200,379 |
| Columbia | 688 | 31.50% | 1,491 | 68.27% | 5 | 0.23% | -803 | -36.77% | 2,184 |
| Cowlitz | 19,593 | 42.75% | 26,116 | 56.98% | 124 | 0.27% | -6,523 | -14.23% | 45,833 |
| Douglas | 5,441 | 34.73% | 10,197 | 65.09% | 28 | 0.18% | -4,756 | -30.36% | 15,666 |
| Ferry | 1,360 | 37.56% | 2,252 | 62.19% | 9 | 0.25% | -892 | -24.63% | 3,621 |
| Franklin | 9,731 | 40.27% | 14,387 | 59.54% | 45 | 0.19% | -4,656 | -19.27% | 24,163 |
| Garfield | 370 | 29.65% | 875 | 70.11% | 3 | 0.24% | -505 | -40.46% | 1,248 |
| Grant | 9,242 | 32.16% | 19,401 | 67.50% | 99 | 0.34% | -10,159 | -35.35% | 28,742 |
| Grays Harbor | 14,038 | 48.43% | 14,843 | 51.20% | 107 | 0.37% | -805 | -2.78% | 28,988 |
| Island | 21,797 | 50.16% | 21,560 | 49.61% | 98 | 0.23% | 237 | 0.55% | 43,455 |
| Jefferson | 13,399 | 65.24% | 7,049 | 34.32% | 90 | 0.44% | 6,350 | 30.92% | 20,538 |
| King | 677,943 | 67.69% | 321,242 | 32.07% | 2,409 | 0.24% | 356,701 | 35.61% | 1,001,594 |
| Kitsap | 66,392 | 52.47% | 59,762 | 47.23% | 368 | 0.29% | 6,630 | 5.24% | 126,522 |
| Kittitas | 7,984 | 41.66% | 11,139 | 58.13% | 40 | 0.21% | -3,155 | -16.46% | 19,163 |
| Klickitat | 4,517 | 41.82% | 6,260 | 57.96% | 24 | 0.22% | -1,743 | -16.14% | 10,801 |
| Lewis | 11,163 | 32.09% | 23,539 | 67.66% | 86 | 0.25% | -12,376 | -35.58% | 34,788 |
| Lincoln | 1,616 | 27.92% | 4,160 | 71.89% | 11 | 0.19% | -2,544 | -43.96% | 5,787 |
| Mason | 13,126 | 45.92% | 15,365 | 53.75% | 93 | 0.33% | -2,239 | -7.83% | 28,584 |
| Okanogan | 7,437 | 43.06% | 9,794 | 56.71% | 39 | 0.23% | -2,357 | -13.65% | 17,270 |
| Pacific | 5,313 | 49.29% | 5,428 | 50.36% | 37 | 0.34% | -115 | -1.07% | 10,778 |
| Pend Oreille | 2,520 | 36.50% | 4,364 | 63.21% | 20 | 0.29% | -1,844 | -26.71% | 6,904 |
| Pierce | 176,825 | 49.94% | 176,287 | 49.79% | 953 | 0.27% | 538 | 0.15% | 354,065 |
| San Juan | 7,509 | 68.89% | 3,356 | 30.79% | 35 | 0.32% | 4,153 | 38.10% | 10,900 |
| Skagit | 28,273 | 49.47% | 28,701 | 50.22% | 173 | 0.30% | -428 | -0.75% | 57,147 |
| Skamania | 2,476 | 44.35% | 3,094 | 55.42% | 13 | 0.23% | -618 | -11.07% | 5,583 |
| Snohomish | 182,544 | 52.12% | 166,770 | 47.61% | 937 | 0.27% | 15,774 | 4.50% | 350,251 |
| Spokane | 106,009 | 45.87% | 124,576 | 53.91% | 508 | 0.22% | -18,567 | -8.03% | 231,093 |
| Stevens | 7,148 | 31.02% | 15,851 | 68.79% | 45 | 0.20% | -8,703 | -37.77% | 23,044 |
| Thurston | 71,835 | 54.67% | 59,014 | 44.91% | 559 | 0.43% | 12,821 | 9.76% | 131,408 |
| Wahkiakum | 941 | 39.89% | 1,413 | 59.90% | 5 | 0.21% | -472 | -20.01% | 2,359 |
| Walla Walla | 10,705 | 41.77% | 14,880 | 58.06% | 44 | 0.17% | -4,175 | -16.29% | 25,629 |
| Whatcom | 62,634 | 56.45% | 47,953 | 43.22% | 370 | 0.33% | 14,681 | 13.23% | 110,957 |
| Whitman | 8,727 | 49.41% | 8,892 | 50.35% | 43 | 0.24% | -165 | -0.93% | 17,662 |
| Yakima | 35,162 | 44.96% | 43,016 | 55.00% | 34 | 0.04% | -7,854 | -10.04% | 78,212 |
| Totals | 1,760,520 | 54.25% | 1,476,346 | 45.49% | 8,416 | 0.26% | 284,174 | 8.76% | 3,245,282 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Grays Harbor (largest city: Aberdeen)
- Pacific (largest city: Raymond)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Inslee won six of ten congressional districts.[49]
| District | Inslee | Bryant | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 51% | 49% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 57% | 43% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 45% | 55% | Jaime Herrera Beutler |
| 4th | 40% | 60% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 44% | 56% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers |
| 6th | 54% | 46% | Derek Kilmer |
| 7th | 78% | 22% | Jim McDermott |
| Pramila Jayapal | |||
| 8th | 46% | 54% | Dave Reichert |
| 9th | 67% | 33% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 53% | 47% | Denny Heck |
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.