2018 Fijian general election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
General elections were held in Fiji on 14 November 2018.[1] The result was a victory for the ruling FijiFirst party of Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama, which received just over 50% of the vote and 27 of the 51 seats in Parliament, a loss of five seats.[2] The main opposition party, Social Democratic Liberal Party, gained six seats, whilst the National Federation Party retained its three seats.
Registered637,527
Turnout71.92% (
12.68pp)
12.68pp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14 November 2018
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All 51 seats in the Parliament of Fiji 26 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 637,527 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 71.92% (12.68pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The elections also saw female representation in Parliament rise to nearly 20 percent, with 10 of the 51 members being women.[3]
Background and campaign
On 10 March, SODELPA launched their party manifesto for the election in Sydney, making it the first time a Fijian political party has launched their party manifesto overseas. The event attracted many supporters among the Fijian diaspora, especially Fijian Australians.[4]
On 30 September, Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama announced that the elections would be held on 14 November 2018. President Jioji Konrote subsequently dissolved parliament in accordance with section 58(3) of the constitution, on the advice of the Prime Minister.
234 candidates representing six political parties contested in the elections. 56 of the candidates were women.[5] Candidate numbers for the ballot paper were drawn on 18 October.[6] The Labour Party and Freedom Alliance Party presented a combined party list under the Labour Party banner.
During a campaign rally, FijiFirst leader Frank Bainimarama stated that he wanted to win all 51 parliamentary seats and govern without an opposition, arguing that the two main opposition parties represented i-Taukei and Indo-Fijian interests rather than all Fijians.[7] The SODELPA party promised to restore the Great Council of Chiefs within a hundred days if elected, and to consider changing the electoral system to restore communal constituencies.[8] They later explicitly promised to restore the 1997 constitution.[9]
During the election campaign SODELPA leader Sitiveni Rabuka was tried and acquitted on charges of falsely declaring his assets and liabilities to the Supervisor of Elections.[10] An appeal by the Fiji Independent Commission Against Corruption,[11] which could have resulted in Rabuka's disqualification two days from the poll, was dismissed, with FICAC ordered to pay costs.[12] Shortly before the appeal was decided Rabuka was again called in by police on unspecified charges.[13]
On election day, voting was suspended at 26 polling stations due to torrential rain and flooding.[14] Ballots cast at those stations were shredded. Polling recommenced with fresh ballot papers on Saturday 17 November.
Electoral system
The 51 members of Parliament were elected from a single nationwide constituency by open list proportional representation with an electoral threshold of 5%. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method.[15][16]
Prior to the election the Electoral Commission increased the number of seats from 50 to 51 in accordance with section 54 of the Fiji constitution to maintain the ratio of population to seats. The commission determined the ratio in 2014 was one seat for every 17,472 citizens. With the Fiji Bureau of Statistics projecting a population of 886,416 as of 1 March 2017 achieving the same ratio would require 50.73 seats which the commission rounded up to 51 for the 2018 election.[17]
Schedule
Key dates relating to the general election were as follows:
| 30 September (Sunday) | Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama announces elections to be held on 14 November 2018. |
| 30 September (Sunday) | President Jioji Konrote dissolves parliament in accordance with section 58(3) of the constitution, on the advice of the Prime Minister. |
| 1 October (Monday) | President Jioji Konrote issues the writ of election |
| 1 October (Monday) | Registration of voters ends at 6 p.m. |
| 2 October (Tuesday) | Candidate nominations open at 8 a.m. |
| 15 October (Monday) | Candidate nominations close at 12 p.m. |
| 24 October (Wednesday) | Postal voting applications close at 5 p.m. |
| 5 November (Monday) | Pre-poll voting begins |
| 10 November (Saturday) | Pre-poll voting ends |
| 12 November (Monday) | Media blackout on campaigning commences at 12.00 a.m. for 48 hours |
| 14 November (Wednesday) | Election Day – polling places open from 7.30 a.m. to 6 p.m. |
| 14 November (Wednesday) | Election Night – provisional results will be progressively released from 6 p.m. |
| 18 November (Sunday) | Official results declared |
| 18 November (Sunday) | President Jioji Konrote receives the Writ of Election from the Electoral Commission. |
Opinion polls
Approval ratings
| Pollster(s) | Date | Sample size | Bainimarama | Rabuka | Kepa | Prasad | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Lead | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Lead | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Lead | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Lead | |||
| The Fiji Times[18] | 11 Feb 2017 | 1,001 | 78% | 4% | +74% | 34% | 12% | +22% | 44% | 10% | +34% | 36% | 9% | +27% |
Satisfaction with the government
Preferred Deputy Prime Minister
National
View source data.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for preferred Deputy Prime Minister
Northern Division
| Pollster(s) | Date | Sample size | Sayed-Khaiyum | Radrodro | Nawaikula | Tikoduadua | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiji Sun[24] | 9 Sep 2017 | 38% | 19% | 17% | 7% | +19% |
Preferred Prime Minister
View source data.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for preferred Prime Minister
| Pollster(s) | Date | Sample size | Bainimarama | Rabuka | Kepa | Prasad | Chaudhry | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiji Sun[25] | 29 Jul 2017 | 59% | 13% | 14% | — | — | +45% | |
| Fiji Sun[26] | 9 Sep 2017 | 71% | 7% | 13% | 4% | — | +58% | |
| Fiji Sun[27] | 11 Nov 2017 | 600 | 66% | 10% | 14% | 3% | 2% | +52% |
| Fiji Sun[28] | 20 Jan 2018 | 600 | 66% | 11% | 18% | 2% | 2% | +48% |
| Fiji Sun[29] | 3 Mar 2018 | 600 | 68% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 0% | +57% |
| Fiji Sun[30] | 24 Mar 2018 | 600 | 62% | 5% | 20% | 9% | 1% | +42% |
| Fiji Sun[31] | 31 Mar 2018 | 600 | 63% | 11% | 11% | 8% | — | +52% |
| Fiji Sun[32] | 13 Oct 2018 | 100 | 64% | 14% | 4% | 8% | – | +50% |
| The Fiji Times[33] | 22-24 Oct 2014 | 68% | 24% | — | 5% | — | +44% | |
| Fiji Sun[34] | 3 Nov 2018 | 1,000 | 60% | 4% | 20% | 10% | — | +40% |
Voting intention
View source data.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for voting intention
| Pollster(s) | Date | Sample size | FijiFirst | SODELPA | NFP | Unity | HOPE | Labour | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiji Sun[35] | 11 Nov 2017 | 600 | 63% | 21% | 3% | 0% | — | 3% | +42% |
| Fiji Sun[36] | 20 Jan 2018 | 600 | 61% | 26% | 2% | 1% | — | 0% | +35% |
| Fiji Sun[37] | 24 Mar 2018 | 600 | 62% | 24% | 5% | — | — | 4% | +38% |
| Fiji Sun[38] | 12 May 2018 | 1,000 | 62% | 16% | 5% | — | — | 7% | +46% |
| Fiji Sun[39] | 22 Sep 2018 | 1,000 | 66% | 13% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 5% | +53% |
| Fiji Sun[40] | 13 Oct 2018 | 100 | 63% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 2% | +48% |
| Western Force Research[41] | 3 Nov 2018 | 1,118 | 60% | 24% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +36% |
Results
 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | |
| FijiFirst | 227,241 | 50.02 | –9.15 | 27 | –5 | |
| Social Democratic Liberal Party | 181,072 | 39.85 | +11.67 | 21 | +6 | |
| National Federation Party | 33,515 | 7.38 | +1.93 | 3 | 0 | |
| Unity Fiji Party | 6,896 | 1.52 | +1.52 | 0 | New | |
| HOPE | 2,811 | 0.62 | +0.62 | 0 | New | |
| Fiji Labour Party | 2,800 | 0.62 | –1.73 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 454,335 | 100.00 | – | 51 | +1 | |
| Valid votes | 454,335 | 99.08 | ||||
| Invalid/blank votes | 4,197 | 0.92 | ||||
| Total votes | 458,532 | 100.00 | ||||
| Registered voters/turnout | 637,527 | 71.92 | ||||
| Source: FEO | ||||||
By division
| Division | FijiFirst | SODELPA | NFP | UFP | HOPE | FLP | Total votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central | 44.5% | 45.4% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 148,131 | ||
| Eastern | 44.7% | 45.6% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 76,750 | ||
| Northern | 46.0% | 45.8% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 67,560 | ||
| Western | 60.2% | 28.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 152,766 | ||
| Postal votes | 44.6% | 44.6% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 9,128 | ||
 Fiji | 50.0% | 39.9% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 454,335 | ||
| Source: 2018 Election Results | |||||||||
Aftermath
The ruling FijiFirst Party lost five seats, but retained a majority in Parliament. FijiFirst leader Frank Bainimarama blamed poor weather for the loss of votes.[42] Bainimarama was sworn in as Prime Minister on 20 November 2018.[43]
Reactions
Australian foreign minister Marise Payne congratulated Bainimarama's re-election in an official statement.[44]