2018 Ohio gubernatorial election

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The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2018 Ohio gubernatorial election[1]
← 2014
November 6, 2018
2022 →
Turnout55.79% (registered voters) Increase15.14pp
 
Nominee Mike DeWine Richard Cordray
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jon Husted Betty Sutton
Popular vote 2,235,825 2,070,046
Percentage 50.40% 46.67%
DeWine:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Cordray:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes
Governor before election

John Kasich
Republican

 Elected Governor

Mike DeWine
Republican

Close

Republicans nominated Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. senator Mike DeWine, while Democrats nominated former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director and former Ohio attorney general Richard Cordray. This was the second contest between DeWine and Cordray, following the 2010 attorney general election, which DeWine won, 47.5% to 46.3%.

In 2018, DeWine defeated Cordray 50.4% to 46.7%, in what was considered a minor upset. Despite Cordray's loss, he became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win Cincinnati's Hamilton County since Dick Celeste in 1982. Likewise, DeWine became the first Republican to win in the historically Democratic Monroe County in a gubernatorial election since 2002 as the county took a sharp turn to the right. With Democratic senator Sherrod Brown winning re-election in the same year, this was the first election since 1974 in which Ohio simultaneously voted for a gubernatorial nominee and a U.S. Senate nominee of opposite parties.

DeWine and Husted took office on January 14, 2019.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Mike DeWine

Notable individuals

U.S. representatives

State senators

State representatives

County parties

State parties

Organizations

  • Buckeye Firearms Association[36]

Newspapers

Jim Renacci (withdrawn)

Organizations

Notable individuals

Mary Taylor

U.S. senators

Governors

Lieutenant governors

Statewide officials

Notable individuals

State senators

State representatives

County parties

Party leaders

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
DeWine		 Mary
Taylor		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University[61] April 24 – May 2, 2018 323 – 52% 24% – 25%
Remington Research Group (R-Taylor)[62] April 10, 2018 1,064 ± 3.1% 42% 32% – 26%
Fallon Research[63] April 4–7, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 43% 26% – 31%
SurveyUSA[64] March 16–20, 2018 541 ± 5.8% 50% 18% – 31%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC)[65] February 17, 2018 1,152 ± 3.0% 61% 39% – –
35% 16% 15% 33%
Fallon Research[66] January 16–19, 2018 286 – 54% 14% – 32%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
DeWine		 Jon
Husted		 Jim
Renacci		 Mary
Taylor		 Undecided
Axis Research (R-Taylor)[67] August 13–15, 2017 602 ± 4.1% 36% 20% 8% 17% 19%
The Tarrance Group (R)[68] July 24–26, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 42% 18% 5% 11% 24%
49% 29% – – 21%
Luntz Global[69] June 12, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 27% 13% 3% 8% –
Gravis Marketing[70] April 27 – May 2, 2017 686 ± 2.7% 31% 14% 6% 10% 40%
The Tarrance Group (R)[71] January 23–26, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 47% 18% 4% 10% 22%
Close

Results

Results by county:
  DeWine
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Taylor
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results [1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
499,639 59.84
Republican
335,328 40.16
Total votes 834,967 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify for ballot

  • Jon Heavey, physician[84]
  • Dave Kiefer, former Wayne County Commissioner and Republican candidate for state representative in 2016[85]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Richard Cordray

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

State representatives

Mayors

City council members

County officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

Newspapers

Dennis Kucinich

Organizations

Governors

U.S. representatives

State senators

County officials

City council members

Individuals

Newspapers

Joe Schiavoni

Political organizations

Labor unions

Individuals

Connie Pillich (withdrawn)

Governors

  • Ed Rendell, former governor of Pennsylvania and former Democratic National Committee chairman

State representatives

Mayors

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Betty Sutton (withdrawn)

U.S. representatives

Labor unions

Nan Whaley (withdrawn)

Mayors

City council members

County officials

Labor unions

  • Dayton Building & Construction Trades Council[129]
  • IUE-CWA – International Union of Electronic, Electrical, Salaried, Machine and Furniture Workers[154]
  • Ohio State Council of Machinists[155]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Richard
Cordray		 Dennis
Kucinich		 Bill
O'Neill		 Connie
Pillich		 Joe
Schiavoni		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University[61] April 24 – May 2, 2018 333 – 31% 15% 6% – 6% – 41%
Fallon Research[156] April 4–7, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 28% 13% 3% – 5% 1%[A] 51%
SurveyUSA[64] March 16–20, 2018 509 ± 5.3% 21% 21% 4% 5% – 3%[B] 46%
Fallon Research[66] January 16–19, 2018 248 – 23% 16% 3% 2% 4% – 52%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Richard
Cordray		 Connie
Pillich		 Joe
Schiavoni		 Betty
Sutton		 Nan
Whaley		 Undecided
Luntz Global[69] June 12, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 17% 9% 20% 21% 10% –
Gravis Marketing[70] April 27 – May 2, 2017 558 ± 2.7% – 8% 12% 13% – 67%
Close

Results

Results by county:
  Cordray
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Schiavoni
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic
428,159 62.16
Democratic
158,284 22.98
Democratic
63,131 9.17
Democratic
22,667 3.29
Democratic
  • Paul Ray
  • Jerry Schroeder
 9,536 1.38
Democratic
  • Larry Ealy
  • Jeffrey Lynn
 7,011 1.02
Total votes 688,788 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Travis Irvine, filmmaker and writer[157]
    • Running mate: Todd Grayson[158]

Withdrew

  • Bruce Jaynes, entrepreneur
  • Stephen Quinn, student

Green primary

Gadell-Newton

Candidates

Nominated

  • Constance Gadell-Newton, attorney, co-chair of the Ohio Green Party and nominee for the State House in 2016[159]
    • Running mate: Brett R. Joseph

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Richard Cordray (D)

Former federal officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

State representatives

Mayors

City council members

County officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Mike DeWine (R)

Federal officials

Governors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State senators

State representatives

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Debates

More information Host network/sponsors, Location ...
Host
network/sponsors		 Location Date Link(s) Possible participants
Richard
Cordray (D)		 Mike
DeWine (R)		 Travis Irvine (L) Constance Gadell-Newton (G)
WHIO-TV University of Dayton September 19, 2018 [195] Invited Invited Not Invited Not Invited
WCMH-TV Marietta College October 1, 2018 [196] Invited Invited Not Invited Not Invited
Ohio Debate Commission Cleveland State University October 8, 2018 [197] Invited Invited Not Invited Not Invited
Close

[198]

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[199] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[200] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[201] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[202] Tossup November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[203] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[204] Tossup November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[205] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[206][a] Tossup November 5, 2018
Politico[207] Tossup November 5, 2018
Governing[208] Tossup November 5, 2018
Close
Notes
  1. [a]
    The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
DeWine
(R)		 Richard
Cordray
(D)		 Travis
Irvine
(L)		 Constance
Gadell-
Newton (G)		 Other Undecided
Change Research[209] November 2–4, 2018 923 – 43% 48% 5% 1% – –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[210] November 2–4, 2018 1,948 ± 2.2% 42% 46% – – 7% 5%
Research Co.[211] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 44% 44% – – 2% 10%
Cygnal (R)[212] October 30–31, 2018 503 ± 4.4% 43% 43% 3% 2% – 9%
Gravis Marketing[213] October 29–30, 2018 789 ± 3.5% 43% 48% – – – 9%
Emerson College[214] October 26–28, 2018 566 ± 4.3% 46% 49% – – 2% 3%
Baldwin Wallace University[215] October 19–27, 2018 1,051 ± 3.8% 39% 39% 4% 2% – 16%
41% 42% – – – 17%
Suffolk University[216] October 4–8, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 40% 46% 2% 0% 0%[C] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University[217] September 8 – October 8, 2018 1,017 ± 3.5% 40% 37% 4% 3% – 15%
42% 39% – – – 19%
University of Akron[218] September 10 – October 4, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 37% 36% – – – 27%
Ipsos[219] September 13–21, 2018 1,074 ± 3.0% 45% 44% – – 2% 9%
Triton Polling & Research (R)[220] September 18–20, 2018 1,003 ± 3.1% 49% 44% – – – 8%
Marist College[221] September 16–20, 2018 564 LV ± 5.0% 44% 44% 3% 3% <1% 6%
47% 47% – – 1% 6%
796 RV ± 4.2% 42% 43% 4% 4% 1% 6%
47% 47% – – 1% 6%
Baldwin Wallace University[222] September 5–15, 2018 1,048 ± 3.6% 42% 37% – – – 21%
Morning Consult[223] September 2–11, 2018 1,592 ± 2.0% 39% 38% – – – 23%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio)[224] August 31 – September 4, 2018 822 ± 3.0% 45% 43% 6% 3% – –
43% 43% – – – 14%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC)[225] June 30 – July 10, 2018 1,485 ± 3.0% 42% 38% – – 3% 17%
Marist College[226] June 17–22, 2018 778 ± 4.4% 46% 42% – – 2% 11%
Quinnipiac University[227] June 7–12, 2018 1,082 ± 3.7% 40% 42% – – 2% 14%
Suffolk University[228] June 6–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 36% 43% – 3% 2% 16%
America First Action (R)[229] May 29–31, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 45% 38% – – – 10%
Fallon Research[230] May 21–25, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 40% 34% – 1% 3%[D] 22%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)[231] May 6–7, 2018 618 ± 3.9% 39% 44% – – – 17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)[231] April 25–26, 2018 770 ± 3.5% 38% 47% – – – 14%
SurveyUSA[64] March 16–20, 2018 1,408 ± 3.5% 47% 39% – – – 14%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)[232] January 22–23, 2018 585 ± 4.1% 45% 44% – – – 11%
Fallon Research[66] January 16–19, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 49% 28% – – – 23%
Luntz Global[69] June 12, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 55% 31% – – – 14%
Close
Hypothetical polling

with DeWine and Kucinich

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
DeWine (R)		 Dennis
Kucinich (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[64] March 16–20, 2018 1,408 ± 3.5% 51% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)[232] January 22–23, 2018 585 ± 4.1% 48% 37% 14%
Close

with DeWine and Pillich

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
DeWine (R)		 Connie
Pillich (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)[232] January 22–23, 2018 585 ± 4.1% 47% 35% 18%
Close

with Jon Husted

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jon
Husted (R)		 Richard
Cordray (D)		 Undecided
Luntz Global[69] June 12, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 47% 35% 18%
Close

with generic Republican and Democrat

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University[233] February 28 – March 9, 2018 1,011 ± 3.0% 37% 32% –
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Ohio gubernatorial election, 2018[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
2,235,825 50.40% −13.24%
Democratic
2,070,046 46.67% +13.64%
Libertarian
  • Travis Irvine
  • Todd Grayson
 80,055 1.80% N/A
Green
  • Constance Gadell-Newton
  • Brett Joseph
 49,536 1.12% −2.21%
Write-in 358 0.00% N/A
Total votes 4,435,820 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

DeWine won 12 of 16 congressional districts.[234]

More information District, DeWine ...
District DeWine Cordray Representative
1st 52% 45% Steve Chabot
2nd 54% 43% Brad Wenstrup
3rd 28% 70% Joyce Beatty
4th 62% 34% Jim Jordan
5th 58% 38% Bob Latta
6th 64% 33% Bill Johnson
7th 59% 37% Bob Gibbs
8th 64% 32% Warren Davidson
9th 35% 61% Marcy Kaptur
10th 52% 45% Mike Turner
11th 18% 79% Marcia Fudge
12th 52% 45% Troy Balderson
13th 40% 57% Tim Ryan
14th 52% 45% David Joyce
15th 53% 45% Steve Stivers
16th 54% 43% Anthony Gonzalez
Close

Notes

  1. [A]
    Paul Ray 1%, Larry Ealy 0%
  2. [B]
    Paul Ray 2%, Larry Ealy 1%
  3. [C]
    Richard Duncan (write-in), Rebecca Ayers (write-in), and Renea Turner (write-in) with 0%
  4. [D]
    Colin Hill (I) with 3%

References

External links

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