2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of Alaska in the 116th United States Congress. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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November 6, 2018
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| Turnout | 49.34% | |||||||||||||||||||
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   Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Galvin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Thomas "John" Nelson, businessman[1]
- Jed Whittaker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 1996 and perennial candidate
- Don Young, incumbent U.S. representative and Dean of the House of Representatives[2]
Results
Map legend
- Young—70–80%
- Young—60–70%
- Young—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 49,667 | 70.85% | |
| Republican | Thomas "John" Nelson | 10,913 | 15.57% | |
| Republican | Jed Whittaker | 9,525 | 13.59% | |
| Total votes | 70,105 | 100% | ||
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Christopher C. Cumings, running as Non-partisan (N)[4]
- Alyse S. Galvin, running as Undeclared (U)[5]
- Carol "Kitty" Hafner, running as Democrat (D)[6]
- Dimitri Shein, running as Democrat (D)[7]
Endorsements
Dimitri Shein (D)
Results
Map legend
- Galvin—60–70%
- Galvin—50–60%
- Galvin—40–50%
- Galvin—30–40%
- Galvin—<30%
- Shein—<30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Alyse S. Galvin | 21,742 | 53.62% | |
| Democratic | Dimitri Shein | 9,434 | 23.26% | |
| Democratic | Carol Hafner | 6,071 | 14.97% | |
| Independent | Christopher C. Cumings | 3,304 | 8.15% | |
| Total votes | 40,551 | 100% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[13] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[14] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[15] | Lean R | November 6, 2018 |
Endorsements
Alyse Galvin (I)
- Local and statewide politicians
- Eric Croft, member of the Anchorage Assembly[16]
- Labor unions
Organizations
- The Alaska Center[18]
- End Citizens United[19]
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Young (R) |
Alyse Galvin (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research[20] | October 26–29, 2018 | 500 | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)[21] | October 13–16, 2018 | 500 | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Alaska Survey Research[22] | October 12–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[23] | October 11–12, 2018 | 645 | – | 46% | 43% | 10% |
| Alaska Survey Research[24] | October 1–6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Alaska Survey Research[25] | September 21–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
| Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)[26] | June 7–12, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 40% | 36% | 24% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 149,779 | 53.08% | +2.76% | |
| Independent | Alyse S. Galvin[a] | 131,199 | 46.50% | +10.48% | |
| Write-in | 1,188 | 0.42% | +0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 282,166 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area (largest town: Craig)
- Petersburg Borough (largest town: Petersburg)
- Yakutat Borough
- Anchorage (largest town: Anchorage)
- Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest town: Fort Yukon)
- Nome Census Area (largest town: Nome)
- Kusilvak Census Area (largest town: Hooper Bay)
- Bethel Census Area (largest town: Bethel)
- Dillingham Census Area (largest town: Dillingham)
- Aleutians West Census Area (largest town: Unalaska)
Notes
- Also listed as having the Democratic nomination.