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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Idaho, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

Quick facts All 2 Idaho seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho

 2016
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2020 

All 2 Idaho seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 367,441 207,313
Percentage 61.73% 34.83%
Swing Decrease 3.93% Increase 4.17%

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Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho by district:[1]

More information District, Republican ...
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1197,71962.75%96,92230.76%20,4286.48%315,069100.0%Republican hold
District 2170,27460.67%110,38139.33%00.00%280,655100.0%Republican hold
Total367,99361.77%207,30334.80%20,4283.43%595,724100.0%
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District 1

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Idaho's 1st congressional district election

 2016
2020 
 
Nominee Russ Fulcher Cristina McNeil
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 197,167 96,932
Percentage 62.7% 30.8%

Precinct results
Fulcher:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
McNeil      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. Representatives before election

Raúl Labrador
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Russ Fulcher
Republican

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The incumbent was Republican Raúl Labrador, who had represented the district since 2011 and was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2016. He retired to unsuccessfully run in the 2018 Republican gubernatorial primary.

Republican primary

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Russ Fulcher 42,793 43.1
Republican David H. Leroy 15,451 15.6
Republican Luke Malek 14,154 14.3
Republican Christy Perry 11,110 11.2
Republican Michael Snyder 10,255 10.3
Republican Alex Gallegos 3,478 3.5
Republican Nick Henderson 2,003 2.0
Total votes 99,244 100.0
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Democratic primary

  • Cristina McNeil, real estate agent, chair of the Latino caucus of the Idaho Democratic Party[9]
  • Michael Smith, former U.S. Marine
  • James Vandermaas, former U.S. Marine[10]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cristina McNeil 19,070 69.3
Democratic James Vandermaas 4,491 16.3
Democratic Michael Smith 3,963 14.4
Total votes 27,524 100.0
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General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[12] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[16] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[17] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[18] Safe R November 4, 2018
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Debate

More information No., Date ...
2018 Idaho's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Russ Fulcher Cristina McNeil
1 Oct. 26, 2018 KTVB [19] P P
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Russ
Fulcher (R)
Cristina
McNeil (D)
W. Scott
Howard (L)
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates[20] June 22 – July 9, 2018 315 ± 5.5% 35% 27% 10% 8%[21] 20%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Idaho's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Russ Fulcher 197,167 62.7
Democratic Cristina McNeil 96,932 30.8
Independent Natalie Fleming 6,188 2.0
Libertarian W. Scott Howard 5,435 1.7
Independent Paul Farmer 4,479 1.4
Constitution Marvin "Pro-Life" Richardson 3,181 1.0
Independent Gordon Counsil 1,054 0.3
Independent Michael J. Rath (write-in) 91 0.0
Total votes 314,527 100.0
Republican hold
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District 2

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Idaho's 2nd congressional district election

 2016
2020 
 
Nominee Mike Simpson Aaron Swisher
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 170,274 110,381
Percentage 60.7% 39.3%

Precinct results
Simpson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Swisher      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representatives before election

Mike Simpson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Mike Simpson
Republican

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The incumbent was Republican Mike Simpson, who had represented the district since 1999. He was reelected with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Simpson (incumbent) 72,227 100.0
Total votes 72,227 100.0
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Democratic primary

  • Peter Rickards[22]
  • Aaron Swisher, businessman[23]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Aaron Swisher 18,675 67.6
Democratic Peter Rickards 8,943 32.4
Total votes 27,618 100.0
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General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[12] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[16] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[17] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[18] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Simpson (R)
Aaron
Swisher (D)
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates[20] June 22 – July 9, 2018 285 ± 5.8% 59% 23% 10%[24] 9%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Idaho's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Simpson (incumbent) 170,274 60.7
Democratic Aaron Swisher 110,381 39.3
Total votes 280,655 100.0
Republican hold
Close

References

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