2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Idaho, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
November 6, 2018
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All 2 Idaho seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 197,719 | 62.75% | 96,922 | 30.76% | 20,428 | 6.48% | 315,069 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 170,274 | 60.67% | 110,381 | 39.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 280,655 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 367,993 | 61.77% | 207,303 | 34.80% | 20,428 | 3.43% | 595,724 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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Precinct results Fulcher: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McNeil 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Raúl Labrador, who had represented the district since 2011 and was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2016. He retired to unsuccessfully run in the 2018 Republican gubernatorial primary.
Republican primary
- Russ Fulcher, former state senator[2]
- Alex Gallegos, retired U.S. Army lieutenant colonel[3]
- Nick Henderson[4]
- David H. Leroy, former lieutenant governor of Idaho[5]
- Luke Malek, state representative[6]
- Christy Perry, state representative[7]
- Michael Snyder, author[8]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Russ Fulcher | 42,793 | 43.1 | |
| Republican | David H. Leroy | 15,451 | 15.6 | |
| Republican | Luke Malek | 14,154 | 14.3 | |
| Republican | Christy Perry | 11,110 | 11.2 | |
| Republican | Michael Snyder | 10,255 | 10.3 | |
| Republican | Alex Gallegos | 3,478 | 3.5 | |
| Republican | Nick Henderson | 2,003 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 99,244 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
- Cristina McNeil, real estate agent, chair of the Latino caucus of the Idaho Democratic Party[9]
- Michael Smith, former U.S. Marine
- James Vandermaas, former U.S. Marine[10]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Cristina McNeil | 19,070 | 69.3 | |
| Democratic | James Vandermaas | 4,491 | 16.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael Smith | 3,963 | 14.4 | |
| Total votes | 27,524 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[16] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[17] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[18] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Russ Fulcher | Cristina McNeil | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 26, 2018 | KTVB | [19] | P | P | |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Russ Fulcher | 197,167 | 62.7 | |
| Democratic | Cristina McNeil | 96,932 | 30.8 | |
| Independent | Natalie Fleming | 6,188 | 2.0 | |
| Libertarian | W. Scott Howard | 5,435 | 1.7 | |
| Independent | Paul Farmer | 4,479 | 1.4 | |
| Constitution | Marvin "Pro-Life" Richardson | 3,181 | 1.0 | |
| Independent | Gordon Counsil | 1,054 | 0.3 | |
| Independent | Michael J. Rath (write-in) | 91 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 314,527 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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Precinct results Simpson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Swisher 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Mike Simpson, who had represented the district since 1999. He was reelected with 63% of the vote in 2016.
Republican primary
- Mike Simpson, incumbent
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Simpson (incumbent) | 72,227 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 72,227 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Aaron Swisher | 18,675 | 67.6 | |
| Democratic | Peter Rickards | 8,943 | 32.4 | |
| Total votes | 27,618 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[16] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[17] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[18] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Simpson (incumbent) | 170,274 | 60.7 | |
| Democratic | Aaron Swisher | 110,381 | 39.3 | |
| Total votes | 280,655 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||