2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
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November 6, 2018
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All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2018 elections saw all three incumbents elected (all from the Republican Party); thus the GOP retained control of all three House seats.
Overview
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 141,712 | 60.36% | 93,069 | 39.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 234,781 | 100% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 126,715 | 51.00% | 121,770 | 49.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,485 | 100% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 163,650 | 76.72% | 49,654 | 23.28% | 0 | 0.00% | 213,304 | 100% | Republican hold |
| Total | 432,077 | 62.56% | 264,493 | 35.19% | 0 | 0.00% | 696,570 | 100% | |
District 1
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 Precinct results Fortenberry: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McClure: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who had represented the district since 2005. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016.
Democratic primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jessica McClure | 22,199 | 66.1 | |
| Democratic | Dennis P. Crawford | 11,386 | 33.9 | |
| Total votes | 33,585 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
- Jeff Fortenberry, incumbent
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 51,809 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 51,809 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Fortenberry (R) |
Jessica McClure (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[12] | October 24–25, 2018 | 742 | – | 55% | 39% | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 141,712 | 60.4 | |
| Democratic | Jessica McClure | 93,069 | 39.6 | |
| Total votes | 234,781 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 County results Bacon: 60–70% Eastman: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who had represented the district since 2017. He flipped the district and was elected with 49% of the vote in 2016.
Democratic primary
- Brad Ashford, former U.S. representative
- Kara Eastman, founder of Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance and vice chair of the Metropolitan Community College Board of Governors[13]
Endorsements
Kara Eastman
Individuals
- Anne Boyle, former Nebraska state public service commissioner
- Ben Gray, Omaha city councilman
- Crystal Rhoades, Nebraska state public service commissioner
- Tony Vargas, Nebraska state senator
- Justin Wayne, Nebraska state senator
Organizations
- Climate Hawks Vote
- Insulators Local 39
- Justice Democrats
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- VOTEPROCHOICE
Parties
- Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[14]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Brad Ashford | Kara Eastman | |||||
| 1 | Apr. 24, 2018 | KMTV-TV Omaha World-Herald |
Craig Nigrelli Mike'l Severe |
[15] | P | P |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kara Eastman | 21,357 | 51.64 | |
| Democratic | Brad Ashford | 19,998 | 48.36 | |
| Total votes | 41,355 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
- Don Bacon, incumbent
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 33,852 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 33,852 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Bacon (R) |
Kara Eastman (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFM Research[16] | October 23–25, 2018 | 350 | ± 5.2% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Meeting Street Research (R-Bacon)[17] | October 1–2, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 40% | 9% |
| GQR Research (D-Eastman)[18] | September 27–30, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[19] | September 23–26, 2018 | 512 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 126,715 | 51.0 | |
| Democratic | Kara Eastman | 121,770 | 49.0 | |
| Total votes | 248,485 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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 Precinct results Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Theobald: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who had represented the district since 2007. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016.
Democratic primary
- Paul Theobald, educator and author[20]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Theobald | 16,395 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 16,395 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
- Larry Bolinger,[21] author[22]
- Arron Kowalski[23]
- Kirk Penner, businessman[24]
- Adrian Smith, incumbent
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 50,878 | 65.74 | |
| Republican | Kirk Penner | 20,116 | 25.99 | |
| Republican | Arron Kowalski | 4,461 | 5.76 | |
| Republican | Larry Lee Scott Bolinger | 1,935 | 2.50 | |
| Total votes | 77,390 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 163,650 | 76.7 | |
| Democratic | Paul Theobald | 49,654 | 23.3 | |
| Total votes | 213,304 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||