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2019 Madrilenian regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Madrid From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

A regional election was held in the Community of Madrid on 26 May 2019 to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 132 seats in the Assembly were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Registered5,059,252 Increase 3.7%
Turnout3,251,386 (64.3%)
Decrease 1.4 pp
Quick facts All 132 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 67 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...
2019 Madrilenian regional election

 2015
26 May 2019
2021 

All 132 seats in the Assembly of Madrid
67 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered5,059,252 Increase 3.7%
Turnout3,251,386 (64.3%)
Decrease 1.4 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Ángel Gabilondo Isabel Díaz Ayuso Ignacio Aguado
Party PSOE PP Cs
Leader since 21 February 2015 13 January 2019 2 March 2015
Last election 37 seats, 25.4% 48 seats, 33.1% 17 seats, 12.2%
Seats won 37 30 26
Seat change Steady 0 Decrease 18 Increase 9
Popular vote 884,218 719,852 629,940
Percentage 27.3% 22.2% 19.5%
Swing Increase 1.9 pp Decrease 10.9 pp Increase 7.3 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Íñigo Errejón Rocío Monasterio Isabel Serra
Party Más Madrid Vox Podemos–IU
Leader since 17 January 2019 18 April 2019 18 March 2019
Last election Did not contest 0 seats, 1.2% 27 seats, 22.8%[a]
Seats won 20 12 7
Seat change Increase 20 Increase 12 Decrease 20
Popular vote 475,672 287,667 181,231
Percentage 14.7% 8.9% 5.6%
Swing New party Increase 7.7 pp Decrease 17.2 pp

President before election

Pedro Rollán (acting)
PP

President after election

Isabel Díaz Ayuso
PP

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As a result of the election, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) emerged as the largest political party in a Madrilenian regional election for the first time since 1987, but failed short of securing a majority together with Íñigo Errejón's Más Madrid and Unidas Podemos, the latter of which barely surpassed the 5% threshold to win seats in the Assembly. Instead, a right-of-centre alliance between the People's Party (PP), Citizens (Cs) and far-right Vox was able to muster a majority to form a government, which resulted in the election of PP candidate Isabel Díaz Ayuso as new regional president.

Background

On 21 March 2018, it transpired that President Cristina Cifuentes could have obtained a master's degree in the King Juan Carlos University through fraudulent means.[1] What initially started off as a suspicion that she could have faked her CV,[2] developed into a major scandal after a series of irregularities in the obtaining of the academic title were revealed, as well as the subsequent attempt from both the university and the regional government to cover up the scandal through document forgery.[3][4] Preliminary probing revealed evidence of possible criminal offenses that were subsequently put under investigation of the judiciary, questioning Cifuentes's continuity as regional premier.[5][6][7] After the release of a 2011 video showing her being detained in a supermarket for shoplifting, Cifuentes resigned on 25 April 2018.[8] She was succeeded by her deputy, Ángel Garrido,[9][10] who was sworn into office on 21 May.[11][12] Cifuentes's scandal joined many others in a long list of corruption cases beleaguering the ruling People's Party (PP) in Spain that ended up with Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's downfall on 1 June through a vote of no confidence in the Congress of Deputies.[13][14]

On 17 January 2019, Podemos suffered a major split after it was announced that Carmena and Íñigo Errejón, Podemos candidate for regional president and one of Podemos founders, had agreed to launch a joint platform to run at the regional election.[15][16][17][18] Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias announced later that day that he no longer considered Errejón as the party's candidate in the region for placing himself "outside Podemos", and that Podemos and IU would contest the regional election on their own even if that meant to compete against Más Madrid and, therefore, against Errejón.[19][20] Podemos leaders also urged Errejón to resign his Congress seat,[21] considering his move as "deceitful" and "a betrayal" to the party.[22] On 21 January, Errejón resigned his seat,[23][24] but still called for Podemos, IU and Equo to join the Más Madrid platform.[25] On 25 January, Ramón Espinar, the regional Podemos secretary-general, announced his resignation and his farewell from politics, allegedly after the party's national leadership deprived Espinar's regional branch of any autonomy to attempt negotiations with Errejón's platform for either running in a joint list or agreeing on a coordinated political action.[26][27][28]

On 11 April, president Ángel Garrido resigned his post over eligibility issues to join the PP's list to the 2019 European Parliament election,[29] being replaced by Pedro Rollán in the interim.[30] Two weeks later, and four days before that month's general election, Garrido announced his break up from the PP, instead joining Cs's lists for the next regional election.[31]

Overview

Under the 1983 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Madrid was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[32] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[33]

Date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (BOCM).[34] The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 26 May 2019.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election had been called and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or during the last year of parliament before its planned expiration, nor before one year after a previous one.[35] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called, which was to be held on the first Sunday 54 days after the call.[36] Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances did not alter the date of the chamber's next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term.[37]

The election to the Assembly of Madrid was officially called on 2 April 2019 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOCM, setting election day for 26 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 11 June.[38]

Electoral system

Voting for the Assembly was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.[39][b] Additionally, non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting, a system known as "begged" voting (Spanish: Voto rogado).[41][42]

The Assembly of Madrid had one seat per 50,000 inhabitants or fraction above 25,000. All were elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the autonomous community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) regionally.[43] As a result of the aforementioned allocation, the Assembly was entitled to 132 seats, based on the official population figures resulting from the latest revision of the municipal register (as of 1 January 2018).[44]

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[45]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.[46]

More information Groups, Parties ...
Parliamentary composition in April 2019
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
People's Parliamentary Group PP 48 48
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 37 37
We Can Parliamentary Group Podemos 27 27
Citizens's Parliamentary Group Cs 17 17
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Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[47] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.[48]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

Campaign

Debates

More information Date, Organizer(s) ...
2019 Madrilenian regional election debates
Date Organizer(s) Moderator(s)     P  Present[c]    A  Absent invitee   NI  Not invited 
PP PSOE UP Cs Vox MM Audience Ref.
19 May Telemadrid María Rey
Jon Ariztimuño
P
Ayuso
P
Gabilondo
P
Serra
P
Aguado
P
Monasterio
NI 6.7%
(160,000)
[58]
20 May Cadena SER Javier Casal
Lucía González
A P
Gabilondo
P
Serra
P
Aguado
P
Monasterio
P
Errejón
[59]
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Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 24 May 2015 to 26 May 2019, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 67 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (65 in the 2015 election).

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
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Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
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Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Community of Madrid.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
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Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
Summary of the 26 May 2019 Assembly of Madrid election results
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 884,21827.31+1.88 37±0
People's Party (PP) 719,85222.23−10.85 30−18
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) 629,94019.46+7.31 26+9
More Madrid (Más Madrid) 475,67214.69New 20+20
Vox (Vox) 287,6678.88+7.70 12+12
United We Can–United Left–Stand Up Madrid (PodemosIU)1 181,2315.60−17.20 7−20
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 24,4460.76−0.26 0±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 4,0570.13−1.91 0±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 3,1780.10New 0±0
Union for Leganés (ULEG) 2,9840.09−0.08 0±0
Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) 2,6100.08New 0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 2,2170.07−0.10 0±0
Castilian Party–Commoners' Land: Pact (PCAS–TC–Pacto) 1,7940.06±0.00 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 1,7270.05−0.06 0±0
Libertarian Party (P–LIB) 1,2460.04−0.02 0±0
Blank ballots 15,0200.46−0.64
Total 3,237,859 132+3
Valid votes 3,237,85999.58+0.55
Invalid votes 13,5270.42−0.55
Votes cast / turnout 3,251,38664.27−1.42
Abstentions 1,807,86635.73+1.42
Registered voters 5,059,252
Sources[46][62]
Footnotes:
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Popular vote
PSOE
27.31%
PP
22.23%
Cs
19.46%
Más Madrid
14.69%
Vox
8.88%
Podemos–IU
5.60%
Others
1.37%
Blank ballots
0.46%
Seats
PSOE
28.03%
PP
22.73%
Cs
19.70%
Más Madrid
15.15%
Vox
9.09%
Podemos–IU
5.30%

Elected legislators

The following table lists the elected legislators sorted by order of election:[62]

More information Elected legislators, # ...
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Aftermath

Government formation

More information Ballot →, 14 August 2019 ...
Investiture
Nomination of Isabel Díaz Ayuso (PP)
Ballot → 14 August 2019
Required majority → 67 out of 132 checkY
Yes
  • PP (30)
  • Cs (26)
  • Vox (12)
68 / 132
No
64 / 132
Abstentions
0 / 132
Absentees
0 / 132
Sources[46][63]
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Isabel Díaz Ayuso's administration represented several historical firsts for the Community of Madrid: it was the first time that the region was run by a coalition government—Ayuso's own conservative People's Party (PP) and the center-right Citizens (Cs)—and it was the first time that the far-right, represented by Vox, propped up a regional executive in the Community. A similar governing arrangement was set up in the southern regions of Andalusia and Murcia.[64]

Notes

  1. Results for Podemos (18.6%, 27 seats) and IUCMLV (4.2%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
  2. Amendments in 2018 granted the right to vote to those legally incapacitated.[40]
  3. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  4. Does not include non-resident citizens.

References

Bibliography

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