2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the state of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts. The state's primary election occurred on June 2, 2020. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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November 3, 2020
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All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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  Republican hold Democratic hold
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Overview
Statewide
District
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Total | Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 249,804 | 56.56% | 191,875 | 43.44% | 441,679 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 75,022 | 27.46% | 198,140 | 72.54% | 273,162 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 33,671 | 8.97% | 341,708 | 91.03% | 375,379 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 179,926 | 40.47% | 264,637 | 59.53% | 444,563 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 139,552 | 35.3% | 255,743 | 64.7% | 395,295 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 177,526 | 43.95% | 226,440 | 56.05% | 403,966 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 7 | 181,407 | 47.87% | 195,475 | 52.13% | 376,882 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 165,783 | 48.22% | 178,004 | 51.78% | 343,787 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 232,988 | 66.33% | 118,266 | 33.67% | 351,254 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 10 | 208,896 | 53.31% | 182,938 | 46.69% | 391,834 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 11 | 241,915 | 63.12% | 141,325 | 36.88% | 383,240 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 241,035 | 70.84% | 99,199 | 29.16% | 340,234 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 13 | 267,789 | 73.49% | 96,612 | 26.51% | 364,401 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 14 | 241,688 | 64.69% | 131,895 | 35.31% | 373,583 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 15 | 255,058 | 73.46% | 92,156 | 26.54% | 347,214 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 16 | 210,088 | 59.34% | 143,962 | 40.66% | 354,050 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 17 | 212,284 | 48.85% | 222,253 | 51.15% | 434,537 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 18 | 118,163 | 30.75% | 266,084 | 69.25% | 384,247 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 3,432,595 | 50.63% | 3,346,712 | 49.37% | 6,779,307 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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 Precinct results Fitzpatrick: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Finello: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district consists of all of Bucks County and a sliver of Montgomery County. The incumbent was Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018
Brian Fitzpatrick
Organizations
- Humane Society[2]
- Moms Demand Action[3]
- Pennsylvania AFL–CIO[4]
- Pro-Israel America[5]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[6]
Newspapers and other media
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 48,017 | 63.25 | |
| Republican | Andy Meehan | 27,895 | 36.75 | |
| Total votes | 75,912 | 100.00 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christina Finello, Ivyland borough councilwoman and Bucks County deputy director of Housing and Human Services[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Skylar Hurwitz, owner of Demetrius Consulting, a technology consulting firm[9]
Withdrew
- Judi Reiss, Bucks County prothonotary and former Lower Makefield Township supervisor[10]
- Debra Wachspress, member of the Pennsbury School District school board[11][12]
Declined
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner[13]
- Patrick Murphy, former United States Under Secretary of the Army and former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2007–2011)[13]
- Rachel Reddick, U.S. Navy veteran and candidate for Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district in 2018[14][15]
Endorsements
Christina Finello
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[16]
Skylar Hurwitz
Organizations
- LEAP Forward[17]
- Sunrise Movement – Pennsbury chapter[18]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Christina Finello | 71,571 | 77.53 | |
| Democratic | Skylar Hurwitz | 20,737 | 22.47 | |
| Total votes | 92,308 | 100.00 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Scheetz, chair of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania (write-in)
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Lean R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Tossup | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Lean R | August 21, 2020 |
Polling
View source data.
with Debbie Waschspress
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) |
Debbie Waschspress (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)[28] | November 6–7, 2019 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[29] | October 6–7, 2020 | 569 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[30][A] | June 10–11, 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 49% | – | 11% |
| Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[31] | June 7–14, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 52% | 2% | 8% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick | 249,804 | 56.56 | |
| Democratic | Christina Finello | 191,875 | 43.44 | |
| Total votes | 441,679 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 Precinct results Boyle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Torres: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district consists of Northeast Philadelphia and parts of North Philadelphia. The incumbent was Democrat Brendan Boyle who was re-elected with 79.0% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 73,980 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 73,980 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Torres, community activist[34]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Torres | 14,010 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 14,010 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe D | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 198,140 | 72.5 | |
| Republican | David Torres | 75,022 | 27.5 | |
| Total votes | 273,162 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
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 Precinct results Evans: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Harvey: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is anchored by Philadelphia, taking in the northwest, west, and Center City sections of the city. The incumbent was Democrat Dwight Evans, who was re-elected with 93.4% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Dwight Evans
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 164,871 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 164,871 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Harvey, Philadelphia's 60th Ward Chairperson and military veteran[37]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michael Harvey | 5,020 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 5,020 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe D | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 341,708 | 91.0 | |
| Republican | Michael Harvey | 33,671 | 9.0 | |
| Total votes | 375,379 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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 Precinct results Dean: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Barnette: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district takes in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, centering on Montgomery County. The incumbent was Democrat Madeleine Dean, who was elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Madeleine Dean, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Madeleine Dean
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madeleine Dean (incumbent) | 122,657 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 122,657 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Barnette, military veteran and political commentator[44]
Withdrawn
- Renee Beadencup, paralegal
Endorsements
Kathy Barnette
- Eric Trump, businessman, former reality television personality and son of Donald Trump[45]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kathy Barnette | 58,571 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 58,571 | 100.0 | ||
Independent candidates
- Joe Tarshish, auditor (write-in)
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe D | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madeleine Dean (incumbent) | 264,637 | 59.5 | |
| Republican | Kathy Barnette | 179,926 | 40.5 | |
| Total votes | 444,563 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
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 Precinct results Scanlon: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pruett: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of South Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The incumbent was Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who flipped the district with 65.2% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mary Gay Scanlon, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Mary Gay Scanlon
Organizations
- Brady Campaign[38]
- Equality PAC[39]
- Humane Society[2]
- J Street PAC[35]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[40]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[41]
- Moms Demand Action[3]
- National Organization for Women[43]
- Sierra Club[36]
Labor unions
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) | 103,194 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 103,194 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dasha Pruett, photographer[46]
Eliminated in primary
- Rob Jordan, activist[37]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dasha Pruett | 31,734 | 61.5 | |
| Republican | Rob Jordan | 19,890 | 38.5 | |
| Total votes | 51,624 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe D | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) | 255,743 | 64.7 | |
| Republican | Dasha Pruett | 139,552 | 35.3 | |
| Total votes | 395,295 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
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 Precinct results Houlahan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Emmons: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses all of Chester County and the part of southern Berks County including Reading. The incumbent was Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who flipped the district and was elected with 58.9% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chrissy Houlahan, incumbent U.S. representative[47]
Endorsements
Chrissy Houlahan
Organizations
- 314 Action[48]
- Brady Campaign[38]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[49]
- End Citizens United[50]
- Equality PAC[39]
- Giffords[51]
- Humane Society[2]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[40]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[41]
- Moms Demand Action[3]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[42]
- National Organization for Women[43]
- Sierra Club[36]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) | 89,411 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 89,411 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Emmons, chemical engineer[52]
Declined
- Ryan Costello, former U.S. representative[53]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Emmons | 56,928 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 56,928 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- John McHugh, Honey Brook Township chairman and Marine veteran (write-in)[54]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe D | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) | 226,440 | 56.1 | |
| Republican | John Emmons | 177,526 | 43.9 | |
| Total votes | 403,966 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 7
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Wild: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Scheller: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, and consists of Lehigh and Northampton counties as well as parts of Monroe County, including the cities of Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton. The incumbent was Democrat Susan Wild, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.5% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Susan Wild, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Susan Wild
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[16]
Individuals
- Abbi Jacobson, comedian[55]
- Amanda Seyfried, actress[56]
Organizations
- BOLD PAC[57]
- Brady Campaign[38]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[49]
- EMILY's List[58]
- End Citizens United[59]
- Equality PAC[39]
- Giffords[51]
- Humane Society[2]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[40]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[60]
- Moms Demand Action[3]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[61]
- National Organization for Women[43]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[62]
- Sierra Club[36]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wild (incumbent) | 76,878 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 76,878 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lisa Scheller, former Lehigh County commissioner[63]
Eliminated in primary
- Dean Browning, former Lehigh County commissioner, businessman, and candidate for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district in 2018[64]
Did not qualify for ballot access
- Matthew D. Connolly, Republican nominee for PA-17 in 2018[65]
Endorsements
Lisa Scheller
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lisa Scheller | 29,673 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Dean Browning | 27,260 | 47.9 | |
| Total votes | 56,933 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Likely D | October 8, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Likely D | October 8, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | October 29, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Likely D | August 21, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Susan Wild (D) |
Lisa Scheller (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSales University[67] | October 11–24, 2020[b] | 448 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 36% | – | – |
| Franklin & Marshall College[68] | October 12–18, 2020 | 447 (V) | ± 5.8% | 44% | 36% | – | 20% |
| DeSales University[69] | October 3–10, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 36% | – | – |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[70] | September 21–24, 2020 | 414 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 52% | 39% | 2%[c] | 8% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wild (incumbent) | 195,475 | 51.9 | |
| Republican | Lisa Scheller | 181,407 | 48.1 | |
| Total votes | 376,882 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
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Cartwright: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Bognet: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district, based in the northeastern part of the state, is home to the cities of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. The incumbent was Democrat Matt Cartwright, who was re-elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. representative[71]
Endorsements
Matt Cartwright
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (D-MA); former 2020 presidential candidate[72]
Organizations
- Blue America[73]
- BOLD PAC[57]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[49]
- End Citizens United[50]
- Giffords[51]
- Humane Society[2]
- J Street PAC[35]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[40]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[74]
- Moms Demand Action[3]
- Our Revolution[75]
- Progressive Democrats of America[76]
- Sierra Club[36]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 75,101 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 75,101 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Bognet, former senior vice president for communications of the Export–Import Bank of the United States[77]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Cammisa, bar manager[78]
- Teddy Daniels, former police officer and U.S. Army veteran[79]
- Earl Granville, U.S. Army veteran[80]
- Harry Haas, Luzerne County councilman[81]
- Michael Marsicano, former mayor of Hazleton[82]
Declined
- Lou Barletta, former U.S. representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[83]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Bognet | 16,281 | 28.4 | |
| Republican | Teddy Daniels | 13,560 | 23.7 | |
| Republican | Earl Granville | 13,283 | 23.2 | |
| Republican | Mike Marsciano | 7,404 | 12.9 | |
| Republican | Harry Haas | 5,369 | 9.4 | |
| Republican | Mike Cammisa | 1,367 | 2.4 | |
| Total votes | 57,264 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Lean D | July 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Likely D | October 8, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Likely D | October 26, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Lean D | August 21, 2020 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 178,004 | 51.8 | |
| Republican | Jim Bognet | 165,783 | 48.2 | |
| Total votes | 343,787 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
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 Precinct results Meuser: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wegman: 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district encompasses the Coal Region of Northeastern Pennsylvania. The incumbent was Republican Dan Meuser, who was elected with 59.7% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Meuser, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Dan Meuser
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[85]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Meuser (incumbent) | 77,350 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 77,350 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Gary Wegman, dentist[86]
Eliminated in primary
- Laura Quick, delivery driver[86]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gary Wegman | 27,451 | 51.0 | |
| Democratic | Laura Quick | 26,385 | 49.0 | |
| Total votes | 53,836 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Meuser (incumbent) | 232,988 | 66.3 | |
| Democratic | Gary Wegman | 118,266 | 33.7 | |
| Total votes | 351,254 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Perry: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% DePasquale: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district covers all of Dauphin County and parts of Cumberland and York counties, including the cities of Harrisburg and York. The incumbent was Republican Scott Perry, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[33] Perry won re-election to his house seat in 2020, defeating pennsylvania state Auditor General Eugene DePasquale by 25,958 votes.[87] DePasquale subsequently conceded the race.[88]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Perry, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrew
- Bobby Jeffries, logistics director[89]
Endorsements
Scott Perry
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 79,365 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 79,365 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Tom Brier, attorney[92]
Withdrew
- Jobo Dean, businessman[93][non-primary source needed][94][non-primary source needed]
Declined
- George Scott, U.S. Army veteran, pastor, and nominee for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district in 2018[95] (running for PA Senate, District 15)[96]
Endorsements
Tom Brier
State executives
- Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, lieutenant governor of Maryland (1995–2003)[97]
Organizations
- LEAP Forward[17]
Eugene DePasquale
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[16]
U.S. vice presidents
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), United States senator from Delaware (1973–2009), Democratic nominee for the 2020 election[98]
U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017-present), Democratic Party's nominee for vice president in the 2020 election, attorney general of California (2011–2017) and attorney general of San Francisco (2004–2011)[99]
U.S. representatives
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. representative from CA-12 (2013–present), CA-08 (1993–2013), and CA-05 (1987–1993), speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (2019–present, 2007–2011)[100]
Organizations
- Democratic Majority for Israel[49]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[101]
- Human Rights Campaign[102]
- J Street PAC[35]
Newspapers and other media
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eugene DePasquale | 45,453 | 57.4 | |
| Democratic | Tom Brier | 33,661 | 42.6 | |
| Total votes | 79,114 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Scott Perry | Eugene DePasquale | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2020 | WGAL | Janelle Stelson | YouTube (Part 1) YouTube (Part 2) YouTube (Part 3) |
P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Tossup | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Tossup | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Tossup | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Lean R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Tossup | August 21, 2020 |
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Scott Perry (R) |
Eugene DePasquale (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrance Group (R)[105][D] | October 13–15, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | 8%[e] |
| GBAO Strategies (D)[106][E] | September 29 – October 2, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 51% | – |
| Victoria Research (D)[107][F] | September 22–24, 2020 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 50% | 7%[f] |
| Pulse Research[108] | August 18 – September 3, 2020 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45%[g] | 44% | – |
| GBAO Strategies (D)[109][E] | August 30 – September 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | – |
| DFM Research[110] | August 6–9, 2020 | 384 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 10%[h] |
| Victoria Research (D)[107][F] | June, 2020 | – (V)[d] | – | 50% | 44% | – |
| GBAO Strategies (D)[111][E] | May 28–31, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | – |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania Survey Research (D)[112][F] | September 22–24, 2020 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 47% | 2%[c] | 7%[i] |
| GBAO Strategies (D)[109][E] | August 30 – September 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | – | – |
| Pennsylvania Survey Research (D)[113][F] | June, 2020 | – (V)[d] | – | 47% | 43% | – | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 208,896 | 53.3 | |
| Democratic | Eugene DePasquale | 182,938 | 46.7 | |
| Total votes | 391,834 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Smucker: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hammond: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located in South Central Pennsylvania, centering on Lancaster County and southern York County. The incumbent was Republican Lloyd Smucker, who was re-elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lloyd Smucker, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 78,842 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 78,842 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sarah Hammond, high school field hockey coach[114]
Eliminated in primary
- Paul Daigle, university student employment manager[115]
Endorsements
Sarah Hammond
Organizations
- LEAP Forward[17]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sarah Hammond | 39,038 | 72.3 | |
| Democratic | Paul Daigle | 14,936 | 27.7 | |
| Total votes | 53,974 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Declined to endorse
Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 241,915 | 63.1 | |
| Democratic | Sarah Hammond | 141,325 | 36.9 | |
| Total votes | 383,240 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Keller: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Griffin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district encompasses rural North Central Pennsylvania, including Williamsport. The incumbent was Republican Fred Keller, who was elected in a 2019 special election with 68.1% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Fred Keller, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Fred Keller
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[85]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Fred Keller (incumbent) | 87,886 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 87,886 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lee Griffin, businessman[117]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lee Griffin | 41,313 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 41,313 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Elizabeth Terwilliger, speech-language pathologist
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Fred Keller (incumbent) | 241,035 | 70.8 | |
| Democratic | Lee Griffin | 99,199 | 29.2 | |
| Total votes | 340,234 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Joyce: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rowley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district encompasses rural southwestern Pennsylvania, including Altoona. The incumbent was Republican John Joyce, who was elected with 70.5% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Joyce, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
John Joyce
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[85]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Joyce (incumbent) | 94,171 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 94,171 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Todd Rowley, former FBI Agent, park ranger[118]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Todd Rowley | 41,988 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 41,988 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Joyce (incumbent) | 267,789 | 73.5 | |
| Democratic | Todd Rowley | 96,612 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 364,401 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 14
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Reschenthaler: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Marx: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district encompasses the southern exurbs of Pittsburgh. The incumbent was Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who was elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Guy Reschenthaler, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Guy Reschenthaler
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) | 66,671 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 66,671 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Marx, high school teacher and U.S. Army veteran[119]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bill Marx | 70,468 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 70,468 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) | 241,688 | 64.7 | |
| Democratic | Bill Marx | 131,895 | 35.3 | |
| Total votes | 373,583 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 15
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Thompson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Williams: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is located in rural North Central Pennsylvania. The incumbent was Republican Glenn Thompson, who was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Glenn Thompson, incumbent U.S. representative
Endorsements
Glenn Thompson
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Thompson (incumbent) | 88,364 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 88,364 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Robert Williams, minister[37]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Robert Williams | 48,714 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 48,714 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Thompson (incumbent) | 255,058 | 73.5 | |
| Democratic | Robert Williams | 92,156 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 347,214 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 16
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Kelly: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gnibus: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 16th district is located in the northwestern portion of the state, and covers all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, and Lawrence counties, as well as much of Butler County. The incumbent was Republican Mike Kelly, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Kelly, incumbent U.S. representative[120]
Endorsements
Mike Kelly
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[85]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 68,199 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 68,199 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kristy Gnibus, teacher[121]
Withdrew
- Edward DeSantis, Mercer County resident and working class advocate[122] (withdrew and endorsed Gnibus)
- Daniel Smith Jr., bank manager and candidate for Pennsylvania House of Representatives in 2018[123] (running for Pennsylvania House of Representatives, District 12)[124]
Declined
- Ryan Bizzarro, state representative[121]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kristy Gnibus | 63,640 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 63,640 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Likely R | October 8, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Lean R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Kelly (R) |
Kristy Gnibus (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[125][G] | June 22–23, 2020 | 726 (V) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 210,088 | 59.3 | |
| Democratic | Kristy Gnibus | 143,962 | 40.7 | |
| Total votes | 354,050 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 17
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Lamb: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Parnell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 17th district encompasses the northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs, including Beaver County, the southwestern corner of Butler County, and northern Allegheny County. The incumbent was Democrat Conor Lamb, who was re-elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. representative[126]
Endorsements
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 111,828 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 111,828 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Nominee
- Sean Parnell, U.S. Army veteran and author[128]
Endorsements
Sean Parnell
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, president of the United States[129]
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sean Parnell | 60,253 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 60,253 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Likely D | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Likely D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Lean D | October 24, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Likely D | August 21, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Conor Lamb (D) |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[132][H] | September 2–3, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[132][H] | July 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[132][H] | March 9–11, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 222,253 | 51.1 | |
| Republican | Sean Parnell | 212,284 | 48.9 | |
| Total votes | 434,537 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 18
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Doyle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Negron: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district includes the entire city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Mike Doyle, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[33]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Mike Doyle, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Jerry Dickinson, law professor[133]
Disqualified
- Janis Brooks, former pastor and nonprofit founder[134]
Endorsements
Mike Doyle
Organizations
- Humane Society[2]
- J Street PAC[35]
- Pennsylvania AFL–CIO[4]
- Sierra Club[135]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 90,353 | 67.2 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Dickinson | 44,170 | 32.8 | |
| Total votes | 134,523 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Luke Negron, Pennsylvania Air National Guard military member[134]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Luke Negron | 30,497 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 30,497 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Donald Nevills, Navy veteran and business owner (write-in)
- Daniel Vayda (write-in)
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe D | June 26, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[23] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| 270toWin[27] | Safe D | August 21, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 266,084 | 69.3 | |
| Republican | Luke Negron | 118,163 | 30.7 | |
| Total votes | 384,247 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- "Other/neither" with 2%
- Not yet released
- Undecided with 8%
- "Other/neither" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- Other with 1% and Undecided with 9%
- Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Finello's campaign.
- Poll sponsored by Bognet's campaign
- Poll sponsored by De Pasquale's campaign
- Poll conducted by DePasquale's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC, an organization promoting the election of Democratic Congressional candidates.
- Poll sponsored by Gnibus' campaign
- Poll sponsored by Sean Parnell's campaign