2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 3, 2020, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate. The 2020 U.S. presidential election and elections to the U.S. House of Representatives were also held, as well as the State Senate and State House elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Lamar Alexander announced that he would not run for re-election on December 17, 2018.[2] The former United States Ambassador to Japan, Bill Hagerty won the open seat by a large margin defeating his Democratic opponent Marquita Bradshaw.
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November 3, 2020
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| Turnout | 69.30%  [1] 33.33 pp | ||||||||||||||||
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   Hagerty: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bradshaw: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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In the primary, President Donald Trump endorsed Hagerty. He ended up winning the Republican nomination, defeating orthopedic surgeon Manny Sethi and 13 others in the Republican primary. In the Democratic primary, environmental activist Marquita Bradshaw from Memphis defeated Robin Kimbrough Hayes, as well as three other candidates. Nine independent candidates also appeared on the general election ballot.
Bill Hagerty outperformed Donald Trump by nearly four percentage points during the general election, a gap largely attributed to his stronger performance in suburban areas across Tennessee. Hagerty ran particularly well in the suburbs of Nashville, including Forest Hills, Belle Meade, Oak Hill, Franklin, Hendersonville, and Murfreesboro. He also exceeded Trump’s margins in suburban Memphis communities, most notably Germantown and Collierville as well as other surrounding suburbs.[3][4]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Hagerty, businessman, former United States Ambassador to Japan and former Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development[5][6]
Eliminated in the primary
- Cliff Adkins[7]
- Natisha Brooks[7]
- Byron Bush, dentist[8]
- Roy Dale Cope, small business owner and pharmacist[9][10]
- Terry Dicus, attorney[10]
- Tom Emerson Jr., Tea Party candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[11]
- George Flinn Jr., former Shelby County commissioner, Nixon Administration Official, physician, engineer, businessman, and Republican candidate in Tennessee's 8th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[12]
- Jon Henry, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[12]
- Kent Morrell, business owner[12]
- Glen Neal Jr., retired public servant[12]
- John Osborne, real estate agent and business owner[12]
- Aaron Pettigrew, truck driver[13]
- David Schuster, U.S. Navy veteran[11]
- Manny Sethi, orthopedic surgeon, director of the Vanderbilt Orthopedic Institute Center for Health Policy and founder and president of the non-profit Healthy Tennessee[14]
Disqualified from the primary ballot
- Jim Elkins, Republican candidate for Tennessee's 3rd congressional district in 2020[15]
- Johnny Presley, retired physician's assistant, hospital and clinic owner, farmer[16]
Withdrawn
- Clyde Benson, army veteran and Republican candidate for District 39 of the Tennessee House of Representatives in 2016[17][11]
- Larry Crim[18][11]
- Josh Gapp, physician (unsuccessfully ran for TN-01)[19][20]
- Garrett "Lance" Nichols[12][11]
- Stokes Nielson, music industry executive and guitarist for the Lost Trailers[21]
Declined
- Lamar Alexander, incumbent U.S. senator[2][22]
- Mae Beavers, former state senator (endorsed Sethi)[23]
- Diane Black, former U.S. representative for Tennessee's 6th congressional district and candidate for governor in 2018[24]
- Randy Boyd, former Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, candidate for governor in 2018, and President of the University of Tennessee system[5]
- Bob Corker, former U.S. senator[25]
- Stephen Fincher, former U.S. representative for Tennessee's 8th congressional district[26] and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[5]
- Chuck Fleischmann, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 3rd congressional district[27]
- Mark E. Green, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 7th congressional district and former state senator[28]
- Tre Hargett, Tennessee Secretary of State[23]
- Beth Harwell, former Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives and candidate for governor in 2018[5]
- Bill Haslam, former governor of Tennessee[29]
- David Kustoff, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 8th congressional district and former U.S. Attorney[30]
- Peyton Manning, retired NFL quarterback[31]
- Jeff Webb, businessman (endorsed Sethi)[26]
Endorsements
Bill Hagerty
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017-present)[32]
U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, Tennessee (2019-present)[33]
- Tom Cotton, Arkansas (2015-present)[34]
- Mitch McConnell, Kentucky (1985-present) and Senate Majority Leader (2015-present)[35]
Statewide officials
- Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida (1999-2007) and 2016 U.S. Presidential candidate[36]
- Bill Haslam, former Governor of Tennessee (2011-2019) and Mayor of Knoxville[36]
State legislators
- Patsy Hazlewood, state representative[37]
- Curtis Johnson, Deputy Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives[38]
Individuals
Organizations
Manny Sethi
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
- Ed Bryant, former U.S. representative (TN-07) (1995–2003)[46]
- John J. "Jimmy" Duncan Jr., former U.S. representative (TN-02) (1988–2019)[47]
- Zach Wamp, former U.S. representative (TN-03) (1995–2011)[48]
Statewide officials
- Winfield Dunn, businessman and former governor of Tennessee[36]
State legislators
- Richard Briggs, state senator (Knoxville-07) and Colonel (Ret.) in the United States Army[49]
- Joe S. Carr, former state representative (Lascassas-48)[50]
- Dan Howell, state representative (Georgetown-22)[36]
- Kelly Keisling, state representative (Byrdstown-38)[36]
- James Peach, former state representative (Camden-74)[51]
- Tony Shipley, former state representative (Kingsport-02)[51]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
George Flinn | Bill Hagerty | Manny Sethi | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics and Polling[52] | July 18–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 36% | 32% | 9% | 20% |
| The Trafalgar Group[53] | July 6–8, 2020 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 4% | 42% | 39% | 2% | 13% |
| Victory Phones[54][A] | June 30 – July 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 6% | 33% | 31% | – | 30% |
| The Tarrance Group[55][B] | June 28–30, 2020 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 46% | 29% | 2%[b] | 18% |
| Victory Phones[54][A] | June 2, 2020 | –[c] | – | – | 27% | 11% | – |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mark Green | Bill Haslam | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triton/Tennessee Star[56] | April 13–16, 2019 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 39% | ≈30% |
Results
Hagerty
- 30–40%40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Sethi
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Hagerty | 331,267 | 50.75% | |
| Republican | Manny Sethi | 257,223 | 39.41% | |
| Republican | George Flinn, Jr. | 22,454 | 3.44% | |
| Republican | Jon Henry | 8,104 | 1.24% | |
| Republican | Natisha Brooks | 8,072 | 1.24% | |
| Republican | Byron Bush | 5,420 | 0.83% | |
| Republican | Clifford Adkins | 5,316 | 0.81% | |
| Republican | Terry Dicus | 2,279 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | Tom Emerson, Jr. | 2,252 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | David Schuster | 2,045 | 0.31% | |
| Republican | John Osborne | 1,877 | 0.29% | |
| Republican | Roy Dale Cope | 1,791 | 0.27% | |
| Republican | Kent Morrell | 1,769 | 0.27% | |
| Republican | Aaron Pettigrew | 1,622 | 0.25% | |
| Republican | Glen Neal, Jr. | 1,233 | 0.19% | |
| Total votes | 652,724 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Marquita Bradshaw, environmentalist[58][59]
Eliminated in the primary
Disqualified from the primary ballot
- Tharon Chandler, journalist, economist, and conservationist[64]
Withdrawn
- Diana C. Onyejiaka, college professor and consultant[65]
Declined
- Andy Berke, incumbent mayor of Chattanooga and former state senator[66]
- Phil Bredesen, former mayor of Nashville and Governor of Tennessee and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[5] (endorsed James Mackler)[67][68]
- John Ray Clemmons, state representative and candidate for Mayor of Nashville in 2019[24]
- Karl Dean, former mayor of Nashville and nominee for Governor of Tennessee in 2018[5]
- Sara Kyle, incumbent state senator[69]
- Tim McGraw, singer-songwriter[62]
- Jason Powell, state representative, real estate agent, non-profit manager
- Madeline Rogero, former mayor of Knoxville[70]
- Renata Soto, executive director of Conexión Américas[5]
- Jeff Yarbro, minority leader of the Tennessee State Senate[5]
Endorsements
James Mackler
Politicians
- Tim Kaine, U.S. senator, (VA)[71]
- Phil Bredesen, former governor of Tennessee[72]
Organizations
Marquita Bradshaw
Organizations
Results
Bradshaw
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Hayes
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
Mackler
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Davis
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
Mackler/Davis tie
- 20–30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | 117,962 | 35.51% | |
| Democratic | Robin Kimbrough Hayes | 88,492 | 26.64% | |
| Democratic | James Mackler | 78,966 | 23.77% | |
| Democratic | Gary G. Davis | 30,758 | 9.26% | |
| Democratic | Mark Pickrell | 16,045 | 4.83% | |
| Total votes | 332,223 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Declared
- Yomi Faparusi, physician, attorney, researcher, and former Republican candidate for Tennessee's 4th congressional district in 2014 and 2016[11]
- Jeffrey Grunau, activist[11]
- Ronnie Henley,[11]
- Dean Hill, US veteran, former federal employee, and activist[11]
- Steven Hooper[11]
- Aaron James[11]
- Elizabeth McLeod, conservative activist[11]
- Eric William Stansberry[11]
Withdrawn
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[83] | Safe R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[84] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[85] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[86] | Safe R | November 30, 2020 |
| Politico[87] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[88] | Likely R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[89] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[90] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[91] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Post-primary endorsements
Bill Hagerty (R)
Federal officials
- Mitt Romney, U.S. senator from Utah, 2012 Republican presidential nominee, and former governor of Massachusetts[92]
State officials
Local officials
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
Federal officials
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), United States Senator from Delaware (1973–2009), Democratic nominee for the 2020 United States presidential election[94]
- Ed Markey, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[95]
- Ayanna Pressley, U.S. representative for Massachusetts's 7th congressional district[96]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont and 2020 Democratic presidential primary candidate[97]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts and 2020 Democratic presidential primary candidate[98]
Notable Individuals
- Charles Booker, candidate for 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky[99]
- Connie Britton, actress[100]
- Kate Berlant, actress and comedienne[100]
- Cori Bush, 2020 Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district[101]
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[102]
- Vanessa Carlton, singer-songwriter[103]
- Rosanne Cash, singer-songwriter[103]
- Rodney Crowell, musician[103]
- John Early, actor and comedian[104]
- Johnny Knoxville, stunt performer and actor[105]
- Lillie Mae, singer-songwriter
- Daisha McBride, rapper and songwriter[103]
- John McCauley, singer-songwriter[103]
- Margo Price, singer-songwriter[103]
- Amy Schumer, actress and comedienne[106]
- Sarah Silverman, actress and comedienne[107]
- Nina Turner, former Ohio Senator[108]
- William Tyler, musician[103]
- Jaboukie Young-White, actor and comedian[103]
- Bowen Yang, actor and comedian[103]
Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[109]
- Friends of the Earth Action[110]
- National Women's Political Caucus[111]
- Sierra Club[112]
- Sunrise Movement[113]
- Working Families Party[114]
Unions
Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Bill Hagerty and James Mackler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bill Hagerty (R) |
James Mackler (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[118] | January 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
with Manny Sethi and James Mackler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Manny Sethi (R) |
James Mackler (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[118] | January 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal[117] | October 20–22, 2020 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.97% | 58% | 38% | 4% |
| East Tennessee State University[119] | April 22 – May 1, 2020 | 536 (LV) | – | 43% | 26% | 31%[e] |
Results
| Democratic Hold Gain from Republican |
Republican Hold |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Hagerty | 1,840,926 | 62.20% | +0.33% | |
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | 1,040,691 | 35.16% | +3.29% | |
| Independent | Elizabeth McLeod | 16,652 | 0.56% | N/A | |
| Independent | Yomi Faparusi | 10,727 | 0.36% | N/A | |
| Independent | Stephen Hooper | 9,609 | 0.32% | N/A | |
| Independent | Kacey Morgan (withdrawn) | 9,598 | 0.32% | N/A | |
| Independent | Ronnie Henley | 8,478 | 0.30% | N/A | |
| Independent | Aaron James | 7,203 | 0.29% | N/A | |
| Independent | Eric William Stansberry | 6,781 | 0.23% | N/A | |
| Independent | Dean Hill | 4,872 | 0.16% | N/A | |
| Independent | Jeffrey Grunau | 4,160 | 0.14% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 64 | 0.00% | ±0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 2,959,761 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[121] | Bill Hagerty Republican | Marquita Bradshaw Democratic | Other votes | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
| Anderson | 66.54% | 22,988 | 31.32% | 10,820 | 2.14% | 740 | 34,548 |
| Bedford | 76.68% | 13,920 | 20.98% | 3,808 | 2.34% | 425 | 18,153 |
| Benton | 78.22% | 5,462 | 19.16% | 1,338 | 2.62% | 183 | 6,983 |
| Bledsoe | 81.49% | 4,460 | 16.41% | 898 | 2.10% | 115 | 5,473 |
| Blount | 73.27% | 47,391 | 24.66% | 15,950 | 2.07% | 1,338 | 64,679 |
| Bradley | 77.62% | 34,262 | 19.74% | 8,716 | 2.64% | 1,165 | 44,143 |
| Campbell | 82.53% | 11,610 | 15.45% | 2,173 | 2.02% | 284 | 14,067 |
| Cannon | 79.61% | 4,904 | 17.94% | 1,105 | 2.45% | 151 | 6,160 |
| Carroll | 77.78% | 8,899 | 19.98% | 2,286 | 2.24% | 256 | 11,441 |
| Carter | 80.02% | 18,593 | 17.76% | 4,127 | 2.22% | 514 | 23,234 |
| Cheatham | 72.19% | 14,094 | 25.40% | 4,959 | 2.41% | 470 | 19,523 |
| Chester | 80.22% | 5,951 | 17.59% | 1,305 | 2.19% | 162 | 7,418 |
| Claiborne | 82.26% | 10,116 | 15.95% | 1,962 | 1.79% | 220 | 12,298 |
| Clay | 78.29% | 2,525 | 19.10% | 616 | 2.61% | 84 | 3,225 |
| Cocke | 81.13% | 11,284 | 16.01% | 2,227 | 2.86% | 397 | 13,908 |
| Coffee | 74.38% | 17,607 | 22.03% | 5,215 | 3.59% | 849 | 23,671 |
| Crockett | 77.42% | 4,455 | 20.68% | 1,190 | 1.90% | 109 | 5,754 |
| Cumberland | 78.97% | 24,412 | 19.11% | 5,908 | 1.92% | 593 | 30,913 |
| Davidson | 35.20% | 106,664 | 61.04% | 184,972 | 3.76% | 11,402 | 303,038 |
| Decatur | 80.87% | 4,075 | 16.21% | 817 | 2.92% | 147 | 5,039 |
| DeKalb | 78.01% | 6,162 | 19.29% | 1,524 | 2.70% | 213 | 7,899 |
| Dickson | 72.88% | 17,214 | 23.52% | 5,556 | 3.60% | 851 | 23,621 |
| Dyer | 78.34% | 11,237 | 19.06% | 2,734 | 2.60% | 372 | 14,343 |
| Fayette | 70.67% | 15,414 | 26.67% | 5,818 | 2.66% | 579 | 21,811 |
| Fentress | 85.37% | 7,066 | 12.78% | 1,056 | 1.85% | 155 | 8,277 |
| Franklin | 74.02% | 13,490 | 24.06% | 4,384 | 1.92% | 350 | 18,224 |
| Gibson | 73.53% | 15,583 | 22.97% | 4,867 | 3.50% | 742 | 21,192 |
| Giles | 74.70% | 9,313 | 22.68% | 2,828 | 2.62% | 326 | 12,467 |
| Grainger | 84.90% | 8,131 | 13.27% | 1,271 | 1.83% | 175 | 9,577 |
| Greene | 79.82% | 21,904 | 17.51% | 4,804 | 2.67% | 734 | 27,442 |
| Grundy | 81.06% | 4,373 | 16.46% | 888 | 2.48% | 134 | 5,395 |
| Hamblen | 77.30% | 18,183 | 20.46% | 4,813 | 2.24% | 528 | 23,524 |
| Hamilton | 56.29% | 95,105 | 41.79% | 70,608 | 1.92% | 3,252 | 168,965 |
| Hancock | 86.39% | 2,159 | 12.04% | 301 | 1.57% | 39 | 2,499 |
| Hardeman | 58.68% | 5,377 | 37.67% | 3,452 | 3.65% | 334 | 9,163 |
| Hardin | 82.95% | 9,221 | 14.38% | 1,599 | 2.67% | 296 | 11,116 |
| Hawkins | 82.06% | 19,123 | 15.66% | 3,649 | 2.28% | 533 | 23,305 |
| Haywood | 46.14% | 3,297 | 51.74% | 3,697 | 2.12% | 152 | 7,146 |
| Henderson | 82.73% | 9,585 | 15.48% | 1,793 | 1.79% | 208 | 11,586 |
| Henry | 75.40% | 10,595 | 21.16% | 2,973 | 3.44% | 484 | 14,052 |
| Hickman | 76.90% | 7,284 | 20.31% | 1,924 | 2.79% | 264 | 9,472 |
| Houston | 72.85% | 2,586 | 22.82% | 810 | 4.33% | 154 | 3,550 |
| Humphreys | 73.39% | 5,752 | 22.77% | 1,785 | 3.84% | 301 | 7,838 |
| Jackson | 77.47% | 3,837 | 19.95% | 988 | 2.58% | 128 | 4,953 |
| Jefferson | 79.80% | 18,024 | 17.87% | 4,035 | 2.33% | 527 | 22,586 |
| Johnson | 82.41% | 6,058 | 15.17% | 1,115 | 2.42% | 178 | 7,351 |
| Knox | 59.27% | 128,662 | 39.09% | 84,847 | 1.64% | 3,570 | 217,079 |
| Lake | 70.52% | 1,361 | 25.54% | 493 | 3.94% | 76 | 1,930 |
| Lauderdale | 65.44% | 5,553 | 31.50% | 2,673 | 3.06% | 260 | 8,486 |
| Lawrence | 81.69% | 14,270 | 15.85% | 2,768 | 2.46% | 431 | 17,469 |
| Lewis | 79.27% | 4,234 | 18.52% | 989 | 2.21% | 118 | 5,341 |
| Lincoln | 79.55% | 12,019 | 17.50% | 2,644 | 2.95% | 446 | 15,109 |
| Loudon | 76.40% | 21,890 | 21.15% | 6,061 | 2.45% | 702 | 28,653 |
| Macon | 85.15% | 7,522 | 12.50% | 1,104 | 2.35% | 208 | 8,834 |
| Madison | 57.70% | 24,065 | 40.24% | 16,781 | 2.06% | 860 | 41,706 |
| Marion | 74.54% | 9,517 | 23.15% | 2,956 | 2.31% | 295 | 12,768 |
| Marshall | 75.17% | 10,650 | 22.26% | 3,154 | 2.57% | 364 | 14,168 |
| Maury | 68.49% | 31,516 | 29.46% | 13,557 | 2.05% | 945 | 46,018 |
| McMinn | 80.28% | 17,777 | 17.65% | 3,908 | 2.07% | 458 | 22,143 |
| McNairy | 80.77% | 8,839 | 16.12% | 1,764 | 3.11% | 341 | 10,944 |
| Meigs | 80.62% | 4,198 | 16.94% | 882 | 2.44% | 127 | 5,207 |
| Monroe | 80.86% | 16,331 | 17.05% | 3,444 | 2.09% | 422 | 20,197 |
| Montgomery | 56.54% | 41,342 | 39.21% | 28,674 | 4.25% | 3,105 | 73,121 |
| Moore | 82.04% | 2,827 | 15.18% | 523 | 2.78% | 96 | 3,446 |
| Morgan | 84.51% | 6,715 | 13.67% | 1,086 | 1.82% | 145 | 7,946 |
| Obion | 79.58% | 10,236 | 17.47% | 2,247 | 2.95% | 380 | 12,863 |
| Overton | 79.35% | 7,351 | 18.39% | 1,704 | 2.26% | 209 | 9,264 |
| Perry | 81.68% | 2,617 | 16.14% | 517 | 2.18% | 70 | 3,204 |
| Pickett | 81.15% | 2,264 | 17.03% | 475 | 1.82% | 51 | 2,790 |
| Polk | 81.25% | 6,620 | 17.19% | 1,401 | 1.56% | 127 | 8,148 |
| Putnam | 71.77% | 23,031 | 25.76% | 8,268 | 2.47% | 792 | 32,091 |
| Rhea | 81.62% | 10,621 | 16.14% | 2,100 | 2.24% | 291 | 13,012 |
| Roane | 75.21% | 19,038 | 21.56% | 5,458 | 3.23% | 817 | 25,313 |
| Robertson | 73.94% | 23,877 | 23.32% | 7,530 | 2.74% | 886 | 32,293 |
| Rutherford | 58.11% | 80,610 | 38.77% | 53,782 | 3.12% | 4,323 | 138,715 |
| Scott | 87.49% | 7,307 | 10.09% | 843 | 2.42% | 202 | 8,352 |
| Sequatchie | 80.95% | 5,598 | 16.67% | 1,153 | 2.38% | 164 | 6,915 |
| Sevier | 78.52% | 33,531 | 18.58% | 7,934 | 2.90% | 1,238 | 42,703 |
| Shelby | 36.12% | 135,043 | 61.05% | 228,280 | 2.83% | 10,600 | 373,923 |
| Smith | 78.77% | 6,610 | 17.79% | 1,493 | 3.44% | 288 | 8,391 |
| Stewart | 79.07% | 4,697 | 18.10% | 1,075 | 2.83% | 168 | 5,940 |
| Sullivan | 76.46% | 55,506 | 21.64% | 15,710 | 1.90% | 1,375 | 72,591 |
| Sumner | 70.70% | 63,031 | 26.78% | 23,878 | 2.52% | 2,242 | 89,151 |
| Tipton | 75.07% | 19,554 | 22.21% | 5,784 | 2.72% | 709 | 26,047 |
| Trousdale | 75.28% | 2,741 | 22.25% | 810 | 2.47% | 90 | 3,641 |
| Unicoi | 79.32% | 6,267 | 18.34% | 1,449 | 2.34% | 185 | 7,901 |
| Union | 83.67% | 6,365 | 14.29% | 1,087 | 2.04% | 155 | 7,606 |
| Van Buren | 79.93% | 2,155 | 17.36% | 468 | 2.71% | 73 | 2,696 |
| Warren | 73.68% | 10,998 | 22.85% | 3,410 | 3.47% | 518 | 14,926 |
| Washington | 68.20% | 39,516 | 29.37% | 17,021 | 2.43% | 1,408 | 57,945 |
| Wayne | 86.75% | 5,351 | 10.91% | 673 | 2.34% | 144 | 6,168 |
| Weakley | 75.90% | 10,131 | 20.12% | 2,686 | 3.98% | 531 | 13,348 |
| White | 80.96% | 9,475 | 17.02% | 1,992 | 2.02% | 237 | 11,704 |
| Williamson | 66.21% | 91,155 | 31.55% | 43,432 | 2.24% | 3,080 | 137,667 |
| Wilson | 69.44% | 50,597 | 27.53% | 20,059 | 3.03% | 2,209 | 72,865 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Haywood (largest city: Brownsville)
- Shelby (largest city: Memphis)
By congressional district
Hagerty won seven of nine congressional districts.[122]
| District | Hagerty | Bradshaw | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 77.1% | 20.8% | Phil Roe |
| Diana Harshbarger | |||
| 2nd | 66.0% | 32.4% | Tim Burchett |
| 3rd | 66.8% | 31.3% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 68.7% | 28.9% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 39.5% | 57.4% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 74.2% | 23.5% | John W. Rose |
| 7th | 69.0% | 28.4% | Mark E. Green |
| 8th | 67.8% | 30.1% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 21.3% | 75.7% | Steve Cohen |
See also
Notes
Partisan clients