2021 Nova Scotia general election

Canadian provincial election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2021 Nova Scotia general election was held on August 17, 2021, to elect members to the 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia.

Quick facts 55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly 28 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...
2021 Nova Scotia general election

 2017
August 17, 2021
2024 

55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.07% Increase 1.72 pp[1]
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Leader Tim Houston Iain Rankin Gary Burrill
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since October 27, 2018 February 6, 2021 February 27, 2016
Leader's seat Pictou East Timberlea-Prospect Halifax Chebucto
Last election 17 seats, 35.73% 27 seats, 39.47% 7 seats, 21.51%
Seats won 31 17 6
Seat change Increase14 Decrease10 Decrease1
Popular vote 162,473 155,026 88,477
Percentage 38.44% 36.67% 20.93%
Swing Increase 2.71 pp Decrease 2.80 pp Decrease 0.58 pp

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Iain Rankin
Liberal

Premier after election

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative

Close

In a major upset,[2] Tim Houston led the Progressive Conservatives to power for the first time since 2006, and with a majority government for the first time since 1999. With a popular vote share of 38.44%, the PCs won the smallest winning vote share of any majority government in Nova Scotian electoral history, and won nearly twice the number of seats as the Liberals, despite their overall vote share differing by less than 2%.

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin’s victory in Cumberland North marked the first occasion since 1988 that an independent candidate won election to the House of Assembly.[3] A record number of four Black Nova Scotians were elected MLAs; prior to this election, only five Black MLAs had ever been elected in Nova Scotia.[4]

Redistribution of ridings

In April 2019, the Electoral Boundaries Commission released its report which recommended changing the number of electoral districts from 51 to 55, including reinstating the four former districts of Argyle, Clare, Preston and Richmond.[5] In October 2019, the Nova Scotia Legislature passed implementing legislation, providing for the following changes to take effect at the forthcoming election.[6][7]

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2017–2021)
More information Seat, Before ...
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Cumberland South January 24, 2018[8] Jamie Baillie  PC Resignation[a 1] June 19, 2018[14] Tory Rushton  PC
Sackville-Cobequid November 16, 2018[15] Dave Wilson  New Democratic Resignation June 18, 2019[16] Steve Craig  PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River June 9, 2019[17] Lenore Zann  New Democratic Resigned from caucus[a 2]  Independent
Cape Breton-Richmond June 24, 2019[18] Alana Paon  PC Removed from caucus[a 3]  Independent
Argyle-Barrington July 31, 2019[19] Chris d'Entremont  PC Resignation[a 4] September 3, 2019[20] Colton LeBlanc  PC
Northside-Westmount July 31, 2019[19] Eddie Orrell  PC Resignation[a 5] September 3, 2019[20] Murray Ryan  PC
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg July 31, 2019[19] Alfie MacLeod  PC Resignation[a 6] September 3, 2019[20] Brian Comer  PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River September 12, 2019 Lenore Zann  Independent Resignation[a 7] March 10, 2020 Dave Ritcey  PC
Cape Breton Centre February 6, 2020 Tammy Martin  New Democratic Resignation[a 8] March 10, 2020 Kendra Coombes  New Democratic
Chester-St. Margaret's February 23, 2020 Hugh MacKay  Liberal Resigned from caucus[a 9]  Independent
Annapolis May 3, 2021 Stephen McNeil  Liberal Resignation[a 10]
Hants East June 1, 2021 Margaret Miller  Liberal Resignation[a 11]
Cumberland North June 24, 2021 Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin  PC Removed from caucus[a 12]  Independent
Close
  1. amid an allegation of harassment
  2. in order to seek the federal Liberal nomination in Cumberland-Colchester
  3. amid a conflict over constituency office accessibility
  4. to run in the federal district of West Nova
  5. to run in the federal district of Sydney-Victoria
  6. to run in the federal district of Cape Breton-Canso
  7. to run in the federal district of Cumberland—Colchester
  8. due to ongoing health issues
  9. amid charges of impaired driving
  10. retired from political life
  11. retired from political life
  12. amid encouraging a protest that blocked the provincial border

Leaders' debates

More information Date, Organizers ...
2021 Nova Scotia general election debates
Date Organizers Venue Moderator(s)  P  Participant  A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee Source
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica
July 28, 2021CBC Nova ScotiaNeptune Theatre,
Halifax
Tom Murphy
Amy Smith
P
Rankin
P
Houston
P
Burrill
N
Alexander
N
Dean
[21]
August 5, 2021CTV AtlanticCTV Studios,
Halifax
Steve Murphy P
Rankin
P
Houston
P
Burrill
N
Alexander
N
Dean
[22]
Close

Results

Results by party

31 17 6 1
Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic Ind
More information Party, Leader ...
Summary of the 2021 Nova Scotia House of Assembly election[23]
Party Leader Candidates Votes Seats
# ± % Change (pp) 2017 2021 ±
Progressive Conservative Tim Houston 55162,47319,119Increase38.59 2.86
 
17 31 / 55 14Increase
Liberal Iain Rankin 55155,0263,357Decrease36.82 -2.65
 
27 17 / 55 10Decrease
New Democratic Gary Burrill 5588,4772,178Increase21.02 -0.49
 
7 7 / 55 1Decrease
Green Jessica Alexander 439,0422,085Decrease2.15 -0.63
 
Independent 64,9604,513Increase1.18 1.07
 
1 / 55 1Increase
Atlantica Jonathan Geoffrey Dean 161,023609Decrease0.24-0.16
Total230 421,001 100.00%
Rejected ballots 1,711412Decrease
Turnout 422,71219,347Increase 55.07%1.72Increase
Registered voters 767,61811,505Increase
Close

Synopsis of results

2021 Nova Scotia riding flips by party
  = Newly created districts
  = Open seat
  = Turnout is above provincial average
  = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = Incumbent had switched allegiance
  = Previously incumbent in another riding
  = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = Other incumbents renominated
  = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = Multiple candidates
More information Riding, Region ...
Results by riding - 2021 Nova Scotia general election[a 1]
Riding Region Winning party Turnout
[a 2]
Votes[a 3]
2017
(Redist.)
[a 4]
1st place Votes Share Margin
#
Margin
%
2nd place Total
PC Lib NDP Grn Atl Ind
AnnapolisAnnapolis Valley  Lib  Lib 4,23149.62%1,47817.33%  PC 57.80%2,7534,2311,1273061098,526
AntigonishCentral Nova  Lib  PC 4,70749.98%1,71018.16%  Lib 64.78%4,7072,9971,552128349,418
Argyle[a 5]South Shore  PC  PC 3,64982.35%3,01468.02%  Lib 67.54%3,64963563844,431
Bedford BasinSuburban Halifax  Lib  Lib 3,70050.87%1,82625.11%  PC 55.61%1,8743,7001,5541467,274
Bedford SouthSuburban Halifax  Lib  Lib 3,58645.37%1,23015.64%  PC 56.03%2,3383,5681,763140557,864
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney PierCape Breton  NDP  NDP 3,30942.15%1211.54%  Lib 53.66%1,2813,1883,309727,850
Cape Breton EastCape Breton  PC  PC 3,89746.27%8039.54%  Lib 61.42%3,8973,0941,4328,423
Chester-St. Margaret'sSouth Shore  Lib  PC 3,78840.06%2322.45%  Lib 62.48%3,7883,5561,626417689,455
Clare[a 5]Annapolis Valley  Lib  Lib 2,32249.89%3016.46%  PC 67.84%2,0212,3221531584,654
Clayton Park WestCentral Halifax  Lib  Lib 3,60347.60%1,72822.83%  PC 52.63%1,8753,6031,836210467,570
Colchester-Musquodoboit ValleyFundy-Northeast  PC  PC 4,11755.13%2,20429.51%  Lib 52.36%4,1171,9131,4387,468
Colchester NorthFundy-Northeast  Lib  PC 4,47753.18%1,79621.34%  Lib 56.67%4,4772,681955252548,419
Cole HarbourDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  Lib  Lib 2,11839.75%4147.77%  PC 53.30%1,7042,1181,431755,328
Cole Harbour-DartmouthDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  Lib  Lib 5,14452.24%2,21522.49%  PC 61.62%2,9295,1441,5582159,846
Cumberland NorthFundy-Northeast  PC  Ind 4,23553.87%1,74722.22%  Lib 58.59%5692,4885694,2357,861
Cumberland SouthFundy-Northeast  PC  PC 3,90068.47%2,80849.30%  Lib 52.12%3,9001,092524[a 6]1805,696
Dartmouth EastDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  PC  PC 3,26038.99%3604.31%  Lib 57.44%3,2602,9001,974187418,362
Dartmouth NorthDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  NDP  NDP 3,73149.75%1,37018.27%  Lib 46.02%1,2782,3613,7311297,499
Dartmouth SouthDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  NDP  NDP 4,20958.13%2,60635.99%  Lib 52.96%1,2621,6034,2091677,241
Digby-AnnapolisAnnapolis Valley  Lib  PC 2,63649.55%77114.49%  Lib 52.98%2,6361,865626113805,320
Eastern PassageDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  PC  PC 2,46944.82%1,02518.61%  Lib 52.65%2,4691,4441,2223745,509
Eastern ShoreDartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  Lib  PC 4,26445.82%1,09511.76%  Lib 56.92%4,2643,1691,6182549,305
Fairview-Clayton ParkCentral Halifax  Lib  Lib 2,89238.51%1051.40%  NDP 47.58%1,6782,8922,7871537,510
Glace Bay-DominionCape Breton  Lib  PC 2,75434.61%290.37%  NDP 59.37%2,7542,4792,7257,958
Guysborough–TracadieCentral Nova  Lib  PC 3,28163.39%1,71033.04%  Lib 66.81%3,2811,571247775,176
Halifax ArmdaleCentral Halifax  Lib  Lib 3,07040.35%4776.27%  NDP 54.02%1,6813,0702,593202637,609
Halifax AtlanticSuburban Halifax  Lib  Lib 4,21355.22%2,47332.41%  NDP 47.27%1,4934,2131,7401837,629
Halifax ChebuctoCentral Halifax  NDP  NDP 4,00951.99%1,53119.85%  Lib 62.01%9112,4784,0093137,711
Halifax Citadel-Sable IslandCentral Halifax  Lib  NDP 3,39742.31%4415.49%  Lib 48.92%1,4252,9563,3972508,028
Halifax NeedhamCentral Halifax  NDP  NDP 5,30858.96%2,69129.89%  Lib 53.34%9042,6175,3081739,002
Hammonds Plains-LucasvilleSuburban Halifax  Lib  Lib 3,69746.06%83210.36%  PC 57.43%2,8653,6971,3331318,026
Hants EastFundy-Northeast  Lib  PC 3,32837.36%891.00%  Lib 51.19%3,3283,2392,1421998,908
Hants WestAnnapolis Valley  Lib  PC 3,96843.11%1411.53%  Lib 55.98%3,9683,8271,0152731219,204
InvernessCape Breton  PC  PC 4,83355.85%1,72119.89%  Lib 61.58%4,8333,1127088,653
Kings NorthAnnapolis Valley  PC  PC 3,97144.70%1,36915.41%  Lib 55.30%3,9712,6021,876391438,883
Kings SouthAnnapolis Valley  Lib  Lib 4,04944.11%1,00310.93%  PC 55.70%3,0464,0491,8082769,179
Kings WestAnnapolis Valley  Lib  PC 4,59249.45%7367.93%  Lib 56.65%4,5923,856549216749,287
LunenburgSouth Shore  Lib  PC 3,54442.01%6297.46%  Lib 58.14%3,5442,9151,750171578,437
Lunenburg WestSouth Shore  Lib  PC 4,06544.42%8689.48%  Lib 55.65%4,0653,1971,7091809,151
Northside-WestmountCape Breton  PC  Lib 4,03046.86%89010.35%  PC 53.34%3,1404,0301,4308,600
Pictou CentreCentral Nova  PC  PC 4,09255.77%1,82324.84%  Lib 57.07%4,0922,2698621147,337
Pictou EastCentral Nova  PC  PC 4,91869.68%3,33347.22%  Lib 61.44%4,9181,585500557,058
Pictou WestCentral Nova  PC  PC 4,48763.62%2,97742.21%  Lib 62.1%4,4871,510872124607,053
Preston[a 7]Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  Lib  Lib 2,22643.38%75414.69%  PC 46.78%1,4722,2261,4335,131
QueensSouth Shore  PC  PC 3,62770.37%2,57649.98%  Lib 58.36%3,6271,0513231535,154
Richmond[a 5]Cape Breton  Lib  PC 2,77350.86%76414.01%  Lib 71.61%2,7732,0092743965,452
Sackville-CobequidSuburban Halifax  NDP  PC 3,42643.33%84910.74%  NDP 51.74%3,4261,7012,5772037,907
Sackville-UniackeSuburban Halifax  PC  PC 3,10443.82%78111.02%  Lib 51.44%3,1042,3231,5351217,083
ShelburneSouth Shore  PC  PC 3,90562.56%2,42238.80%  Lib 54.50%3,9051,4837531016,242
Sydney-MembertouCape Breton  Lib  Lib 4,56154.27%2,18425.99%  NDP 52.66%1,4674,5612,3778,405
Timberlea-ProspectSuburban Halifax  Lib  Lib 5,18154.38%2,86130.03%  PC 55.68%2,3205,1811,64725040909,528
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon RiverFundy-Northeast  NDP  PC 4,02547.85%1,48417.64%  Lib 51.11%4,0252,5411,3984488,412
Victoria-The LakesCape Breton  PC  PC 3,53654.37%1,31220.17%  Lib 51.50%3,5362,2246271166,503
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver BankSuburban Halifax  PC  PC 3,93840.38%3924.02%  Lib 56.55%3,9383,5461,581617719,753
YarmouthSouth Shore  Lib  Lib 4,34456.32%1,48819.29%  PC 55.17%2,8564,3443221917,713
Close
  1. "Provincial General Election 2021-08-17 - Official Results". electionsns.ca. Elections Nova Scotia. Retrieved August 19, 2021.
  2. including spoilt ballots
  3. Minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  4. effect of 2019 restribution on previous election results, per "Transposition of Votes from the 2017 Provincial General Election to 2019 Electoral District Boundaries" (PDF). Elections Nova Scotia. April 12, 2021.
  5. Historically Acadian riding
  6. Historically Black riding

Comparative results (2021 vs 2017 transposed results)

More information Riding and winning party, Turnout (pp) ...
Summary of riding results by turnout, vote share for winning candidate, and swing (vs 2017 transposed results)[a 1][a 2]
Riding and winning party Turnout (pp)[a 3] Vote share Swing[a 4]
% Change (pp) Change (pp)
 
Annapolis LibHold57.80
 
49.62-16.49
 
-16.94
 
Antigonish PCGain64.78
 
49.9814.86
 
-13.21
 
Argyle PCHold67.54
 
82.3515.96
 
15.71
 
Bedford Basin LibHold55.61
 
50.87-1.88
 
1.61
 
Bedford South LibHold56.03
 
45.37-5.92
 
-3.09
 
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier NDPHold53.66
 
42.15-1.17
 
-3.86
 
Cape Breton East PCHold61.42
 
46.27-20.09
 
-16.00
 
Chester-St. Margaret's PCGain62.48
 
40.0614.40
 
9.80
 
Clare LibHold67.84
 
49.89-1.34
 
-7.23
 
Clayton Park West LibHold52.63
 
47.61.97
 
1.68
 
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley PCHold52.36
 
55.134.55
 
2.94
 
Colchester North PCGain56.67
 
53.1812.14
 
-13.40
 
Cole Harbour LibHold53.30
 
39.755.01
 
2.83
 
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth LibHold61.62
 
52.2411.16
 
6.30
 
Cumberland North IndGain58.59
 
53.87New-18.74
 
Cumberland South PCHold52.12
 
68.4716.99
 
19.15
 
Dartmouth East PCHold57.44
 
38.99-2.17
 
0.96
 
Dartmouth North NDPHold46.02
 
49.7510.40
 
6.80
 
Dartmouth South NDPHold52.96
 
58.1315.79
 
14.50
 
Digby-Annapolis PCGain52.98
 
49.5526.02
 
-21.37
 
Eastern Passage PCHold52.65
 
44.829.11
 
8.80
 
Eastern Shore PCGain56.92
 
45.8214.73
 
-10.22
 
Fairview-Clayton Park LibHold47.58
 
38.51-1.67
 
-4.83
 
Glace Bay-Dominion PCGain59.37
 
34.61-4.52
 
-4.46
 
Guysborough–Tracadie PCGain66.81
 
63.3920.98
 
-16.97
 
Halifax Armdale LibHold54.02
 
40.35-3.22
 
-2.28
 
Halifax Atlantic LibHold47.27
 
55.22-0.26
 
-0.17
 
Halifax Chebucto NDPHold62.01
 
51.995.33
 
5.73
 
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island NDPGain48.92
 
42.3112.55
 
-8.65
 
Halifax Needham NDPHold53.34
 
58.967.67
 
3.51
 
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville LibHold57.43
 
46.06-0.62
 
-1.70
 
Hants East PCGain51.19
 
37.362.92
 
-5.22
 
Hants West PCGain55.98
 
43.1114.18
 
-13.67
 
Inverness PCHold61.58
 
55.85-3.41
 
-3.58
 
Kings North PCHold55.30
 
44.7-1.24
 
1.46
 
Kings South LibHold55.70
 
44.11-2.48
 
-4.35
 
Kings West PCGain56.65
 
49.4512.28
 
-11.41
 
Lunenburg PCGain58.14
 
42.0111.09
 
-8.01
 
Lunenburg West PCGain55.65
 
44.4216.69
 
-14.42
 
Northside-Westmount LibGain53.34
 
46.8625.66
 
-26.30
 
Pictou Centre PCHold57.07
 
55.772.36
 
-0.35
 
Pictou East PCHold61.44
 
69.68-4.18
 
-4.33
 
Pictou West PCHold62.10
 
63.621.04
 
3.67
 
Preston LibHold46.78
 
43.38-5.65
 
-5.01
 
Queens PCHold58.36
 
70.3719.96
 
13.50
 
Richmond PCGain71.61
 
50.867.47
 
-7.72
 
Sackville-Cobequid PCGain51.74
 
43.3317.95
 
-3.56
 
Sackville-Uniacke PCHold51.44
 
43.820.65
 
0.52
 
Shelburne PCHold54.50
 
62.5616.28
 
13.15
 
Sydney-Membertou LibHold52.66
 
54.2716.85
 
10.46
 
Timberlea-Prospect LibHold55.68
 
54.384.98
 
2.10
 
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River PCGain51.11
 
47.8515.87
 
-21.58
 
Victoria-The Lakes PCHold51.50
 
54.37-5.18
 
-6.28
 
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank PCHold56.55
 
40.382.86
 
1.88
 
Yarmouth LibHold55.17
 
56.32-11.83
 
-11.68
 
Close
  1. No attempt was made to estimate the effect redistribution would have had on reported turnouts.
  2. Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 1981; negative points to 1981's second-place party being swung to.

Summary analysis

More information Party, 2017 (redist.) ...
Elections to the 64th Legislature of Nova Scotia – seats won/lost by party, 2017–2021
(after applying effect of redistribution)
Party 2017
(redist.)
Gain from (loss to) 2021
Lib PC NDP Ind
Progressive Conservative 1813(1)2(1)31
Liberal 301(13)(1)17
New Democratic 71(2)6
Independent 11
Total5514(1)2(15)2(1)(1)55
Close

Incumbents not running for reelection

Candidates by constituency

Legend

  • bold denotes party leader
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest

Annapolis Valley

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
Annapolis Carman Kerr
4,231
49.62%
Jennifer Ehrenfeld-Poole
2,753
32.29%
Cheryl Burbidge
1,127
13.22%
Krista Grear
306
3.59%
Mark Robertson
109
1.28%
Vacant
Clare Ronnie LeBlanc
2,322
49.89%
Carl Deveau
2,021
43.43%
Cameron Pye
153
3.29%
Claire McDonald
158
3.39%
Gordon Wilson
Clare-Digby
Digby-Annapolis Jimmy MacAlpine
1,865
35.06%
Jill Balser
2,636
49.55%
Michael Carty
626
11.77%
Jessica Walker
113
2.12%
Tyler Ducharme
80
1.50%
New riding
Hants West Brian Casey
3,827
41.58%
Melissa Sheehy-Richard
3,968
43.11%
Caet Moir
1,015
11.03%
Jenn Kang
273
2.97%
Gordon J. Berry
121
1.31%
Chuck Porter
Kings North Geof Turner
2,602
29.29%
John Lohr
3,971
44.70%
Erin Patterson
1,876
21.12%
Doug Hickman
391
4.40%
Paul Dunn
43
0.48%
John Lohr
Kings South Keith Irving
4,049
44.11%
Derrick Kimball
3,046
33.18%
Mercedes Brian
1,808
19.70%
Barry Leslie
276
3.01%
Keith Irving
Kings West Emily Lutz
3,856
41.52%
Chris Palmer
4,592
49.45%
Jason Langille
549
5.91%
Sue Earle
216
2.33%
Rick Mehta
74
0.80%
Leo Glavine
Close

South Shore

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
Argyle Nick d'Entremont
635
14.33%
Colton LeBlanc
3,649
82.35%
Robin Smith
63
1.42%
Corey Clamp
84
1.90%
Colton LeBlanc
Argyle-Barrington
Chester-St. Margaret's Jacob Killawee
3,556
37.61%
Danielle Barkhouse
3,788
40.06%
Amy Stewart Reitsma
1,626
17.20%
Jessica Alexander
417
4.41%
Steven Foster
68
0.72%
Hugh MacKay
Lunenburg Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
2,915
34.55%
Susan Corkum-Greek
3,544
42.01%
Alison Smith
1,750
20.74%
Thomas Trappenberg
171
2.03%
John Giannakos
57
0.68%
Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
Lunenburg West Jennifer Naugler
3,197
34.94%
Becky Druhan
4,065
44.42%
Merydie Ross
1,709
18.68%
Eric Wade
180
1.97%
Mark Furey
Queens Susan MacLeod
1,051
20.39%
Kim Masland
3,627
70.37%
Mary Dahr
323
6.27%
Brian Muldoon
153
2.97%
Kim Masland
Queens-Shelburne
Shelburne Penny Smith
1,483
23.76%
Nolan Young
3,905
62.56%
Darren Stoddard
753
12.06%
Steve Hirchak
101
1.62%
New riding
Yarmouth Zach Churchill
4,344
56.32%
Candice Clairmont
2,856
37.03%
SJ Rogers
322
4.17%
Adam Randall
191
2.48%
Zach Churchill
Close

Fundy-Northeast

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Rhonda MacLellan
1,913
25.62%
Larry Harrison
4,117
55.13%
Janet Moulton
1,438
19.26%
Larry Harrison
Colchester North Merlyn Smith
2,681
31.84%
Tom Taggart
4,477
53.18%
Sean Foley
955
11.34%
Ivan Drouin
252
2.99%
Stephan Sante
54
0.64%
Karen Casey
Cumberland North Bill Casey
2,488
31.65%
David Wightman
569
7.24%
Lauren Skabar
569
7.24%
Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
4,235
53.87%
Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Rollie Lawless
1,092
19.17%
Tory Rushton
3,900
68.47%
Larry Duchesne
524
9.20%
Nicholas Hendren
180
3.16%
Tory Rushton
Hants East Michael Blois
3,239
36.36%
John A. MacDonald
3,328
37.36%
Abby Cameron
2,142
24.05%
Simon Greenough
199
2.23%
Vacant
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Tamara Tynes Powell
2,541
30.21%
Dave Ritcey
4,025
47.85%
Darlene DeAdder
1,398
16.62%
Shaun Trainor
448
5.33%
Dave Ritcey
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Central Halifax

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo
3,603
47.60%
Nargis DeMolitor
1,875
24.77%
Reena Davis
1,836
24.25%
Richard Zurawski
210
2.77%
Helen Lau
46
0.61%
Rafah DiCostanzo
Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab
2,892
38.51%
Nicole Mosher
1,678
22.34%
Joanne Hussey
2,787
37.11%
Sheila Richardson
153
2.04%
Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Ali Duale
3,070
40.35%
Richard MacLean
1,681
22.09%
Julie Melanson
2,593
34.08%
Jo-Ann Roberts
202
2.65%
Stephen Chafe
63
0.83%
Lena Diab
Halifax Chebucto Jackie Kinley
2,478
32.14%
John Wesley Chisholm
911
11.81%
Gary Burrill
4,009
51.99%
Lily Barraclough
313
4.06%
Gary Burrill
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Labi Kousoulis
2,956
36.82%
Sheri Morgan
1,425
17.75%
Lisa Lachance
3,397
42.31%
Noah Hollis
250
3.11%
Labi Kousoulis
Halifax Needham Colin Coady
2,617
29.07%
Scott Ellis
904
10.04%
Suzy Hansen
5,308
58.96%
Kai Trappenberg
173
1.92%
Lisa Roberts
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Suburban Halifax

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Bedford Basin Kelly Regan
3,700
50.87%
Nick Driscoll
1,874
25.76%
Jacob Wilson
1,554
21.36%
Madeline Taylor
146
2.01%
Kelly Regan
Bedford
Bedford South Braedon Clark
3,568
45.37%
Sura Hadad
2,338
29.73%
David Paterson
1,763
22.42%
Ron G. Parker
140
1.78%
Alan Nightingale
55
0.70%
New riding
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire
4,213
55.22%
Tim Cranston
1,493
19.57%
Shauna Hatt
1,740
22.81%
Sarah Weston
183
2.40%
Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome
3,697
46.06%
Julie Chaisson
2,865
35.70%
Angela Downey
1,333
16.61%
Mark Embrett
131
1.63%
Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Mary LeRoy
1,701
21.51%
Steve Craig
3,426
43.33%
Lara Fawthrop
2,577
32.59%
Ian Dawson
203
2.57%
Steve Craig
Sackville-Uniacke Donalda MacIsaac
2,323
32.80%
Brad Johns
3,104
43.82%
Thomas Hill
1,535
21.67%
Carson LeQuesne
121
1.71%
Brad Johns
Sackville-Beaver Bank
Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin
5,181
54.38%
Bill Healy
2,320
24.35%
Raymond Theriault
1,647
17.29%
Harry Ward
250
2.62%
Dessire G. Miari
40
0.42%
Dawn Edith Penney
90
0.94%
Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Marni Tuttle
3,546
36.36%
Brian Wong
3,938
40.38%
Christina McCarron
1,581
16.21%
Anthony Edmonds
617
6.33%
Shawn Whitford
71
0.73%
Bill Horne
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Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlantica
Cole Harbour Tony Ince
2,118
39.75%
Darryl Johnson
1,704
31.98%
Jerome Lagmay
1,431
26.86%
Chris Kinnie
75
1.41%
Tony Ince
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll
5,144
52.24%
Karina Sanford
2,929
29.75%
Melody Pentland
1,558
15.82%
Rana Zaman
215
2.18%
New riding
Dartmouth East D'Arcy Poultney
2,900
34.68%
Tim Halman
3,260
38.99%
Tyler J. Colbourne
1,974
23.61%
Sara Adams
187
2.24%
Chris Bowie
41
0.49%
Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Pam Cooley
2,361
31.48%
Lisa Coates
1,278
17.04%
Susan Leblanc
3,731
49.75%
Carolyn Marshall
129
1.72%
Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Lesley MacKay
1,603
22.14%
Chris Curtis
1,262
17.43%
Claudia Chender
4,209
58.13%
Skylar Martini
167
2.31%
Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Joyce Treen
1,444
26.21%
Barbara Adams
2,469
44.82%
Tammy Jakeman
1,222
22.18%
Corey Myers
374
6.79%
Barbara Adams
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
Eastern Shore Kevin Murphy
3,169
34.06%
Kent Smith
4,264
45.82%
Deirdre Dwyer
1,618
17.39%
Cheryl Atkinson
254
2.73%
Kevin Murphy
Preston Angela Simmonds
2,226
43.38%
Archy Beals
1,472
28.69%
Colter C.C. Simmonds
1,433
27.93%
Keith Colwell
Preston-Dartmouth
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Central Nova

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenAtlanticaIndependent
Antigonish Randy Delorey
2,997
31.82%
Michelle Thompson
4,707
49.98%
Moraig MacGillivray
1,552
16.48%
Will Fraser
128
1.36%
Ryan Smyth
34
0.36%
Randy Delorey
Guysborough-Tracadie Lloyd Hines
1,571
30.35%
Greg Morrow
3,281
63.39%
Matt Stickland
247
4.77%
Gabe Bruce
77
1.49%
Lloyd Hines
Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie
Pictou Centre Jim McKenna
2,269
30.93%
Pat Dunn
4,092
55.77%
Vernon Theriault
862
11.75%
Laura Moore
114
1.55%
Pat Dunn
Pictou East Joe MacDonald
1,585
22.46%
Tim Houston
4,918
69.68%
Joy Polley
500
7.08%
Jonathan Geoffrey Dean
55
0.78%
Tim Houston
Pictou West Mary Wooldridge-Elliott
1,510
21.41%
Karla MacFarlane
4,487
63.62%
Rick Parker
872
12.36%
Clare Brett
124
1.76%
John A. Clark
60
0.85%
Karla MacFarlane
Close

Cape Breton

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
LiberalPCNDPGreenIndependent
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Michelle Wilson
3,188
40.61%
Bryden Mombourquette
1,281
16.32%
Kendra Coombes
3,309
42.15%
Robert Hussey
72
0.92%
Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton Centre
Cape Breton East Heather Peters
3,094
36.73%
Brian Comer
3,897
46.27%
Barbara Beaton
1,432
17.00%
Brian Comer
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Glace Bay-Dominion John John McCarthy
2,479
31.15%
John White
2,754
34.61%
John Morgan
2,725
34.24%
Geoff MacLellan
Glace Bay
Inverness Damian MacInnis
3,112
35.96%
Allan MacMaster
4,833
55.85%
Joanna Clark
708
8.18%
Allan MacMaster
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley
4,030
46.86%
Murray Ryan
3,140
36.51%
Jennifer Morrison
1,430
16.63%
Murray Ryan
Richmond Matt Haley
2,009
36.85%
Trevor Boudreau
2,773
50.86%
Bryson Syliboy
274
5.03%
Alana Paon
396
7.26%
Alana Paon
Cape Breton-Richmond
Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette
4,561
54.27%
Pauline Singer
1,467
17.45%
Madonna Doucette
2,377
28.28%
Derek Mombourquette
Sydney-Whitney Pier
Victoria-The Lakes Nadine Bernard
2,224
34.20%
Keith Bain
3,536
54.37%
Adrianna MacKinnon
627
9.64%
Stemer MacLeod
116
1.78%
Keith Bain
Close

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2017 election

More information Polling Firm, Poll Published ...
Polling Firm Poll Published Link Liberal PC NDP Green Lead
Election ResultsAugust 17, 2021N/A36.6738.4420.932.141.77
Forum Research August 16, 2021 HTML 39 36 21 3 3
Mainstreet Research August 16, 2021 HTML 38 36 21 3 2
Narrative Research August 11, 2021 PDF Archived August 11, 2021, at the Wayback Machine 40 31 27 2 9
Leger August 2, 2021 PDF 42 32 20 5 10
Mainstreet Research July 22, 2021 HTML 42 30 22 4 12
Premier Iain Rankin calls an election to be held on August 17, 2021 (July 17, 2021)
Angus Reid June 9, 2021 HTML 41 33 20 4 8
Narrative Research June 3, 2021 HTML 52 24 19 5 28
Narrative Research March 9, 2021 HTML 50 26 18 6 24
MQO Research February 25, 2021 HTML 51 27 15 4 24
Iain Rankin is sworn in as Premier of Nova Scotia (February 23, 2021)
Iain Rankin is elected leader of the Liberal Party (February 6, 2021)
Angus Reid December 10, 2020 HTML 37 29 25 7 8
Narrative Research December 8, 2020 HTML 49 25 21 5 24
Narrative Research September 3, 2020 HTML 47 27 19 6 20
Stephen McNeil announces his intention to resign as leader of the Liberal Party and Premier of Nova Scotia (August 6, 2020)
Angus Reid June 8, 2020 HTML 42 31 19 7 11
Narrative Research May 25, 2020 HTML 57 22 15 6 35
Innovative Research Group May 12, 2020 PDF 49 24 18 9 25
Narrative Research March 12, 2020 HTML 43 27 21 10 16
MQO Research March 3, 2020 PDF 34 32 22 9 2
Narrative Research December 10, 2019 HTML 42 26 21 9 16
MQO Research August 31, 2019 PDF 35 35 20 8 Tie
Narrative Research July 31–August 22, 2019 PDF[permanent dead link] 39 28 16 15 11
Narrative Research June 13, 2019 HTML 31 33 21 13 2
MQO Research May 13, 2019 PDF 30 38 18 12 8
Corporate Research Associates March 6, 2019 PDF Archived March 7, 2019, at the Wayback Machine 37 34 24 5 3
MQO Research February 13, 2019 PDF 41 33 19 7 8
Mainstreet Research January 30, 2019 HTML 32.1 31.0 25.2 8.1 1.1
Corporate Research Associates December 12, 2018 PDF Archived December 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 38 31 24 6 7
Mainstreet Research November 16, 2018 HTML 32.7 33.2 20.7 8.9 0.5
MQO Research November 8, 2018 PDF 42 36 15 6 6
Tim Houston is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (October 27, 2018)
Corporate Research Associates September 6, 2018 PDF Archived September 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 43 32 21 4 11
MQO Research August 9, 2018 PDF 45 31 20 4 14
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 HTML 36.7 33.8 22.9 5 2.9
Corporate Research Associates June 6, 2018 PDF[permanent dead link] 45 29 23 3 16
MQO Research May 11, 2018 PDF 40 31 23 4 9
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 HTML 40.2 34.7 17.3 5.6 5.5
Corporate Research Associates March 8, 2018 PDF Archived March 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 37 34 25 4 3
Mainstreet Research January 25, 2018 HTML 40.6 38.5 15.7 5.2 2.1
MQO Research January 24, 2018 PDF 47 30 17 5 17
Corporate Research Associates December 6, 2017 PDF Archived December 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 38 29 27 5 9
MQO Research October 24, 2017 PDF 44 32 19 4 12
Corporate Research Associates September 13, 2017 PDF Archived September 13, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 45 29 22 4 16
MQO Research July 27, 2017 PDF 46 30 21 3 16
Corporate Research Associates June 7, 2017 PDF Archived July 30, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 40 29 28 2 11
Election 2017 May 30, 2017 HTML 39.5 35.7 21.5 2.8 3.8
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