2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 27 November.[1] If no candidate achieved more than 50% of the votes in the first round, a second round would be held between the two most voted candidates in the first round on 1 December, however, as only two candidates will be on the ballot, a second round will not be necessary. The original date for the first round was 4 December, but the party decided to advance the date by a week. Nearly 47,000 party members, out of more than 85,000 active members, were registered to vote.[2]

Quick facts Turnout, Candidate ...
2021 Social Democratic Party leadership election
Social Democratic Party
 2020
27 November 2021
2022 
Turnout78.2% Decrease0.8 pp
 
Candidate Rui Rio Paulo Rangel
Popular vote 18,852 17,106
Percentage 52.4% 47.6%

Results by municipality.
     Rio      Rangel      Tie

Leader before election

Rui Rio

Elected Leader

Rui Rio

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One issue identified during the campaign was the rise of the far-right Chega!. Though neither candidate said they would invite the party into government, Rio signalled he would be open to negotiating with them on a case-by-case basis,[3] while Rangel ruled this out, saying he would only negotiate with CDS – People's Party and Liberal Initiative.[4]

Rui Rio defeated Paulo Rangel by a 52.4% to 47.6% margin and was reelected for a 3rd term as party leader.[5] He led the party into the 2022 snap general elections, which he lost, losing 2 seats in the Assembly of the Republic and that resulted in an absolute majority to the Socialist Party.

Candidates

More information Name, Born ...
Name Born Experience Announcement date Ref.

Paulo Rangel
18 February 1968
(age 53)
Vila Nova de Gaia
Member of the European Parliament (2009–2024)
Leader of the Social Democratic Parliamentary Caucus (2008–2009)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2005–2009)
15 October 2021 [6]

Rui Rio
6 August 1957
(age 64)
Porto
President of the Social Democratic Party (2018–2022)
Leader of the Opposition (2018–2022)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2019–2022)
Mayor of Porto (2001–2013)
Member of Parliament for Porto (1991–2002)
19 October 2021 [7]
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Withdrew

  • Nuno Miguel Henriques – incumbent city councillor in Alenquer (2021–2025) and failed candidate for the PSD leadership in 2012;[8]

Declined

Opinion polls

All voters

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Others
/Undecided
Lead
Rui Rio Paulo Rangel
Intercampus 5–11 Nov 2021 612 49.3 34.3 16.3 15
CESOP–UCP 29 Oct–4 Nov 2021 878 43 32 25 11
Aximage 28–31 Oct 2021 803 38 31 31 7
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PSD voters

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Others
/Undecided
Lead
Rui Rio Paulo Rangel
Pitagórica 10–15 Nov 2021 ? 58 27 15 31
CESOP–UCP 29 Oct–4 Nov 2021 ? 48 41 11 7
Aximage 28–31 Oct 2021 ? 54 37 9 17
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Hypothetical polling
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Rui Rio Luís Montenegro Miguel Pinto Luz Paulo Rangel Pedro Passos Coelho Miguel Poiares Maduro Jorge Moreira da Silva Pedro Duarte Others
/Undecided
Lead
Intercampus 14–23 Sep 2021 609 N/a 15.8 3.0 34.3 27.8 N/a 5.4 3.6 10.2 6.5
Intercampus 13–20 Aug 2021 612 8.8 10.3 N/a 17.3 16.5 7.8 N/a N/a 39.2 0.8
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Results

More information Candidate, 27 November 2021 ...
Summary of the November 2021 PSD leadership election results
Candidate 27 November 2021
Votes %
Rui Rio 18,85252.43
Paulo Rangel 17,10647.57
Total 35,958
Valid votes 35,95898.58
Invalid and blank ballots 5181.42
Votes cast / turnout 36,47678.17
Registered voters 46,664
Sources: Official results
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Vote share
Rui Rio
52.43%
Paulo Rangel
47.57%

Results by party federation

The following table shows a breakdown of the results of the election by party federation, which are mostly equal to the electoral circles.[17]

More information Federation, Rui Rio ...
Result breakdown of the 2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election
Federation Rui Rio Paulo Rangel Invalid

ballots

Votes cast Registered
Votes % Votes %
Algarve 511 53.56 443 46.44 18 972 1,354
Aveiro 2,301 61.16 1,401 37.84 85 3,787 4,575
Baixo Alentejo 109 38.38 175 61.62 1 285 337
Braga 2,615 52.31 2,384 47.69 78 5,077 6,419
Bragança 664 62.11 405 37.89 9 1,078 1,321
Castelo Branco 280 47.22 313 52.78 13 606 820
Coimbra 632 46.13 738 53.87 26 1,396 1,838
Évora 208 52.53 188 47.47 5 401 514
Guarda 417 35.82 747 64.18 9 1,173 1,420
Leiria 705 54.06 599 45.94 14 1,318 1,990
Lisbon: Urban Area 1,703 40.30 2,523 59.70 64 4,290 6,033
Lisbon: Oeste 130 45.61 155 54.39 4 289 385
Portalegre 106 48.62 112 51.38 5 223 285
Porto 3,821 59.32 2,620 40.68 69 6,510 7,930
Santarém 574 54.56 478 45.44 18 1,070 1,403
Setúbal 371 36.05 658 63.95 14 1,043 1,300
Viana do Castelo 616 57.95 447 42.05 15 1,078 1,259
Vila Real 543 37.68 898 62.32 22 1,463 1,814
Viseu 835 54.61 694 45.39 22 1,551 1,882
Azores 485 77.60 140 22.40 11 636 796
Madeira 1,183 57.01 892 42.99 14 2,089 2,797
Europe 36 35.29 66 64.71 2 104 150
Outside of Europe 7 18.92 30 81.08 0 37 42
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See also

References

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