2021 Tongan general election

The 2017 snap election was called by King Tupou VI on the advice of the then parliamentary speaker, Sialeʻataongo Tuʻivakanō.^[2] Prime Minister ‘Akilisi Pōhiva was not consulted by the monarch,^[3] with whom he had a strained relationship.^[4] Tuʻivakanō stated that he had resorted to an early election, claiming that Pōhiva intended to transfer the powers of the monarch and privy council to cabinet.^[2] Pōhiva declined to challenge the monarch's decision,^[5] and his PTOA party went to secure a landslide victory, winning 14 of the 17 people's seats.^[4] Following the election, the Legislative Assembly re-elected Pōhiva as prime minister, receiving 14 votes. He defeated former Deputy Prime Minister Siaosi Sovaleni, the only other contender for the premiership, who received the support of 12 MPs.^[6] Pōhiva died in September 2019,^[7] and the PTOA began to fragment shortly after, with no clear successor emerging.^[8] Two individuals ran in the parliamentary vote to succeed Pōhiva, Acting Prime Minister Sēmisi Sika and Finance Minister Pōhiva Tuʻiʻonetoa, who left the party after Pōhiva's death and formed the Tonga People's Party (PAK). Tuʻiʻonetoa garnered the support of the nobles, independents and three fellow defectors from the PTOA, and went on to defeat Sika, whom the remaining members backed.^[9] As a result, the PTOA was pushed out of government and fell into opposition.^[10] Tuʻiʻonetoa's cabinet included three nobles, who were excluded under Pōhiva.^[11]

In December 2020, Sika submitted a no-confidence motion against Tuʻiʻonetoa. Deputy Prime Minister Sione Vuna Faʻotusia supported the motion and subsequently resigned from cabinet.^[12] On 12 January 2021, the Legislative Assembly defeated the motion, with 13 MPs voting to strike it down and nine members, including the PTOA MPs, voting for it.^[13]

In June 2021, months before the election, Infrastructure and Tourism Minister ʻAkosita Lavulavu and her husband, PAK deputy leader and former cabinet minister ʻEtuate Lavulavu, were convicted of obtaining money on false pretences.^[8][14] The Supreme Court sentenced the couple to six years in prison.^[15]

The Legislative Assembly of Tonga has up to 30 members, of which 17 are directly elected by first-past-the-post voting from single-member constituencies. The island of Tongatapu has ten constituencies, Vavaʻu three, Haʻapai two and ʻEua and the Niuas have one each.^[16] Nine seats are held by members of the nobility who elect representatives amongst themselves. The cabinet formed by a prime minister may include up to four members not elected to the Assembly, who then automatically become members of the legislature.^[17] Unless the monarch dissolves the Legislative Assembly early, members serve a four-year term.^[18]

Candidates and voters are required to be at least 21 years old and hold Tongan citizenship. Ineligible voters include those who have served a prison sentence of at least two years and individuals convicted of a criminal offence.^[16] To qualify, candidates are required to be eligible voters and present in Tonga for at least a three-month period within the six months before an election.^[19] Candidates running for a people's seat also require the signatures of at least 50 qualified electors from the constituency they contest and a deposit to be paid. Individuals subject to legal action for outstanding debt are ineligible to be contestants.^[16] Contestants for the people's seats were also required to undergo a legal clearance to qualify. The nobles, however, were exempt from this procedure.^[20] A total of 62,253 individuals were registered to vote in this election.^[21]

A total of 75 people's candidates were registered to contest the election. The total, however, later decreased to 72, after one candidate died and two others withdrew from the race.^[22] There were 12 female candidates, down from 16 in 2017.^[23] Amidst internal division and turmoil, the PTOA was split into two rival factions going into the election: the People's Board and the PTOA Core Team. Siaosi Pōhiva, the son of ‘Akilisi Pōhiva, led the People's Board, while former Deputy Prime Minister Sēmisi Sika headed the Core Team faction.^[24] Both factions fielded their own candidate lists, competing against one another. An informal bloc of independent candidates emerged, which was reportedly led by Education Minister Siaosi Sovaleni. According to a bloc member, the group's purpose was to help ensure a swift formation of a government, should all affiliated candidates secure a seat. The bloc also aimed to secure the support of some of the nobles' representatives.^[25]

Major issues during this election included the wide usage of illicit drugs, government corruption and the COVID-19 pandemic.^[8] Many candidates campaigned on their personal records. Prime Minister Tuʻiʻonetoa did not promote his PAK party during the election, which was also completely absent from his campaign platform and speeches.^[25] Many of his ministers instead ran as independents.^[26] Journalist Kalafi Moala suggested that the PAK's scarce presence during the campaign and its supporters' reluctance to promote it were likely due to the imprisonment of Deputy Leader Lavulavu.^[25] Prime Minister Tu‘i‘onetoa and his allies campaigned primarily on infrastructure. Moala believed independent candidates had an overall advantage, citing the PTOA infighting and the PAK's scandals.^[8]

King Tupou VI issued the election writ on 2 September,^[1] while the parliamentary term formally ended on 16 September.^[27] Candidate nominations were open from 27 to 28 September,^[1] while voter registration closed on 3 November.^[27] Shortly before the election, Tongatapu was placed under a week-long lockdown due to a COVID-19 case, with candidates restricted from campaigning on the island. Election Supervisor Pita Vuki, however, announced that the election would not be delayed, stating that the Electoral Act did not permit an election postponement under those circumstances.^[28] A campaign blackout occurred on 17 November. On election day, polling stations for the people's seats were open from 9:00 to 16:00, while voting for the nobles' representatives took place in the morning. No overseas delegations were present in Tonga to observe the election, due to the COVID border restrictions. Some foreign diplomats present in the country, however, did oversee the electoral process.^[21]

The PTOA received the most votes in a many constituencies; however, due to vote-splitting between the rival factions' candidates,^[29] the party only secured three seats. Both faction leaders, Siaosi Pōhiva and Sēmisi Sika, lost their re-election bids. Prime Minister Tuʻiʻonetoa was the only successful candidate from his PAK party, while the other 13 people's seats were won by independent contestants.^[30] Nine of the victorious people's candidates and two of the noble MPs were newcomers, while ʻAlipate Tuʻivanuavou Vaea also returned to parliament after losing his seat in 2017. No women were elected, with incumbent MP Losaline Maʻasi losing in Tongatapu 5. Female contestants received an overall lower combined vote share than in 2017. Voter turnout was around 62%, down from 67% in the previous election.^[31] The electoral commission conducted recounts in five constituencies, including the prime minister's, which were completed on 29 November. The recounts slightly altered the vote totals, but did not change any of the outcomes in these seats.^[32]

Party		Votes	%	Seats	+/–
	Democratic Party of the Friendly Islands			3	–11
	Tonga People's Party			1	New
	Independents			13	+10
Nobles' representatives				9	0
Total				26	–
Total votes		38,550	–
Registered voters/turnout		62,253	61.92
Source: Matangi Tonga, Nukuʻalofa Times, Talanoa ʻo Tonga