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2022 Bosnian general election

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General elections were held in Bosnia and Herzegovina on 2 October 2022. They decided the makeup of the presidency as well as national, entity and cantonal governments.

Quick facts Turnout, Candidate ...
2022 Bosnian general election

← 2018
2 October 2022
2026 →
Turnout51.45% (presidential) Decrease 2.57 pp
51.45% (parliamentary) Decrease 2.58 pp
Bosniak member of the presidency
 
Candidate Denis Bećirović Bakir Izetbegović
Party SDP BiH SDA
Popular vote 330,238 214,412
Percentage 57.37% 37.25%
Croat member of the presidency
 
Candidate Željko Komšić Borjana Krišto
Party DF HDZ BiH
Popular vote 227,540 180,255
Percentage 55.80% 44.20%
Serb member of the presidency
 
Candidate Željka Cvijanović Mirko Šarović
Party SNSD SDS
Popular vote 327,720 224,912
Percentage 51.65% 35.45%

Presidency members before election

Šefik Džaferović (Bosniak)
Željko Komšić (Croat)
Milorad Dodik (Serb)

Elected Presidency members

Denis Bećirović (Bosniak)
Željko Komšić (Croat)
Željka Cvijanović (Serb)


All 42 seats in the House of Representatives
22 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
SDA Bakir Izetbegović 17.23 9 0
SNSD Milorad Dodik 16.34 6 0
HDZ BiH Dragan Čović 8.75 4 −1
SDP BiH Nermin Nikšić 8.15 5 0
SDS Mirko Šarović 7.07 2 −1
DF–GS Željko Komšić 6.41 3 0
NiP Elmedin Konaković 5.01 3 +3
PDP Branislav Borenović 4.63 2 0
NS Edin Forto 3.12 2 0
NES–ZNG Nermin Ogrešević 2.97 2 +1
ZPR Nebojša Vukanović 2.08 1 New
DEMOS Nedeljko Čubrilović 1.93 1 New
US Nenad Stevandić 1.55 1 New
BHI Fuad Kasumović 1.28 1 New
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Chairman before Chairwoman after
Zoran Tegeltija
SNSD
Borjana Krišto
HDZ BiH
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Christian Schmidt, the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, imposed changes to the country's electoral law hours after voting ended for the election. The changes prominently included an expansion of the Federal House of Peoples from 56 to 80 members, changes in the election process for the house as well as changes in the election process for the president and vice presidents of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina.[1][2]

The elections for the House of Representatives were divided into two; one for the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and one for Republika Srpska. In the presidential election, voters in the Federation elected Bosniak Denis Bećirović and re-elected Croat Željko Komšić, while voters in Republika Srpska elected Serb Željka Cvijanović. Komšić was re-elected to the Presidency for a record fourth term, while Cvijanović became the first woman to be elected to the Presidency as established after the Bosnian War.[3]

Despite Denis Bećirović, who was a candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP BiH), beating the Party of Democratic Action (SDA) president Bakir Izetbegović for the Bosniak spot in the Presidency, the SDA repeated its result from the previous general election in 2018, emerging as the largest party in the House of Representatives, winning 9 of the 42 seats. The Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) came in second with 6 seats, repeating its result from the previous election as well. The SDP BiH and the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) came in third and fourth, winning 5 and 4 seats respectively. The Serb Democratic Party (SDS) won two seats, its lowest number ever, prompting SDS president Mirko Šarović to resign the following month.[4]

In spite of the SDA emerging as the largest party, its failure to form a functional coalition led to the SNSD, the HDZ BiH and the liberal alliance Troika to form a coalition, with Borjana Krišto getting appointed as the new Chairwoman of the Council of Ministers in January 2023, becoming the first woman to serve as Bosnia and Herzegovina's head of government.[5]

Background

In the 2018 Bosnian general election, Šefik Džaferović of the Party of Democratic Action (SDA), Željko Komšić of the Democratic Front (DF) and Milorad Dodik of the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) were elected as the new Bosnian Presidency members, succeeding Bakir Izetbegović, Dragan Čović and Mladen Ivanić respectively.[6] The SDA emerged as the largest party in the national House of Representatives, winning 9 of the 42 seats.

There was controversy over the election of the Croat member, as the non-nationalist candidate Željko Komšić won against the nationalist Dragan Čović (HDZ BiH) with the help of Bosniak voters, with Komšić winning first place almost exclusively in municipalities without a Croat relative majority. The result prompted protests of Croats accusing Bosniaks of out-voting and calling for the creation of their own entity or electoral constituency. In the following days, protests were held in the city of Mostar with signs "Not my president".[7][8] In the days following the election, several municipalities with Croat majority declared Komšić persona non grata.[9][10]

Following the 2018 election, the new Council of Ministers cabinet was confirmed by the House of Representatives after a one-year governmental formation crisis. The SNSD's Zoran Tegeltija was appointed Chairman of the Council of Ministers on 23 December 2019.[11]

Tegeltija's Cabinet was supported by a coalition of the SNSD, the Croatian Democratic Union, the SDA, the DF and the Democratic People's Alliance. The major opposition was the coalition of the Social Democratic Party, Our Party and the People and Justice party, colloquially known as Troika. The coalition of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) and the Party of Democratic Progress (PDP) was the major opposition in Republika Srpska.

In the Bosnian municipal elections that took place in November 2020, there were significant defeats for the ruling parties SDA and SNSD.[12] The SDA lost, among other municipalities, Centar, Novo Sarajevo and Ilidža to Troika. The SNSD lost Banja Luka, to the liberal-conservative PDP and was also unable to assert itself against the moderately nationalist SDS in Bijeljina.[12]

At a House of Representatives session held in January 2021, a vote of no confidence in Tegeltija took place, due to poor performance results during his term as Chairman of the Council of Ministers, but by the end of the voting, it was clear that Tegeltija was staying as Chairman of the Council of Ministers.[13] Three months later, on 28 April, another vote of no confidence in Tegeltija took place at a House of Representatives session, but again, Tegeltija continued serving as Chairman.[14]

Electoral system

Official logo of the election

National elections

Presidency

The three members of the Presidency are elected by plurality. In Republika Srpska voters elect the Serb representative, whilst in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina voters elect the Bosniak and Croat members.[15] Voters registered in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina can vote for either the Bosniak or Croat candidate, but cannot vote in both elections.

House of Representatives

The House of Representatives, the lower chamber of the Bosnian Parliament, has 42 members who are elected at entity level according to proportional representation.[16] Voters in the Brčko District are free to vote for the Republika Srpska or Federal constituency.[17] The Federation sends 28 representatives to parliament, while Republika Srpska send 14 of them. Of the 28 representatives of the Federation, 21 are elected in five multi-person constituencies (number of deputies 3-6), to ensure proportionality, seven compensatory mandates according to the Sainte-Laguë procedure. Of the 14 MPs of Republika Srpska, nine are elected in the constituencies (three MPs each) and five via entity-wide equalization mandates.[17] There is a three percent threshold at the entity level.

Elections in Republika Srpska

Presidency

There is a list of candidates, whereby the candidate who gets the most votes (usually a Serb) is elected president; there is no runoff. The first-placed candidates from the other two ethnic groups (usually a Bosniak and a Croat) are elected as vice-presidents. The term of office of the President of Republika Srpska is four years with an option for one-time re-election. A renewed candidacy is possible again after a break of at least one term of office.[17]

National Assembly

The single-chamber parliament of Republika Srpska, the National Assembly, is composed of 83 members elected by proportional representation. The election takes place in nine multi-person constituencies with entity-wide balancing mandates. Furthermore, at least four representatives should be represented in the National Assembly from each of the constitutive peoples. There is a three percent threshold.[17]

Elections in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Presidency

Unlike in Republika Srpska, the president of the Federation and the two vice-presidents are not elected by direct election: The upper chamber of the Federal Parliament, the House of Peoples, nominates candidates for the presidency and the vice-presidencies, followed by the lower chamber, the House of Representatives, must confirm this nomination by election. Subsequently, confirmation by the majority of the delegates of all three constitutive ethnic groups in the House of Peoples is required.[17]

House of Representatives

The House of Representatives of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina has a total of 98 members who are elected by proportional representation. The election takes place in 12 multi-person constituencies with entity-wide balancing mandates. In the Federal House of Representatives, each constitutive ethnic group should be represented by at least four members. The threshold is three percent.[17]

Cantonal Assemblies

The assemblies of the 10 cantons of the Federation are also elected. The election is based on proportional representation with a threshold of three percent. The individual cantonal assemblies send members to the House of Peoples.[17]

Presidency candidates

Declared candidates

The following were the official candidates who ran for Presidency member.[18]

Bosniak member election

More information Candidate, Affiliation ...
Candidate Affiliation Background Reference
Bakir Izetbegović Party of Democratic Action Member of the Presidency (2010–2018)
President of the Party of Democratic Action (2014–present)
[19]
Mirsad Hadžikadić Platform for Progress Director of the Institute of Complex Systems
at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte
[20]
Denis Bećirović Social Democratic Party Vice-president of the Social Democratic Party (2009–2025)
Member of the House of Peoples (2019–2022)
[21]
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Croat member election

More information Candidate, Affiliation ...
Candidate Affiliation Background Reference
Željko Komšić Democratic Front Member of the Presidency (2018–present; 2006–2014)
President of the Democratic Front (2013–present)
[22]
Borjana Krišto Croatian Democratic Union President of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (2007–2011)
Member of the House of Representatives (2014–2022)
[23]
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Serb member election

More information Candidate, Affiliation ...
Candidate Affiliation Background Reference
Željka Cvijanović Alliance of Independent Social Democrats President of Republika Srpska (2018–2022)
Prime Minister of Republika Srpska (2013–2018)
[24]
Nenad Nešić Democratic People's Alliance Member of the House of Representatives (2018–2022)
President of the Democratic People's Alliance (2020–present)
[25]
Vojin Mijatović Social Democratic Party Vice-president of the Social Democratic Party [26]
Mirko Šarović Serb Democratic Party Member of the Presidency (2002–2003)
President of Republika Srpska (2000–2002)
President of the Serb Democratic Party (2019–2022)
[27]
Borislav Bijelić Life Party [28]
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Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section were the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but publicly denied interest in running.

Opinion polling

Presidency

Three members are elected to the presidency, two from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and one from Republika Srpska.[31]

Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina

More information Publication date, Pollster ...
Publication date Pollster Votes Others Undecided
Izetbegović
SDA
Hadžikadić
PzP
Bećirović
SDP BiH
Komšić
DF
Krišto
HDZ BiH
2 Oct 2022 2022 general election 983,413 37.2% 5.4% 57.4% 55.8% 44.2% – –
13–17 Sep 2022 Depo[32] 6,952 16.3% 5.8% 40.7% 15.7% 5.8% – 15.6%
16 Sep 2022 The Bosnia Times[33] – 24.0% 3.0% 37.0% 19.0% 17.0% – –
7 Sep 2022 Klix[34] 34,837 24.0% 6.1% 42.2% 21.2% 6.5% – –
15 Jul 2022 Ipsos[35] 1,000 16.0% – 17.0% 12.0% 16.0% – –
5 Jul 2022 Klix[36] 48,043 26.7% 4.1% 40.7% 17.2% 5.8% 5.5% –
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Republika Srpska

More information Publication date, Pollster ...
Publication date Pollster Votes Others Undecided
Cvijanović
SNSD
Nešić
DNS
Šarović
SDS
2 Oct 2022 2022 general election 634,520 51.6% 5.5% 35.5% 7.4% –
11–17 Sep 2022 Metrics[37] 1,558 42.0% 11.0% 22.0% 3.0% 22.0%
5–15 Sep 2022 Faktor plus[38] 3,000 35.7% 3.3% 29.8% 13.3% 17.9%
7 Sep 2022 Klix[34] 18,042 10.1% 4.6% 20.2% 3.9% 61.2%
15–30 Aug 2022 Metrics[39] 1,708 32.1% 5.2% 12.8% 1.8% 47.9%
15 Jul 2022 Ipsos[35] 1,000 29.0% – 17.0% – –
5 Jul 2022 Klix[36] 21,966 10.9% 4.9% 20.3% – 63.9%
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House of Representatives

The elections for the House of Representatives are divided into two; one for the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and one for Republika Srpska.

More information Publication date, Pollster ...
Publication date Pollster Votes
SDA SNSD SDP BiH HDZ BiH DF PDP SBB Others Undecided Lead
2 Oct 2022 2022 general election 1,733,280 17.2% 16.3% 8.1% 8.7% 6.4% 4.6% 1.6% 37.1% – 0.9
15 Jul 2022 Ipsos[35] 1,000 14.0% 10.0% 7.0% 10.0% 2.0% 5.0% 1.0% – – 4.0
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Results

Presidency

Results by municipality for the Bosniak member of the Presidency
Results by municipality for the Croat member of the Presidency
Results by municipality for the Serb member of the Presidency

The elected members of the national Presidency were Denis Bećirović (Bosniak, SDP BiH), Željko Komšić (Croat, DF) and Željka Cvijanović (Serb, SNSD).[40]

More information Candidate, Party ...
CandidatePartyVotes%
Bosniak member
Denis BećirovićSocial Democratic Party330,23857.37
Bakir IzetbegovićParty of Democratic Action214,41237.25
Mirsad HadžikadićPlatform for Progress30,9685.38
Total575,618100.00
Croat member
Željko KomšićDemocratic Front227,54055.80
Borjana KrištoCroatian Democratic Union180,25544.20
Total407,795100.00
Serb member
Željka CvijanovićAlliance of Independent Social Democrats327,72051.65
Mirko ŠarovićSerb Democratic Party224,91235.45
Vojin MijatovićSocial Democratic Party38,6556.09
Nenad NešićDemocratic People's Alliance34,9555.51
Borislav BijelićLife Party8,2781.30
Total634,520100.00
Valid votes1,617,93393.35
Invalid votes46,9022.71
Blank votes68,3713.94
Total votes1,733,206100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,368,66651.45
Source: Centralna izborna komisija BiH OSCE
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House of Representatives

More information Party, Votes ...
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Party of Democratic Action273,54517.2390
Alliance of Independent Social Democrats259,52116.3460
Croatian Democratic Union139,0188.754–1
Social Democratic Party129,4998.1550
Serb Democratic Party112,2507.072–1
Democratic Front–Civic Alliance101,7136.4130
People and Justice79,5555.013+3
Party of Democratic Progress73,4894.6320
Our Party49,4813.1220
People's European Union–For New Generations47,1572.972+1
For Justice and Order32,9822.081New
Democratic Union30,5911.931New
Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina26,4801.6700
HDZ 1990–Croatian National Shift25,6911.6200
Platform for Progress–Independent Bloc25,0071.570–1
Union for a Better Future24,7861.560–2
United Srpska24,6871.551+1
Socialist Party23,0181.450–1
Democratic People's Alliance21,8321.370–1
Bosnian-Herzegovinian Initiative20,2591.281New
Bosnian Party17,7211.1200
Movement of Democratic Action14,8890.940–1
Social Democrats11,8310.750New
Croatian Republican Party11,2310.710New
Labour Party3,7270.2300
Bosnian-Herzegovinian Greens3,3940.210New
Life Party1,8400.120New
Union for New Politics7060.0400
The Left Wing5450.030New
Very Small Party5300.030New
Re-Balance5030.030New
Circle3630.020New
Bosnian-Herzegovinian Patriotic Party1580.0100
Total1,587,999100.0042–
Valid votes1,587,99991.62
Invalid votes57,3253.31
Blank votes87,9565.07
Total votes1,733,280100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,368,66651.45
Source: Centralna izborna komisija BiH OSCE
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By entity

More information Party, Federation ...
PartyFederationRepublika Srpska
Votes%Votes%
Party of Democratic Action243,41325.1730,1324.85
Alliance of Independent Social Democrats4,0060.41255,51541.15
Croatian Democratic Union137,34014.201,6780.27
Social Democratic Party129,49913.39
Serb Democratic Party112,25018.08
Democratic Front–Civic Alliance101,71310.52
People and Justice79,5558.23
Party of Democratic Progress4660.0573,02311.76
Our Party49,4815.12
People's European Union–For New Generations47,1574.88
For Justice and Order32,9825.31
Democratic Union30,5914.93
Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina26,4802.74
HDZ 1990–Croatian National Shift25,2462.614450.07
Platform for Progress–Independent Bloc19,8232.055,1840.83
Union for a Better Future23,1012.391,6850.27
United Srpska3740.0424,3133.92
Socialist Party23,0183.71
Democratic People's Alliance1880.0221,6443.49
Bosnian-Herzegovinian Initiative18,6971.931,5620.25
Bosnian Party17,7211.83
Movement of Democratic Action14,8891.54
Social Democrats9,9281.031,9030.31
Croatian Republican Party11,2311.16
Labour Party3,7270.39
Bosnian-Herzegovinian Greens1,7650.181,6290.26
Life Party1,8400.30
Union for New Politics4030.043030.05
The Left Wing1710.023740.06
Very Small Party2240.023060.05
Re-Balance1630.023400.05
Circle1040.012590.04
Bosnian-Herzegovinian Patriotic Party1580.02
Total967,023100.00620,976100.00
Valid votes967,02391.56620,97691.71
Invalid/blank votes89,1428.4456,1198.29
Total votes1,056,165100.00677,095100.00
Registered voters/turnout2,109,34450.071,259,32253.77
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By electoral unit

Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina

More information Electoral Unit, SDA ...
Electoral Unit SDA HDZ BiH SDP BiH DF–GS NiP NS NES–ZNG BHI Turnout
1st 25.82 7.44 10.70 10.42 2.94 2.21 18.35 0.07 38.99
2nd 13.52 49.70 8.32 4.19 1.94 0.77 2.69 0.03 55.94
3rd 20.69 0.81 12.38 10.76 21.71 14.77 6.37 0.06 54.76
4th 32.48 16.01 12.85 11.71 5.63 2.07 2.74 6.99 51.44
5th 28.24 6.46 19.50 12.92 4.26 3.13 0.73 0.08 48.45
Total 25.17 14.20 13.39 10.52 8.23 5.12 4.88 1.93 50.07
Source: izbori.ba
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Republika Srpska

More information Electoral Unit, SNSD ...
Electoral Unit SNSD SDS PDP ZPR DEMOS SDA US Turnout
1st 42.65 12.99 18.99 5.67 2.63 3.42 4.21 52.85
2nd 37.90 23.56 7.96 3.81 8.31 5.42 2.19 49.88
3rd 42.15 20.61 3.83 6.35 5.09 6.63 5.30 60.72
Total 41.15 18.08 11.76 5.31 4.93 4.85 3.92 53.77
Source: izbori.ba
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Aftermath

Allegations of voter fraud

Following the release of the preliminary results in the Republika Srpska entity elections, opposition parties filed accusations of electoral fraud directly against the leading candidate Milorad Dodik, who they claimed had coordinated stuffing ballot boxes with thousands of illegal votes to put the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats ahead in the polls and that Jelena Trivić of the Party of Democratic Progress was the true winner of the Republika Srpska presidential election.[41][42] As a result of the allegations, the Central Election Commission began a recount of the ballots.[43] When the Election Commission verified the preliminary results, they did not verify the Republika Srpska elections.[44] However on 27 October, officials confirmed Dodik's victory. The commission noted that while there were irregularities, none were on a level that would have changed the outcome of the election.[45]

Government formation

On 15 December 2022, a coalition led by the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats, the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) and the liberal alliance Troika reached an agreement on the formation of a new government for the 2022–2026 parliamentary term, designating HDZ BiH deputy president Borjana Krišto as the new chairwoman of the Council of Ministers.[46] The Presidency officially nominated Krišto as chairwoman-designate on 22 December.[47] The national House of Representatives confirmed her appointment on 28 December.[48] On 25 January 2023, the House of Representatives confirmed the appointment of Krišto's cabinet.[49]

See also

References

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