2022 Maranhão gubernatorial election

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2022 Maranhão state election
← 2018
2 October 2022 (2022-10-02) (first round)
30 October 2022 (2022-10-30) (second round, if necessary)
2026 →
Opinion polls
Gubernatorial election
 
Candidate Carlos Brandão Lahesio Bonfim Weverton Rocha
Party PSB PSC PDT
Alliance For the good of Maranhão Courage to Change Maranhão Together for Work
Running mate Felipe Camarão Gutemberg Araújo Hélio Soares
Candidate with the most votes per municipality (217):
     Carlos Brandão (177 municipalities)
     Weverton Rocha (24 municipalities)
     Lahesio Bonfim (16 municipalities)
Incumbent Governor

Carlos Brandão
PSB


Parliamentary election
All 42 seats of the Legislative Assembly
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Legislative Assembly
PSB None 23.28 11 +9
PL None 10.32 5 +2
PP None 9.23 4 +2
PDT None 9.00 4 −3
PCdoB None 6.59 5 −1
Patriota None 6.28 3 +3
PSD None 5.60 2 +2
MDB None 5.47 2 0
PODE None 4.75 2 +2
PSC None 3.90 2 +2
PT None 3.47 0 −1
Republicanos None 2.46 1 0
PV None 1.35 0 −3
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Senatorial election
2 October 2022 (2022-10-02) (one-only round)
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Flávio Dino Roberto Rocha
Party PSB PTB
Alliance For the good of Maranhão Together for Work
Popular vote 2,125,811 1,211,174
Percentage 62.41% 35.56%
Senator before election

Roberto Rocha
PTB

 Elected Senator

Flávio Dino
PSB

The 2022 Maranhão gubernatorial election took place in the state of Maranhão, Brazil on 2 October 2022, as part of the 2022 Brazilian general election in the Federal District and the 26 states. Voters will elect a Governor, Vice Governor, one Senator, two Alternate Senators, 18 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 42 Legislative Assembly members. Under the Constitution of Brazil, the governor will be elected for a four-year term starting 1 January 2023[1] and with the approval of Constitutional Amendment No. 111, it will end on 6 January 2027.[2] If the first place does not reach more than 50% of the valid votes, a second round will be held on 30 October 2022.[3]

The incumbent governor of Maranhão is Carlos Brandão, a member of the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB), who took office after the resignation of Flávio Dino (PSB) on 2 April 2022. Dino resigned to run for the Federal Senate.[4] For the election to the Federal Senate, the seat occupied by Roberto Rocha (PTB) since 2014, is at dispute, and the incumbent said that he intends to run for re-election.[5]

Note: This section only presents the main dates of the 2022 electoral calendar, check the TSE official website (in Portuguese) and other official sources for detailed information.

Electoral calendar
15 May Start of crowdfunding of candidates
20 July – 5 August Party conventions for choosing candidates and coalitions[6]
16 August – 30 September Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the first round
2 October First round of 2022 elections
7–28 October Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to a possible second round
30 October Possible second round of 2022 elections
until 19 December Delivery of electoral diplomas for those who were elected in the 2022 elections by the Brazilian Election Justice

Legislative Assembly

The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly of Maranhão is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[7] Current[8]
PSB 2 9 Increase7
PDT 7 6 Decrease1
PP 2 5 Increase3
PSD 0 4 Increase4
PL 3 4 Increase1
PCdoB 6 4 Decrease2
PV 3 3 Steady
MDB 2 2 Steady
UNIÃO New 1 Increase1
PODE 0 1 Increase1
PROS 0 1 Increase1
PT 1 1 Steady
Solidarity 3 1 Decrease2
PSDB 1 0 Decrease1
Republicanos 1 0 Decrease1
PTB 1 0 Decrease1
PMN 1 0 Decrease1
PSL 1 0 Decrease1
PROS 1 0 Decrease1
PRTB 2 0 Decrease2
DEM 5 0 Decrease5
Total 42 –

Gubernatorial candidates

The party conventions began on 20 July and will continue until 5 August. The following political parties have already confirmed their candidacies. Political parties have until 15 August 2022 to formally register their candidates.[9]

Confirmed candidates

Party Candidate Most relevant political office or occupation Party Running mate Coalition Electoral number TV time per party/coalition Refs.

Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)

 Carlos Brandão
Carlos Brandão		 Governor of Maranhão
(since 2022)		 Workers' Party

Workers' Party (PT)

 Felipe Camarão For the good of Maranhão 40 5min and 16sec [10]
Democratic Labour Party (PDT)Democratic Labour Party (PDT)
Weverton Rocha		 Senator for Maranhão
(since 2019)		 Liberal Party (PL)
Liberal Party (PL)		 Hélio Soares Together for Work 12 2min and 35sec [11]
Social Democratic Party (PSD)
Social Democratic Party (PSD)
Edivaldo Holanda Júnior		 Mayor of São Luís
(2013–2021)		 Social Democratic Party (PSD)
Social Democratic Party (PSD)		 Teacher Andrea Heringer A Better Maranhão for Everybody 55 57sec [12]
[[File:|100x100px|Solidariedade]]
Solidariedade		 Simplício Araújo Federal Deputy from Maranhão
(2011–2015; since 2019)		 [[File:|100x100px|Solidariedade]]
Solidariedade		 Dra. Marly N/a 77 27sec [13]
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)		 Enilton Rodrigues Engineer. Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)		 Pedra Celestina PSOL REDE Federation 50 24sec [14]
Social Christian Party (PSC)
Social Christian Party (PSC)
Lahésio Bonfim		 Mayor of São Pedro dos Crentes
(2017–2022)[15][16]		 Social Christian Party (PSC)
Social Christian Party (PSC)		 Dr. Gutemberg Courage to Change Maranhão 20 19sec [17]
Christian Democracy (DC)
Christian Democracy (DC)		 Teacher Joás Moraes Teacher. Christian Democracy (DC)
Christian Democracy (DC)		 Ricardo Medeiros N/a 27 N/a [18]
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)
Hertz Dias		 Teacher. United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)		 Jayro Mesquita N/a 16 N/a [19]
Brazilian Communist Party (PCB)
Brazilian Communist Party (PCB)		 Frankle Costa Photographer. Brazilian Communist Party (PCB)
Brazilian Communist Party (PCB)		 Zé JK N/a 21 N/a [20]
The television time reserved for political propaganda for each election will be distributed among all parties and coalitions that have a candidate and representation in the Chamber of Deputies. Total:
10 minutes		 [21]

Withdrawn candidates

Senatorial candidates

The party conventions began on 20 July and will continue until 5 August. The following political parties have already confirmed their candidacies. Political parties have until 15 August 2022 to formally register their candidates.[9]

Confirmed candidates

Party Candidate Most relevant political office or occupation Party Candidates for Alternate Senators Coalition Electoral number TV time per party/coalition Refs.
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)
Flávio Dino		 Governor of Maranhão
(2015–2022)		 Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) 1st alternate senator:
Ana Paula Lobato		 For the good of Maranhão 400 3min and 7sec [23]
Communist Party of Brazil
Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB)		 2nd alternate senator:
Lourdinha
[[File:|100x100px|Liberal Party (PL)]]
Brazilian Labour Party (PTB)		 Roberto Rocha
Roberto Rocha		 Senator for Maranhão
(since 2015)		 Liberal Party (PL)
Liberal Party (PL)		 1st alternate senator:
Ildemar Gonçalves		 Together for Work 145 1min and 34sec [24]
Act (AGIR)
Act (AGIR)		 2nd alternate senator:
Pastor Bel
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)		 Antônia Cariongo Rural worker. Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)		 1st alternate senator:
Teacher Antônio Alves		 PSOL REDE Federation 500 18sec [25]
2nd alternate senator:
Deco
Christian Democracy (DC)
Christian Democracy (DC)		 Pastor Ivo Nogueira Teacher and pastor. Christian Democracy (DC)
Christian Democracy (DC)		 1st alternate senator:
Ana Lúcia		 N/a 277 N/a [26]
2nd alternate senator:
Celso Raposo
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)		 Saulo Arcangeli Civil Servant. United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)		 1st alternate senator:
Wagner Silva		 N/a 161 N/a [27]
2nd alternate senator:
Hernando Cunha
The television time reserved for political propaganda for each election will be distributed among all parties and coalitions that have a candidate and representation in the Chamber of Deputies. Total:
5 minutes		 [21]

Opinion polls

Governor

First round

The first round is scheduled to take place on 2 October 2022.[28]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Brandão
PSB		 Lahésio
PSC		 Edivaldo
PSD		 Joás
DC		 Simplício
Solidariedade		 Enilton
PSOL		 Hertz
PSTU		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
IPEC[29] 20–23 Aug 2022 800 16% 28% 10% 14% 2% 1% 1% – 1%[a] 28% 12%
Instituto MBO[30] 12–16 Aug 2022 1.584 28.73% 19.44% 18.21% 2.15% 0.12% 0.94% – – – 30.5% 9.29%
Econométrica[31] 11–15 Aug 2022 1.503 21.4% 40.7% 20.5% 7.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% – 8.4% 19.3%
Data Ilha[32] 10–13 Aug 2022 2.031 18.1% 27.4% 16.3% 9.7% 0.4% 2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6%[b] 23.7% 9.3%
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 29% 30% 16% 10% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%[c] 12% 1%
31% 31% 17% 10% – – – – – 11% Tie
Econométrica[34] 19–22 Jul 2022 1.535 23.6% 34.8% 20.5% 7.6% – 0.5% 1% 0.1% – 12% 11.2%
Pesquisa Exata[35] 12–17 Jul 2022 1.475 29% 27% 15% 12% – 2% 0% 1% – 14% 2%
Escutec/Imirante[36] 2–7 Jul 2022 2.000 22% 27% 16% 11% – 2% 1% 1% – 20% 5%
Real Time Big Data[37] 20–21 Jun 2022 1.500 24% 22% 13% 12% – 1% 0% 0% – 28% 2%
Econométrica[38] 12–16 Jun 2022 1.468 25.1% 32.5% 18.2% 9.4% – 0.3% 0.7% – – 13.9% 7.4%
Escutec/Imirante[39] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 23% 27% 15% 11% – 3% 1% 1% – 19% 4%
Pesquisa Exata[40] 5–9 Jun 2022 1.451 29% 24% 14% 11% – 2% – 1% – 19% 5%
31% 25% 14% 12% – – – – – 18% 6%
23 May 2022 Josimar Maranhãozinho withdraws from the race and decides to support Weverton Rocha's candidacy. [22]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Brandão
PSB		 Lahésio
PSC		 Edivaldo
PSD		 Josimar
PL		 Simplício
Solidariedade		 Enilton
PSOL		 Hertz
PSTU		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Instituto MBO[41] 6–10 May 2022 1.315 24.42% 14.99% 21.75% 1.97% 5.09% 1.06% – – 5.24%[d] 23.89% 2.67%
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 20% 24% 11% 12% 3% 2% 1% 0% 8%[e] 19% 4%
21% 25% 13% 12% – 2% – – 9%[f] 18% 4%
23% 26% 14% 15% – 3% – – – 19% 3%
Apr 2022 Roberto Rocha withdrawns his candidacy for the government of Maranhão and decides to run for the Federal Senate.[43]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Brandão
PSB		 Rocha
PTB		 Edivaldo
PSD		 Enilton
PSOL		 Lahésio
PSC		 Simplício
Solidariedade		 Hertz
PSTU		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Pesquisa Exata[44] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 22% 21% 11% 11% 0% 12% 1% 0% 5%[g] 17% 1%
Instituto MBO[45] 7–10 Apr 2022 1.110 31.1% 19.1% 4.54% 4.18% 0.18% 24.18% 0.18% 0.09% 7.55%[h] 8.9% 6.92%
Escutec/Imirante[46] 27 Mar–1 Apr 2022 2.000 22% 21% 10% 12% 1% 9% 2% 0% 5%[i] 18% 1%
31 March 2022 Roberto Rocha joins the Brazilian Labour Party.[47]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Brandão
PSB		 Rocha
PSDB		 Edivaldo
PSD		 Enilton
PSOL		 Lahésio
PSC		 Simplício
Solidariedade		 Hertz
PSTU		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Instituto Data M[48] 26–30 Mar 2022 1.500 16.8% 15.8% 10.4% 8.5% 0.5% 13.9% 0.5% 0% 5.1%[j] 28.4% 1%
17.7% 16.7% 12.1% 9% – 14.2% – – – 30.3% 1%
19.6% 17.6% – 10.9% – 15.2% – – – 36.7% 2%
22.8% 20% – 12.5% – – – – – 44.7% 2.8%
Instituto MBO[49] 20–24 Mar 2022 2.000 14% 22.25% 6.9% 4.3% – 17.6% 0.6% – 12.85%[k] 21.5% 2.5%
Pesquisa Exata[50] 15–19 Mar 2022 1.400 22% 16% 13% 12% 1% 10% 2% 0% 6%[l] 18% 3%
25% 17% 14% 13% – 11% – – – 20% 8%
31% 19% – 15% – 13% – – – 22% 12%
35% 22% – 17% – – – – – 26% 13%
Escutec/Imirante[51] 17–22 Feb 2022 2.000 22% 19% 11% 12% 0% 6% 2% – 5%[m] 23% 3%

Second round

The second round (if necessary) is scheduled to take place on 30 October 2022.[52]

Brandão vs. Weverton

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Brandão
PSB		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Econométrica[31] 11–15 Aug 2022 1.503 32.1% 48% 19.9% 15.9%
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 42% 41% 17% 1%
Econométrica[34] 19–22 Jul 2022 1.535 32.9% 42.1% 25% 9.2%
Pesquisa Exata[35] 12–17 Jul 2022 1.475 42% 39% 19% 3%
Escutec/Imirante[36] 2–7 Jul 2022 2.000 33% 34% 33% 1%
Escutec/Imirante[39] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 34% 36% 30% 2%
Pesquisa Exata[40] 5–9 Jun 2022 1.451 43% 37% 20% 6%
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 34% 39% 27% 5%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 42% 35% 23% 7%

Brandão vs. Lahésio

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Brandão
PSB		 Lahésio
PSC		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Econométrica[31] 11–15 Aug 2022 1.503 52.8% 29.5% 17.8% 23.3%
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 51% 29% 20% 22%
Econométrica[34] 19–22 Jul 2022 1.535 46.5% 31.1% 22.3% 15.4%
Pesquisa Exata[35] 12–17 Jul 2022 1.475 48% 28% 24% 20%
Escutec/Imirante[36] 2–7 Jul 2022 2.000 39% 27% 34% 12%
Escutec/Imirante[39] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 38% 29% 33% 9%
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 42% 25% 33% 17%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 46% 28% 26% 18%

Brandão vs. Edivaldo

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Brandão
PSB		 Edivaldo
PSD		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 53% 24% 23% 29%
Escutec/Imirante[36] 2–7 Jul 2022 2.000 39% 22% 39% 17%
Escutec/Imirante[39] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 39% 23% 38% 16%
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 39% 23% 38% 16%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 49% 26% 25% 23%

Weverton vs. Edivaldo

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Edivaldo
PSD		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 58% 21% 21% 37%
Escutec/Imirante[39] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 39% 20% 41% 19%
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 35% 24% 41% 11%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 52% 23% 25% 29%

Brandão vs. Rocha

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Brandão
PSB		 Rocha
PTB		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 41% 26% 33% 15%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 47% 27% 26% 20%

Weverton vs. Josimar

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Josimar
PL		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 61% 10% 29% 50%

Weverton vs. Lahesio

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Lahésio
PSC		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Econométrica[31] 11–15 Aug 2022 1.503 40.6% 33.3% 26.2% 7.3%
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 55% 26% 19% 29%
Econométrica[34] 19–22 Jul 2022 1.535 41.2% 30% 28.8% 11.2%
Pesquisa Exata[35] 12–17 Jul 2022 1.475 51% 26% 23% 25%
Escutec/Imirante[39] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 35% 28% 37% 7%
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 37% 22% 41% 15%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 57% 17% 26% 40%

Weverton vs. Rocha

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Weverton
PDT		 Rocha
PTB		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Escutec/Imirante[42] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 37% 26% 37% 11%

Senator

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Dino
PSB		 Rocha
PTB		 Antônia
PSOL		 Arcangeli
PSTU		 Ivo
DC		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
IPEC[29] 20–23 Aug 2022 800 50% 21% 1% 2% 4% – 23% 29%
Instituto MBO[30] 12–16 Aug 2022 1.584 37% 22.48% 1.01% 0.94% 0.31% – 38.26% 14.52%
37.88% 24.69% – – – – 37.43% 13.19%
Econométrica[31] 11–15 Aug 2022 1.503 52.4% 28.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8%[n] 16.5% 24.1%
Pesquisa Exata[33] 7–12 Aug 2022 1.469 54% 28% 2% 2% 3% – 11% 26%
55% 32% – – – – 13% 23%
21 July 2022 Pastor Bel withdrawns his candidacy to become the
2nd Alternate on Roberto Rocha's ticket.[54]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Dino
PSB		 Rocha
PTB		 Antônia
PSOL		 Arcangeli
PSTU		 Bel
AGIR		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Econométrica[34] 19–22 Jul 2022 1.535 48.5% 27.9% 0.4% 1.1% 6.1% – 15.9% 20.6%
Pesquisa Exata[55] 12–17 Jul 2022 1.475 54% 24% 1% 1% 6% 2%[o] 12% 30%
Escutec/Imirante[56] 2–7 Jul 2022 2.000 47% 26% 2% 1% 2% – 22% 21%
Real Time Big Data[37] 20–21 Jun 2022 1.500 45% 27% 3% 0% 5% – 20% 18%
49% 30% – – – – 21% 19%
Econométrica[57] 12–16 Jun 2022 1.468 50% 26.8% 1% 0.5% 5.9% – 15.8% 23.2%
Escutec/Imirante[58] 11–16 Jun 2022 2.000 52% 27% 3% – – – 18% 25%
Pesquisa Exata[40] 5–9 Jun 2022 1.451 51% 26% 1% 1% 5% 2%[p] 14% 25%
Escutec/Imirante[59] 26–30 Apr 2022 2.000 55% 20% 1% – 5% – 19% 35%
Pesquisa Exata[53] 25–29 Apr 2022 1.400 58% 22% 2% 2% – 2%[q] 14% 36%
Escutec/Imirante[46] 27 Mar–1 Apr 2022 2.000 51% 22% 1% – 3% – 23% 29%
31 March 2022 Roberto Rocha joins the Brazilian Labour Party.[47]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Dino
PSB		 Rocha
PSDB		 Antônia
PSOL		 Arcangeli
PSTU		 Romão
PT		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Instituto Data M[48] 26–30 Mar 2022 1.500 42.7% 21.3% 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 8.5%[r] 25.2% 21.4%
Pesquisa Exata[60] 15–19 Mar 2022 1.400 51% 20% 1% 1% 1% 10%[s] 16% 31%
Escutec/Imirante[51] 17–22 Feb 2022 2.000 47% 23% 0% – – 9%[t] 21% 24%

Results

Notes

References

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