2022 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from Delaware's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The incumbent Democrat Lisa Blunt Rochester won re-election to a fourth term.[1]
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November 8, 2022
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| Turnout | 42.2% | |||||||||||||||
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  Blunt Rochester: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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The election had very low turnout and was the worst performance for the Democratic candidate since 2008 when incumbent Republican representative Mike Castle won reelection in a landslide. This was also the closest House race in the state since 1982.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lisa Blunt Rochester, incumbent U.S. representative[2][3]
Republican primary
Independent and third party candidates
Declared
- Cody McNutt (Libertarian)[5]
- David Rogers (Non-Partisan Delaware)[a][5]
Write-in
- Edward Shlikas[6]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian | Non-Partisan Delaware[a] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| Lisa Blunt Rochester | Lee Murphy | Cody McNutt | David Rogers | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | University of Delaware | Ralph Begleiter | [7] | P | P | N | N |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Solid D | October 11, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[11] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[13] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[14] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[15] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
Endorsements
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) |
Lee Murphy (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Delaware[20] | September 14–29, 2022 | 905 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lisa Blunt Rochester (incumbent) | 178,416 | 55.47% | −2.16% | |
| Republican | Lee Murphy | 138,201 | 42.97% | +2.75% | |
| Libertarian | Cody McNutt | 3,074 | 0.96% | +0.18% | |
| Non-Partisan Delaware | David Rogers | 1,958 | 0.61% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 321,649 | 100% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
| County | Lisa Blunt Rochester Democratic |
Lee Murphy Republican |
All Others | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | |
| New Castle | 110,139 | 64.96% | 56,529 | 33.34% | 2,875 | 1.7% |
| Kent | 25,974 | 48.03% | 27,146 | 50.2% | 956 | 1.77% |
| Sussex | 42,303 | 43.15% | 54,526 | 55.62% | 1,201 | 1.23% |
| Totals | 178,416 | 55.47% | 138,201 | 42.97% | 5,032 | 1.57% |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Notes
- Non-Partisan Delaware is a political party, not the name for an unaffiliated candidate.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear